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Teknolojik Değişme ve İstihdam Arasındaki Dinamik İlişki: Genç İstihdamı ile Toplam İstihdamın Panel VAR ve Nedensellik Analizleri ile Karşılaştırılması Teknojik Değişme veıstihdam Arasındaki Dinamikılişki:Genç伊斯坦布尔stihdamıile Toplam伊斯坦布尔小组VAR ve Nedenselik Analizleri ile Karşılaştırılması
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.01
Selda Görkey
This study empirically examines the relationship and causality between technological change and employment by comparing youth and total employment. It covers data from 16 OECD economies from 1985 to 2018 and uses multifactor productivity (MFP) as a proxy for technological change. The findings from the general method of moments panel vector autoregression (GMM Panel-VAR) approach indicate significant and positive effects of MFP on youth and total employment, and a significant yet negative impact of youth employment on MFP. According to Panel-VAR-Granger-Causality analysis results, there is a two-way causality between MFP and youth employment and a one-way causality from MFP to total employment. Thus, this study empirically confirms the job-creation effect of technology and finds out that the technological change and employment nexus differs for youth employment compared to that for total employment.
本研究通过比较青年和总就业,实证检验了技术变革与就业之间的关系和因果关系。它涵盖了1985年至2018年经合组织16个经济体的数据,并使用多因素生产率(MFP)作为技术变革的指标。矩面板向量自回归通用方法(GMM-panel VAR)的研究结果表明,MFP对青年和总就业有显著而积极的影响,而青年就业对MFP有显著而消极的影响。根据Panel VAR Granger因果关系分析结果,最惠国待遇与青年就业之间存在双向因果关系,而最惠国政策与总就业之间存在单向因果关系。因此,本研究实证证实了技术创造就业的效应,并发现青年就业与总就业相比,技术变化和就业关系不同。
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引用次数: 0
Bankaya Özgü ve Makroekonomik Faktörlerin Bankaların Sermaye Yapısı Üzerine Etkisi 银行自由化与宏观经济工厂对银行业复苏的影响
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.12
Semira Hassen Ali, Hüseyin Dağlı, Sara Faedfar, Ayten TURAN KURTARAN
Bu çalışma, bankaların sermaye yapısını etkileyen bankaya özgü ve makroekonomik faktörleri incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Çalışmada, Türkiye'de 2003-2017 yılları arasında faaliyet gösteren 42 bankanın panel verileri kullanılmıştır. Analizde, toplam borç, uzun vadeli ve kısa vadeli borç oranları sermaye yapısının göstergesi olarak kullanılmıştır. Araştırma bulguları, banka büyüklüğü, büyüme fırsatı, faiz oranı ve döviz kurunun kaldıraç oranlarını olumlu yönde etkilediğini, kârlılığın ise olumsuz yönde etkilediğini göstermektedir. Bu çalışmanın bulgularının çoğunluğu finansman hiyerarşisi teorisinin beklentileriyle uyumludur.
本研究旨在考察影响银行发行结构的银行自身和宏观经济因素。在土耳其,使用了2003年至2017年间运营的42家银行的面板数据。Analizde,toplam borç,uzun vadeli ve kısa vadeli borãoralarısermaye yapısının göstergesi olarak kullanılmıştır。研究点、银行规模、增长机会、百分比和纹身的提升率都受到了有效影响,但污染是负面的。这项工作的大部分发现与金融等级理论的预期一致。
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引用次数: 0
Securitisation of International Migration in the Context of Economic and Societal Security: The Case of the “Front National” Party of France 经济和社会安全背景下的国际移民证券化——以法国“国民阵线”党为例
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.24
Bülent Sener, Şeyma Uzun
The phenomenon of international migration, which was encouraged by many European countries in the past to meet their workforce needs, as of the end of the 1990s, has been increasingly considered as an international security problem posing a threat to the national, societal and economic security of both the international system and developed and developing countries, and has become a subject securitized by far-right parties. Especially after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack, the immigration and anti-immigrant sentiments and actions were concentrated in the Western world in general, and Europe in particular, reaching a pinnacle during the Arab Spring. Far-right parties have risen in response to migration and anti-immigration discourses, securitizing international migration by claiming that immigrants disrupt European society’s homogeneity, and increase integration problems, unemployment, and crime rates. In this study, in which the securitization of international migration on a socio-economic and political basis within the framework of far-right parties in Europe is examined through the example of the Front National Party in France, it is concluded that immigration will continue to be securitized in Western European countries where the far-right is on the rise.
过去许多欧洲国家为满足本国劳动力需求而鼓励的国际移民现象,自20世纪90年代末以来,已日益被视为对国际体系以及发达国家和发展中国家的国家、社会和经济安全构成威胁的国际安全问题,并已成为极右翼政党证券化的主题。特别是在2001年9·11恐怖袭击之后,移民和反移民的情绪和行动普遍集中在西方世界,特别是欧洲,在阿拉伯之春期间达到了顶峰。极右翼政党的崛起是对移民和反移民言论的回应,他们声称移民破坏了欧洲社会的同质性,增加了融合问题、失业率和犯罪率,从而使国际移民变得安全。在这项研究中,通过以法国国民阵线党为例,研究了欧洲极右翼政党框架内的社会经济和政治基础上的国际移民证券化,得出的结论是,在极右翼正在崛起的西欧国家,移民将继续被证券化。
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引用次数: 1
User Acceptance of Digital Turkish Lira (DTL): Investigation in the Framework of Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) and Planned Behaviour Theory (PBT) 数字土耳其里拉(DTL)的用户接受度:技术接受模型(TAM)和计划行为理论(PBT)框架下的调查
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.19
Yavuz Toraman
The increase in technological devices has made the digitalisation of many products and services compulsory. One of the essential results of this digitalisation is the Digital Turkish Lira (DTL). The current study examines the factors affecting the acceptance and intention to use DTL. In this context, the acceptance of use by users has been tried to be explained by structural equation modelling based on TAM and TPB in the literature. The proposed research model was analysed with the Smart PLS 3 package program. When the hypothesis results are examined, firstly, the variables within the scope of TPB have a positive effect on the intention to use. In contrast, the other variables positively impact the intention to use over the ease of use within the scope of TAM. It has been determined that users find DTL more reliable than cryptocurrency /digital money. The relationship between DTL and the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey can be shown as the reason for this.
科技设备的增加使得许多产品和服务的数字化成为强制性的。数字化的重要成果之一是数字土耳其里拉(DTL)。本研究考察了影响DTL接受度和使用意愿的因素。在这种情况下,已经尝试通过文献中基于TAM和TPB的结构方程建模来解释用户对使用的接受。利用Smart PLS 3软件包程序对所提出的研究模型进行了分析。当检验假设结果时,首先,TPB范围内的变量对使用意向有积极影响。相反,在TAM范围内,其他变量对使用意愿的影响大于易用性。已经确定,用户发现DTL比加密货币/数字货币更可靠。DTL与土耳其共和国中央银行之间的关系可以说明这一点。
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引用次数: 3
The Impact of Deliberative and Egalitarian Democracy on Economic Growth: A Club Convergence Analysis on OECD Countries 协商民主和平等民主对经济增长的影响:经合组织国家的俱乐部趋同分析
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.18
Aykut Yaglikara, Bersu Bahtiyar
This study explains the relationship between democracy and economic growth in OECD countries. In line with this purpose, in this study covering the period 1996-2020, the relationship between democracy and economic growth in OECD countries, which are divided into three different groups according to per capita income level by club convergence analysis, was examined by a panel cointegration and panel causality methods. According to the analysis results, in which deliberative and egalitarian democratic regime definitions are used to represent democracy, in the long run, the causality relationship between democracy and economic growth differs according to the per capita income levels and the implementation of the democratic regime of the countries.
这项研究解释了经合组织国家民主与经济增长之间的关系。根据这一目的,在这项涵盖1996-2020年期间的研究中,通过俱乐部收敛分析将经合组织国家根据人均收入水平分为三个不同的组,采用面板协整和面板因果关系方法检验了民主与经济增长之间的关系。从分析结果来看,在采用协商民主制度和平等民主制度定义来代表民主的情况下,从长期来看,民主与经济增长之间的因果关系会因各国人均收入水平和民主制度实施情况的不同而不同。
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引用次数: 0
Birleşme ve Satın Alma Gerçekleştiren Firma Yöneticilerinin Aşırı Güven Davranışlarının Firma Değeri Üzerine Etkisi 阿拉木图并购公司经理非担保行为对公司价值的影响
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.05
R. Can, H. I. Dizdarlar
This study aims to examine the effect of overconfidence behaviours of the managers of the companies whose stocks are traded in Borsa Istanbul on the firm value. In the study, a model was created for Tobin q (Model 1), stock market value (Model 2) and enterprise value (Model 3). As a result of the study, a negative relationship was determined between the change in firm value and the overconfidence variable. According to this result, if the managers performing mergers and acquisitions are overconfident, the incorrect decision may be made while determining the firm value. This leads to a decrease in the wealth of the shareholders. In this respect, managers' overconfidence should also be considered while performing mergers and acquisitions in firms.
本研究旨在检验股票在伊斯坦布尔博萨交易的公司经理的过度自信行为对公司价值的影响。在本研究中,为Tobin q(模型1)、股票市场价值(模型2)和企业价值(模型3)创建了一个模型。研究结果表明,企业价值的变化与过度自信变量之间存在负相关关系。根据这一结果,如果进行并购的管理者过于自信,那么在确定企业价值时可能会做出错误的决策。这导致股东的财富减少。在这方面,管理者在进行企业并购时也应该考虑他们的过度自信。
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引用次数: 0
Teknostres ve İş Performansı İlişkisinde Örgütsel Sinizmin Aracılık Rolü: Öğretmenler Üzerinde Bir Çalışma
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.04
Rukiye Can Yalçın, Yunus Gökmen, Haluk Erdem, Ufuk Türen
Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, teknostres ve iş performansı arasındaki ilişkide örgütsel sinizmin aracılık rolünü incelemektir. Veriler Türkiye'de resmi ve özel okullarda görev yapan 234 öğretmenden elde edilmiştir. Çalışmada korelâsyon ve regresyon analizleri ile değişkenler arası ilişkiler ve etkileri belirlenmiş, yapısal eşitlik modeli ile de ölçeklere doğrulayıcı faktör analizi uygulanmıştır. Ayrıca, çalışmada aracılık rolü Process modülünde önyükleme testi ile incelenmiştir. Bulgular, yaygın olarak kullanılan geçerlik ve güvenirlik analiz yöntemlerinin sonuçlarıyla ölçeklerin geçerlilik ve güvenirliğinin sağlandığını göstermektedir. Bulgular, teknostres ve örgütsel sinizmin iş performansını azalttığını ve teknostresin örgütsel sinizmi önemli ölçüde artırdığını göstermektedir. Daha ileri aracılık analizi, teknostres ve iş performansı arasındaki ilişkide örgütsel sinizmin kısmi aracılık rolü olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.
这项工作的主要目标是探索机构神经系统在技术和绩效之间关系中的作用。数据来自234名在土耳其公立和私立学校任职的教师。测量的因素分析已应用于调整和回归分析,以确定关系和影响,并使用结构平等模型。此外,过程模块中机器的rol e通过负载测试进行测试。研究结果表明,测量方法的普遍性和可靠性都达到了预期效果。研究结果表明,技术和组织会降低工作绩效,对技术的有机分析显著增加。对车辆、技术和业务表现的进一步分析表明,身体大脑的部分是车辆的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Determining the Factors Affecting House Prices in Erzurum Using Hedonic Analysis 运用Hedonic分析确定埃尔祖鲁姆房价的影响因素
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.20
Cansu Güller, Ç. Varol
The study aims to determine the factors that cause the differentiation of house prices and rents according to different locations of settlements in Erzurum. As the study area, three regions with the highest housing density in Erzurum were determined: Erzurum city centre (Yakutiye), urban development area (Palandöken) and satellite city settlement area (Aziziye). The hedonic price analysis method was used to analyse house prices. Within the scope of the study, building typologies, which are thought to be important in the differentiation of house prices and rent in the city, were analysed, and the variables affecting the housing prices were interpreted together with the urban development dynamics in this study different than the previously conducted housing studies in the region.
这项研究旨在根据埃尔祖鲁姆定居点的不同位置,确定导致房价和租金差异的因素。作为研究区域,确定了埃尔祖鲁姆住房密度最高的三个地区:埃尔祖鲁姆城中心(雅库特耶)、城市发展区(Palandöken)和卫星城定居区(Aziziye)。采用特征价格分析法对房价进行了分析。在研究范围内,分析了被认为对城市房价和租金差异很重要的建筑类型,并在本研究中解释了影响房价的变量以及城市发展动态,这与之前在该地区进行的住房研究不同。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation in the Early Modern Ottoman Empire and Europe 近代早期奥斯曼帝国与欧洲的通货膨胀
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.21
K. Karaman, Seçil Yıldırım-Karaman
Bu çalışma, Osmanlı Devleti ve diğer Avrupa devletleri için erken modern dönemde gerçekleşen fiyat enflasyonu oranlarını karşılaştırmakta ve enflasyonun sebeplerini incelemektedir. Bu dönemde gerçekleşen fiyat enflasyonunu açıklamada iki etken ön plana çıkar. İlk etken Amerika’da keşfedilen gümüş, ikinci etken ise devletlerin gelir elde etmek için başvurdukları tağşişlerdir. Çalışmamız bu iki etkenden daha önemli olanının tağşişler olduğunu gösterir. Eldeki veriler tağşişlerin farklı ülkeler için 2 ile 500 kat arasında değişen oranlarda fiyat artışlarına yol açtığını göstermektedir. Amerika’dan gelen gümüş ise fiyatları 4 kattan daha az artırmıştır. Dolayısıyla enflasyonun temel sebebi tağşişler ve tağşişlere yol açan siyasi sebeplerdir.
这项研究考察了现代早期奥斯曼帝国和其他欧洲国家的价格通胀率以及通胀的原因。届时,价格通胀将在宣布价格通胀时提前发布。美国的第一步是在美国发现的硬币,第二步是各州申请收入的硬币。我们的工作表明,这两件事比这两件更重要。所有数据显示,不同国家的化肥价格上涨了2到500倍。来自美国的白银价格上涨了不到四倍。因此,感染的主要原因是政治原因的变化和变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship Between Innovation and Economic Growth: Panel Cointegration and Panel Causality Analysis 创新与经济增长的关系:面板协整与面板因果分析
IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.04.17
Gökhan Demirtaş, Şule Yüksel Çakirca
This paper aims to examine the relationship between innovation and economic growth. For this purpose, panel cointegration and causality analysis were applied to 36 developed and developing countries from 1996-2018. According to the study results, economic growth positively affects the number of patent applications (PA) and composed innovation index (CII). In contrast, economic growth does not affect the number of patent cooperation treaty (PCT) documents. On the other hand, the results show that while PA and PCT documents positively affect economic growth, the CII does not significantly affect economic growth.
本文旨在考察创新与经济增长之间的关系。为此,我们对1996-2018年间36个发达国家和发展中国家进行了面板协整和因果分析。研究结果表明,经济增长对专利申请量(PA)和构成创新指数(CII)有正向影响。相比之下,经济增长并不影响专利合作条约(PCT)文件的数量。另一方面,研究结果表明,PA和PCT文件对经济增长有正向影响,而CII对经济增长的影响不显著。
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引用次数: 0
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Sosyoekonomi
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