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Vaccine Choice, Trust in Institutions, and the Intention to Get Vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2: Evidence from an Online Experiment 疫苗选择、对机构的信任和接种SARS-CoV-2疫苗的意愿:来自在线实验的证据
Pub Date : 2022-04-14 DOI: 10.30636/jbpa.51.275
N. Aoki
Amidst the global struggle to achieve herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2, this study investigates whether the number of vaccine options (the size of the choice set) predicts the public’s intention to get vaccinated, and whether this effect depends on their trust in institutions – a system in which a collection of actors – from scientists and vaccine developers to public servants and front-line health workers – is working to fight the pandemic and to develop and approve vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 and deliver them to the public. Using an online experiment conducted in Japan (N = 600), the study tested whether choice set sizes of 1, 2, and 4 make a difference in the intention to get vaccinated. The study found that the intention was higher when the subjects were given two vaccine options to choose from, rather than offered a single vaccine, when trust was low, but this effect was negative when the subject trusted institutions highly. The study did not find strong evidence to support the effect of presenting a choice set of four. Based on these findings, this study offers nuanced suggestions for vaccine policy.
在全球努力实现对SARS-CoV-2的群体免疫之际,本研究调查了疫苗选择的数量(选择集的大小)是否预测了公众接种疫苗的意愿,以及这种效果是否取决于他们对机构的信任——在这个系统中,从科学家和疫苗开发人员到公务员和一线卫生工作者等一群行为者正在努力抗击疫情,开发和批准针对SARS-CoV-2的疫苗并将其交付给公众。通过在日本进行的一项在线实验(N = 600),该研究测试了1、2和4的选择集大小是否会对接种疫苗的意愿产生影响。研究发现,在信任度较低的情况下,当受试者从两种疫苗中进行选择时,而不是提供单一疫苗时,这种意愿更高,但当受试者高度信任机构时,这种影响是负面的。这项研究没有找到强有力的证据来支持四种选择的效果。基于这些发现,本研究为疫苗政策提供了细致入微的建议。
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引用次数: 0
What is Behavioral in Policy Studies? 什么是政策研究中的行为?
Pub Date : 2022-04-14 DOI: 10.30636/jbpa.51.292
Michael Howlett, Ching Leong
The recent behavioral turn among economic, administrative and other scholars has resulted in a new way of thinking about policy sciences which emphasizes behavioural insights and the need for greater research into this facet of policy-making. While most early researchers had aspired to the hallmarks of social science, with theoretical modelling on the assumption of microeconomic utility, many now have come to accept that this kind of rationality may be in short supply in practice and that more study of norms, irrationalities and collective action is required. This new focus has led to a behavioural turn in policy theory and practice. Policy design, in particular, now addresses a much wider range of policy tools and is no longer as circumscribed by a priori adherence to utilitarian assumptions about policy behavior as it was in the past. At the same time however, this turn presents new challenges including the irreducibility of incentives for behavior to a single utilitarian currency. We argue that the policy sciences still need a more serious consideration of non-economic incentives, if they are to move away from the traditional utilitarianism which has coloured findings in the discipline for decades.
最近经济、行政和其他学者的行为转向导致了对政策科学的一种新的思考方式,强调行为洞察力和对决策的这一方面进行更多研究的必要性。虽然大多数早期的研究人员都渴望获得社会科学的标志,在微观经济效用假设的基础上建立理论模型,但现在许多人已经开始接受这种理性在实践中可能供不应求,需要更多地研究规范、非理性和集体行动。这种新的关注点导致了政策理论和实践中的行为转向。尤其是政策设计,现在涉及范围更广的政策工具,不再像过去那样受制于对政策行为的功利主义假设的先验坚持。然而,与此同时,这种转变提出了新的挑战,包括对单一功利货币的行为激励的不可约性。我们认为,如果政策科学要摆脱几十年来影响该学科研究结果的传统功利主义,它们仍然需要更认真地考虑非经济激励。
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引用次数: 0
Disentangling the perceived performance effects of publicness and bureaucratic structure: A survey-experiment 公共性与官僚结构的绩效感知效应:一项调查实验
Pub Date : 2021-12-27 DOI: 10.30636/jbpa.42.171
Petra E A van den Bekerom, Joris van der Voet
Recent studies have examined whether, all else equal, there is a general tendency among citizens to perceive public service providers as lower performing than their private counterparts. As public organizations are commonly stereotyped as “bureaucracies”, it is unknown whether the negative image of public organizations is caused by their publicness or by their structural bureaucratic characteristics. This article makes a novel contribution to this literature by disentangling these two variables, and examines to what extent the proclaimed negative effect of publicness on citizens’ performance perceptions is dependent on citizens’ perceptions regarding the bureaucratic structure of public organizations. This is investigated through a survey-experiment conducted among 422 Dutch undergraduate students in public administration. The main findings of the study are that we find no evidence for direct negative effects of publicness, and that the bureaucratic structure of the organization positively affects the degree in which citizens perceive public organizations to be equitable and responsive. These findings suggest that the relationship between publicness and perceived performance is more situational than is assumed in prior studies.
最近的研究调查了在其他条件相同的情况下,公民是否普遍倾向于认为公共服务提供者比私人服务提供者表现更差。由于公共组织通常被定型为“官僚机构”,因此不知道公共组织的负面形象是由于其公共性还是由于其结构官僚主义特征造成的。本文通过解开这两个变量,对这一文献做出了新颖的贡献,并研究了公共性对公民绩效感知的负面影响在多大程度上取决于公民对公共组织官僚结构的感知。这是通过对422名荷兰公共管理本科学生进行的调查实验来调查的。本研究的主要发现是,我们没有发现公共性直接负面影响的证据,组织的官僚结构积极影响公民认为公共组织公平和响应的程度。这些发现表明,公开和绩效感知之间的关系比之前的研究中假设的更加情境化。
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引用次数: 0
Caseload, time-pressure and discrimination 案件数量、时间压力和歧视
Pub Date : 2021-12-27 DOI: 10.30636/jbpa.42.271
Jonas Larsson Taghizadeh
Street-level bureaucrats are assumed to use discriminatory practices against clients to handle high workloads and psychological exhaustion. However, empirical research on the relationships between caseloads, time pressure and discrimination is limited. This article is one of the first to study this topic using a large correspondence experiment that captures actual real-life discriminatory behaviour. Swedish school principals were randomly contacted via email by parents with Arabic- or Swedish-sounding names and with low-SES and high-SES professions who were interested in placing their children at the school. The principals’ actual caseloads and perceived time pressure were captured using both registry and survey data. The results reveal few robust effects; however, we see a slight tendency in the results where principals who have more time for e-mail correspondence may be less likely to discriminate low-SES parents in the e-mail replies.
人们认为,基层官僚会对客户采取歧视性做法,以应对高工作量和心理疲惫。然而,关于案件量、时间压力和歧视之间关系的实证研究有限。这篇文章是第一批使用大型对应实验来研究这一主题的文章之一,该实验捕捉了现实生活中的歧视行为。瑞典学校的校长们随机收到了一些父母的电子邮件,这些父母的名字听起来像阿拉伯语或瑞典语,他们的职业是社会经济地位低或社会经济地位高,他们有意让自己的孩子进入这所学校。使用注册表和调查数据捕获了委托人的实际工作量和感知的时间压力。结果显示很少有稳健效应;然而,我们在结果中看到一个轻微的趋势,即有更多时间进行电子邮件通信的校长可能不太可能在电子邮件回复中歧视低经济地位的父母。
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引用次数: 0
Tangible information and charitable giving: When do nonprofit overhead costs matter? 有形信息和慈善捐赠:非营利组织的间接成本什么时候重要?
Pub Date : 2021-11-15 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.254
Heng Qu, J. L. Daniel
Nonprofit organizations in the U.S. have been under the pressure to demonstrate their “worthiness” by minimizing overhead costs. Prior experiment studies find that donors respond negatively to high overhead costs when overhead information is highlighted. In reality, donors receive all sorts of information about nonprofit organizations from various channels. While high overhead has been found to reduce donors’ perceived impact and donations, providing other types of tangible information can increase charitable giving by enhancing donors’ perceived impact. When other types of information are available, to what degree overhead aversion still exists? We use two online survey experiments to examine how information on overhead costs and donation use affect giving decisions in a single-organization and two-organization evaluation setting. We found that only a small proportion of people demonstrated overhead aversion when presented with a single organization. There was stronger evidence of overhead aversion when participants were asked to compare and choose between two organizations. Nonetheless, providing tangible information about what donations can buy mitigated overhead aversion in both settings. This study contributes to the growing experimental research on the relationship between overhead ratios and charitable giving, and provides practical insights for nonprofits hoping to ameliorate overhead aversion and increase donation support.
美国的非营利组织一直面临着通过最小化间接成本来证明自己“价值”的压力。先前的实验研究发现,当间接费用信息被强调时,捐助者对高间接费用的反应是消极的。在现实中,捐赠者从各种渠道获得有关非营利组织的各种信息。虽然高管理费用被发现会降低捐赠者的感知影响和捐赠,但提供其他类型的有形信息可以通过增强捐赠者的感知影响来增加慈善捐赠。当其他类型的信息是可用的,到什么程度的开销厌恶仍然存在?我们使用两个在线调查实验来检验管理费用和捐赠使用信息如何影响单组织和双组织评估设置中的捐赠决策。我们发现,只有一小部分人在面对一个单一的组织时表现出了头顶上的厌恶。当参与者被要求在两个组织之间进行比较和选择时,有更强的证据表明他们对头顶厌恶。尽管如此,在这两种情况下,提供有关捐款能买到什么的有形信息,减轻了对开销的厌恶。本研究有助于对管理费用比率与慈善捐赠关系的实验研究,并为希望改善管理费用厌恶和增加捐赠支持的非营利组织提供实践见解。
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引用次数: 1
Undergraduate student role models: Reinforcing the higher education message? 大学生的榜样:强化高等教育的信息?
Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.252
Michael Kerrigan, Grace Harvey
This study draws upon previous research to establish if ‘low cost, high volume’ university outreach interventions change subsequent application behavour. The results of two distinct but related randomised controlled trials with two-armed designs (RCT 1, n=2,199; RCT 2, n=1,166) compared application outcomes between recipients and non-recipients of messages from existing undergraduates. The research sought to determine if student role model messaging reinforced prior exposure to the University outreach programme and thereby influenced recipient behavour, in terms of applications and acceptances to that specific institution. The first trial found moderate statistical evidence that sending an email, written by and addressed from an existing undergraduate, to prospective applicants resulted in the opposite of the intended effect; reducing the rate of applications to the University. The second trial found no statistical evidence of any difference in application or acceptance rates amongst the treatment cohort, who received a personal letter in the post from two current undergraduate students, in comparison to the control group who received no correspondence. This reinforces the notion that there is no ‘one size fits all’ programme of widening participation interventions; successful ‘messaging’ is not necessarily transferrable, and can even backfire, given different characteristics of activity providers and recipient cohorts.
本研究借鉴了以往的研究,以确定“低成本、高容量”的大学外展干预是否会改变随后的申请行为。两项截然不同但相关的双臂随机对照试验的结果(RCT 1, n= 2199;RCT 2 (n= 1166)比较了接收和未接收来自现有本科生的信息的申请结果。这项研究试图确定学生的榜样信息是否加强了先前对大学外展计划的接触,从而影响了接受者的行为,就申请和接受该特定机构而言。第一项试验发现了适度的统计证据,即向潜在申请人发送一封由现有本科生撰写并由其发送的电子邮件会产生与预期效果相反的效果;降低了大学的申请率。第二次试验没有发现任何统计学证据表明,在接受治疗的队列中,他们收到了来自两名在读本科生的私人信件,与没有收到信件的对照组相比,他们的申请或接受率有任何差异。这强化了一种观念,即没有“放之四海而皆准”的扩大参与干预方案;考虑到活动提供者和接收者群体的不同特征,成功的“消息传递”不一定是可转移的,甚至可能适得其反。
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引用次数: 0
Putting out the ‘unwelcome mat:’ The Announced Public Charge Rule reduced safety net enrollment among exempt noncitizens 铺上“不受欢迎的垫子”:公布的“公共负担规则”(Public Charge Rule)减少了获得豁免的非美国公民参加社保的人数
Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.200
Jeremy T. Barofsky, Ariadna Vargas, Dinardo Rodriguez, Eva Matos, Anthony J Barrows
Government action shapes the perceived and actual costs of citizens’ interactions with the state. By manipulating these costs, policymakers can affect citizens’ willingness to engage with the state, strongly impacting short- and long-term wellbeing. In September 2018, the Trump administration announced its intention to change how an immigrant’s likelihood of becoming a “public charge” would be evaluated. Once adopted, the rule would penalize certain classes of noncitizens for using safety net programs, potentially jeopardizing their application for permanent residence. We hypothesize that this proposed change increased psychological and learning burdens for low-income immigrants well beyond those directly impacted by the rule. Specifically, we used difference-in-differences models to analyze whether the announcement reduced safety net use among two groups exempt from the rule’s provisions: any WIC enrollee and noncitizen SNAP enrollees that are already legal permanent residents, refugees, or asylees. Even though the WIC program was excluded from the proposed rule, we find reductions in overall WIC use after the announcement. In addition, we show that SNAP enrollment decreased differentially after the announcement for noncitizens, nearly all of whom were likely exempt from the rule.
政府行为决定了公民与国家互动的感知成本和实际成本。通过操纵这些成本,政策制定者可以影响公民与国家交往的意愿,从而强烈影响短期和长期福祉。2018年9月,特朗普政府宣布打算改变评估移民成为“公共负担”可能性的方式。一旦通过,该规定将惩罚某些类别的非公民使用安全网计划,可能会危及他们的永久居留申请。我们假设,这一提议的变化增加了低收入移民的心理和学习负担,远远超出了那些直接受该规则影响的人。具体而言,我们使用差异中的差异模型来分析该公告是否减少了免于该规则规定的两个群体的安全网使用:任何WIC登登者和已经是合法永久居民,难民或庇护者的非公民SNAP登登者。尽管WIC计划被排除在拟议规则之外,但我们发现在宣布后WIC的总体使用有所减少。此外,我们表明,在非公民宣布后,SNAP入学率有所下降,几乎所有人都可能不受该规则的约束。
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引用次数: 3
Exploring nonprofit dilemmas through a new lens: Introduction to the symposium on experimental and behavioral approaches in nonprofit and voluntary sector research 从新的视角探索非营利困境:非营利和志愿部门研究的实验和行为方法研讨会简介
Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.281
Mirae Kim, Kelly LeRoux, D. Mason
Experimental studies have just begun to diffuse slowly in nonprofit research, reflecting the general recognition that experimental studies can help nonprofit researchers overcome some limitations of the methods that have traditionally been used. This special issue includes four papers that consider the diversity of experimental research in nonprofit studies. First, a systematic literature review of experimental studies in fundraising provides a nice overview of how experimental studies have been adopted for nonprofit research. The other three articles in this symposium cover important topics that have garnered growing attention in the field of nonprofit management --promoting diversity, donor resistance to the overhead myth, and the role of nudging in crowdfunding donations. Taken together, the four articles in this symposium strengthen our understanding of how experimental approaches can address some of the most pressing questions for the nonprofit and voluntary sector. The studies covered here suggest nearly limitless potential applications of properly designed experimental studies to address unique nonprofit challenges. The symposium issue articles also help nonprofit researchers to shift the research inquiry to individuals to address nonprofit dilemmas through the behavioral lens. 
实验研究刚刚开始在非营利研究中缓慢扩散,这反映了人们普遍认识到实验研究可以帮助非营利研究人员克服传统方法的一些局限性。本期特刊包括四篇论文,这些论文考虑了非营利研究中实验研究的多样性。首先,对筹款实验研究的系统文献综述,为实验性研究如何被用于非营利研究提供了一个很好的概述。本次研讨会的另外三篇文章涵盖了在非营利组织管理领域引起越来越多关注的重要话题——促进多样性、捐赠者对管理费神话的抵制,以及在众筹捐赠中推动的作用。综上所述,本次研讨会的四篇文章加强了我们对实验性方法如何解决非营利和志愿部门一些最紧迫问题的理解。这里涵盖的研究表明,设计合理的实验研究几乎具有无限的应用潜力,可以解决独特的非营利挑战。研讨会发表的文章还帮助非营利研究人员将研究调查转移到个人身上,通过行为镜头解决非营利困境。
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引用次数: 1
Making sense of performance information on effectiveness, costs, and equality during the COVID-19 pandemic. The importance of reference points for citizens’ performance information use 了解COVID-19大流行期间有关有效性、成本和平等的绩效信息。参考点对公民绩效信息使用的重要性
Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.205
Maria Falk Mikkesen
This paper uses the COVID-19 pandemic as an extreme case to test whether reference points affect how citizens use performance information on effectiveness, cost, and equality. Drawing on the evaluability hypothesis, the paper argues that citizens are more likely to make decisions based on performance information on equality and disregard performance information on effectiveness and costs when no reference points are available to aid interpretation. The paper uses a pre-registered between-subject conjoint survey experiment on 2,025 Danish citizens to test expectations. Respondents were randomly drawn to rate either one fictive government strategy to combat the Coronavirus—with no opportunity to compare performance information between strategies—or two strategies—with the opportunity to compare performance information between strategies. The strategies varied on effectiveness (mortality rate), costs (overall economic costs) and equality (distribution of the economic costs and access to testing). Results show that when respondents are presented with one strategy, only performance information on equality affects ratings. Strategies with lower fatality and lower economic costs are thus not rated higher than strategies with higher fatality and higher economic costs holding other factors constant. In contrast, when respondents are presented with two strategies, performance information on mortality rate and economic cost plays a significant role for citizens’ ratings. Even during a high-information high salience crisis such as COVID-19, citizens are thus more likely to make decisions based on performance information on equality than effectiveness and cost when no ‘yardstick’ is available. Results imply that performance information on effectiveness and cost risk being drown out by other information easier to interpret if not presented with relevant reference points.
本文以2019冠状病毒病大流行为极端案例,检验参考点是否会影响公民如何使用有关有效性、成本和平等的绩效信息。根据可评估性假设,本文认为,当没有参考点可以帮助解释时,公民更有可能根据关于平等的绩效信息做出决策,而忽视关于有效性和成本的绩效信息。本文采用预先注册的主体间联合调查实验,对2025名丹麦公民进行了预期测试。受访者被随机抽取,要么对一项有效的政府抗击冠状病毒的战略进行评价——没有机会比较战略之间的绩效信息,要么对两项战略进行评价——有机会比较战略之间的绩效信息。这些战略在有效性(死亡率)、成本(总体经济成本)和平等性(经济成本的分配和获得检测的机会)方面各不相同。结果表明,当被调查者面对一种策略时,只有关于平等的绩效信息会影响评级。因此,在保持其他因素不变的情况下,具有较低死亡率和较低经济成本的战略的评级并不高于具有较高死亡率和较高经济成本的战略。相反,当被调查者面对两种策略时,关于死亡率和经济成本的绩效信息对公民的评级起着重要作用。因此,即使在COVID-19等信息高度突出的危机期间,在没有“标准”的情况下,公民也更有可能根据有关平等的绩效信息而不是有效性和成本做出决策。结果表明,如果没有提供相关参考点,有关有效性和成本风险的绩效信息将被其他更容易解释的信息所淹没。
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引用次数: 0
Everything hacked? What is the evidential value of the experimental public administration literature? 一切都砍吗?实验性公共行政文献的证据价值是什么?
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.30636/JBPA.42.239
D. Vogel, Chengxin Xu
The rise of behavioral public administration provides new perspectives – especially from a psychological point of view – to understand public administration theories and the growing interest in using experiments to enhance the internal validity of empirical studies. However, psychology and other social sciences are undergoing a replication crisis where experimental results often do not replicate. One reason for the limited replicability is the publication bias sparked by journals’ preference for significant effects and the resulting incentive to create significant results. This study employs a meta-analytical approach to examine the evidential value of experimental evidence in public administration. It uses the p-curve method to test whether this body of research is dominated by selectively reporting significant results. The analysis includes 172 statistically significant findings published in top public administration journals and shows that the distribution of p values of these findings is right-skewed. Such a distribution indicates that the experimental public administration research contains evidential value, which means it is not solely the result of selective reporting of significant results. Although the analysis shows a good sign, we discuss important practices to further strengthen the validity and reliability of experimental methods in public administration. 
行为公共行政的兴起为理解公共行政理论提供了新的视角,特别是从心理学的角度出发,而且人们对利用实验来增强实证研究的内部有效性的兴趣日益浓厚。然而,心理学和其他社会科学正在经历一场重复性危机,即实验结果往往不能被复制。可复制性有限的一个原因是期刊对显著效果的偏好以及由此产生的创造显著结果的动机所引发的发表偏倚。本研究采用元分析方法检视实验证据在公共行政研究中的证据价值。它使用p曲线方法来检验该研究主体是否被选择性地报告重要结果所主导。该分析包括了发表在顶级公共管理期刊上的172项具有统计意义的发现,并表明这些发现的p值分布是右偏的。这种分布表明实验性公共行政研究具有证据价值,这意味着它不仅仅是选择性报告重大结果的结果。虽然分析显示出良好的迹象,但我们讨论了进一步加强公共管理实验方法的有效性和可靠性的重要实践。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Behavioral Public Administration
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