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Book Notes / Semnal editorial: Cezar Mereuță et al., Lumi paralele. Pandemia din 2020 versus economia mondială, Bucureşti, Editura AGIR, 2021
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.24818/oec/2021/30/1.08
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引用次数: 0
Book Review / Recenzie de carte: Adrian Constantinescu, Mecanisme şi instrumente de stimulare a exporturilor, Bucureşti, Editura Expert, 2021
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.24818/oec/2021/30/2.08
Costea Munteanu
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Economic Cycles in Kondratieff’s Long Cycle Theory and in Bejan’s Constructal Theory 康德拉季耶夫的长周期理论和贝让的建构理论对经济周期的分析
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.24818/oec/2021/30/1.07
Radu Isaic
Academic discourse has recently seen an increase in its attention to the emergence of a new crisis. As usual, every well-known economist, university professor and researcher attempts to make theoretical or practical arguments about how a hypothetical crisis unfolds and to identify its possible underlying causes. The desire for notoriety pushes economists to random expectations. Slightly panic-stricken, economists adept at different theoretical approaches to business cycles predict a bleak future. Several schools of economic thought have provided different explanations for crises and economic cycles (at a first count, there are about 12 more significant ones and 2-3 more secondary ones); to which we may add the explanations of historians, sociologists, etc. In economics textbooks, four names appear more frequently in the chapters on economic cycles: Kitchin, Juglar, Kuznetz and Kondratieff; and there are often explanations of cycles in the Keynesian line of thinking. Usually, the focus of the textbooks falls on Nikolai Kondratieff’s long cycles. Although the eponymous economist did not give clear explanations as to the causes of cycle production and their identification is empirical, his followers have identified this type of cycle for more than 1000 years. It therefore cannot be a mere coincidence. The question is: can we bring something new to this field? We think so. And we believe that we can explain the issues that have escaped Kondratieff, we can especially identify the causes of long cycles. How do we propose to accomplish this? The answer lies in using Professor Adrian Bejan’s Constructal Theory. This theory speaks of the economy in terms of flow systems: systems that evolve and grow to facilitate the flow as well as decrease the resistances and spread them evenly throughout the systems involved.
最近,学术界越来越关注新危机的出现。像往常一样,每一位著名的经济学家、大学教授和研究人员都试图就一场假想的危机是如何展开的,以及确定其可能的潜在原因,提出理论或实践上的论点。对名声的渴望迫使经济学家做出随机的预期。精通不同商业周期理论方法的经济学家们有些惊慌失措,他们预测未来前景黯淡。几个经济思想学派对危机和经济周期提供了不同的解释(初步统计,大约有12个更重要的解释和2-3个次要的解释);除此之外,我们还可以加上历史学家、社会学家等的解释。在经济学教科书中,经济周期章节中出现频率较高的有四个名字:基钦、朱格拉尔、库兹涅茨和康德拉季耶夫;在凯恩斯主义的思路中,经常有对周期的解释。通常,教科书的重点是尼古拉·康德拉季耶夫的长周期理论。尽管与他同名的经济学家并没有对周期生产的原因给出明确的解释,而且他们的识别是经验性的,但他的追随者已经识别了这种类型的周期1000多年。因此,这不可能仅仅是巧合。问题是:我们能给这个领域带来新的东西吗?我们是这么认为的。我们相信我们可以解释康德拉季耶夫漏掉的问题,我们可以特别找出长周期的原因。我们打算如何实现这一目标?答案在于艾德里安·贝扬教授的建构理论。这一理论从流动系统的角度来描述经济:系统的进化和增长促进了流动,同时减少了阻力,并在整个系统中均匀分布阻力。
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引用次数: 0
SCHIMBĂRILE CLIMATULUI INTELECTUAL: DINCOLO DE RETORICĂ
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.24818/oec/2021/30/2.01
O. Jora
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引用次数: 0
Tendinţe geoeconomice şi geopolitice în lumea post-pandemie
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.24818/oec/2021/30/1.04
Narciz Bălăşoiu
The COVID-19 pandemic can be defined as a “black swan” because it disrupted the economic model known and adopted almost worldwide, changing both production processes and consumption patterns, as well as mankind living habits. For instance, this led to increased digitalization in day-to-day activities, starting from the interaction between the state and its citizens to that within enterprises and households. The COVID-19 pandemic marks a turning point not only in the global economy, but also in the international relations system. The power shifts have been accelerated, while some paradoxes emerged. Despite the fact that China was the source of the contagion, it actually managed to get on the other side more powerful economically, thus catalysing trends we thought likely implausible on short and medium term, while for many others the interval proved and remains critical.
新冠肺炎大流行可以被定义为“黑天鹅”,因为它破坏了几乎全世界已知和采用的经济模式,改变了生产过程和消费模式,改变了人类的生活习惯。例如,这导致日常活动的数字化程度提高,从国家与公民之间的互动到企业和家庭内部的互动。新冠肺炎疫情不仅是世界经济的转折点,也是国际关系体系的转折点。权力转移加快了,同时也出现了一些矛盾。尽管中国是传染的源头,但它实际上设法在另一边变得更加强大,从而催化了我们认为短期和中期可能不太可能的趋势,而对许多其他国家来说,这段时间证明了这一点,并且仍然至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Methodological contribution to the detection of backward linkages between sectors of the economy 对发现经济部门之间的落后联系的方法贡献
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15611/AOE.2021.1.02
X. P. López, M. Węgrzyńska, Fernández Melchor Fernández
In national accounting, there are several synthetic indicators derived from the Leontief inverse, referred to as Total Material Requirement coefficients, which are commonly used in efficiency analyses and are known as input-output multipliers. Among the many indices that can be elaborated from input-output analysis, those related to the detection of key sectors are of special relevance since measuring the importance of a productive sector is especially relevant for policymakers when facing the need to make decisions to promote economic growth. There are two main alternative methods to identify key economic sectors, namely the Classical Multiplier method and the Hypothetical Extraction method (HEM), which essentially differ on the role of internal effects (the impact experienced by the sector in question). While the Classical method quantifies these internal effects, the HEM considers only the external impact. The latter method enables calculating backward linkages by isolating the column corresponding to demand-side sectors. However, such an alteration of the economic system can seem unrealistic and may give rise to doubts as to whether the results are biased, which in turn would cause incorrect public investment and false sectoral priorities. This paper offers an alternative method to detect key sectors based on a normalization of the Leontief inverse. After discussing the properties of the proposed standardization, the HEM, the Classical Multiplier method, and the one proposed here, are formally and empirically compared by using the 2010 input-output tables for Poland and Spain. The findings indicate that distinguishing and disaggregating the external effects from those that are purely internal has relevant policy implications. This disaggregation can be achieved through the proposed methodology, while avoiding the criticisms mentioned regarding the HEM, and with less effort required to calculate it.
在国民核算中,有几个从列昂蒂夫逆推导出的综合指标,称为总材料需求系数,这些指标通常用于效率分析,并被称为投入产出乘数。在可以从投入产出分析中详细阐述的许多指数中,那些与发现关键部门有关的指数特别相关,因为衡量生产部门的重要性对决策者在面临促进经济增长的决策需要时特别相关。有两种主要的替代方法来确定关键的经济部门,即经典乘数法和假设提取法(HEM),这两种方法在内部效应(所讨论的部门所经历的影响)的作用上本质上不同。经典方法量化了这些内部影响,而HEM只考虑了外部影响。后一种方法可以通过隔离对应于需求侧部门的列来计算反向联系。然而,这种经济制度的改变似乎是不现实的,并可能引起对结果是否有偏见的怀疑,这反过来又会造成不正确的公共投资和错误的部门优先次序。本文提供了一种基于Leontief逆归一化的检测关键扇区的替代方法。在讨论了提出的标准化的性质之后,通过使用2010年波兰和西班牙的投入产出表,对HEM、经典乘数方法和本文提出的方法进行了正式和经验的比较。研究结果表明,将外部影响与纯粹的内部影响区分开来具有相关的政策含义。这种分解可以通过提议的方法来实现,同时避免了提到的关于HEM的批评,并且计算HEM所需的工作量更少。
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引用次数: 1
Deviation from target capital structure as a factor of acquisition decisions in European developed markets 偏离目标资本结构是欧洲发达市场收购决策的一个因素
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15611/AOE.2021.1.03
Ana Mugosa, S. Popović
The purpose of this paper is to examine the causal relation between deviations from target capital structure (leverage deficit) and acquisition choices in capital markets in Western Europe. The analysis is conducted using a sample of 921 large companies, which represents a strong and solid base for testing target capital structure and takeover interdependence, as the focus is on the period when half of the largest M&A deals in Western Europe occurred. This study found that leverage deficit is a crucial determinant of acquisition choices and market reaction on acquisition announcements, measured by CARs to bidders. Companies that are underleveraged relative to their target capital structure have a higher probability of undertaking acquisitions. On the other hand, the market reacts unfavourably to acquisition announcements of underleveraged acquirers – overleveraged companies undertake the most value-enhancing acquisitions, whilst underleveraged companies make poor acquisition choices. This paper enriches the literature by empirically extending the understanding of how managers make investment decisions in relation to capital structure, and how capital markets assess the impact of these investments.
本文的目的是研究西欧资本市场中偏离目标资本结构(杠杆赤字)与收购选择之间的因果关系。该分析是使用921家大公司的样本进行的,这代表了测试目标资本结构和收购相互依赖性的强大而坚实的基础,因为重点是西欧一半最大的并购交易发生的时期。本研究发现,杠杆赤字是收购选择和市场对收购公告反应的关键决定因素,通过对竞标者的car来衡量。相对于目标资本结构而言,杠杆率较低的公司进行收购的可能性更高。另一方面,市场对杠杆不足的收购方的收购公告反应不利——杠杆过高的公司进行了最能提升价值的收购,而杠杆不足的公司则做出了糟糕的收购选择。本文通过实证扩展对管理者如何做出与资本结构相关的投资决策以及资本市场如何评估这些投资影响的理解,丰富了文献。
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引用次数: 0
Performance aside… the organizational and director level determinants of boards’ compensation 抛开业绩不谈……董事会薪酬的组织和董事级别决定因素
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15611/AOE.2021.1.05
Dmytro Osiichuk
Relying on a cross-country panel database, the paper explores the non-performance-related factors affecting the remuneration of supervisory boards. The author demonstrated that entrenched boards benefiting from statutory limitations on director removal and limited director liability receive a higher compensation. In contrast to previous studies, it was shown that the CEO’s power over the board positively contributes to the directors’ remuneration suggesting that the lack of checks on executives may undermine the board’s ability to monitor the management. Overall, a higher workload, board diligence, independence, expertise and experience are shown to increase directors’ remuneration. However, the rewards for advanced tenure and supermajority-backed independence vanish in the tails of distributions of the respective variables. Those boards with the majority of directors possessing board-specific skills are seen to receive lower compensation possibly due to the higher substitutability of board members. Generally, the study proved that there is a certain saturation point when it comes to board independence, skills, and tenure. The use of executive retention and compensation-enhancing tools are seen to increase board compensation while simultaneously contributing to the widening in-house wage disparities.
本文依托跨国面板数据库,探讨了影响监事会薪酬的非绩效因素。作者论证了受益于法定董事免职限制和有限董事责任的根深蒂固的董事会获得了更高的报酬。与以往的研究相反,研究表明CEO对董事会的权力对董事的薪酬有积极的贡献,这表明缺乏对高管的检查可能会削弱董事会对管理层的监督能力。总体而言,更高的工作量、董事会尽职、独立性、专业知识和经验表明,董事的薪酬会增加。然而,在各自变量分布的尾部,对高级任期和绝对多数支持的独立性的奖励消失了。大多数董事拥有董事会特定技能的董事会可能会获得较低的薪酬,这可能是因为董事会成员的可替代性更高。总的来说,研究证明,在董事会独立性、技能和任期方面存在一定的饱和点。使用高管留用和提高薪酬的工具被认为增加了董事会的薪酬,同时也导致了内部工资差距的扩大。
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引用次数: 0
Purchasing power parity in belt and road initiative countries relative to China “一带一路”倡议国家相对于中国的购买力平价
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15611/aoe.2021.2.09
Lu Liu, R. Tao, Hua Wang, Chiwei Su
This paper used the Panel KSS unit root test accompanied by a Fourier function and Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) to check the non-stationary properties of purchasing power parity (PPP) in Belt and Road Initiative (B&R) countries relative to China. The authors classified B&R into 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR) and Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB) to discuss the differences in PPP between the two groups. Stationary and non-stationary series in SREB and MSR can be picked out through this approach, which provided evidence that PPP holds in most countries in both regions. However, the percentage of countries that support PPP in MSR is higher, which is mainly due to closer unimpeded trade, facilities connectivity, policy coordination and financial integration between MSR countries and China. Hence, the main policies implicate that the equilibrium exchange rate can be determined by PPP, and it is unfeasible to obtain abnormal gains from arbitrage in exchanged commodities in the majority of B&R countries.
本文采用面板KSS单位根检验结合傅里叶函数和顺序面板选择法(SPSM)来检验“一带一路”沿线国家相对于中国的购买力平价(PPP)的非平稳特性。作者将“一带一路”分为21世纪海上丝绸之路(MSR)和丝绸之路经济带(SREB),以讨论两组之间PPP的差异。通过这种方法可以挑选出SREB和MSR的平稳和非平稳序列,这提供了PPP在这两个地区的大多数国家都成立的证据。但支持PPP的国家比例较高,这主要得益于中国与丝路沿线国家贸易畅通、设施联通、政策协调和资金融通。因此,主要政策暗示均衡汇率可以由购买力平价决定,在大多数“一带一路”国家,通过交换商品套利获得异常收益是不可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Better corporate governance leads to better performance: evidence from Asian countries 更好的公司治理带来更好的业绩:来自亚洲国家的证据
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.15611/AOE.2021.1.09
Asghar Muhammad Jam e Kausar Ali, Zeshan Anwar, M. Usman, H. Khan
The most contentious element in debate regarding corporate governance is the association of corporate governance (CG) with firm performance. This research employed the 2SLS regression model on a panel data, collected from 24 Asian multinationals from 2006 to 2015. The firm performance was measured in two ways; accounting measure (ROA and sales growth) and market measure (Tobin’s Q). The outcomes demonstrate that quality of corporate governance (QCG) index has a significant association in enhancing the performance of firms in Asian economies. Furthermore, these results also indicate that explicit corporate governance variables such as board independence, audit committee independence, ownership concentration and CEO duality, also have significant association with the performance of companies in Asian countries which is in accordance with the agency theory.
关于公司治理的争论中最具争议的因素是公司治理(CG)与公司绩效的关系。本研究采用2SLS回归模型对2006 - 2015年24家亚洲跨国公司的面板数据进行分析。公司绩效通过两种方式衡量;会计指标(ROA和销售增长)和市场指标(Tobin’s Q)。结果表明,公司治理质量(QCG)指数在提高亚洲经济体企业绩效方面具有显著的关联。此外,这些结果还表明,董事会独立性、审计委员会独立性、股权集中度和CEO二元性等显性公司治理变量也与亚洲国家的公司绩效存在显著关联,这符合代理理论。
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引用次数: 2
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Argumenta Oeconomica
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