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Detection and Prediction of Adverse and Anomalous Events in Medical Robots 医疗机器人不良异常事件的检测与预测
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.18998
Kai Liang, Feng Cao, Zhuofu Bai, Mark Renfrew, M. C. Cavusoglu, Andy Podgurski, Soumya Ray
Adverse and anomalous (A&A) events are a serious concern in medical robots. We describe a system that can rapidly detect such events and predict their occurrence. As part of this system, we describe simulation, data collection and user interface tools we build for a robot for small animal biopsies. The data we collect consists of both the hardware state of the robot and variables in the software controller. We use this data to train dynamic Bayesian network models of the joint hardware-software state-space dynamics of the robot. Our empirical evaluation shows that (i) our models can accurately model normal behavior of the robot, (ii) they can rapidly detect anomalous behavior once it starts, (iii) they can accurately predict a future A&A event within a time window of it starting and (iv) the use of additional software variables beyond the hardware state of the robot is important in being able to detect and predict certain kinds of events.
不良和异常(A&A)事件是医疗机器人的一个严重问题。我们描述了一个可以快速检测此类事件并预测其发生的系统。作为该系统的一部分,我们描述了我们为小动物活检机器人构建的模拟,数据收集和用户界面工具。我们收集的数据包括机器人的硬件状态和软件控制器中的变量。我们使用这些数据来训练机器人的软硬件联合状态空间动力学的动态贝叶斯网络模型。我们的经验评估表明:(i)我们的模型可以准确地模拟机器人的正常行为,(ii)它们可以快速检测异常行为,(iii)它们可以在开始的时间窗口内准确预测未来的A&A事件,以及(iv)使用机器人硬件状态之外的附加软件变量对于能够检测和预测某些类型的事件非常重要。
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引用次数: 3
Scalable Randomized Patrolling for Securing Rapid Transit Networks 保障快速交通网络安全的可扩展随机巡逻
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.19002
Pradeep Varakantham, H. Lau, Z. Yuan
Mass Rapid Transit using rail is a popular mode of transport employed by millions of people in many urban cities across the world. Typically, these networks are massive, used by many and thus, can be a soft target for criminals. In this paper, we consider the problem of scheduling randomised patrols for improving security of such rail networks. Similar to existing work in randomised patrols for protecting critical infrastructure, we also employ Stackelberg Games to represent the problem. In solving the Stackelberg games for massive rail networks, we make two key contributions. Firstly, we provide an approach called RaPtoR for computing randomized strategies in patrol teams, which guarantees (i) Strong Stackelberg equilibrium (SSE); and (ii) Optimality in terms of distance traveled by the patrol teams for specific constraints on schedules. Secondly, we demonstrate RaPtoR on a real world data set corresponding to the rail network in Singapore. Furthermore, we also show that the algorithm scales easily to large rail networks while providing SSE randomized strategies.
使用轨道的快速轨道交通是世界上许多城市中数百万人使用的一种流行的交通方式。通常,这些网络规模庞大,被许多人使用,因此可能成为犯罪分子的软目标。在本文中,我们考虑了调度随机巡逻的问题,以提高这类铁路网络的安全性。与现有的保护关键基础设施的随机巡逻工作类似,我们也使用Stackelberg Games来代表这个问题。在解决大型铁路网络的Stackelberg博弈时,我们做出了两个关键贡献。首先,我们提供了一种称为RaPtoR的方法来计算巡逻队的随机策略,它保证了(i)强Stackelberg均衡(SSE);(二)根据时间表的具体限制,尽量使巡逻队的行进距离达到最佳。其次,我们在与新加坡铁路网络相对应的真实世界数据集上演示了RaPtoR。此外,我们还表明该算法在提供SSE随机化策略的同时很容易扩展到大型铁路网络。
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引用次数: 46
USI Answers: Natural Language Question Answering Over (Semi-) Structured Industry Data USI回答:自然语言问题回答(半)结构化的行业数据
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.18985
Ulli Waltinger, Dan G. Tecuci, Mihaela Olteanu, Vlad Mocanu, S. Sullivan
This paper describes USI Answers a natural language question answering system for semi-structured industry data. The paper reports on the progress towards the goal of offering easy access to enterprise data to a large number of business users, most of whom are not familiar with the specific syntax or semantics of the underlying data sources. Additional complications come from the nature of the data, which comes both as structured and unstructured. The proposed solution allows users to express questions in natural language, makes apparent the system’s interpretation of the query, and allows easy query adjustment and reformulation. The application is in use by more than 1500 users from Siemens Energy. We evaluate our approach on a data set consisting of fleet data.
本文描述了一个半结构化工业数据的自然语言问答系统USI Answers。本文报告了向大量业务用户提供对企业数据的方便访问这一目标所取得的进展,其中大多数业务用户不熟悉底层数据源的特定语法或语义。额外的复杂性来自于数据的性质,即结构化和非结构化。提出的解决方案允许用户用自然语言表达问题,使系统对查询的解释变得明显,并且允许轻松地调整和重新制定查询。该应用程序已被西门子能源公司的1500多名用户使用。我们在一个由车队数据组成的数据集上评估我们的方法。
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引用次数: 13
The Deployment of a Constraint-Based Dental School Timetabling System 基于约束的牙科学校排课系统的部署
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.18983
Hadrien Cambazard, B. O’Sullivan, H. Simonis
We describe a constraint-based timetabling system that was developed for the dental school based at Cork University Hospital in Ireland. This system has been deployed since 2010. Dental school timetabling differs from other university course scheduling in that certain clinic sessions can be used by multiple courses at the same time, provided a limit on room capacity is satisfied. Starting from a constraint programming solution using a web interface, we have moved to a mixed integer programming-based solver to deal with multiple objective functions, along with a dedicated Java application, which provides a rich user interface. Solutions for the years 2010, 2011 and 2012 have been used in the dental school, replacing a manual timetabling process, which could no longer cope with increasing student numbers and resulting resource bottlenecks. The use of the automated system allowed the dental school to increase student numbers to the maximum possible given the available resources. It also provides the school with a valuable “what-if” analysis tool.
我们描述了一个基于约束的时间表系统,该系统是为爱尔兰科克大学医院牙科学校开发的。该系统自2010年开始部署。牙科学校的时间表不同于其他大学的课程安排,因为某些诊所课程可以同时被多个课程使用,前提是满足房间容量的限制。从使用web界面的约束编程解决方案开始,我们已经转移到一个基于混合整数编程的求解器来处理多个目标函数,以及一个专用的Java应用程序,它提供了丰富的用户界面。牙科学校使用了2010年、2011年和2012年的解决方案,取代了人工排课流程,因为人工排课流程无法再应对不断增加的学生人数和由此产生的资源瓶颈。自动化系统的使用使牙科学校能够在现有资源的情况下最大限度地增加学生人数。它还为学校提供了一个有价值的“假设”分析工具。
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引用次数: 2
Policies to Optimize Work Performance and Thermal Safety in Exercising Humans 优化人体运动中的工作表现和热安全的政策
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.18990
M. Buller, Eric Sodomka, W. Tharion, C. Clements, R. Hoyt, O. Jenkins
Emergency workers engaged in strenuous work in hot environments risk overheating and mission failure. We describe a real-time application that would reduce these risks in terms of a real-time thermal-work strain index (SI) estimator; and a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to compute optimal work rate policies. We examined the thermo-physiological responses of 14 experienced U.S. Army Ranger students (26±4 years 1.77±0.04 m; 78.3±7.3 kg) who participated in a strenuous 8 mile time-restricted pass/fail road march conducted under thermally stressful conditions. A thermoregulatory model was used to derive SI state transition probabilities and model the students’ observed and policy driven movement rates. We found that policy end-state SI was significantly lower than SI when modeled using the student’s own movement rates (3.94±0.88 vs. 5.62±1.20, P<0.001). We also found an inverse relationship between our policy impact and maximum SI (r=0.64 P<0.05). These results suggest that modeling real world missions as an MDP can provide optimal work rate policies that improve thermal safety and allow students to finish in a “fresher” state. Ultimately, SI state estimation and MDP models incorporated into wearable physiological monitoring systems could provide real-time work rate guidance, thus minimizing thermal work-strain while maximizing the likelihood of accomplishing mission tasks.
紧急救援人员在炎热的环境中从事艰苦的工作,有过热和任务失败的危险。我们描述了一种实时应用程序,可以根据实时热工作应变指数(SI)估计器来降低这些风险;并利用马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)计算最优工作效率策略。我们检测了14名经验丰富的美国陆军游骑兵学生的热生理反应(26±4年1.77±0.04米;78.3±7.3公斤),他们参加了在热应激条件下进行的8英里有时间限制的合格/不合格公路行军。使用体温调节模型推导SI状态转移概率,并模拟学生观察到的和政策驱动的运动速率。我们发现,当使用学生自己的运动速率建模时,政策最终状态SI显著低于SI(3.94±0.88比5.62±1.20,P<0.001)。我们还发现我们的政策影响与最大SI之间存在负相关关系(r=0.64 P<0.05)。这些结果表明,将真实世界的任务建模为MDP可以提供最佳的工作率政策,从而提高热安全性,并使学生以“更新鲜”的状态完成任务。最终,将SI状态估计和MDP模型结合到可穿戴生理监测系统中,可以提供实时的工作速率指导,从而最大限度地减少热工作应变,同时最大限度地提高完成任务任务的可能性。
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引用次数: 4
Early Prediction of Coronary Artery Calcification Levels Using Machine Learning 利用机器学习早期预测冠状动脉钙化水平
Pub Date : 2013-07-14 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v27i2.19001
Sriraam Natarajan, K. Kersting, E. Ip, D. Jacobs, J. Carr
Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major cause of death worldwide. In the U.S. CHD is responsible for approximated 1 in every 6 deaths with a coronary event occurring every 25 seconds and about 1 death every minute based on data current to 2007. Although a multitude of cardiovascular risks factors have been identified, CHD actually reflects complex interactions of these factors over time. Today’s datasets from longitudinal studies offer great promise to uncover these interactions but also pose enormous analytical problems due to typically large amount of both discrete and continuous measurements and risk factors with potential long-range interactions over time. Our investigation demonstrates that a statistical relational analysis of longitudinal data can easily uncover complex interactions of risks factors and actually predict future coronary artery calcification (CAC) levels — an indicator of the risk of CHD present subclinically in an individual — significantly better than traditional non-relational approaches. The uncovered long-range interactions between risk factors conform to existing clinical knowledge and are successful in identifying risk factors at the early adult stage. This may contribute to monitoring young adults via smartphones and to designing patient-specific treatments in young adults to mitigate their risk later.
冠心病(CHD)是世界范围内的一个主要死亡原因。在美国,每6例死亡中就有1例与冠心病有关,每25秒发生一次冠状动脉事件,根据2007年的数据,每分钟约有1例死亡。虽然已经确定了许多心血管危险因素,但冠心病实际上反映了这些因素随时间的复杂相互作用。如今,来自纵向研究的数据集为揭示这些相互作用提供了巨大的希望,但由于通常大量的离散和连续测量以及随时间推移潜在的长期相互作用的风险因素,也带来了巨大的分析问题。我们的研究表明,纵向数据的统计相关性分析可以很容易地揭示危险因素的复杂相互作用,并实际预测未来冠状动脉钙化(CAC)水平-个体亚临床冠心病风险的指标-明显优于传统的非相关性方法。发现的风险因素之间的长期相互作用符合现有的临床知识,并成功地识别了早期成人阶段的风险因素。这可能有助于通过智能手机监测年轻人,并为年轻人设计针对患者的治疗方法,以减轻他们以后的风险。
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引用次数: 11
Mechanix: A Sketch-Based Tutoring System for Statics Courses 力学:一个基于草图的静力学课程辅导系统
Pub Date : 2012-07-22 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v26i2.18966
Stephanie Valentine, Francisco Vides, G. Lucchese, D. Turner, Hong-hoe Kim, Wenzhe Li, J. Linsey, T. Hammond
Introductory engineering courses within large universities often have annual enrollments which can reach up to a thousand students. It is very challenging to achieve differentiated instruction in classrooms with class sizes and student diversity of such great magnitude. Professors can only assess whether students have mastered a concept by using multiple choice questions, while detailed homework assignments, such as planar truss diagrams, are rarely assigned because professors and teaching assistants would be too overburdened with grading to return assignments with valuable feedback in a timely manner. In this paper, we introduce Mechanix, a sketch-based deployed tutoring system for engineering students enrolled in statics courses. Our system not only allows students to enter planar truss and free body diagrams into the system just as they would with pencil and paper, but our system checks the student’s work against a hand-drawn answer entered by the instructor, and then returns immediate and detailed feedback to the student. Students are allowed to correct any errors in their work and resubmit until the entire content is correct and thus all of the objectives are learned. Since Mechanix facilitates the grading and feedback processes, instructors are now able to assign free response questions, increasing teacher’s knowledge of student comprehension. Furthermore, the iterative correction process allows students to learn during a test, rather than simply displaying memorized information.
大型大学的入门工程课程每年的入学人数通常可达1000人。在班级规模和学生多样性如此巨大的课堂上实现差异化教学是非常具有挑战性的。教授只能通过选择题来评估学生是否掌握了一个概念,而详细的家庭作业,如平面桁架图,很少被布置,因为教授和助教的评分负担太重,无法及时反馈有价值的反馈。在本文中,我们介绍了Mechanix,一个基于草图的部署辅导系统,用于工程学生的静力学课程。我们的系统不仅允许学生在系统中输入平面桁架和自由体图,就像他们用铅笔和纸一样,而且我们的系统将学生的工作与教师输入的手绘答案进行对照,然后向学生返回即时和详细的反馈。学生可以改正作业中的任何错误,并重新提交,直到全部内容正确,从而了解了所有的目标。由于Mechanix促进了评分和反馈过程,教师现在可以分配自由回答问题,增加教师对学生理解的了解。此外,反复修正的过程允许学生在考试中学习,而不是简单地显示记忆的信息。
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引用次数: 53
Multi-Agent Simulation of En-Route Human Air-Traffic Controller 空中交通管制员的多智能体仿真
Pub Date : 2012-07-22 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v26i2.18978
D. Sislák, P. Volf, M. Pechoucek, Christopher T. Cannon, Duc N. Nguyen, W. Regli
The Next-Generation Transportation program coordinates the evolution and transformation of the current air-traffic management (ATM) system for the National Airspace System (NAS). Currently the NAS has a limited capacity and cannot handle the increasing future air traffic demands. However, before newly proposed ATM concepts are deployed they must be rigorously evaluated under realistic conditions. This paper presents AGENTFLY, an emerging NAS-wide highfidelity multi-agent ATM simulator with precise emulation of the human controller operation workload model and human-system interaction. The simulator is validated using a flight scenario developed by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration that is based on real data. We present preliminary results focusing on the accuracy of the simulated controllers within AGENTFLY.
下一代运输计划协调国家空域系统(NAS)当前空中交通管理(ATM)系统的发展和转型。目前,NAS的容量有限,无法处理未来日益增长的空中交通需求。然而,在部署新提出的ATM概念之前,必须在现实条件下严格评估它们。AGENTFLY是一种新兴的全域高保真多智能体ATM仿真器,能够精确仿真人控工作负荷模型和人机交互。该模拟器使用美国联邦航空管理局基于真实数据开发的飞行场景进行验证。我们给出了初步的结果,重点是在AGENTFLY中模拟控制器的准确性。
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引用次数: 2
TRUSTS: Scheduling Randomized Patrols for Fare Inspection in Transit Systems 信任:调度随机巡逻票价检查在交通系统
Pub Date : 2012-07-22 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v26i2.18975
Zhengyu Yin, A. Jiang, Milind Tambe, Christopher Kiekintveld, Kevin Leyton-Brown, T. Sandholm, John P. Sullivan
In proof-of-payment transit systems, passengers are legally required to purchase tickets before entering but are not physically forced to do so. Instead, patrol units move about the transit system, inspecting the tickets of passengers, who face fines if caught fare evading. The deterrence of such fines depends on the unpredictability and effectiveness of the patrols. In this paper, we present TRUSTS, an application for scheduling randomized patrols for fare inspection in transit systems. TRUSTS models the problem of computing patrol strategies as a leader-follower Stackelberg game where the objective is to deter fare evasion and hence maximize revenue. This problem differs from previously studied Stackelberg settings in that the leader strategies must satisfy massive temporal and spatial constraints; moreover, unlike in these counterterrorism-motivated Stackelberg applications, a large fraction of the ridership might realistically consider fare evasion, and so the number of followers is potentially huge. A third key novelty in our work is deliberate simplification of leader strategies to make patrols easier to be executed. We present an efficient algorithm for computing such patrol strategies and present experimental results using real-world ridership data from the Los Angeles Metro Rail system. The Los Angeles County Sheriff’s department has begun trials of TRUSTS.
在支付证明的运输系统中,法律要求乘客在进入前购买车票,但并不强迫他们这样做。取而代之的是,巡逻部队在交通系统中巡视,检查乘客的车票,如果被发现逃票,他们将面临罚款。这种罚款的威慑力取决于巡逻的不可预测性和有效性。在这篇论文中,我们提出了一种用于在交通系统中安排随机巡逻以检查票价的方法。trust将计算巡逻策略的问题建模为领导者-追随者Stackelberg博弈,其目标是阻止逃票,从而使收益最大化。该问题不同于前人研究的Stackelberg设置,因为领导者策略必须满足大量的时间和空间约束;此外,与这些以反恐为动机的Stackelberg应用程序不同,很大一部分乘客可能会考虑逃票,因此追随者的数量可能会很大。我们工作中的第三个关键创新点是有意简化领导策略,使巡逻更容易执行。我们提出了一种有效的算法来计算这种巡逻策略,并使用洛杉矶地铁系统的真实客流量数据给出了实验结果。洛杉矶县治安部门已经开始对信托基金进行试验。
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引用次数: 192
Integrating Learner Help Requests Using a POMDP in an Adaptive Training System 在自适应训练系统中使用POMDP整合学习者帮助请求
Pub Date : 2012-07-22 DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v26i2.18971
J. Folsom-Kovarik, G. Sukthankar, S. Schatz
This paper describes the development and empirical testing of an intelligent tutoring system (ITS) with two emerging methodologies: (1) a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) for representing the learner model and (2) inquiry modeling, which informs the learner model with questions learners ask during instruction. POMDPs have been successfully applied to non-ITS domains but, until recently, have seemed intractable for large-scale intelligent tutoring challenges. New, ITS-specific representations leverage common regularities in intelligent tutoring to make a POMDP practical as a learner model. Inquiry modeling is a novel paradigm for informing learner models by observing rich features of learners’ help requests such as categorical content, context, and timing. The experiment described in this paper demonstrates that inquiry modeling and planning with POMDPs can yield significant and substantive learning improvements in a realistic, scenario-based training task.
本文描述了智能辅导系统(ITS)的开发和实证测试,采用了两种新兴方法:(1)部分可观察的马尔可夫决策过程(POMDP)来表示学习者模型;(2)查询建模,它将学习者在教学过程中提出的问题告知学习者模型。pomdp已成功应用于非its领域,但直到最近,对于大规模智能辅导挑战似乎难以解决。新的,特定于its的表示利用智能辅导的共同规律,使POMDP作为学习者模型实用。探究建模是一种通过观察学习者帮助请求的丰富特征(如分类内容、上下文和时间)来告知学习者模型的新范式。本文中描述的实验表明,使用pomdp进行查询建模和规划可以在现实的、基于场景的训练任务中产生显著的、实质性的学习改进。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence
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