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Beta Calculation in Emerging Markets in the Cross-Border Context – Selected Problems 跨境背景下新兴市场的贝塔计算-选择问题
Pub Date : 2012-12-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2183874
M. Pęksyk, M. Chmielewski, Marek Panfil, K. Śledzik
When investing in emerging markets, investors face issues regarding the valuation of potential investments that may considerably affect the investment decision. This article discusses the challenges of valuing a company within the European emerging markets. We will focus on several issues regarding the reliability and fitness of Beta estimates with the use of peer groups in the context of cross-border investment valuation.
在投资新兴市场时,投资者面临着潜在投资的估值问题,这可能会极大地影响投资决策。本文讨论了在欧洲新兴市场对公司进行估值的挑战。我们将重点讨论在跨境投资估值背景下使用同行群体的Beta估计的可靠性和适应度的几个问题。
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引用次数: 0
Debt Source Choices and Stock Market Performance of Russian Firms During the Financial Crisis 金融危机期间俄罗斯企业债务来源选择与股票市场表现
Pub Date : 2012-11-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2131190
D. Davydov, Sami Vähämaa
This paper examines the relationship between stock returns and the sources of corporate debt during the financial crisis of 2008. In particular, using data on large-capitalization Russian firms, we investigate whether dependence on either bank debt or bonds affected stock returns during the credit crunch. Our results indicate that the firms which rely entirely on bank debt significantly outperformed the firms with public debt amidst the crisis. This finding suggests that bank debt may be particularly valuable in harsh times. However, we also document that the stock prices of the bank dependent firms recovered more slowly in the post-crisis period.
本文考察了2008年金融危机期间股票收益与企业债务来源之间的关系。特别是,使用大型俄罗斯公司的数据,我们调查了信贷紧缩期间对银行债务或债券的依赖是否会影响股票回报。我们的研究结果表明,完全依赖银行债务的企业在危机中表现明显优于拥有公共债务的企业。这一发现表明,在经济困难时期,银行债务可能特别有价值。然而,我们也证明了依赖银行的公司的股价在危机后时期恢复得更慢。
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引用次数: 20
International Cross-Listing and Shareholders’ Wealth 国际交叉上市与股东财富
Pub Date : 2012-06-30 DOI: 10.17578/16-1/2-3
O. Dodd, C. Louca
This study evaluates the relationship between international cross-listings and shareholders’ wealth across different host markets and across time. For a sample of cross-listings by European companies in the US, in the UK, and within Europe, the findings show that US and UK cross-listings, on average, result in positive cumulative abnormal returns around the announcement of cross-listing. No such evidence exists for the rest of European cross-listings. In addition, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002 affects negatively the wealth benefits of US cross-listings, while wealth creation around UK cross-listings is primarily concentrated in Alternative Investment Market listings rather than Main Market listings. There is no evidence that the introduction of the Euro affects the wealth effects of cross-listings within the Eurozone. Finally, this study provides evidence on the relative importance of alternative theories on the wealth effects of cross-listing, including market segmentation, legal bonding, liquidity, investor recognition, proximity preference, market timing and business strategy theories, after considering the effect of the introduction of the Euro and the adoption of SOX. The results show that significance of the alternative theories varies across host markets and over time.
本研究评估了跨国交叉上市与不同东道国市场和不同时期股东财富之间的关系。对于欧洲公司在美国、英国和欧洲内部交叉上市的样本,研究结果显示,平均而言,在交叉上市公告前后,美国和英国的交叉上市会产生正的累积异常回报。欧洲其他交叉上市公司没有这样的证据。此外,2002年的萨班斯-奥克斯利法案(Sarbanes-Oxley Act, SOX)对美国交叉上市的财富收益产生了负面影响,而围绕英国交叉上市的财富创造主要集中在另类投资市场(Alternative Investment Market)上市,而不是主板市场(Main Market)上市。没有证据表明欧元的引入会影响欧元区内部交叉上市的财富效应。最后,在考虑引入欧元和采用SOX的影响后,本研究提供了证据,证明了其他理论对交叉上市财富效应的相对重要性,包括市场细分、法律担保、流动性、投资者认可、邻近偏好、市场时机和商业战略理论。研究结果表明,不同市场和不同时期,不同理论的重要性有所不同。
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引用次数: 17
Measuring Mutual Fund Herding - A Structural Approach 衡量共同基金羊群效应——一种结构性方法
Pub Date : 2012-06-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.984828
Stefan Frey, P. Herbst, A. Walter
This paper proposes a methodological improvement to empirical studies of herd behavior based on investor transactions. By developing a simple model of trading behavior, we show that the traditionally used herding measure produces biased results. As this bias depends on characteristics of the data, it also affects the robustness of previous findings. We derive a new measure that is unbiased and shows superior statistical properties for data sets commonly used. In an analysis of the German mutual fund market, our measure provides new insights into fund manager herding that would have been undetected under the traditional statistic.
本文提出了一种基于投资者交易的羊群行为实证研究的方法改进。通过建立一个简单的交易行为模型,我们证明了传统的羊群度量会产生有偏差的结果。由于这种偏差取决于数据的特征,它也会影响先前发现的稳健性。我们推导了一种新的测量方法,它是无偏的,并且对常用的数据集显示出优越的统计特性。在对德国共同基金市场的分析中,我们的测量方法为基金经理的羊群效应提供了新的见解,而传统统计方法无法发现这一点。
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引用次数: 89
International Stock Return Predictability: What is the Role of the United States? 国际股票收益可预测性:美国的角色是什么?
Pub Date : 2012-05-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1508484
D. Rapach, Jack Strauss, Guofu Zhou
We investigate lead-lag relationships among country stock returns and identify a leading role for the United States: lagged U.S. returns significantly predict returns in numerous non-U.S. industrialized countries (after controlling for national economic variables and countries' own lagged returns), while lagged non-U.S. returns display little predictive ability with respect to U.S. returns. The predictive power of lagged U.S. returns is robust across a number of dimensions, including out-of-sample tests. Information frictions seem a ready explanation of the predictive power of lagged U.S. returns; indeed, structural estimation of a news-diffusion model indicates that return shocks emanating in the United States are only fully reflected in equity prices outside of the United States with a lag. Overall, our results indicate that predictive regressions for non-U.S. countries should be augmented with lagged U.S. returns to capture an important source of international return predictability.
我们研究了国家股票回报之间的领先-滞后关系,并确定了美国的主导作用:滞后的美国回报显著地预测了许多非美国的回报。工业化国家(在控制了国家经济变量和国家自身的滞后回报之后),而滞后的非美国。与美国的回报率相比,美国的回报率几乎没有预测能力。滞后的美国回报率的预测能力在很多方面都很强大,包括样本外测试。信息摩擦似乎可以很好地解释美国股市回报率落后的预测能力;事实上,对新闻扩散模型的结构估计表明,在美国产生的回报冲击只是在美国以外的股票价格中完全反映出来,并且存在滞后。总体而言,我们的结果表明,非美国的预测回归。各国应将滞后的美国回报纳入其中,以抓住国际回报可预测性的一个重要来源。
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引用次数: 34
Family Control and Investment‐Cash Flow Sensitivity: Moderating Effects of Excess Control Rights and Board Independence 家族控制与投资-现金流敏感性:超额控制权和董事会独立性的调节作用
Pub Date : 2012-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8683.2011.00899.x
Yi-ping Kuo, Jung-Hua Hung
Manuscript Type: Empirical. Research Question/Issue: We explore the effect of family control on investment‐cash flow sensitivity and disentangle the effects of agency problems of free cash flow and asymmetric information. Excess control rights and board independence may moderate the relationship between family control and investment‐cash flow sensitivity by changing agency costs. Research Findings/Insights: Family control lessens investment‐cash flow sensitivity by mitigating the problem of asymmetric information. Investment‐cash flow sensitivity will be higher in family‐controlled firms with excess control rights because Type II agency problems predominate. Family control may affect investment‐cash flow sensitivity when firms lack independent directors. Having another blockholder in addition to the controlling family reduces the agency problem and improves the independent monitoring function of the board for family‐controlled firms. Theoretical/Academic Implications: This study provides a better understanding of the relationship between family control and investment‐cash flow sensitivity. It delineates the separate effects of agency problems stemming from free cash flow and asymmetric information and demonstrates that excess control rights and board independence can moderate the effect of family control on investment‐cash flow sensitivity. We show the significant role another blockholder plays in internal governance mechanisms. Practitioner/Policy Implications: Investors can better gauge firm value by examining the type of company control and linkages between investment distortion and firm value. Policy makers can better understand how excess control and board independence act as mechanisms to worsen or mitigate the effects of family control. Managers can understand the effects of control type and board independence on the firm's financial constraints.
稿件类型:经验性。研究问题/议题:我们探讨了家族控制对投资现金流敏感性的影响,并理清了自由现金流和信息不对称的代理问题的影响。过多的控制权和董事会独立性可以通过改变代理成本来调节家族控制与投资-现金流敏感性之间的关系。研究发现/见解:家族控制通过缓解信息不对称问题降低了投资-现金流敏感性。在拥有过多控制权的家族企业中,投资-现金流敏感性会更高,因为II型代理问题占主导地位。当公司缺乏独立董事时,家族控制可能会影响投资-现金流敏感性。除了控股家族之外,另一个大股东减少了代理问题,并提高了家族控股公司董事会的独立监督功能。理论/学术意义:本研究对家族控制与投资-现金流敏感性之间的关系提供了更好的理解。它描述了源于自由现金流和信息不对称的代理问题的单独影响,并表明过多的控制权和董事会独立性可以调节家族控制对投资-现金流敏感性的影响。我们展示了另一个股东在内部治理机制中发挥的重要作用。从业者/政策影响:投资者可以通过检查公司控制类型和投资扭曲与公司价值之间的联系来更好地衡量公司价值。政策制定者可以更好地理解过度控制和董事会独立性如何作为机制恶化或减轻家族控制的影响。管理者可以理解控制类型和董事会独立性对公司财务约束的影响。
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引用次数: 57
Gender, Top Management Compensation Gap, and Company Performance: Tournament Versus Behavioral Theory 性别、高管薪酬差距与公司绩效:竞赛与行为理论
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8683.2011.00878.x
J. Vieito
Manuscript Type: Empirical. Research Question/Issue: This study is among the first to investigate the impact of gender on the relationship between the compensation gap of the CEO and Vice‐Presidents on company performance, testing if companies managed by a female CEO or a male CEO follow tournament or behavioral theory. Tournament theory suggests that a large compensation gap between CEO and company Vice‐Presidents (VPs) leads to higher company performance; behavioral theory states that higher performance may be achieved with a small compensation gap between CEO and VPs. Additionally the study also investigates if companies managed by a female CEO perform better, or not, than those managed by a male CEO, and if the factors that explain the compensation gap between CEO and VPs in these two groups of companies are the same, or not. Data for the investigation emanated from the USA during the period 1992 to 2004. Research Findings/Insights: The results reflect something quite new in the area – on average, companies managed by a female CEO perform better, and have a smaller compensation gap between the CEO and VPs than companies managed by a male CEO. In companies managed by a female CEO, a smaller difference in the total compensation gap between CEO and Vice‐Presidents leads, on average, to higher company performance, however, when the CEO is a male, a higher compensation gap is required to obtain higher company performance. The results provide empirical support that the behavioral theory is predominant in companies managed by a female whereas tournament theory is predominant in companies managed by a male. Theoretical/Academic Implications: The paper fills an important gap in the existing literature by providing econometric evidence that males and females CEOs have a different impact on the relationship between CEO and VPs compensation gap and company performance, and that it is not indifferent to choosing a male or a female CEO in terms of company performance. Practitioner/Policy Implications: This study offers an insight to practitioners and policy makers suggesting that gender influences the relationship between the CEO and Vice‐Presidents compensation gap and company performance. Boards may be able to improve company performance if they limit the compensation gap between CEO and VPs when the CEO is a female and extend it, when it is a male.
稿件类型:经验性。研究问题/议题:这项研究是第一个调查性别对CEO和副总裁薪酬差距对公司绩效影响的研究,测试由女性CEO或男性CEO管理的公司是否遵循竞赛或行为理论。竞赛理论认为,CEO和公司副总裁之间的薪酬差距越大,公司绩效越高;行为理论认为,如果CEO和副总裁之间的薪酬差距很小,就可能实现更高的绩效。此外,该研究还调查了由女性首席执行官管理的公司是否比由男性首席执行官管理的公司表现更好,以及解释这两组公司中首席执行官和副总裁之间薪酬差距的因素是否相同。调查数据来自1992年至2004年期间的美国。研究结果/见解:研究结果反映了该领域的一些新现象——平均而言,由女性首席执行官管理的公司比由男性首席执行官管理的公司表现更好,首席执行官和副总裁之间的薪酬差距也较小。在由女性CEO管理的公司中,CEO和副总裁之间的总薪酬差距越小,平均而言,公司业绩越好。然而,当CEO是男性时,薪酬差距越大,公司业绩越好。结果表明,行为理论在女性管理的公司中占优势,竞赛理论在男性管理的公司中占优势。理论/学术意义:本文填补了现有文献的重要空白,提供了计量经济学证据,证明男性和女性CEO对CEO和副总裁薪酬差距与公司绩效之间的关系具有不同的影响,并且在公司绩效方面选择男性或女性CEO并非无关紧要。从业者/政策启示:本研究为从业者和政策制定者提供了一种见解,表明性别影响首席执行官和副总裁薪酬差距与公司绩效之间的关系。如果董事会在CEO为女性时限制CEO和副总裁之间的薪酬差距,并在CEO为男性时扩大这一差距,那么董事会或许能够改善公司业绩。
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引用次数: 58
Coincident and Forecast Relevance of Accounting Numbers 会计数字的一致性和预测相关性
Pub Date : 2011-12-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1610017
K. Klimczak, Grzegorz Szafrański
Purpose - – Value relevance studies, in particular international comparative studies, use market values sampled at different dates relative to the fiscal year-end. This paper aims to contribute a theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between value relevance and the month of market value sampling. Design/methodology/approach - – The paper examines two components of value relevance, coincident relevance and forecast relevance, which the paper develops on the basis of the Ohlson model. The paper measures value relevance by estimating separate panel-data regressions for each of the 12 months around fiscal year-end. The sample consists of companies listed in two continental European countries, France and Germany, over the 1989-2008 period. Findings - – In both country panels, the paper finds that overall value relevance is higher when market value is sampled before or close to fiscal year-end, but incremental value relevance varies between domestic and International Financial Reporting (IFRS) accounting standards. Regression results reveal significant variations in coefficients over the following months of market value in French panel and its IFRS sub-sample only. Research limitations/implications - – The scope of the study is limited to the average value relevance parameters of companies listed on stock exchanges in France and Germany. Future research may be devoted to other countries and study additional determinants of value relevance. Practical implications - – The study shows that the selection of the month of market value sampling can have significant impact on value relevance regression results. Therefore, sensitivity analysis needs to be included in research studies which rely on the value relevance approach. Originality/value - – The paper contributes the first systematic analysis of the variation in value relevance parameters in response to the selection of the month in which market value is sampled.
目的——价值相关性研究,特别是国际比较研究,使用相对于财政年底不同日期取样的市场价值。本文旨在对价值相关性与市场价值采样月份之间的关系进行理论和实证分析。设计/方法论/方法——本文考察了价值相关性的两个组成部分,即巧合相关性和预测相关性,这是本文在Ohlson模型的基础上发展起来的。本文通过估计财政年底前后12个月的单独面板数据回归来衡量价值相关性。样本包括1989年至2008年期间在法国和德国这两个欧洲大陆国家上市的公司。研究结果——在这两个国家面板中,本文发现,当市场价值在财政年度结束前或接近财政年度结束时,总体价值相关性更高,但增量价值相关性在国内和国际财务报告(IFRS)会计准则之间有所不同。回归结果显示,仅在法国面板及其国际财务报告准则子样本中,系数在接下来几个月的市场价值中存在显著变化。研究局限/启示——研究范围仅限于在法国和德国证券交易所上市的公司的平均价值相关参数。未来的研究可能会致力于其他国家,并研究价值相关性的其他决定因素。实践意义——研究表明,市场价值采样月份的选择对价值相关性回归结果有显著影响。因此,依赖于价值关联方法的研究需要纳入敏感性分析。原创性/价值——本文首次系统分析了价值相关参数随市场价值采样月份的选择而发生的变化。
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引用次数: 6
Cross-Border Asset Sales: Shareholder Returns and Liquidity 跨境资产出售:股东回报与流动性
Pub Date : 2011-11-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1571729
Ginka Borisova, Kose John, Valentina Salotti
We examine a sample of 1,458 divestitures of domestic assets by U.S. firms to foreign and domestic buyers over the period 1998-2008. Cross-border asset sales yield higher abnormal returns to the seller than domestic sales. This incremental return is driven by liquidity-constrained sellers engaging in cross-border transactions. Larger seller returns in these international deals are associated with favorable economic conditions in foreign buyers’ home markets relative to the U.S. and synergistic gains from U.S. expansion. We also find positive abnormal returns for buyers, albeit smaller than sellers’ returns, but no significant difference between buyer returns in cross-border and domestic transactions.
我们研究了1998年至2008年期间美国公司向国内外买家出售的1,458笔国内资产的样本。跨境资产销售给卖方带来的异常回报高于国内销售。这种增量回报是由流动性受限的卖家参与跨境交易推动的。在这些国际交易中,较高的卖方回报与外国买家本国市场相对于美国有利的经济条件以及美国扩张带来的协同收益有关。我们还发现买家的异常收益为正,尽管低于卖家的收益,但跨境交易和国内交易中买家的收益之间没有显著差异。
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引用次数: 11
Joint Logistics and Financial Services by a 3PL Firm 第三方物流公司提供的联合物流和金融服务
Pub Date : 2011-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2011.05.010
Xiangfeng Chen, G. Cai
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引用次数: 114
期刊
FEN: Other International Corporate Finance (Topic)
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