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Measuring the Returns to Investment in RD&E in the WA Grains Industry Using Equilibrium Displacement Modelling 用均衡位移模型衡量西澳粮食工业研发与改造投资回报
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.292474
Kuo Li, R. Kingwell, G. Griffith, B. Malcolm
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引用次数: 2
Financing Agricultural Value Chain RDE: An Alternative Approach with Examples from the Red Meat Industry 农业价值链RDE融资:以红肉行业为例的另一种途径
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.292473
S. Mounter, E. Fleming, G. Griffith
Agricultural RD&E managers have responded to the increased focus on value chains in food and agricultural product markets and most Australian agricultural RD&E corporations now have value chain programs embedded in their portfolios of funded projects. As community concerns have intensified within the social, environmental and public health spheres, the agricultural RD&E corporations also have started to invest some resources in areas of research which have externality implications. However, the assessment processes they use typically have not kept up with these changes, and some are questioning the basis of the current approaches when whole-of-chain and externality issues are important considerations. In this paper, the idea that agricultural value chain RD&E results in ‘chain goods’ is linked with Swann’s idea of a ‘club goods solution’ to research funding, to argue that a ‘chain goods solution’ can be a viable means of funding research activity that relates to agricultural value chains. Thus, members of a value chain need not rely solely on government to fund value chain RD&E. A set of criteria is suggested to determine who should fund RD&E activities in Australian agricultural value chains depending on the relative balance between expected private, chain and social benefits.
农业研发与开发经理对食品和农产品市场中价值链的日益关注做出了回应,大多数澳大利亚农业研发与开发公司现在在其资助项目组合中嵌入了价值链项目。由于社区在社会、环境和公共卫生领域的关切日益加剧,农业研究与开发公司也开始在具有外部性影响的研究领域投入一些资源。然而,他们通常使用的评估过程并没有跟上这些变化,当整个链条和外部性问题是重要的考虑因素时,一些人正在质疑当前方法的基础。在本文中,农业价值链研发与开发导致“链式产品”的想法与Swann关于研究资助的“俱乐部产品解决方案”的想法联系在一起,认为“链式产品解决方案”可以成为资助与农业价值链相关的研究活动的可行手段。因此,价值链的成员不需要完全依赖政府来资助价值链的研发和改造。本文提出了一套标准,根据预期的私人、链条和社会效益之间的相对平衡,来确定谁应该为澳大利亚农业价值链中的研发与创新活动提供资金。
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引用次数: 0
Updating and Recalibrating Equilibrium Displacement Models of the Australian Livestock Industries: Beef 更新和重新校准平衡位移模型的澳大利亚畜牧业:牛肉
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.285019
Yue Zhang, S. Mounter, G. Griffith
An existing equilibrium displacement model of the Australian beef industry was updated to enable the distribution of the total benefits from the adoption of new technology or promotion investments to be estimated across the beef value chain. Three hypothetical simulations were run to test the impact of recalibrating the model to the new initial equilibrium. The distribution of the gross benefits to the various industry sectors were found to be broadly similar to those reported in the original model. Cattle producers receive between 29 and 40 per cent of the potential gross benefits from the hypothetical investments, overseas consumers receive between 11 and 15 per cent, while domestic consumers receive between 37 and 47 per cent, depending on the scenario. Beef processors, feedlots and domestic retailers all receive much smaller shares of gross benefits, typically less than 5 per cent each. While the updated model provides a framework that reflects the current industry size and structure, the results are conditional on the specified price and quantity values, their underlying assumptions and calculations, and the parameter values used to represent industry responses to price changes.
更新了澳大利亚牛肉产业现有的均衡位移模型,使采用新技术或推广投资的总收益分配能够在整个牛肉价值链中进行估计。运行了三个假设的模拟来测试将模型重新校准到新的初始平衡的影响。各个工业部门的总收益分配情况与原来模型中报告的情况大致相似。养牛生产者从假设的投资中获得29%至40%的潜在总收益,海外消费者获得11%至15%,而国内消费者获得37%至47%,具体取决于情景。牛肉加工商、饲养场和国内零售商获得的总利润份额都要小得多,通常每家不到5%。虽然更新后的模型提供了一个反映当前行业规模和结构的框架,但结果取决于指定的价格和数量值、它们的基本假设和计算,以及用于表示行业对价格变化的响应的参数值。
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引用次数: 4
Taking Stock: Identifying the Growing Agricultural Service Sector in Australia 盘点:确定澳大利亚不断增长的农业服务部门
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.285016
L. Newsome, A. Sheridan
In this article we review the literature on the service sector relating to agricultural producers and agribusinesses. The review reveals a significant gap in the literature regarding the ‘professional agriculture services sector’. This sector comprises those services accessed by the broader business community, such as legal, financial and marketing services, as well as agriculture-specific professional services such as production benchmarking, information technology that supports farm management, land valuation, machinery services, education providers, agronomy, production benchmarking and farm succession planning facilitation. The identification of this sector provides a launching pad for understanding a hidden area of agricultural employment. Like the broader economy, pressures of global competition coupled with technological innovation, have created demand for professional rather than non-professional workers in the agriculture sector. Whilst official Australian data show employment in agriculture is declining, we argue that employment generated by this sector may be more widely captured in service sector statistics. The identification of the professional agriculture service sector enables a more accurate view of employment trends in agriculture and has application for businesses, government and education providers.
在这篇文章中,我们回顾了与农业生产者和农业综合企业有关的服务业文献。该评论揭示了关于“专业农业服务部门”的文献中的重大差距。该部门包括为更广泛的商界提供的服务,如法律、金融和营销服务,以及特定于农业的专业服务,如生产基准、支持农场管理的信息技术、土地估价、机械服务、教育提供者、农学、生产基准和促进农场继承规划。这一部门的确定为理解农业就业的一个隐藏领域提供了一个跳板。与更广泛的经济一样,全球竞争的压力加上技术创新,在农业部门创造了对专业工人而非非专业工人的需求。虽然澳大利亚官方数据显示农业就业人数正在下降,但我们认为,该部门创造的就业可能更广泛地反映在服务业统计数据中。对专业农业服务部门的识别可以更准确地了解农业的就业趋势,并适用于企业、政府和教育提供者。
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引用次数: 2
Specifying and Testing an Equilibrium Displacement Model of the Coconut Market in Sri Lanka 斯里兰卡椰子市场均衡位移模型的确定与检验
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2017-10-12 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.285015
Erandathie Pathiraka, G. Griffith, R. Farquharson, R. Faggian
The focus of this study is to develop an economic modelling framework for the coconut industry in Sri Lanka using the equilibrium displacement modelling approach. This is necessary for two main reasons. With the industry shifting from an export oriented industry to a domestic industry and coconut yield becoming highly variable due to climatic factors, a number of government interventions have been implemented according to market conditions. There are a few previous studies which have assessed the impact of these measures on individual industry sectors. However, there is no economic framework to undertake the assessment of various policies being used for the whole industry. In addition, the Sri Lankan coconut sector is likely to be significantly adversely effected by climate change and there are a number of possible adaptation options being considered, but again there is no framework to undertake an economic assessment of these options. In this study we develop and test an equilibrium displacement model of the Sri Lankan coconut industry that will then be available to analyse the economic impact of different climate and policy scenarios and the distribution of these impacts among the various stakeholders in the industry.
本研究的重点是利用平衡位移建模方法为斯里兰卡的椰子产业开发一个经济建模框架。这是必要的,主要有两个原因。随着该产业从出口导向型产业向内向型产业转变,以及气候因素导致椰子产量变化很大,政府已根据市场情况实施了一些干预措施。以前有一些研究评估了这些措施对个别工业部门的影响。然而,没有一个经济框架来评估整个行业所使用的各种政策。此外,斯里兰卡椰子产业可能会受到气候变化的严重不利影响,目前正在考虑一些可能的适应方案,但同样没有框架对这些方案进行经济评估。在本研究中,我们开发并测试了斯里兰卡椰子产业的平衡位移模型,该模型将用于分析不同气候和政策情景的经济影响,以及这些影响在该行业各利益相关者之间的分布。
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引用次数: 6
The Economic Impact of Imports on the Australian Pig Industry: Is it Time for the WTO’s Safeguard Measures? 2. Re-estimating the Productivity Commission’s Vector Autoregression and Inverse Demand Models 进口对澳大利亚养猪业的经济影响:是时候采取WTO保障措施了吗?2. 重新估计生产力委员会的向量自回归和反向需求模型
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285013
Meizal Popat, G. Griffith, S. Mounter
In its 2008 Inquiry report into the impact of imports on the Australian pig meat industry, the Productivity Commission (PC) concluded that the main reason for the declining profitability of pig farmers in Australia was the higher costs of feed in the domestic market. Movements of the Australian dollar were also found to favour increased imports of pig meat. Based on analyses conducted with data up to 2007, the PC was unable to justify the need for Australia to activate the safeguard measures prescribed under the World Trade Organization (WTO) rules in order to temporarily protect the local pig industry. In a preceding paper, using exactly the same methods but with a dataset updated to 2013, the authors found that domestic production, rather than import volumes or prices, has been affecting the saleyard price and that there was not a strong causal effect between import volume or unit values and domestic production or saleyard price. Thus, based on a straightforward updating of the PC’s models, the PC conclusions were confirmed: it is unlikely that a new case could be made for the application of the WTO safeguard measures to the Australian pig meat industry. However, there were a number of statistical problems with the PC models that were simply updated for the previous analysis. In this paper, the PC models are re-specified and re-estimated to overcome these statistical problems. However, the misspecifications do not lead to any different implications of the results.
生产力委员会(PC)在其2008年关于进口猪肉对澳大利亚猪肉行业影响的调查报告中得出结论,澳大利亚养猪户盈利能力下降的主要原因是国内市场饲料成本上升。澳元的变动也有利于猪肉进口的增加。根据对截至2007年的数据进行的分析,申诉委员会无法证明澳大利亚有必要启动世界贸易组织(WTO)规则规定的保障措施,以暂时保护本地养猪业。在之前的一篇论文中,作者使用了完全相同的方法,但使用了更新到2013年的数据集,发现国内产量,而不是进口量或价格,一直在影响着菜园价格,进口量或单位价值与国内产量或菜园价格之间没有很强的因果关系。因此,基于对常设委员会模型的直接更新,常设委员会的结论得到了证实:不太可能对澳大利亚猪肉产业实施世贸组织保障措施提出新的申诉。然而,PC模型存在一些统计问题,这些问题只是为了之前的分析而更新的。本文对PC模型进行了重新定义和重新估计,以克服这些统计问题。然而,错误的说明不会导致结果的任何不同含义。
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引用次数: 2
Improving sweetpotato marketing in Papua New Guinea: Results from a value chain analysis 改进巴布亚新几内亚的红薯营销:价值链分析的结果
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.262478
H. Chang, J. Spriggs, J. Anjen, Eleo Dowa, J. Kewa, Donald Hehona
Sweetpotato is the most important food crop in the Highlands of Papua New Guinea (PNG). In recent years, sweetpotato has become a cash crop for smallholder farmers driven by the need to generate income in a market economy. Marketing opportunities exist for Highland sweetpotato, especially in coastal markets, because of income growth and urbanisation. Despite this , long distance sweetpotato marketing has been problematic. The objective of this research was to identify socio - economic constraints to, and opportunities for, improving the marketing efficiency of the long distance sweetpotato value chain in PNG. The results from the value chain analysis suggested that although there was a demand for high quality Highland sweetpotato in coastal markets, the long distance sweetpotato value chain was underdeveloped . This was due to several constraints : lack of access to sup port services (credit , extension and market information); poor infrastructure (roads and the transport system and storage and market facilities) ; inadequate postharvest management ; lack of business skills , financial literacy and marketing planning ; unclear price signals; lack of trust among chain players , uncoordinated value chain activities; and declining demand. The main conclusion was that to transition from subsistence farming to semi - commercial/commercial farming, s mallholder farmers need to become more market - oriented and better equipped with business skills . Furthermore, they need to be prepared to change their current marketing and postharvest practices in order to supply high quality products to the right markets at competitive prices. Government also has a key role to play in terms of providing an appropriate enabling environment , including a reliable transport system , business development services and a locally appropriate pricing and grading system . This environment is necessary to support the effort of farmers in adopting improved marketing and postharvest practices.
甘薯是巴布亚新几内亚高地最重要的粮食作物。近年来,由于在市场经济中需要创造收入,甘薯已成为小农的一种经济作物。由于收入增长和城市化,高地甘薯存在营销机会,特别是在沿海市场。尽管如此,异地红薯营销一直存在问题。本研究的目的是确定社会经济限制和机会,以提高巴布亚新几内亚长距离甘薯价值链的营销效率。价值链分析结果表明,虽然沿海市场对优质高原甘薯有需求,但异地甘薯价值链不发达。这是由于若干限制因素造成的:无法获得支助服务(信贷、推广和市场信息);基础设施差(道路和运输系统以及仓储和市场设施);采收后管理不足;缺乏商业技能、金融知识和营销策划;价格信号不明确;产业链参与者之间缺乏信任,价值链活动不协调;需求下降。主要结论是,要从自给农业过渡到半商业/商业农业,大农户需要更加以市场为导向,并更好地掌握商业技能。此外,他们需要准备改变目前的销售和采收后做法,以便以具有竞争力的价格向适当的市场提供高质量的产品。政府在提供适当的有利环境方面也可发挥关键作用,包括可靠的运输系统、商业发展服务和适合当地的定价和分级制度。这种环境对于支持农民采取改进的销售和收获后做法的努力是必要的。
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引用次数: 3
Evaluating the consequences of imports on a local value chain: the case of Danish pig meat exports to the Australian market 评估进口对当地价值链的影响:以丹麦猪肉出口到澳大利亚市场为例
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2015-10-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.262476
K. Hamann, G. Griffith, S. Mounter
Imports of pig meat into Australia have grown rapidly in recent years and now total around 150 Kt pa (shipped weight). This is well over 300Kt in carcase weight terms, and makes up two - thirds of processed pig meat production and about half of domestic consumption. A recurring question is whether these trends have harmed the domestic pig industry and , if so, to the degree sufficient to warrant safeguard action under WTO regulations. While the Productivity Commission regularly examines the aggregate data to test this hypothesis, in this paper we investigate the value system that coordinates the imports of Danish pig meat into the Australian pig meat market, and we seek to identify which parameters impact this value system. We find that the Danish pig meat industry built its current position in the Australian market (about 40Kt pa, mainly middles for bacon) based on the following determinants of value: economies of scale in production, processing and logistics; uniform quality of the middles; high food-safety and veterinary standards ; the ability to supply a c ustomised product ”made to order”; and a long-term focus on the customer. Other conributing factors include Australians’ strong preference for ham and bacon which means that Danish suppliers can obtain higher prices in Australia for middles than they can elsewhere , and the recent strength of the $AU : the $AU/ Euro rate has fluctuated between 0.64 - 0.86 over recent years. Import prices set domestic prices for manufacturing type pig meat, and imported products are typically cheaper than domestically produced pig meat suitable for manufacturing. Given the latitude allowed by the arguably ineffective country - of - origin labelling laws, cost efficient manufacturers will use imported product. This has resulted in a consi derable degree of industry consolidation as well as a marked decline in the production of pigs more suitable for manufacturing pig meat in Australia. Those producers who are left have moved out of the processed market towards the fresh pork market and , to a lesser extent, towards export markets. We also examine one of the dominant value chains in this system and analyse how it achieved and maintains success.
近年来,澳大利亚的猪肉进口量增长迅速,目前总进口量约为150kt / pa(运输重量)。按胴体重量计算,这远远超过30万吨,占加工猪肉产量的三分之二,约占国内消费量的一半。一个反复出现的问题是,这些趋势是否损害了国内养猪业,如果是的话,其程度是否足以根据WTO规定采取保障措施。虽然生产力委员会定期检查汇总数据以检验这一假设,但在本文中,我们调查了协调丹麦猪肉进口到澳大利亚猪肉市场的价值体系,并试图确定哪些参数影响了这一价值体系。我们发现,丹麦猪肉产业目前在澳大利亚市场的地位(约40万吨/年,主要是培根的中间品)是基于以下价值决定因素:生产、加工和物流的规模经济;中间的均匀性;食品安全和兽医标准高;提供“订制”定制产品的能力;长期关注客户。其他因素包括澳大利亚人对火腿和培根的强烈偏好,这意味着丹麦供应商可以在澳大利亚获得比其他地方更高的中间价格,以及最近澳元的强势:澳元兑欧元汇率近年来在0.64 - 0.86之间波动。进口价格决定了制造型猪肉的国内价格,进口产品通常比适合制造型猪肉的国产猪肉便宜。考虑到被认为无效的原产国标签法所允许的自由度,具有成本效益的制造商将使用进口产品。这导致了相当程度的行业整合,以及更适合在澳大利亚生产猪肉的生猪产量的显著下降。剩下的生产者已从加工猪肉市场转向新鲜猪肉市场,并在较小程度上转向出口市场。我们还研究了该系统中的一个主要价值链,并分析了它是如何取得并保持成功的。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Australian wool industry efficient at converting wool into value 澳大利亚羊毛工业在将羊毛转化为价值方面效率高吗
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2015-07-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.262473
E. Fleming, D. Cottle
The marketing strategies of agricultural producers have become increasingly focussed on the sale of differentiated products to intermediary buyers rather than the sale of homogeneous commodities directly to retailers. The wool value chain in Australia fits the description of differentiated products being sold by wool producers to agribusiness firms that are intermediaries in the chain. The attributes of wool that are the source of this differentiation are used by firms to add value to their operations, reflected in higher retail prices paid for wool products. We measure the overall efficiency with which wool is converted into value across different processing routes and end products in the Australian wool value chain and decompose it into its technical, scale and mix efficiency components. We find that wool price changes significantly with a change in fibre diameter, staple length and staple strength and employ a flexible functional form to capture the relations between these wool attributes and lot value. Results show that considerable scope exists to increase the value of most sale lots, and indicate that the overall efficiency in extracting value is lower for wool supplied to processes that produce high-value wool garments. We then ascertain that various factors related to wool production and product characteristics significantly influence the level of technical efficiency. The mix of the three key attributes in wool lots was found not to be a major factor influencing overall efficiency whereas scale efficiency scores (which we measure as returns to wool attributes) were clearly much lower than those for technical and mix efficiency scores, a function of strongly increasing returns to wool lots as the levels of attributes increase. We test propositions about the skewness of distributions of efficiency scores in translating wool attributes into value. Most distributions of overall efficiency scores are positively skewed for production processes paying high prices for wool, and differences in overall efficiency were observed across selling centres. Prima facie, the results provide a strong case for wool producers to move to higher value levels of wool attributes by producing finer, stronger and longer wool fibres – especially the former. But such a strategy may not be an optimal one for producers to follow because the investments they make to implement such a strategy may entail high costs and take a long period to fruition that would lead to a heavy discounting of future benefits. A full benefit-cost analysis would be needed of any investments to raise the levels of wool attributes and otherwise improve wool quality at the farm level.
农业生产者的营销策略越来越侧重于向中间买家销售差异化产品,而不是直接向零售商销售同质商品。澳大利亚的羊毛价值链符合羊毛生产商向农业综合企业销售差异化产品的描述,而农业综合企业是价值链中的中间商。羊毛的属性是这种差异的来源,企业利用羊毛的属性为其业务增加价值,这反映在羊毛产品支付的较高零售价格上。我们衡量了澳大利亚羊毛价值链中不同加工路线和最终产品中羊毛转化为价值的整体效率,并将其分解为技术、规模和混合效率组成部分。我们发现羊毛价格随着纤维直径、短纤维长度和短纤维强度的变化而显著变化,并采用一种灵活的功能形式来捕捉这些羊毛属性与批次价值之间的关系。结果表明,大多数销售批次存在相当大的增值空间,并表明为生产高价值羊毛服装的过程提供的羊毛提取价值的总体效率较低。然后,我们确定了与羊毛生产和产品特性相关的各种因素显著影响技术效率水平。羊毛批次中三个关键属性的混合被发现不是影响整体效率的主要因素,而规模效率得分(我们以羊毛属性的回报来衡量)明显低于技术和混合效率得分,技术和混合效率得分是随着属性水平的增加而强劲增加羊毛批次回报的函数。我们测试了在将羊毛属性转化为价值时效率分数分布的偏度。总体效率得分的大多数分布都正向倾斜,因为生产过程为羊毛支付了高昂的价格,并且在各个销售中心观察到总体效率的差异。从表面上看,研究结果为羊毛生产商提供了一个强有力的理由,即通过生产更细、更强、更长的羊毛纤维,向更高价值水平的羊毛属性转移——尤其是前者。但对于生产商来说,这样的策略可能不是最理想的,因为他们为实施这样的策略而进行的投资可能需要高昂的成本,并且需要很长时间才能取得成果,这将导致未来收益的严重折扣。在农场层面,提高羊毛属性水平和提高羊毛质量的任何投资都需要进行全面的收益-成本分析。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Contract Farming with Farmer Organizations on Farmers' Income: A Case Study of Reasmey Stung Sen Agricultural Development Cooperative in Cambodia 农民组织承包经营对农民收入的影响——以柬埔寨remey - stinsen农业发展合作社为例
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.262469
An Sokchea, R. Culas
This study examines the impact of contract farming with Farmer Organizations on farmers' income. Contract farming with farmer organizations is a smallholder farmer-inclusive contract farming system. Field surveys were conducted in August 2010 with 75 farmers (including 39 contract farmers) in Kampong Thom province, Cambodia. The analysis—i.e., using a treatment effects model—indicates that contract farming with farmer organizations significantly raises farmers' income. The econometric model and qualitative data show that the contract farming can attribute to an increase of farming productivity, quality of produce and farming cost efficiency.
本研究考察了农民组织的合同农业对农民收入的影响。农民组织承包经营是一种小农包容性承包经营制度。2010年8月,在柬埔寨磅同省对75名农民(包括39名合同农民)进行了实地调查。analysis-i.e。研究表明,与农民组织合作的承包经营显著提高了农民的收入。计量经济模型和定性数据表明,承包农业可以提高农业生产力、农产品质量和农业成本效率。
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引用次数: 41
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Australasian Agribusiness Review
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