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Static Pricing: Universal Guarantees for Reusable Resources 静态定价:可重用资源的普遍保证
Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329585
Omar Besbes, Adam N. Elmachtoub, Yunjie Sun
We consider a fundamental pricing model in which a fixed number of units of a reusable resource are used to serve customers. Customers arrive to the system according to a stochastic process and upon arrival decide whether or not to purchase the service, depending on their willingness-to-pay and the current price. The service time during which the resource is used by the customer is stochastic and the firm may incur a service cost. This model represents various markets for reusable resources such as cloud computing, shared vehicles, rotable parts, and hotel rooms. In the present paper, we analyze this pricing problem when the firm attempts to maximize a weighted combination of three central metrics: profit, market share, and service level. Under Poisson arrivals, exponential service times, and standard assumptions on the willingness-to-pay distribution, we establish a series of results that characterize the performance of static pricing in such environments. In particular, while an optimal policy is fully dynamic in such a context, we prove that a static pricing policy simultaneously guarantees 78.9% of the profit, market share, and service level from the optimal policy. Notably, this result holds for any service rate and number of units the firm operates. In the special case where there are two units and the induced demand is linear, we also prove that the static policy guarantees 95.5% of the profit from the optimal policy. Our numerical findings on a large testbed of instances suggest that the latter result is quite indicative of the profit obtained by the static pricing policy across all parameters.
我们考虑一个基本的定价模型,其中使用固定数量的可重用资源单位来为客户服务。客户根据随机过程到达系统,到达后根据他们的支付意愿和当前价格决定是否购买服务。客户使用资源的服务时间是随机的,企业可能会产生服务成本。该模型代表了可重用资源的各种市场,例如云计算、共享车辆、可旋转部件和酒店房间。在本文中,我们分析了当公司试图最大化三个核心指标的加权组合时的定价问题:利润、市场份额和服务水平。在泊松到达、指数服务时间和支付意愿分布的标准假设下,我们建立了一系列结果,描述了这种环境下静态定价的表现。特别地,虽然在这种情况下最优定价策略是完全动态的,但我们证明了静态定价策略同时保证了最优定价策略78.9%的利润、市场份额和服务水平。值得注意的是,这个结果适用于任何服务率和公司运营的单位数量。在有两个单位且诱导需求为线性的特殊情况下,我们还证明了静态策略保证了最优策略的95.5%的利润。我们在大型实例测试平台上的数值结果表明,后一种结果非常表明静态定价策略在所有参数下获得的利润。
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引用次数: 18
Price of Privacy in the Keynesian Beauty Contest 凯恩斯主义选美比赛中的隐私代价
Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329607
Hadi Elzayn, Zachary Schutzman
The Keynesian Beauty Contest is a classical game in which strategic agents seek to both accurately guess the true state of the world as well as the average action of all agents. We study an augmentation of this game where agents are concerned about revealing their private information and additionally suffer a loss based on how well an observer can infer their private signals. We solve for an equilibrium of this augmented game and quantify the loss of social welfare as a result of agents acting to obscure their private information, which we call the 'price of privacy'. We analyze two versions of this this price: one from the perspective of the agents measuring their diminished ability to coordinate due to acting to obscure their information and another from the perspective of an aggregator whose statistical estimate of the true state of the world is of lower precision due to the agents adding random noise to their actions. We show that these quantities are high when agents care very strongly about protecting their personal information and low when the quality of the signals the agents receive is poor.
凯恩斯主义选美比赛是一个经典的游戏,在这个游戏中,战略主体既要准确猜测世界的真实状态,又要准确猜测所有主体的平均行动。我们研究了这个游戏的一个增强,在这个游戏中,代理人关心的是泄露他们的私人信息,并且根据观察者对他们的私人信号的推断程度而遭受损失。我们求解了这个增强博弈的一个均衡,并量化了由于代理人掩盖其私人信息而导致的社会福利损失,我们称之为“隐私的代价”。我们分析了这个价格的两个版本:一个是从代理的角度来衡量他们由于模糊信息而减少的协调能力,另一个是从聚合器的角度来衡量,由于代理在其行为中添加随机噪声,聚合器对世界真实状态的统计估计精度较低。我们表明,当代理非常关心保护他们的个人信息时,这些数量很高,当代理接收到的信号质量较差时,这些数量很低。
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引用次数: 0
Observational Data for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Application to Recommender Systems 应用推荐系统的异质治疗效果的观察数据
Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329558
Akos Lada, A. Peysakhovich, Diego Aparicio, Michael Bailey
Decision makers in health, public policy, technology, and social science are increasingly interested in going beyond 'one-size-fits-all' policies to personalized ones. Thus, they are faced with the problem of estimating heterogeneous causal effects. Unfortunately, estimating heterogeneous effects from randomized data requires large amounts of statistical power and while observational data is often available in much larger quantities the presence of unobserved confounders can make using estimates derived from it highly suspect. We show that under some assumptions estimated heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data can preserve the rank ordering of the true heterogeneous causal effects. Such an approach is useful when observational data is large, the set of features is high-dimensional, and our priors about feature importance are weak. We probe the effectiveness of our approach in simulations and show a real-world example in a large-scale recommendations problem.
卫生、公共政策、技术和社会科学领域的决策者越来越有兴趣从“一刀切”的政策转向个性化的政策。因此,他们面临着估计异质性因果效应的问题。不幸的是,从随机数据中估计异质效应需要大量的统计能力,虽然观测数据的数量往往要大得多,但未观察到的混杂因素的存在会使使用由此得出的估计变得非常可疑。我们表明,在某些假设下,从观测数据估计的异质治疗效应可以保持真正的异质因果效应的秩顺序。这种方法适用于观测数据量大、特征集高维、特征重要性先验较弱的情况。我们在模拟中探索了我们的方法的有效性,并在一个大规模推荐问题中展示了一个现实世界的例子。
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引用次数: 13
Matching for the Israeli "Mechinot" Gap-Year Programs: Handling Rich Diversity Requirements 以色列“Mechinot”间隔年项目的匹配:处理丰富的多样性要求
Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329620
Yannai A. Gonczarowski, Lior Kovalio, N. Nisan, Assaf Romm
We describe our experience with designing and running a matching market for the Israeli "Mechinot" gap-year programs. The main conceptual challenge in the design of this market was the rich set of diversity considerations, which necessitated the development of an appropriate preference-specification language along with corresponding choice-function semantics, which we also theoretically analyze to a certain extent. This market was run for the first time in January 2018 and matched 1,607 candidates (out of a total of 2,580 candidates) to 35 different programs, and has been adopted by the Joint Council of the "Mechinot" gap-year programs for the foreseeable future.
我们描述了我们为以色列“Mechinot”间隔年项目设计和运行匹配市场的经验。在这个市场的设计中,主要的概念挑战是丰富的多样性考虑,这就需要开发一种适当的偏好规范语言以及相应的选择函数语义,我们也从理论上进行了一定程度的分析。该市场于2018年1月首次运行,将1607名候选人(从总共2580名候选人中)与35个不同的项目进行了匹配,并在可预见的未来被“Mechinot”间隔年项目联合委员会采用。
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引用次数: 22
Tracking and Improving Information in the Service of Fairness 跟踪和改进公平服务中的信息
Pub Date : 2019-04-22 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329624
Sumegha Garg, Michael P. Kim, Omer Reingold
As algorithmic prediction systems have become widespread, fears that these systems may inadvertently discriminate against members of underrepresented populations have grown. With the goal of understanding fundamental principles that underpin the growing number of approaches to mitigating algorithmic discrimination, we investigate the role of information in fair prediction. A common strategy for decision-making uses a predictor to assign individuals a risk score; then, individuals are selected or rejected on the basis of this score. In this work, we study a formal framework for measuring the information content of predictors. Central to the framework is the notion of a refinement; intuitively, a refinement of a predictor z increases the overall informativeness of the predictions without losing the information already contained in z. We show that increasing information content through refinements improves the downstream selection rules across a wide range of fairness measures (e.g. true positive rates, false positive rates, selection rates). In turn, refinements provide a simple but effective tool for reducing disparity in treatment and impact without sacrificing the utility of the predictions. Our results suggest that in many applications, the perceived "cost of fairness" results from an information disparity across populations, and thus, may be avoided with improved information.
随着算法预测系统的普及,人们越来越担心这些系统可能会在无意中歧视那些代表性不足的群体。为了理解支撑越来越多减轻算法歧视方法的基本原则,我们研究了信息在公平预测中的作用。一种常见的决策策略是使用预测器为个人分配风险分数;然后,根据这个分数来选择或拒绝个人。在这项工作中,我们研究了一个测量预测者信息内容的正式框架。该框架的核心是细化的概念;直观地说,对预测器z的改进增加了预测的总体信息量,而不会丢失z中已经包含的信息。我们表明,通过改进增加信息内容,可以在广泛的公平度量(例如真阳性率、假阳性率、选择率)中改善下游选择规则。反过来,改进提供了一种简单而有效的工具,可以在不牺牲预测效用的情况下减少治疗和影响方面的差距。我们的研究结果表明,在许多应用中,感知到的“公平成本”来自于人群之间的信息差异,因此,可以通过改进信息来避免。
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引用次数: 9
Information Inundation on Platforms and Implications 平台上的资讯泛滥及其影响
Pub Date : 2019-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3385627
Gad Allon, K. Drakopoulos, V. Manshadi
In this paper we study a model of information consumption where consumers sequentially interact with a platform that offers a menu of signals (posts) about an underlying state of the world (fact). At each time, incapable of consuming all posts, consumers screen the posts and only select (and consume) one from the offered menu. We show that in the presence of uncertainty about the accuracy of these posts, and as the number of posts increases, adverse effects such as slow learning and polarization arise. Specifically, we establish that, in this setting, bias emerges as a consequence of the consumer's screening process. Namely, consumers, in their quest to choose the post that reduces their uncertainty about the state of the world, choose to consume the post that is closest to their own beliefs. We study the evolution of beliefs and we show that such a screening bias slows down the learning process, and the speed of learning decreases with the menu size. Further, we show that the society becomes polarized during the prolonged learning process even in situations where the society's belief distribution was not a priori polarized.
在本文中,我们研究了一个信息消费模型,在这个模型中,消费者依次与一个平台进行交互,该平台提供了一个关于世界(事实)的潜在状态的信号(帖子)菜单。每次,由于无法消费所有帖子,消费者只能筛选帖子,并从提供的菜单中只选择(并消费)一个帖子。我们表明,在这些帖子的准确性存在不确定性的情况下,随着帖子数量的增加,不良影响,如缓慢的学习和两极分化出现。具体来说,我们确定,在这种情况下,偏见是消费者筛选过程的结果。也就是说,消费者在选择能够减少他们对世界状态的不确定性的帖子时,会选择消费最接近他们自己信念的帖子。我们研究了信念的进化,我们发现这种筛选偏见减缓了学习过程,学习速度随着菜单的大小而下降。此外,我们发现即使在社会信念分布不是先天极化的情况下,社会也会在漫长的学习过程中出现两极分化。
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引用次数: 10
Equilibrium Effects of Pay Transparency in a Simple Labor Market: Extended Abstract 简单劳动力市场中薪酬透明度的均衡效应:扩展摘要
Pub Date : 2019-04-01 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329645
Zoë B. Cullen, Bobak Pakzad-Hurson
Public discourse on pay transparency has not focused on equilibrium effects: how greater transparency impacts hiring and bargaining. To study these effects, we combine a dynamic wage-bargaining model with data from online markets for low-skill, temporary jobs that differ in their level of transparency. Wages are more equal, but lower under transparency. Transparency increases hiring and employer profits, rising 27% in an online field experiment. A key intuition is high transparency commits employers to negotiating aggressively, because a highly paid worker's salary affects negotiations with other workers. We discuss implications for the gender wage gap and employers' endogenous transparency choices.
关于薪酬透明度的公开讨论并未关注均衡效应:更大的透明度如何影响招聘和议价。为了研究这些影响,我们将动态工资谈判模型与来自低技能临时工作在线市场的数据结合起来,这些工作的透明度不同。工资更加平等,但透明度降低了。在一项在线实地实验中,透明度增加了招聘和雇主利润,增加了27%。一个关键的直觉是,高透明度会让雇主积极谈判,因为高薪员工的工资会影响与其他员工的谈判。我们讨论了性别工资差距和雇主内生透明度选择的影响。
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引用次数: 36
Combinatorial Auctions with Interdependent Valuations: SOS to the Rescue 组合拍卖与相互依赖的估值:紧急救援
Pub Date : 2019-03-20 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329759
Alon Eden, M. Feldman, A. Fiat, Kira Goldner, Anna R. Karlin
We study combinatorial auctions with interdependent valuations, where each agent i has a private signal si that captures her private information and the valuation function of every agent depends on the entire signal profile, [Formula: see text]. The literature in economics shows that the interdependent model gives rise to strong impossibility results and identifies assumptions under which optimal solutions can be attained. The computer science literature provides approximation results for simple single-parameter settings (mostly single-item auctions or matroid feasibility constraints). Both bodies of literature focus largely on valuations satisfying a technical condition termed single crossing (or variants thereof). We consider the class of submodular over signals (SOS) valuations (without imposing any single crossing-type assumption) and provide the first welfare approximation guarantees for multidimensional combinatorial auctions achieved by universally ex post incentive-compatible, individually rational mechanisms. Our main results are (i) four approximation for any single-parameter downward-closed setting with single-dimensional signals and SOS valuations; (ii) four approximation for any combinatorial auction with multidimensional signals and separable-SOS valuations; and (iii) (k + 3) and (2 log(k) + 4) approximation for any combinatorial auction with single-dimensional signals, with k-sized signal space, for SOS and strong-SOS valuations, respectively. All of our results extend to a parameterized version of SOS, d-approximate SOS, while losing a factor that depends on d. Funding: This work was supported by the Israel Science Foundation [Grant 317/17], the National Science Foundation [Grant CCF-1813135], the Air Force Office of Scientific Research [Grant FA9550-20-1-0212], and the H2020 European Research Council [Grant 866132].
我们研究了具有相互依赖估值的组合拍卖,其中每个代理i都有一个私有信号si,该信号si捕获了其私有信息,每个代理的估值函数依赖于整个信号配置文件,[公式:见文本]。经济学文献表明,相互依赖模型产生了强烈的不可能结果,并确定了可以获得最优解的假设。计算机科学文献提供了简单的单参数设置的近似结果(主要是单项目拍卖或矩阵可行性约束)。这两种文献主要集中于满足称为单交叉(或其变体)的技术条件的估值。我们考虑了信号上的子模(SOS)估值(没有强加任何单一的交叉类型假设),并为多维组合拍卖提供了第一个福利近似保证,这些拍卖是由普遍事后激励兼容的、个体理性的机制实现的。我们的主要结果是(i)对于任何具有单维信号和SOS估值的单参数向下封闭设置的四近似;(ii)具有多维信号和可分离sos估值的任何组合拍卖的四近似;以及(iii) (k + 3)和(2 log(k) + 4)近似,分别适用于具有k大小信号空间的任何具有单维信号的组合拍卖,用于SOS和强SOS估值。我们所有的结果都扩展到SOS的参数化版本,d-近似SOS,同时失去了一个依赖于d的因素。资助:这项工作得到了以色列科学基金会[Grant 317/17],国家科学基金会[Grant CCF-1813135],空军科学研究办公室[Grant FA9550-20-1-0212]和H2020欧洲研究委员会[Grant 866132]的支持。
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引用次数: 14
Persuasion in Networks: Public Signals and k-Cores 网络中的说服:公共信号和k核
Pub Date : 2019-03-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3346144
Ozan Candogan
We consider a setting where agents in a social network take binary actions, which exhibit local strategic complementarities. In particular, the payoff of each agent depends on the number of her neighbors who take action 1, as well as an underlying state of the world. The agents are a priori uninformed about the state, which belongs to an interval of the real line. An information designer (sender) can commit to a public signaling mechanism, which once the state is realized reveals a public signal to all the agents. Agents update their posterior about the state using the realization of the public signal, and possibly change their actions. The objective of the information designer is to maximize the expected activity level, i.e., the expected total number of agents who take action 1. How should the information information designer choose her public signaling mechanism to achieve this objective? This is the first paper to study the design of public signaling mechanisms in social networks, and its main contribution is to provide an answer this question.
我们考虑一个社会网络中的代理采取二元行动的设置,这表现出局部战略互补性。特别是,每个代理的收益取决于采取行动1的邻居的数量,以及世界的潜在状态。智能体先验地不知道状态,状态属于实线的一个区间。信息设计者(发送方)可以提交到一个公共信号机制,一旦状态实现,该机制就会向所有代理显示一个公共信号。agent利用公共信号的实现更新自己的后验状态,并可能改变自己的行为。信息设计者的目标是最大化预期的活动水平,即采取行动1的预期代理总数。信息设计者应该如何选择公共信号机制来实现这一目标?这是第一篇研究社交网络中公共信号机制设计的论文,其主要贡献在于提供了这个问题的答案。
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引用次数: 37
Price of Anarchy in Stochastic Atomic Congestion Games with Affine Costs 具有仿射代价的随机原子拥塞对策的无政府价格
Pub Date : 2019-03-08 DOI: 10.1145/3328526.3329579
R. Cominetti, M. Scarsini, M. Schröder, N. Stier-Moses
We consider an atomic congestion game with stochastic demand in which each player participates in the game with probability $p$, and incurs no cost with probability $1-p$. We assume that $p$ is common knowledge among all players and that players are independent. For congestion games with affine costs, we provide an analytic expression for the price of anarchy as a function of $p$, which is monotonically increasing and converges to the well-known bound of ${5}/{2}$ as $pto 1$. On the other extreme, for $pleq {1}/{4}$ the bound is constant and equal to ${4}/{3}$ independently of the game structure and the number of players. We show that these bounds are tight and are attained on routing games with purely linear costs. Additionally, we also obtain tight bounds for the price of stability for all values of $p$.
考虑一个具有随机需求的原子拥塞博弈,每个参与者参与博弈的概率为$p$,并且不产生成本,概率为$1-p$。我们假设$p$是所有玩家的共同知识,并且玩家是独立的。对于具有仿射代价的拥塞对策,我们给出了无政府状态价格作为$p$函数的解析表达式,该函数单调递增并收敛于众所周知的${5}/{2}$的界$pto 1$。在另一个极端,对于$pleq {1}/{4}$,边界是恒定的,等于${4}/{3}$,与游戏结构和玩家数量无关。我们证明了这些界限是紧密的,并且可以在具有纯线性成本的路由博弈中实现。此外,我们还得到了$p$所有值的稳定价格的紧界。
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引用次数: 17
期刊
Proceedings of the 2019 ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
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