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You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search 你可以把马牵到水边:消费者搜索中的空间学习和路径依赖
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329595
C. Hodgson, Gregory Lewis
We develop a model of search by imperfectly informed consumers with unit demand. The innovation is that consumers learn spatially: sampling the payoff to one product causes them to update their payoffs about all products that are nearby in some attribute space. Search is costly, and so consumers face a trade-off between "exploring" far apart regions of the attribute space and "exploiting'' the areas they already know they like. Learning gives rise to path dependence, as each new search decision depends on past experiences through the updating process. We present evidence of these phenomena in data on online camera purchases, showing that the search paths and eventual purchase decisions depend substantially on whether the past items searched were surprisingly good or bad. We argue that search intermediaries can affect purchase decisions not only by highly ranking products that they would like purchased, but also by highlighting bad products in regions of the attribute space that they would like to push the consumer away from.
我们开发了一个不完全知情的消费者单位需求搜索模型。创新之处在于消费者在空间上学习:对一种产品的回报进行抽样,使他们更新对某个属性空间中附近所有产品的回报。搜索是昂贵的,因此消费者面临着“探索”属性空间的遥远区域和“开发”他们已经知道自己喜欢的区域之间的权衡。学习产生了路径依赖,因为每个新的搜索决策都依赖于通过更新过程的过去经验。我们在网上相机购买的数据中提供了这些现象的证据,表明搜索路径和最终的购买决定在很大程度上取决于过去搜索的物品是出奇的好还是坏。我们认为,搜索中介不仅可以通过对他们想要购买的产品进行高排名来影响购买决策,还可以通过在属性空间的区域中突出显示他们想要让消费者远离的不良产品来影响购买决策。
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引用次数: 17
Centralized Admissions for Engineering Colleges in India 印度工程学院的集中招生
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329610
Surender Baswana, P. Chakrabarti, S. Chandran, Yashodhan Kanoria, Utkarsh Patange
The centrally funded technical institutes (CFTIs) for undergraduate studies in India consist of the prestigious Indian Institutes of Technology (IITs) as well as several non-IITs (the National Institutes of Technology, the Indian Institutes of Information Technology, and others). The IITs use the candidate rankings obtained from performance on the JEE Advanced exam for their admissions, whereas the non-IITs use a different set of rankings (obtained from the JEE Main exam) for their admissions. Until 2014, the IITs and the non-IITs used two separate processes to allocate seats to candidates. Every year, several individual candidates would get two seats, one from each of these processes. As a result, at least one of those two seats would go vacant. This would especially be a problem for the IITs as their allocation process would complete before that of the non-IITs. In 2015, we designed and implemented a new joint (centralized) seat allocation process for undergraduate admissions to over 500 programs spread across 80 CFTIs in India, bringing the IIT and the non-IIT processes together under a single umbrella. Our process asks each candidate to submit a single preference list over all these programs, and allots each candidate at most one seat. Our process is based on the well known Deferred Acceptance algorithm, which produces a fair allocation that respects the candidate rankings. However, complex affirmative action seat reservations led us to make a number of algorithmic innovations, including (i) a carefully constructed heuristic for incorporating non-nested common quotas that span multiple programs, (ii) a method to utilize unfilled reserved seats with no modifications to the core software, and (iii) a robust approach to reduce variability in the number of reserved category candidates admitted, while retaining fairness. Because candidates also have outside options (e.g., attending a privately funded institute, or retaking the entrance exams the following year), and we were not allowed, in anticipation of attrition, to speculatively admit more candidates than the capacity permitted, we resorted to a multi-round seat allocation process. After every round, we ask the candidates to accept their allotted seat (if any) by paying a seat acceptance fee by a deadline. Those who don't vacate their seats, and these seats are subsequently allotted to other candidates in future rounds. We implemented a number of process innovations to make the multi-round process smoother and more efficient. These innovations are described in our full paper citejournalPaper Our new seat allocation process went live in 2015, and has remained in successful use since, with continuing improvements. The vacancies at the IITs have reduced by nearly 70% (e.g., there were only 198 vacancies in 10,988 seats in 2017, relative to 587 vacancies in 9,784 seats in 2014 under the legacy process). Meanwhile, vacancies in the non-IITs have reduced only slightly, and concern us, though reducin
中央资助的印度本科技术学院(cfti)由著名的印度理工学院(iit)以及一些非印度理工学院(国家理工学院、印度信息技术学院等)组成。印度理工学院使用从JEE高级考试中获得的候选人排名进行入学,而非印度理工学院使用一套不同的排名(从JEE主考试中获得)进行入学。直到2014年,印度理工学院和非印度理工学院使用两个不同的程序来分配候选人的席位。每年,几个候选人将获得两个席位,从这些程序中各获得一个席位。因此,这两个席位中至少会有一个空缺。这对印度理工学院来说尤其是个问题,因为他们的分配过程将在非印度理工学院之前完成。2015年,我们为印度80个cfti的500多个项目设计并实施了一个新的本科招生联合(集中)名额分配流程,将印度理工学院和非印度理工学院的流程整合在一起。我们的程序要求每位候选人在所有这些项目中提交一份单独的偏好列表,并为每位候选人最多分配一个席位。我们的流程基于众所周知的延迟接受算法,该算法产生尊重候选排名的公平分配。然而,复杂的平权行动席位预订导致我们进行了许多算法创新,包括(i)一种精心构建的启发式方法,用于合并跨多个项目的非嵌套公共配额,(ii)一种在不修改核心软件的情况下利用未填充的保留席位的方法,以及(iii)一种强大的方法,以减少被录取的保留类别候选人数量的可变性,同时保持公平性。由于考生也有外部选择(例如,参加私人资助的学院,或者在第二年重新参加入学考试),而且由于预计会出现人员流失,我们不允许投机地录取比允许的人数更多的考生,因此我们采取了多轮席位分配程序。在每一轮之后,我们要求候选人在截止日期前支付座位接受费来接受他们分配的座位(如果有的话)。那些没有腾出座位的人,这些座位随后会在未来的轮次中分配给其他候选人。实施多项工艺创新,使多轮流程更加顺畅高效。我们的新座位分配流程于2015年投入使用,并在不断改进中保持了成功的使用。印度理工学院的空缺减少了近70%(例如,2017年10,988个席位中只有198个空缺,而2014年在遗产程序下,9,784个席位中有587个空缺)。与此同时,非印度理工学院的职位空缺只略有减少,这让我们感到担忧,尽管减少这些职位空缺超出了我们最初的任务范围。2017年,开学时,非印度理工学院的25220个席位中有6510个空缺。数据表明,几乎所有这些空缺都是可以避免的,因为有符合条件的候选人想要这些席位。我们对招生数据的分析揭示了非印度理工学院空缺的主要原因:(i)接受座位的考生可以在倒数第二轮之前放弃座位(导致他们的座位接受费退还),并且在非印度理工学院的最后一轮中,超过70%的新分配被考生拒绝。由于大多数提款都发生在截止日期之前,因此只有一小部分席位被成功填满。(二)撤资数量非常大(2017年撤资5525笔)。从表面上看,考生正在列出他们并不真正想要的课程和座位(知道他们可以稍后退出并收回座位接受费,而不会受到处罚)。
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引用次数: 56
Edge Weighted Online Windowed Matching 边缘加权在线窗口匹配
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329573
I. Ashlagi, Maximilien Burq, Chinmoy Dutta, Patrick Jaillet, A. Saberi, C. Sholley
Motivated by applications from ride-sharing and kidney exchange, we study the problem of matching agents who arrive at a marketplace over time and leave after d time periods. Agents can only be matched while they are present in the marketplace. Each pair of agents can yield a different match value, and the planner's goal is to maximize the total value over a finite time horizon. First we study the case in which vertices arrive in an adversarial order. We provide a randomized 1/4-competitive algorithm building on a result by Feldman et al. [14] and Lehmann et al. [23]. We extend the model to the case in which departure times are drawn independently from a distribution with non-decreasing hazard rate, for which we establish a 1/8-competitive algorithm. When the arrival order is chosen uniformly at random, we show that a batching algorithm, which computes a maximum-weighted matching every (d+1) periods, is $0.279$-competitive.
受乘车共享和肾脏交换应用的激励,我们研究了随着时间的推移到达市场并在d段时间后离开的匹配代理问题。代理商只有在市场上出现时才能匹配。每一对代理可以产生不同的匹配值,计划者的目标是在有限的时间范围内最大化总价值。首先,我们研究了顶点以对抗顺序到达的情况。我们基于Feldman等人[14]和Lehmann等人[23]的结果提供了一个随机的1/4竞争算法。我们将模型扩展到出发时间独立于危险率不减小的分布的情况,为此我们建立了1/8竞争算法。当均匀随机选择到达顺序时,我们证明了每(d+1)个周期计算最大加权匹配的批处理算法具有$0.279$竞争性。
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引用次数: 59
Social Learning and the Innkeeper's Challenge 社会学习和客栈老板的挑战
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329569
Gal Bahar, Rann Smorodinsky, Moshe Tennenholtz
Technological evolution, so central to the progress of humanity in recent decades, is the process of constantly introducing new technologies to replace old ones. A new technology does not necessarily mean a better technology and so should not always be embraced. How can society learn which novelties present actual improvements over the existing technology? Whereas the quality of status-quo technology is well known, the new one is a pig in a poke. With sufficiently many individuals willing to explore the new technology society can learn whether it is indeed an improvement. However, self motivated agents, often, do not agree to explore. This is true, in particular, if agents observed some predecessors that were disappointed from the new technology. Inspired by the classical multi-armed bandit model we study a setting where agents arrive sequentially and must pull one of two arms in order to receive a reward - a risky arm (representing the new technology) and a safe arm (representing the existing one). A central planner must induce sufficiently many agents to experiment with the risky arm. The central planner observes the actions and rewards of all agents while the agents themselves have partial observation. For the setting where each agent observes his predecessor we provide the central planner with a recommendation algorithm that is (almost) incentive compatible and facilitates social learning.
技术进化是近几十年来人类进步的核心,它是不断引入新技术取代旧技术的过程。一项新技术并不一定意味着更好的技术,因此不应该总是被接受。社会如何才能知道哪些新事物是对现有技术的实际改进?虽然现有技术的质量是众所周知的,但新技术是一只被戳中的猪。只要有足够多的人愿意探索新技术,社会就能知道它是否确实是一种进步。然而,自我激励的代理人通常不同意探索。这是真的,特别是如果代理观察到一些对新技术感到失望的前任。受经典的多臂强盗模型的启发,我们研究了一种场景,agent依次到达,必须拉动两条臂中的一条才能获得奖励——一条风险臂(代表新技术)和一条安全臂(代表现有技术)。中央计划者必须诱导足够多的主体对风险部门进行试验。中央计划者观察所有主体的行为和回报,而主体本身有部分观察。对于每个智能体观察其前辈的设置,我们为中央计划者提供了一个(几乎)激励相容且促进社会学习的推荐算法。
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引用次数: 12
Posted Pricing and Prophet Inequalities with Inaccurate Priors 与不准确的先验发布定价和预言不等式
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329576
Paul Dütting, Thomas Kesselheim
In posted pricing, one defines prices for items (or other outcomes), buyers arrive in some order and take their most preferred bundle among the remaining items. Over the last years, our understanding of such mechanisms has improved considerably. The standard assumption is that the mechanism has exact knowledge of probability distribution the buyers' valuations are drawn from. The prices are then set based on this knowledge. We examine to what extent existing results and techniques are robust to inaccurate prior beliefs. That is, the prices are chosen with respect to similar but different probability distributions. We focus on the question of welfare maximization. We consider all standard distance measures on probability distributions, and derive tight bounds on the welfare guarantees that can be derived for all standard techniques in the various metrics.
在发布定价中,一个人定义了商品(或其他结果)的价格,买家以某种顺序到达,并在剩余的商品中选择他们最喜欢的捆绑。在过去的几年里,我们对这种机制的理解有了很大的提高。标准假设是,该机制对买家估值的概率分布有确切的了解。然后根据这些信息来确定价格。我们检查现有的结果和技术在多大程度上对不准确的先验信念是稳健的。也就是说,价格是根据相似但不同的概率分布来选择的。我们集中讨论福利最大化的问题。我们考虑概率分布上的所有标准距离度量,并推导出在各种度量中可以为所有标准技术导出的福利保证的严格界限。
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引用次数: 19
High-Multiplicity Fair Allocation: Lenstra Empowered by N-fold Integer Programming 高倍数公平分配:基于n重整数规划的Lenstra
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329649
Robert Bredereck, A. Kaczmarczyk, D. Knop, R. Niedermeier
We study the (parameterized) computational complexity of problems in the context of fair allocations of indivisible goods. More specifically, we show fixed-parameter tractability results for a broad set of problems concerned with envy-free, Pareto-efficient allocations of items (with agent-specific utility functions) to agents. In principle, this implies efficient exact algorithms for these in general computationally intractable problems whenever we face instances with few agents and low maximum (absolute) utility values. This holds true also in high-multiplicity settings where we may have high numbers of identical items. On the technical side, our approach provides algorithmic meta-theorems covering a rich set of fair allocation problems in the additive preferences model. To achieve this, our main technical contribution is to make an elaborate use of tools from integer linear programming. More specifically, we exploit results originally going back to a famous theorem of Lenstra [Math. Oper. Res. 1983] concerning (the fixed-parameter tractability of) Integer Linear Programs (ILPs) with bounded dimension (that is, the dimension shall be considered as a (small) parameter) and the more recent framework of (combinatorial) N-fold ILPs. We reveal and exploit a fruitful interaction between these two cornerstones in the theory of integer linear programming, which may be of independent interest in applications going beyond fair allocations.
我们研究了不可分割物品公平分配问题的(参数化)计算复杂度。更具体地说,我们展示了固定参数可追溯性结果,用于广泛的问题集,这些问题涉及到对代理的无嫉妒、帕累托效率分配(具有特定于代理的效用函数)。原则上,这意味着当我们面对具有很少代理和低最大(绝对)效用值的实例时,对于这些一般计算棘手的问题,可以使用有效的精确算法。这也适用于我们可能拥有大量相同道具的高多样性设置。在技术方面,我们的方法提供了算法元定理,涵盖了加法偏好模型中丰富的公平分配问题。为了实现这一目标,我们的主要技术贡献是对整数线性规划中的工具进行了详细的使用。更具体地说,我们利用了最初追溯到Lenstra(数学)著名定理的结果。③。Res. 1983]关于有界维度(即维度应被视为一个(小)参数)的整数线性规划(ILPs)的(固定参数可追溯性)和(组合)N-fold ILPs的最新框架。我们揭示并开发了整数线性规划理论中这两个基石之间富有成效的相互作用,这可能对超出公平分配的应用具有独立的兴趣。
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引用次数: 19
Information and Learning in Heterogeneous Markets 异质性市场中的信息与学习
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329631
Yaarit Even, A. Tahbaz-Salehi, X. Vives
This paper studies the implications of leakage of information through prices for the efficient operation of markets with heterogeneous agents. Focusing on uniform-price double auctions, we first characterize how the presence of heterogeneity (e.g., in terms of agents' trading costs, information precision, or risk attitudes) can shape the information content of prices and hence the market's informational efficiency. We find that price informativeness decreases with the extent of heterogeneity in the market. We then establish that such reductions in price informativeness can in turn manifest themselves as an informational externality: in the presence of heterogeneity, agents do not internalize the impact of their trading decisions on the information revealed to others via prices. We also show that the welfare implications of this heterogeneity-induced informational externality depends on the intricate details of the market. Our results thus indicate that accounting for the possibility of information leakage should be an important consideration in designing markets with asymmetric information. We conclude the paper by exploring the welfare implications of market segmentation in the presence of heterogeneous agents and information leakage.
本文研究了价格信息泄漏对异质性主体市场有效运行的影响。专注于统一价格的双重拍卖,我们首先描述了异质性的存在(例如,在代理人的交易成本、信息精度或风险态度方面)如何影响价格的信息内容,从而影响市场的信息效率。我们发现,价格信息性随着市场异质性的程度而降低。然后,我们确定这种价格信息性的降低可以反过来表现为信息外部性:在异质性存在的情况下,代理人不会内化其交易决策对通过价格向他人透露的信息的影响。我们还表明,这种异质性诱导的信息外部性对福利的影响取决于市场的复杂细节。因此,我们的研究结果表明,在设计具有不对称信息的市场时,考虑信息泄漏的可能性应该是一个重要的考虑因素。最后,我们探讨了在存在异质代理和信息泄漏的情况下,市场细分对福利的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Incorporating Compatible Pairs in Kidney Exchange: A Dynamic Weighted Matching Model 在肾脏交换中纳入相容配对:一个动态加权匹配模型
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329619
Zhuoshu Li, Kelsey Lieberman, William Macke, Sofia Carrillo, Chien-Ju Ho, J. Wellen, Sanmay Das
Kidney exchange has been studied extensively from the perspective of market design, and a significant focus has been on better algorithms for finding chains and cycles to increase the number of possible matches. A more dramatic benefit could come from incorporating compatible pairs into the mechanism, but this possibility has been relatively understudied. In order to incentivize a compatible pair to participate in exchange, they must be offered a higher quality match for the recipient that can be performed without adding extra waiting time. In this paper, we make two main contributions to the study of incorporating compatible pairs in exchanges. First, we leverage the recently proposed Living Donor Kidney Profile Index (LKDPI) to measure match quality, and develop a novel simulator (based on data from a major transplant center) for the joint distribution of compatibility and quality across pairs. This simulator allows us to study the benefits of including compatible pairs under different models and assumptions. Second, we introduce a hybrid online/batch matching model with impatient (compatible) and patient (incompatible) pairs to capture the need for immediacy. We introduce new algorithms for matching in this model, including one based on online primal-dual techniques. Overall, our results indicate great potential in terms of both increased numbers of transplants of incompatible pairs (almost doubling the number transplanted) as well as improved match quality for recipients in compatible pairs (increasing expected graft survival by between 1 and 2 years). The results are also promising for hard-to-match subpopulations, including blood group O recipients.
从市场设计的角度对肾脏交换进行了广泛的研究,其中一个重要的重点是寻找链和周期以增加可能匹配数量的更好算法。将相容对结合到机制中可能会带来更大的好处,但这种可能性的研究相对不足。为了激励兼容的配对参与交换,必须为接收者提供更高质量的匹配,而无需增加额外的等待时间。在本文中,我们对在交换中纳入兼容对的研究做出了两个主要贡献。首先,我们利用最近提出的活体供体肾脏特征指数(LKDPI)来衡量匹配质量,并开发了一个新的模拟器(基于来自主要移植中心的数据),用于跨配对的相容性和质量的联合分布。这个模拟器允许我们研究在不同模型和假设下包含兼容对的好处。其次,我们引入了一个混合在线/批量匹配模型,其中包括不耐烦(兼容)和耐心(不兼容)对,以捕捉对即时性的需求。我们引入了新的匹配算法,包括一种基于在线原始对偶技术的匹配算法。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,在增加不相容配对的移植数量(几乎是移植数量的两倍)以及改善相容配对受体的匹配质量(增加1至2年的预期移植物存活)方面,我们的研究结果显示了巨大的潜力。这一结果对于包括O型血受体在内的难以匹配的亚群也很有希望。
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引用次数: 12
Analysis of Approval Voting in Poisson Games 泊松博弈中的赞成投票分析
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329643
F. Durand, Antonin Macé, Matías Núñez
We analyze Approval Voting in Poisson games endowing voters with private values over three candidates. We first show that any stable equilibrium is discriminatory: one candidate is commonly regarded as out of contention. We fully characterize stable equilibria and divide them into two classes. In direct equilibria, best responses depend only on ordinal preferences. In indirect equilibria, preference intensities matter. Counterintuitively, any stable equilibrium violates the ordering conditions, a set of belief restrictions used to derive early results in the literature. We finally use Monte-Carlo simulations to estimate the prevalence of the different sorts of equilibria and their likelihood to elect a Condorcet winner.
我们分析了在三个候选人的泊松博弈中赋予选民私人价值的赞成投票。我们首先表明,任何稳定的均衡都是歧视性的:一个候选人通常被认为是没有竞争的。我们完全描述了稳定均衡,并把它们分为两类。在直接均衡中,最佳对策只取决于顺序偏好。在间接均衡中,偏好强度很重要。与直觉相反,任何稳定的平衡都违反了有序条件,这是一组用于导出文献中早期结果的信念限制。最后,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟来估计不同类型均衡的普遍性以及它们选出孔多塞赢家的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Tight Weight-dependent Competitive Ratios for Online Edge-weighted Bipartite Matching and Beyond 在线边加权二部匹配及其他紧密权重依赖竞争比
Pub Date : 2019-06-17 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329636
Will Ma, D. Simchi-Levi
We consider the general problem of selling a limited inventory of items to heterogeneous customers who arrive sequentially, and analyze the competitive ratio under adversarial arrivals. Previous work in this area, motivated by online matching, advertising, and assortment problems, has considered the case where each item can be sold at only a single price. This work has culminated in two classes of algorithms: "balance'' algorithms, which achieve the best-possible competitive ratio of 1-1/e in an asymptotic large-inventory ("small bids") regime; and "ranking'' algorithms, which achieve the best-possible competitive ratio of 1-1/e in the deterministic case of online matching. In this paper, we extend both of these classes of results to allow for items to have multiple feasible prices. Our algorithms introduce the idea of "booking limits'' from revenue management and integrate them into the multiplicative penalty functions used for online matching and allocation problems. Our algorithms achieve the best-possible weight-dependent competitive ratios, which depend on the sets of feasible prices given in advance. To establish this tightness, we show that by optimizing our additive "value function'' used to make allocation decisions, the resulting objective value is the same as that of an adversary's optimization problem for designing a weighted upper-triangular graph. Our "balance'' algorithm and its analysis further use a randomly-perturbed version of this value function; aside from being asymptotically optimal, they improve the best-known dependence of the competitive ratio on the starting inventory amounts.
我们考虑了向顺序到达的异质顾客销售有限库存商品的一般问题,并分析了敌对到达条件下的竞争比。这一领域以前的工作受到在线匹配、广告和分类问题的激励,考虑了每件商品只能以单一价格出售的情况。这项工作在两类算法中达到了高潮:“平衡”算法,它在渐近大库存(“小出价”)制度下实现了1-1/e的最佳竞争比;“排名”算法,在确定的在线匹配情况下,达到1-1/e的最佳竞争比。在本文中,我们扩展了这两类结果,以允许项目具有多个可行价格。我们的算法从收入管理中引入了“预订限制”的概念,并将其整合到用于在线匹配和分配问题的乘法惩罚函数中。我们的算法实现了最佳的权重相关竞争比率,这取决于预先给定的可行价格集。为了建立这种紧密性,我们证明了通过优化我们用于分配决策的附加“价值函数”,得到的目标值与对手设计加权上三角图的优化问题的目标值相同。我们的“平衡”算法及其分析进一步使用了这个价值函数的随机扰动版本;除了渐近最优之外,它们还改进了众所周知的竞争比率对初始库存数量的依赖。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Proceedings of the 2019 ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
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