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A Method to Expand Family of Continuous Distributions based on Truncated Distributions 基于截断分布的连续分布族扩展方法
Pub Date : 2017-03-15 DOI: 10.18869/acadpub.jsri.13.2.231
Abbas Mahdavi, G. O. Silva
A new method to generate various family of distributions is introduced. This method introduces a new two-parameter extension of the exponential distribution to illustrate its application. Some statistical and reliability properties of the new distribution, including explicit expressions for the moments, quantiles, mode, moment generating function, mean residual lifetime, stochastic orders, order statistics and some entropies are discussed. Maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the unknown parameters and the Fisher information matrix is given. The obtained results are validated using a real data set and it is shown that the new family provides a better fit than some other known distributions.
介绍了一种生成多族分布的新方法。该方法引入了指数分布的一种新的双参数扩展来说明其应用。讨论了新分布的一些统计和可靠性性质,包括矩、分位数、模态、矩生成函数、平均残差寿命、随机阶数、阶数统计量和一些熵的显式表达式。采用极大似然法对未知参数进行估计,并给出了Fisher信息矩阵。用实际数据集对所得结果进行了验证,结果表明,新的分布族比其他一些已知分布具有更好的拟合性。
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引用次数: 8
Bayesian Estimation of Parameters in the Exponentiated Gumbel Distribution 指数Gumbel分布中参数的贝叶斯估计
Pub Date : 2017-03-10 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.13.2.181
Gholamhossein Gholami
The Exponentiated Gumbel (EG) distribution has been proposed to capture some aspects of the data that the Gumbel distribution fails to specify. In this paper, we estimate the EG’s parameters in the Bayesian framework. We consider a 2-level hierarchical structure for prior distribution. As the posterior distributions do not admit a closed form, we do an approximated inference by using Gibbs and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
幂次甘贝尔(EG)分布被提出用来捕捉甘贝尔分布无法指定的数据的某些方面。本文在贝叶斯框架下对EG的参数进行估计。我们考虑先验分布的2级层次结构。由于后验分布不承认封闭形式,我们使用Gibbs和Metropolis-Hastings算法进行近似推理。
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引用次数: 1
Bayesian Method for Finding True Change Point when a Control Chart is used 使用控制图时寻找真正变化点的贝叶斯方法
Pub Date : 2016-09-15 DOI: 10.18869/acadpub.jsri.13.1.6
Esmail Dehghan Monfared, Fazlollah Lak
The process personnel always seek the opportunity to improve the processes. One of the essential steps for process improvement is to quickly find the starting time or the change point of a process disturbance. To do this, after a control chart triggers an out-of-control signal, an order of points in time (known as a plan) should be identified such that if the process examined sequentially at them, the true change point is detected as soon as possible. A typical method is to start the examination of the process from the signal time of the control chart and proceed to neighbouring points. In this paper, we establish a Bayesian method to solve this problem, i.e. to find a plan for examining the process sequentially such that it minimizes the Bayes risk among all other possible plans. At last, our proposed Bayes method is applied to a normal process, and compared to a typical method which is usually used to find the true change point through a series of simulations.
过程人员总是寻求机会来改进过程。过程改进的关键步骤之一是快速找到过程扰动的起始时间或变化点。要做到这一点,在控制图触发失控信号后,应该确定时间点的顺序(称为计划),以便如果在它们上依次检查过程,则可以尽快检测到真正的变化点。一种典型的方法是从控制图的信号时间开始对过程进行检查,并继续到邻近的点。在本文中,我们建立了一个贝叶斯方法来解决这个问题,即在所有可能的计划中找到一个顺序检查过程的计划,使贝叶斯风险最小化。最后,将本文提出的贝叶斯方法应用于一个正常过程,并与通常通过一系列模拟来寻找真实变化点的典型方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 1
Stress-strength Reliability of Exponential Distribution based on Type-I Progressively Hybrid Censored Samples 基于i型渐进式混合截尾样本指数分布的应力-强度可靠性
Pub Date : 2016-09-15 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.13.1.5
M. Mirjalili, H. Torabi, H. Nadeb
This paper considers the estimation of the stress-strength parameter, say R, based on two independent Type-I progressively hybrid censored samples from exponential populations with different parameters. The maximum likelihood estimator and asymptotic confidence interval for R are obtained. Bayes estimator of R is also derived under the assumption of independent gamma priors. A Monte Carlo simulation study is used to evaluate the performance of maximum likelihood estimator, Bayes estimator and asymptotic confidence interval. Finally, a pair of real data sets is analyzed for illustrative purposes.
本文考虑了应力强度参数R的估计,基于两个独立的i型渐进式混合截除样本,这些样本来自具有不同参数的指数总体。得到了R的极大似然估计量和渐近置信区间。在独立先验假设下,推导了R的Bayes估计量。通过蒙特卡罗模拟研究,对极大似然估计量、贝叶斯估计量和渐近置信区间的性能进行了评价。最后,为了说明问题,对一对真实数据集进行了分析。
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引用次数: 8
Testing Skew-Laplace Distribution Using Density-based Empirical Likelihood Approach 基于密度的经验似然法检验斜拉普拉斯分布
Pub Date : 2016-09-15 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.13.1.1
M. Safavinejad, S. Jomhoori, H. A. Noughabi
. In this paper, we first describe the skew-Laplace distribution and its properties. We then introduce a goodness of fit test for this distribution according to the density-based empirical likelihood ratio concept. Asymptotic consistency of the proposed test is demonstrated. The critical values and Type I error of the test are obtained by Monte Carlo simulations. More-over, the empirical distribution function (EDF) tests are considered for the skew-Laplace distribution to show they do not have acceptable Type I error in comparison with the proposed test. Results show that the proposed test has an excellent Type I error which does not depend on the unknown parameters. The results obtained from simulation studies designed to investigate the power of the test are presented, too. The applicability of the proposed test in practice is demonstrated by real data examples.
. 本文首先描述了斜拉普拉斯分布及其性质。然后,根据基于密度的经验似然比概念,对该分布引入拟合优度检验。证明了所提检验的渐近一致性。通过蒙特卡罗模拟得到了试验的临界值和I型误差。此外,还考虑了偏拉普拉斯分布的经验分布函数(EDF)检验,以表明它们与提议的检验相比没有可接受的I型误差。结果表明,该方法具有良好的I型误差,不依赖于未知参数。本文还介绍了为研究该测试的有效性而进行的模拟研究的结果。通过实际数据算例验证了该方法在实际应用中的适用性。
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引用次数: 1
Admissible Set of Rival Models based on the Mixture of Kullback-Leibler Risks 基于Kullback-Leibler风险混合的可容许竞争模型集
Pub Date : 2016-09-15 DOI: 10.18869/acadpub.jsri.13.1.4
A. Sayyareh
Model selection aims to find the optimum model. A good model will generally yield good results. Herein lies the importance of model evaluation criteria for assessing the goodness of a subjective model. In this work we want to answer to this question that, how could infinite set of all possible models that could have given rise to data, be narrowed down to a reasonable set of statistical models? This paper considers a finite mixture of the known criterion to the model selection problem to answer to the question. The aim of this kind of criteria is to select an reasonable set of models based on a measure of closeness. We demonstrate that a very general class of statistical criterion, which we call that finite mixture Kullback-Leibler criterion, provides a way of rival theory model selection. In this work we have proposed two types of coefficients for the mixture criterion, one based on the density and another one based on the risk function. The simulation study and real data analysis confirme the proposed criteria.
模型选择的目的是寻找最优模型。一个好的模型通常会产生好的结果。这就是模型评价标准对主观模型优劣评价的重要性。在这项工作中,我们想要回答这个问题,即如何将所有可能产生数据的无限可能模型集合,缩小到一组合理的统计模型?本文考虑模型选择问题的已知准则的有限混合来回答这一问题。这种标准的目的是根据接近度的度量选择一组合理的模型。我们证明了一类非常一般的统计准则,我们称之为有限混合Kullback-Leibler准则,提供了一种竞争理论模型选择的方法。在这项工作中,我们提出了两种混合准则的系数,一种是基于密度的,另一种是基于风险函数的。仿真研究和实际数据分析验证了所提出的准则。
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引用次数: 1
Tsallis Entropy Properties of Order Statistics and Some Stochastic Comparisons 序统计量的Tsallis熵性质及一些随机比较
Pub Date : 2016-09-15 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.13.1.2
S. Baratpour, A. Khammar
. Tsallis entropy and order statistics are important in engineering reliability, image and signal processing. In this paper, we try to extend the concept of Tsallis entropy using order statistics. For this purpose, we propose the Tsallis entropy of order statistics and for it we obtain upper and lower bounds and some results on stochastic comparisons.
。Tsallis熵和阶统计量在工程可靠性、图像和信号处理中具有重要意义。在本文中,我们尝试用序统计量来扩展Tsallis熵的概念。为此,我们提出了有序统计量的Tsallis熵,并得到了它的上界和下界以及一些关于随机比较的结果。
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引用次数: 15
Bayesian Two-sample Prediction with Progressively Censored Data for Generalized Exponential Distribution Under Symmetric and Asymmetric Loss Functions 对称和非对称损失函数下广义指数分布的逐级截尾贝叶斯二样本预测
Pub Date : 2016-03-15 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.12.2.179
S. Ghafouri, A. H. Rad, M. Doostparast
Statistical prediction analysis plays an important role in a wide range of fields. Examples include engineering systems, design of experiments, etc. In this paper, based on progressively Type-II right censored data, Bayesian two-sample point and interval predictors are developed under both informative and non-informative priors. By assuming a generalized exponential model, prediction bounds as well as Bayes point predictors are obtained under the squared error loss (SEL) and the Linear-Exponential (LINEX) loss functions for the order statistic in a future progressively Type-II censored sample with an arbitrary progressive censoring scheme. The derived results may be used for prediction of total time on test in lifetime experiments. In addition to numerical method, Gibbs sampling procedure (as Markov Chain Monte Carlo method) are used to assess approximate prediction bounds and Bayes point predictors under the SEL and LINEX loss functions. The performance of the proposed prediction procedures are also demonstrated via a Monte Carlo simulation study and an illustrative example, for each method.
统计预测分析在广泛的领域中发挥着重要的作用。例子包括工程系统、实验设计等。本文基于渐进式ⅱ型右截尾数据,分别在信息先验和非信息先验条件下,建立了贝叶斯双样本点和区间预测模型。通过假设一个广义指数模型,对任意渐进删减方案的未来渐进式ii型删减样本,在平方误差损失(SEL)和线性指数损失(LINEX)函数下得到阶统计量的预测界和贝叶斯点预测量。所得结果可用于寿命试验中试验总时间的预测。除了数值方法外,Gibbs抽样过程(如Markov Chain Monte Carlo方法)用于评估SEL和LINEX损失函数下的近似预测界和Bayes点预测量。对于每种方法,所提出的预测程序的性能也通过蒙特卡罗模拟研究和说明性示例进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
The Beta-Rayleigh Distribution on the Lattice of Integers 整数格上的Beta-Rayleigh分布
Pub Date : 2016-03-15 DOI: 10.18869/ACADPUB.JSRI.12.2.205
V. Nekoukhou
In this paper, a discrete analog of the beta-Rayleigh distribution is studied. This new distribution contains the generalized discrete Rayleigh and discrete Rayleigh distributions as special sub-models. Some distributional and moment properties of the new discrete distribution as well as its order statistics are discussed. We will see that the hazard rate function of the new model can be increasing, bathtub-shaped and upside-down bathtub. Estimation of the parameters is illustrated and, finally, the model with a real data set is examined.
本文研究了β -瑞利分布的离散模拟。这种新分布包含广义离散瑞利分布和离散瑞利分布作为特殊的子模型。讨论了新离散分布的一些分布性质和矩量性质及其阶统计量。我们将看到,新模型的风险率函数可以增加,浴缸形和倒立浴缸。说明了参数的估计,最后用实际数据集对模型进行了检验。
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引用次数: 4
The Location-Scale Mixture of Generalized Gamma Distribution: Estimation and Case Influence Diagnostics 广义伽玛分布的位置尺度混合:估计和病例影响诊断
Pub Date : 2016-03-15 DOI: 10.18869/acadpub.jsri.12.2.163
Z. Rahnamaei
One of the most interesting problems in distribution theory is constructing the distributions, which are appropriate for fitting skewed and heavy-tailed data sets. In this paper, we introduce a skew-slash distribution by using the scale mixture of the generalized gamma distribution. Some properties of this distribution are obtained. An EM-type algorithm is presented to estimate the parameters. Finally, we provide a simulation study and an application to real data to illustrate the modeling strength of the proposed distribution.
分布理论中最有趣的问题之一是构造适合于拟合偏态和重尾数据集的分布。本文利用广义伽玛分布的尺度混合引入了斜斜分布。得到了该分布的一些性质。提出了一种em型的参数估计算法。最后,我们提供了一个仿真研究和一个实际数据的应用来说明所提出的分布的建模强度。
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Journal of Statistical Research of Iran
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