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China's Polluting Interregnum: Evidence From Power Vacancy of Local Leaders 中国的污染间歇期:来自地方领导权力空缺的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12456
Jianglong Li, Xiaoming Ma

Power vacancies in local government leadership positions may have significant implications for the implementation and regulation of air pollution control policies. Using data from 271 prefecture-level cities in China from 2014 to 2017, we examine the causal effects of power vacancies on the effectiveness of air pollution control. The findings indicate that power vacancies, particularly the absence of party secretaries, have a substantial negative impact on the effectiveness of air pollution control efforts. Specifically, a 1-month vacancy in the party secretary position leads to a 0.572-unit decrease in the completion of air pollution control objectives. Furthermore, the underlying mechanisms show that the absence of a party secretary disrupts the balance of authority and accountability among local officials, leading to diminished efforts in executing environmental protection policies. In this scenario, local officials, driven by economic incentives, are more likely to approve high-polluting industrial registrations and relax pollution restrictions, which directly results in a 2.6% increase in the number of new high-polluting industrial enterprises and a 1% rise in NO2 concentrations. This impact is more pronounced in regions with lower levels of economic development, weaker public environmental awareness and less developed marketisation.

地方政府领导职位的权力空缺可能对空气污染控制政策的实施和监管产生重大影响。利用2014 - 2017年中国271个地级市的数据,研究了权力空缺对大气污染治理效果的因果关系。研究结果表明,权力空缺,特别是党委书记的缺席,对空气污染控制工作的有效性产生了实质性的负面影响。具体而言,党委书记职位空缺1个月,导致大气污染治理目标完成率下降0.572个单位。此外,潜在的机制表明,党委书记的缺席破坏了地方官员之间的权力和问责平衡,导致执行环境保护政策的努力减少。在这种情况下,地方官员在经济激励的驱动下,更有可能批准高污染工业注册,放宽污染限制,这直接导致高污染工业企业数量增加2.6%,二氧化氮浓度上升1%。这种影响在经济发展水平较低、公众环保意识较弱、市场化程度较低的地区更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Anchoring in Takeovers Under Mandatory Bid Rule: Evidence From an Emerging Market 强制性收购规则下的收购锚定:来自新兴市场的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12451
Adrian Pop, Diana Pop

This article documents the existence of an anchoring bias in the pricing and acceptance of takeover bids in a blockholder regime where the mandatory bid rule applies. Our analysis, performed on the Romanian market for corporate control, shows that the 52-week high price of the target and the pricing of direct privatisations conducted by the government are strong predictors of both bid premium and outcome. The tender decision depends also on the scope of expropriation perceived by minority shareholders. Our results suggest that stronger capital market discipline is also important for insuring an effective protection of minority shareholders.

本文记录了在强制投标规则适用的大股东制度下,在定价和接受收购投标中存在的锚定偏见。我们对罗马尼亚公司控制权市场进行的分析表明,目标公司52周的高价和政府直接私有化的定价是出价溢价和结果的有力预测因素。投标决定还取决于少数股东认为的征用范围。我们的研究结果表明,加强资本市场纪律对于确保有效保护中小股东也很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Healthy Diet Choices: Does Internet Use Help Promote Healthy Food Consumption in Indonesia? 健康饮食选择:互联网的使用是否有助于促进印尼的健康食品消费?
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12450
Moh Shadiqur Rahman, Wanglin Ma, Hery Toiba, Agus Widarjono

This study examines the impact of Internet use on healthy food consumption, captured by the share of healthy food expenditure in total household food expenditure. The inverse probability weighted regression adjustment and Tobit models combined with the Lewbel approach help address the selection bias issues and estimate data of 334,229 households collected by the National Economics Survey in Indonesia. The results show that Internet use significantly reduces household healthy food consumption, and the effect on rural households is larger than that on urban households. Internet use diversity, measured by the number of Internet activities and services people access, also significantly reduces healthy food consumption. The disaggregated analyses reveal that with incomes increasing from low (quartile 1) to high (quartile 4), the impacts of Internet use on healthy food consumption for urban households become positive at quartile 2 and the effects increase monotonously. In comparison, the impacts of Internet use on healthy food consumption for rural households are negative at the different income quartiles.

本研究考察了互联网使用对健康食品消费的影响,即健康食品支出在家庭食品总支出中的份额。逆概率加权回归调整和Tobit模型结合lebel方法,有助于解决选择偏差问题,并估计了印度尼西亚国民经济调查收集的334,229户家庭的数据。结果表明,互联网使用显著降低了家庭健康食品消费,且对农村家庭的影响大于城市家庭。互联网使用多样性(以人们使用互联网活动和服务的数量来衡量)也显著降低了健康食品消费。分类分析表明,随着收入从低(四分位数1)到高(四分位数4)的增加,互联网使用对城市家庭健康食品消费的影响在四分位数2处变为正影响,且影响单调增加。相比之下,互联网使用对不同收入四分位数农村家庭健康食品消费的影响为负。
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引用次数: 0
Investment-Oriented Remittances Inflows and the Strength of Patent Right Protection in Developing Countries 投资导向型汇款流入与发展中国家专利权保护力度
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12453
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon

The present analysis has investigated the effect of investment-oriented remittances (IOR) flows on the strength of patent right protection in developing countries. The analysis has relied on an unbalanced panel dataset of 88 countries over the period from 1970 to 2015. It has shown that higher IOR flows are associated with the betterment of patent right protection. The positive effect is larger in countries that had weaker patent right protection, as well as in those countries that improved their capacity to acquire the knowledge diffused by migrants residing abroad. Additionally, higher IOR flows have been associated with the weakening (strengthening) of patent right protection in poor countries (nonpoor countries) in the post-Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) Agreement period compared to the pre-TRIPS Agreement period. Finally, countries adopt stronger patent laws as they participate in a higher number of regional trade agreements.

本分析调查了以投资为导向的汇款(IOR)流动对发展中国家专利权保护力度的影响。该分析依赖于1970年至2015年期间88个国家的不平衡面板数据集。研究表明,更高的IOR流量与专利权保护的改善有关。在那些专利权保护较弱的国家,以及那些提高了获取由居住在国外的移民传播的知识的能力的国家,这种积极影响更大。此外,较高的IOR流动与穷国(非穷国)在《与贸易有关的知识产权协定》后与《与贸易有关的知识产权协定》前相比,专利权保护的弱化(加强)有关。最后,各国在参与更多的区域贸易协定时采用更严格的专利法。
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引用次数: 0
Institutions and Growth Dynamics in Latin America, 1801–2015 拉丁美洲的制度与增长动态,1801-2015
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12449
Miethy Zaman

Institutions are regularly blamed for poor economic performance, and Latin America is often used as the prime example of the potentially damaging effects of inadequate institutions on economic development. In this paper, annual data is constructed over the past two centuries for seven Latin American countries and for few advanced settler economies to (1) test for the influence of institutions on innovations, education and fixed investment using instruments for institutions; and (2) simulate the growth path of the Latin American countries using the institutional path of today's most successful settler economies. Findings show that institutions have been statistically highly significant determinants of economic development; however, they can only explain a small fraction of the widening income gap between the Latin American countries and the most successful settler economies over the past two centuries, suggesting that complementary explanations for economic development are called for.

制度经常被指责为经济表现不佳的原因,拉丁美洲经常被用作制度不健全对经济发展可能造成破坏性影响的主要例子。本文构建了七个拉丁美洲国家和少数先进移民经济体过去两个世纪的年度数据,以:(1)使用制度工具检验制度对创新、教育和固定投资的影响;(2)利用当今最成功的移民经济体的制度路径,模拟拉丁美洲国家的增长路径。研究结果表明,制度在统计上是经济发展的重要决定因素;然而,它们只能解释过去两个世纪拉丁美洲国家与最成功的移民经济体之间不断扩大的收入差距的一小部分,这表明需要对经济发展进行补充解释。
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引用次数: 0
Mining and Structural Change: How Does Mining Affect Participation in the Global Value Chain? 矿业与结构变革:矿业如何影响全球价值链的参与?
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12448
Manegdo Ulrich Doamba

We examine the relationship between mining activity and participation and positioning in the global value chain in 74 developing countries from 1995–2018. Mining activity can impact countries' participation and especially their positioning in this chain through the changes it induces in the industrial and institutional structure of countries. We use the event study method, taking the activation of mines as the event to be studied, with a study time horizon of 5 years. Our relatively robust results show that mining activity harms positioning in the global value chain through specialisation towards start-of-the-chain industries. The type of mineral extracted, and the mode of extraction plays an essential role in this relationship. Institutional quality, level of openness, and geographical position of countries condition our results.

我们研究了1995年至2018年74个发展中国家采矿活动与参与和定位全球价值链之间的关系。采矿活动可以影响各国的参与,特别是通过改变各国的工业和体制结构而影响它们在这一链中的地位。我们采用事件研究法,以矿山激活为研究事件,研究时间跨度为5年。我们相对稳健的结果表明,采矿活动通过向链初产业的专业化,损害了在全球价值链中的定位。提取的矿物类型和提取方式在这一关系中起着至关重要的作用。制度质量、开放程度和国家的地理位置决定了我们的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Does Corruption Impede the Accumulation of Human Capital in Developing Countries? 腐败是否阻碍了发展中国家人力资本的积累?
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12447
Issa Dianda

We investigate the heterogeneous effect of various types of corruption on human capital accumulation in a sample of 88 developing countries from 2000 to 2018. Quantiles via moments regression is used for our empirical investigation. We find that corruption exerts an adverse effect on human capital accumulation. Moreover, the harmful effect of corruption on human capital accumulation is higher in countries with low stock of human capital and lower in countries with high stock of human capital. In addition, both public sector corruption and regime corruption are detrimental to human capital accumulation, although public sector corruption is the most detrimental. Furthermore, corruption disproportionately affects female human capital compared to male human capital. These results imply that anti-corruption strategies should be taken into account in the formulation and implementation of policies to improve human capital in developing countries.

我们研究了2000年至2018年88个发展中国家不同类型腐败对人力资本积累的异质性影响。通过矩回归的分位数用于我们的实证调查。研究发现,腐败对人力资本积累具有不利影响。此外,腐败对人力资本积累的有害影响在人力资本存量低的国家较高,在人力资本存量高的国家较低。此外,公共部门腐败和政权腐败都不利于人力资本积累,尽管公共部门腐败是最有害的。此外,与男性人力资本相比,腐败对女性人力资本的影响不成比例。这些结果表明,在制定和实施改善发展中国家人力资本的政策时,应考虑到反腐败战略。
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引用次数: 0
Do Firms Pollute Less in Special Economic Zones? Firm-Level Evidence From China 经济特区的企业污染少吗?来自中国的企业层面证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12445
Lihua Zhang, Tian Gan, Zheng Xu

Using micro-level data, this paper examines the effects of special economic zones (SEZs) on firms' pollution emissions in China. Our results show that the establishment of SEZs in China lowers SEZ firms' air pollution by at least 13%. Incumbents play the major role in generating this effect. Surrounding non-SEZ firms' emissions also decrease through spillover effects. We also employ the boundary discontinuity difference-in-differences (BD-DID) approach to tackle the endogeneity problem. Our results are robust when focusing on SEZs whose boundaries are more exogenous to local firms. SEZs' export promotion, innovation stimulation, environmental regulation and public abatement facilities potentially contribute to these effects.

本文利用微观层面的数据,考察了经济特区对中国企业污染排放的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在中国设立经济特区使经济特区企业的空气污染至少降低了13%。在职者在产生这种效应方面发挥了主要作用。周边非经济特区企业的排放也通过溢出效应而减少。我们还采用边界不连续差中差(BD-DID)方法来解决内质性问题。当我们关注经济特区的边界对当地企业的外生影响更大时,我们的结果是稳健的。经济特区的出口促进、创新刺激、环境监管和公共减排设施可能有助于这些影响。
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引用次数: 0
Attack on Climate: The Persistent Effects of Authoritarianism on Climate Policy Equilibria 对气候的攻击:威权主义对气候政策平衡的持续影响
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-08 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12446
Vlad Surdea-Hernea

In this paper, I examine whether exposure to authoritarian rule, which often focuses on preventing the emergence of pro-environmental groups that might threaten regime stability, persists after regime collapse and the onset of democratisation. Empirically, I exploit the post-World War II division of Germany into two states, one of which became a liberal democracy and the other a Soviet-style autocracy, in a geographic regression discontinuity design. I show that districts from the former East have lower climate policy equilibrium levels, which means that more climate-ambitious political parties are less likely to receive strong electoral support. Crucially, these effects are independent of East Germans' preferences over other political conflicts, suggesting that authoritarian rule had a direct and persistent effect on environmental attitudes. Moreover, I show that the authoritarian legacy also manifests itself in increased polarisation over climate change policies, which, combined with lower demand for such measures, makes the former East Germany a breeding ground for climate-sceptical political parties.

在本文中,我研究了威权统治是否在政权崩溃和民主化开始后持续存在。威权统治通常侧重于防止可能威胁政权稳定的亲环境团体的出现。根据经验,我利用了二战后德国分裂为两个国家的情况,其中一个成为自由民主国家,另一个成为苏联式的专制国家,这是一种地理回归不连续设计。我表明,来自前东部地区的地区气候政策均衡水平较低,这意味着更具气候雄心的政党不太可能获得强有力的选举支持。至关重要的是,这些影响与东德人对其他政治冲突的偏好无关,这表明威权统治对环境态度有直接而持久的影响。此外,我还指出,威权主义的遗产还体现在气候变化政策上日益加剧的两极分化上,再加上对此类措施的需求下降,使得前东德成为气候怀疑主义政党的滋生地。
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引用次数: 0
Capital market distortions and skills demand in a transitional economy: The case of Vietnam 转型经济中的资本市场扭曲和技能需求:以越南为例
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12444
Diep Phan, Ian Coxhead

We model and investigate differences in factor demand by private and state-owned enterprises in Vietnam, an economy in transition, to market-driven growth. We postulate that state firms, who have privileged access to financial capital and face lower borrowing costs, choose technologies that are capital intensive and demand more skilled labour, a complementary input, while private firms rely on low-technology methods and less-skilled labour. Propositions generated by the model are supported by analysis using data from Vietnam's enterprise census. Because the private sector is by far the larger employer, a more level capital market playing field would likely raise aggregate demand for skills, thereby strengthening incentives to invest in higher education.

我们建立模型并调查越南(一个转型经济体)私营和国有企业要素需求的差异,以市场驱动的增长。我们假设国有企业拥有获得金融资本的特权,面临较低的借贷成本,他们选择资本密集型技术,需要更多的熟练劳动力,这是一种互补投入,而私营企业则依赖于低技术方法和低技能劳动力。模型生成的命题得到了越南企业普查数据分析的支持。由于私营部门是迄今为止最大的雇主,一个更公平的资本市场竞争环境可能会提高对技能的总需求,从而加强对高等教育投资的激励。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Economics of Transition and Institutional Change
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