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Towards a holistic framework for impact assessment of agricultural research for development – understanding complexity in remote, culturally diverse regions of Vietnam 建立农业研究促进发展影响评估的整体框架——了解越南偏远、文化多样化地区的复杂性
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.262470
H. Nguyen, E. Fliert, O. Nicetic
Since the late 1990s, there has been a great deal of investment by both the Vietnamese government and international development agencies in the economic development of the Northwest Highlands of Vietnam, a highly diverse region experiencing variable stages of transition towards more market-oriented development and social change. A shift towards a research for development approach, targeting the immediate use of research outputs for development purposes, became more visible especially since the late 2000s. It is important to understand the contribution of agricultural research toward rural development, not only in terms of knowing the extent and sustainability of the impacts achieved but also for informing appropriate agricultural policies and research for development strategies in the future. However, the impact assessment of existing agricultural research for development (AR4D) initiatives in the highlands of Vietnam remains problematic considering both the formulation of suitable objectives and the selection of appropriate methods that match those objectives. This paper describes the results of a study that aimed to review and analyse the theories and practice of AR4D impact assessment approaches and the merits and limitations of such approaches to AR4D in the Northwest Highlands of Vietnam. The study employed documentary research, focus group discussions with farmers and in-depth interviews with key informants, while thematic analysis was used for data analysis. The study concludes that a holistic approach towards impact assessment is best suited to an economically and culturally diverse region such as the Northwest Highlands of Vietnam, and suggests a framework for impact assessment that is based on a comprehensive livelihoods perspective.
自20世纪90年代末以来,越南政府和国际发展机构对越南西北高地的经济发展进行了大量投资,这是一个高度多样化的地区,经历了向更以市场为导向的发展和社会变革的不同阶段。特别是自2000年代后期以来,向研究促进发展方法的转变变得更加明显,其目标是立即将研究成果用于发展目的。了解农业研究对农村发展的贡献是很重要的,不仅在了解所取得影响的程度和可持续性方面,而且在为未来的发展战略提供适当的农业政策和研究方面。然而,考虑到制定合适的目标和选择与这些目标相匹配的适当方法,对越南高地现有农业研究促进发展(AR4D)计划的影响评估仍然存在问题。本文描述了一项研究的结果,该研究旨在回顾和分析AR4D影响评估方法的理论和实践,以及越南西北高地AR4D影响评估方法的优点和局限性。本研究采用文献研究法、农民焦点小组讨论法和关键线人深度访谈法,数据分析采用专题分析法。该研究的结论是,一种全面的影响评估方法最适合越南西北高地等经济和文化多样化的地区,并提出了一种基于综合生计角度的影响评估框架。
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引用次数: 7
Economic issues surrounding wheat quality assurance: the case of late maturing alpha-amylase policy in Australia 围绕小麦质量保证的经济问题:澳大利亚晚熟α -淀粉酶政策的案例
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.206170
R. Kingwell, Chris G. Carter
Late maturing α-amylase (LMA) is a genetic defect in some wheat lines that when triggered by particular environmental conditions damages the grains’ starch and reduces its suitability in processing. To lessen the risk of LMA expression in Australia’s wheat crops, a testing regime is now part of the nation’s varietal classification system. This paper analyses the impact of relaxing the testing regime and thereby providing farmers with the option to grow higher yielding varieties with higher risks of expressing an LMA defect that causes a price downgrade. We model the potential for quality downgrade by incorporating an expected price into the wheat supply and demand functions. The expected price is generated using the price differential between milling and feed grades and the probability of LMA exhibition. The net benefit from shifting between the current and more relaxed testing regimes is evaluated as the change in producer surplus. The analysis is based on the Western Australian wheat industry that supplies around half of Australia’s wheat exports. Initial findings indicate that the expected net benefit to the wheat industry in Western Australia from a relaxation of the current LMA policy is around $18m per annum.
晚熟α-淀粉酶(LMA)是某些小麦品系的遗传缺陷,在特定的环境条件下诱发,会破坏籽粒淀粉,降低籽粒的加工适宜性。为了降低LMA在澳大利亚小麦作物中表达的风险,一项检测制度现在是该国品种分类系统的一部分。本文分析了放宽测试制度的影响,从而为农民提供了种植高产品种的选择,这些品种表现出LMA缺陷的风险更高,从而导致价格下调。我们通过将预期价格纳入小麦供需函数来模拟质量下降的可能性。预期价格是使用磨粉和饲料等级之间的价格差异以及LMA展示的可能性来生成的。在当前和更宽松的检测制度之间转换的净收益被评估为生产者剩余的变化。该分析基于西澳大利亚州的小麦产业,该产业供应了澳大利亚约一半的小麦出口。初步调查结果表明,放宽目前的LMA政策对西澳大利亚小麦行业的净收益预计约为每年1800万美元。
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引用次数: 9
Wheat and corn price skewness and volatility: Risk management implications for farmers and end users 小麦和玉米价格的偏度和波动性:对农民和最终用户的风险管理影响
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.206167
J. Williams
Little has been documented as to how price skewness and volatility can influence decision making regarding agribusiness risk taking and managing risk in a dynamic environment. Price volatility introduces opportunities for farmers and end users, but it also introduces new risks, which can then require management. Volatility-skewness matrices are developed using CME wheat and corn prices to tactically determine when pricing and hedging might be more successful for farmers and end users. Volatility and skewness may still favour the end user, but the matrices changed considerably during 2007 to 2012. Farmers need realistic pricing targets and hedging triggers in price risk management decision making with timing becoming increasingly important, but production-product risk still remains an important consideration, as does basis and currency risk for international transactions and hedging.
关于价格偏差和波动如何影响农业综合企业在动态环境中承担风险和管理风险的决策,文献记载甚少。价格波动为农民和最终用户带来了机会,但也带来了新的风险,这些风险需要管理。波动性-偏度矩阵是根据芝加哥商品交易所小麦和玉米价格开发的,以战术上确定定价和对冲对农民和最终用户来说何时可能更成功。波动性和偏度可能仍然有利于最终用户,但在2007年至2012年期间,矩阵发生了很大变化。农民在价格风险管理决策中需要现实的定价目标和套期保值触发器,因为时机变得越来越重要,但生产产品风险仍然是一个重要的考虑因素,国际交易和套期保值的基差和汇率风险也是如此。
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引用次数: 3
Linking smallholder farmers to microcredit providers in Papua New Guinea: A participatory action research approach 将巴布亚新几内亚的小农与小额信贷提供者联系起来:参与式行动研究方法
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.206165
Hui-Shung Chang, Eleo Dowa, R. Malie, C. Anton, Iga Anamo, Peter Dekene, Debra Bubun
A participatory action research (PAR) approach was used to address the priority issue of lack of access to credit identified by smallholder farmers in Papua New Guinea. Following the cyclic process of research-planning-action-reflection, the research team conducted a thorough mapping of the supply chains in the first stage of the cycle. The results from the research were then presented to key players along the supply chain at a stakeholder workshop, where priority issues were identified and action plans to address them were developed. Action plans were implemented by the research team in collaboration with relevant stakeholders. Outcomes from this stage were then presented and evaluated at a second stake holder workshop. Necessary remedial actions were developed and implemented to address remaining issues, and from here another round of PAR began. The main lesson learned was that PAR, when applied to international agricultural research projects, has the benefit of stakeholders identifying local problems and locally appropriate solutions, but its drawbacks include the lack of capacity and support services on the ground. To improve outcomes, more resources are required to build extension and development capacities on the ground.
采用了参与性行动研究方法来解决巴布亚新几内亚小农确定的无法获得信贷的优先问题。在研究-计划-行动-反思的循环过程中,研究团队在循环的第一阶段对供应链进行了全面的映射。研究结果随后在利益相关者研讨会上呈现给供应链上的关键参与者,在那里确定了优先问题,并制定了解决这些问题的行动计划。行动计划由研究小组与相关利益攸关方合作实施。这一阶段的成果随后在第二次利益相关者研讨会上进行了介绍和评估。制定和实施了必要的补救行动,以解决剩余的问题,并从这里开始了另一轮PAR。得到的主要教训是,PAR在应用于国际农业研究项目时,有利于利益相关者发现当地问题和适合当地的解决方案,但是它的缺点包括缺乏实地能力和支持服务。为了改善成果,需要更多的资源在实地建设推广和发展能力。
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引用次数: 2
Implications of a Trilateral FTA between China, Japan and Korea for Australian Bilateral FTAs with China, Japan and Korea 中日韩三国自由贸易协定对澳大利亚中日韩双边自由贸易协定的影响
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.206168
Wei Si, Jooho Song, B. Malcolm, Zhang-yue Zhou
After many years and many rounds of negotiations seeking bilateral free trade agreements (FTA) between Australia and China, Japan and Korea, progress has been minimal because they cannot agree on access to markets for agricultural products. To add to the complications and lack of progress made in these negotiations, China, Japan and Korea have started negotiating a trilateral FTA. If a China-Japan-Korea Trilateral FTA is struck, it could affect Australian negotiation of bilateral FTAs with each of these countries, with consequential implications for Australian agricultural exports. These concerns are the main focus of this paper. However when the comparative advantages of agricultural production and agricultural trade complementarities of these countries are examined, it seems that if a China-Japan-Korea trilateral FTA is struck, it ought to not further complicate Australia’s bilateral FTA negotiations. A trilateral FTA between China, Japan and Korea would have limited negative impacts on Australia’s agricultural exports to these countries. Australia has a strong comparative advantage in producing many land-intensive products that these three countries will continue to need to import. Nonetheless, successfully concluding bilateral FTAs with each of China, Japan and Korea remains a formidable challenge because agreement on agricultural trade negotiations remains elusive. In future, Australia’s FTA negotiators may need to be even more pragmatic, strategic and flexible in their approach to agricultural trade negotiations.
在寻求澳大利亚与中国、日本和韩国之间的双边自由贸易协定(FTA)的多年和多轮谈判之后,进展甚微,因为他们无法就农产品的市场准入达成一致。使这些谈判更加复杂和缺乏进展的是,中国、日本和韩国已经开始谈判中日韩自由贸易协定。如果中日韩三边自由贸易协定达成,可能会影响澳大利亚与这些国家的双边自由贸易协定谈判,对澳大利亚农产品出口产生相应影响。这些问题是本文的主要关注点。然而,从两国农业生产的比较优势和农业贸易的互补性来看,如果中日韩三国达成自贸协定,似乎不应使澳大利亚双边自贸协定谈判进一步复杂化。中国、日本和韩国之间的三边自由贸易协定将对澳大利亚对这些国家的农产品出口产生有限的负面影响。澳大利亚在生产许多土地密集型产品方面具有很强的比较优势,这三个国家将继续需要进口这些产品。尽管如此,成功地与中国、日本和韩国达成双边自由贸易协定仍然是一项艰巨的挑战,因为农业贸易谈判的协议仍然难以达成。未来,澳大利亚自由贸易协定的谈判代表在农业贸易谈判中可能需要更加务实、更具战略性和灵活。
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引用次数: 1
Cattle breeding in Northern Australia: Revealing how consumers react to alternative technologies 北澳大利亚的养牛:揭示消费者对替代技术的反应
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.206164
J. Pluske, M. Burton, D. Rigby, P. Vercoe
In Australia, Bos taurus cattle breeds produce high quality meat, superior in taste and tenderness characteristics. Nevertheless, these breeds do not thrive in the Northern Australian environment. Stem cell transplant technologies, that make use of adult stem cells harvested from a Bos Taurus bull and the subsequent allogeneic transplantation of testicular cells into a Bos indicus bull, could improve northern beef cattle breeding programs by facilitating crossbreeding via natural service. Focus groups were used in this study to explore consumer reaction to specific reproduction technologies and the implications for buying intentions. Findings from these focus groups were then used for development of choice experiment surveys. Survey results suggested that while some consumers indicated that they were not concerned about the specified stem cell technology being utilized in beef production, generally people were willing to pay to avoid eating steak that had been produced in this way. Moreover, it appears that they would pay more to avoid this steak when specific key words providing additional information about the technology (stem cells; radiotherapy) were used to describe the steak being valued. Even so, the wording of the technology description did not have a significant effect on this value. The relatively large discount values required by respondents to purchase steaks produced using stem cell technology may be slightly lower depending on whether consumers have a genuine aversion to the use of artificial insemination. It is beyond the scope of this study to explore the stability of preference estimates from a discrete choice experiment but from a theoretical perspective, it would be worthwhile.
在澳大利亚,牛牛品种的肉质量高,口感好,嫩度高。然而,这些品种在北澳大利亚的环境中并不茁壮成长。干细胞移植技术,利用从牛牛身上获得的成体干细胞,随后将睾丸细胞同种异体移植到牛牛身上,可以通过自然服务促进杂交,从而改善北方肉牛的育种计划。本研究使用焦点小组探讨消费者对特定复制技术的反应及其对购买意向的影响。这些焦点小组的调查结果随后被用于发展选择实验调查。调查结果表明,虽然一些消费者表示他们并不担心牛肉生产中使用的特定干细胞技术,但一般来说,人们愿意为避免食用以这种方式生产的牛排而付费。此外,当提供有关该技术的额外信息的特定关键词(干细胞;放疗)被用来描述牛排的价值。即便如此,技术描述的措辞对该值也没有显著影响。受访者购买使用干细胞技术生产的牛排所需的相对较大的折扣值可能略低,这取决于消费者是否真正厌恶使用人工授精。从离散选择实验中探索偏好估计的稳定性超出了本研究的范围,但从理论角度来看,这将是值得的。
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引用次数: 3
Dairy Directions: A decade of whole farm analysis of dairy systems 乳品方向:乳品系统的整个农场分析的十年
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.125940
B. Malcolm, C. Ho, D. Armstrong, P. Doyle, K. A. Tarrant, J. Heard, C. Leddin, W. Wales
Making farm decisions is difficult, especially making decisions about selling and pricing wheat in deregulated supply chains. This study, conducted prior to export deregulation, sought to identify which factors were important to northern New South Wales (NSW) wheat growers when they were making decisions about wheat selling and price risk, under production and market uncertainty. Key questions were about how they make these decisions and the implications, particularly for larger-sized farmers, merchants, end-users, bankers, advisors and trainers. The research aim was to test the behaviour of users and non-users of five selling methods and six pricing-hedging strategies against eighteen management and seventeen risk attitude-adoption questions. The findings from this research will assist understanding of farmer decision-making. Information about growers’ decision processes on wheat selling and pricing will be helpful to supply chain intermediaries and service personnel in improving the targeting and alignment of growers. More research is required on the cross-usage of different selling-pricing methods, the interdependence between discretionary costs of production and selling-pricing decisions, how speculative storage compares with on-farm rental storage of pre-sold product that integrates the farmer with the supply chain, and how speculative storage affects cash flow and debt repayment. Volume 20, Paper 2, (pp. 11-38) The Aggregate Economic Benefits to the Australian Beef Industry from the Adoption of Meat Standards Australia: updated to 2010/11 + Garry Griffith and John Thompson Meat and Livestock Australia and the Cooperative Research Centre for Cattle and Meat Quality funded a major RD in particular the role of using information about response functions, risk, time and case studies in answering questions about alternative farm futures. The application and results of the whole farm approach to a range of research questions about dairy farming in Victoria is presented. As well as confirming the known, findings have also identified unrecognized dimensions, and challenged theory.
做出农业决策是困难的,尤其是在解除管制的供应链中决定小麦的销售和定价。这项研究是在出口放松管制之前进行的,旨在确定在生产和市场不确定的情况下,对新南威尔士州北部(NSW)的小麦种植者做出小麦销售和价格风险决策时,哪些因素是重要的。关键问题是他们如何做出这些决定及其影响,特别是对规模较大的农民、商人、最终用户、银行家、顾问和培训师的影响。研究目的是测试五种销售方法和六种定价对冲策略的用户和非用户的行为,以应对18个管理和17个风险态度采用问题。这项研究的结果将有助于理解农民的决策。有关种植者小麦销售和定价决策过程的信息将有助于供应链中介机构和服务人员更好地定位和协调种植者。不同销售定价方法的交叉使用、可自由支配的生产成本与销售定价决策之间的相互依赖、将农民与供应链整合起来的预售产品的投机性储存与农场租赁储存相比如何,以及投机性储存如何影响现金流和债务偿还,这些都需要更多的研究。第20卷,第2篇,(第11-38页)《采用澳大利亚肉类标准对澳大利亚牛肉产业的总体经济效益:更新至2010/11》+加里·格里菲斯和约翰·汤普森肉类和畜牧业澳大利亚以及牛和肉类质量合作研究中心资助了一项主要的研究,特别是利用有关响应函数、风险、时间和案例研究的信息在回答有关替代农场期货的问题中的作用。整个农场方法的应用和结果,以一系列的研究问题,奶牛场在维多利亚州提出。除了证实已知的,研究结果还发现了未被认识的维度,并对理论提出了挑战。
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引用次数: 24
Weather and Wethers: effects of wind, temperature and rain on sheep feedlot production 天气和天气:风、温度和雨对绵羊饲养场生产的影响
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.114334
J. Pluske, A. M. Slade, P. Vercoe
Thermal stress caused by extreme temperatures, wind and rain, negatively affects profitability of sheep production due to increased maintenance requirements causing a reduction in weight gain and the efficiency of feed utilisation. The purpose of this paper was to explore the capacity of a bioeconomic model to evaluate biological and economic implications of thermal stress on feedlot lamb production. It was expected that strategies aimed at reducing thermal stress of lambs would lead to improvements in growth rates and feed conversion efficiency, and subsequent economic net benefits. The findings from the model indicated that reducing thermal stress on the lamb all had positive effects on growth rates. Treatments involving shelter and increased fleece length reduced the energy needed to maintain a constant body temperature leading to higher energy availability for growth. Simulating near ideal environmental conditions by providing shelter in the feedlot and having fleece length at 40 mm enabled an almost constant growth rate throughout the year indicating that thermal stress was almost completely alleviated. Based on the assumptions used for this paper and depending on fleece length, it would be rational for a producer with an annual turnover of 5,000 feedlot sheep to spend between $29,000 and $53,000 on a shelter. Being a simulation model, there are an infinite number of assumptions that could be made to derive results and hence the results presented in this paper provide examples of those that can be generated by the model. While results from the model showed that environmental factors affect lamb production in accordance with the literature, further model development would be useful as additional biological equations become available.
极端温度、风和雨造成的热应激对绵羊生产的盈利能力产生负面影响,因为维护需求增加,导致体重增加和饲料利用效率降低。本文的目的是探讨一个生物经济模型的能力,以评估热应激对饲养场羔羊生产的生物学和经济学影响。预计旨在降低羔羊热应激的战略将导致生长率和饲料转换效率的提高,以及随后的经济净效益。模型结果表明,降低热应激对羔羊生长均有积极影响。包括遮蔽和增加羊毛长度的处理减少了维持恒定体温所需的能量,从而提高了生长所需的能量。模拟接近理想的环境条件,在饲养场提供遮蔽,羊毛长度为40毫米,全年几乎保持恒定的生长速度,这表明热应力几乎完全缓解。基于本文所使用的假设,并根据羊毛的长度,对于一个年营业额为5000只饲养场羊的生产商来说,在羊舍上花费2.9万至5.3万美元是合理的。作为一个模拟模型,可以做出无数的假设来得出结果,因此本文中给出的结果提供了模型可以产生的结果的示例。虽然该模型的结果显示环境因素会影响羔羊产量,但随着其他生物学方程的出现,进一步的模型开发将是有用的。
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引用次数: 8
Building producer loyalty in Malaysia's fresh milk supply chain 在马来西亚鲜奶供应链中建立生产者忠诚度
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.114423
B. Boniface, A. Gyau, R. Stringer, W. Umberger
The paper presents results from a survey of 133 dairy producers in Malaysia, and identifies how Malaysian milk buyers can build a loyal customer base with their suppliers as a means to secure uninterrupted milk supplies. A structural equation model was conducted to test the conceptual model using AMOS 17.0 software. The results show that whereas timely and collaborative communication, price satisfaction and cultural fit influence positively suppliers’ contractual and competence trust in their buyers, power dependency negatively influences competence trust. Furthermore, suppliers’ trust in their buyers will eventually lead to loyalty. The principal implication is that milk processors and other buyers need to engage in collaborative communication with the dairy farmers to ensure continuous and uninterrupted supply.
本文介绍了对马来西亚133家乳制品生产商的调查结果,并确定了马来西亚牛奶买家如何与供应商建立忠诚的客户群,以此作为确保不间断牛奶供应的手段。利用AMOS 17.0软件建立结构方程模型对概念模型进行检验。结果表明,及时沟通、协作沟通、价格满意度和文化契合度对供应商对买方的合同信任和能力信任有正向影响,而权力依赖对能力信任有负向影响。此外,供应商对买家的信任最终会导致忠诚。其主要含义是,牛奶加工商和其他买家需要与奶农进行协作沟通,以确保持续和不间断的供应。
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引用次数: 26
Rising demand for livestock products in India: nature, patterns and implications 印度对畜产品不断增长的需求:性质、模式和影响
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.114421
P. Vasant, Zhou Zhang-Yue
With a large population and recent growth in consumer income, India’s demand for food has increased. However, research continues to emphasise basic foods, and the demand for livestock products remains poorly understood. This study examines the demand for livestock products by Indian consumers using national sample survey data. The study shows that there has been a rapid rise in the demand for livestock products in India. Within the livestock products group, milk and milk products hold the dominant share. Our analysis further suggests that India’s rapid rise in the demand for livestock products may far outpace its domestic supply. Implications are discussed.
由于人口众多,加上近年来消费者收入的增长,印度对食品的需求有所增加。然而,研究继续强调基本食品,对畜产品的需求仍然知之甚少。本研究利用全国抽样调查数据考察了印度消费者对畜产品的需求。该研究表明,印度对畜产品的需求迅速上升。在畜产品集团中,牛奶和奶制品占主导地位。我们的分析进一步表明,印度对畜产品需求的快速增长可能远远超过其国内供应。讨论了影响。
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引用次数: 32
期刊
Australasian Agribusiness Review
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