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Forecast Modeling and Trend Analysis of Temperature in India 印度气温预测模型及趋势分析
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220019
M. Meena
Since historical times, the climate of the earth has been changing. In terms of diversity and population, India is a vast country. Any significant change in its climatic conditions can have an impact on the country’s entire economic and cultural structure. Temperature is the most important variable when focussing on climate change study. This study aims to recognise the changing trend of temperature in India. For this purpose, temperature data from 1901 to 2020 has been analysed. To find out the variability in temperature, various statistical tools were applied. The Mann-Kendall method has been used along with Sen’s slope estimator for determining the trend and slope magnitude. ARIMA modelling is applied to the data series to forecast the temperature trend. The study has shown that variability in temperature is increasing in recent years and the temperature trend is increasing in all the months, especially in the cold months of November, December and January. The average annual temperature of India in the year has increased significantly in the past 120 years. The trend analysis of temperature is tested significantly statistically at a 95% confidence level.
自古以来,地球的气候一直在变化。就多样性和人口而言,印度是一个幅员辽阔的国家。气候条件的任何重大变化都可能对该国的整个经济和文化结构产生影响。在气候变化研究中,温度是最重要的变量。这项研究旨在认识印度温度的变化趋势。为此,分析了1901年至2020年的温度数据。为了找出温度的变化,使用了各种统计工具。Mann-Kendall方法已与Sen斜率估计器一起用于确定趋势和斜率大小。采用ARIMA模型对数据序列进行温度趋势预测。研究表明,近年来气温变异性呈上升趋势,各月份气温变化趋势均呈上升趋势,尤其是11月、12月和1月的寒冷月份。在过去的120年里,印度的年平均气温明显上升。温度的趋势分析在95%的置信水平上进行了显著的统计检验。
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引用次数: 0
Emission of Methane From Wetland Paddy Fields: A Review 湿地水田甲烷排放研究进展
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220017
Naorem Twinkle Devi, Angom Sarjubala Devi, Khoiyangbam Raju Singh
Cultivation of rice is widely practiced throughout the world as rice is a staple food for half of the world’s population. However, the emission of methane (CH4) is an issue associated with the cultivation of rice. Many reports on the level of CH4 emission after treatment of different kinds of organic materials in paddy fields were reported. It was observed that the application of a combination of tested locally available compost along with inorganic NPK fertilisers effectively reduced the rate of emission of CH4. Intermittent wetting and drying in addition to the combined application of compost and NPK fertilisers will help in reducing the emission of CH4 up to 40 to 45%. To undertake an intermittent drainage system is a difficult step for the farmers to implement as it has extra cost and labour. Therefore, lawmakers should initiate steps to help farmers in order to reduce the emission of CH4 from paddy fields.
水稻种植在世界各地广泛实行,因为水稻是世界上一半人口的主食。然而,甲烷(CH4)的排放是与水稻种植相关的一个问题。关于稻田不同有机物质处理后CH4排放水平的报道较多。结果表明,本地有效堆肥与无机氮磷钾混合施用可有效降低CH4的排放速率。间歇性的湿润和干燥,加上堆肥和氮磷钾肥料的联合施用,将有助于减少CH4的排放,最多可减少40%至45%。采用间歇性排水系统对农民来说是一个困难的步骤,因为它有额外的成本和劳动力。因此,立法者应该采取措施帮助农民减少稻田中甲烷的排放。
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引用次数: 1
Environmental Education of Students Pursuing Higher Education: Probing on Climate Change Awareness 大学生环境教育:气候变化意识的探讨
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220020
Jane Salvador Castillo, Bryan M. Nozaleda
Several studies argued that the inclination of individuals to participate in activities aiming at environmental conservation emanates from their degree of awareness of the existing problem. Hence, this study examined the level of awareness of students of Batanes State College, Philippines, towards climate change and compare their knowledge to the individual backgrounds. The researchers used a survey questionnaire as the primary tool for gathering data. Mean and percentage were used to describe the profile of the respondents and their awareness of climate change while Chi-Square Test was used to determine the significant difference in the awareness of the respondents in terms of their profile. The results showed that the students demonstrated a moderate level of awareness of the occurrences, causes and consequences of climate change. When compared against their personal backgrounds, the result revealed that there is no significant difference in their level of climate change awareness. This moderate level of awareness towards climate change, despite the harsh weather conditions frequently experienced in Batanes, calls for intensifying the school’s efforts in raising awareness of the occurrence, consequences, and causes of climate change. Consequently, these actions will eventually improve the attitude and behaviour of the students to take active participation in the protection of the environment.
几项研究认为,个人参与旨在保护环境的活动的倾向源于他们对现有问题的认识程度。因此,本研究考察了菲律宾巴丹斯州立学院学生对气候变化的认识水平,并将他们的知识与个人背景进行比较。研究人员使用调查问卷作为收集数据的主要工具。使用平均值和百分比来描述受访者的概况及其对气候变化的认识,而使用卡方检验来确定受访者在其概况方面的认识的显着差异。结果显示,学生对气候变化的发生、原因和后果表现出中等程度的认识。对比其个人背景,结果显示其气候变化意识水平无显著差异。尽管巴丹岛经常经历恶劣的天气条件,但这种对气候变化的适度认识要求学校加强努力,提高对气候变化的发生、后果和原因的认识。因此,这些行动最终会改善学生积极参与环境保护的态度和行为。
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引用次数: 1
Climate Impact and Feasibility Analysis of Incineration Based Waste-to-Energy Plants in Delhi 德里焚烧垃圾发电厂对气候的影响及可行性分析
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220022
S.K. Singh, Adarsh Chawla, Satvik Chhabra, Mahima
Managing the increasing municipal solid waste (MSW) generated in cities across India has increasingly become a challenge for Pollution Control Boards and Civic Authorities. The increasing population of Delhi has led to overflowing landfills that contaminate groundwater and release tonnes of greenhouse gases. Lately, waste to energy (WtE) plants have emerged as the preferred option in Delhi for waste processing but their adoption has been marred with public disapproval, emission violations and below-par energy production. This study quantifies the climate impact and investigates the financial feasibility of incineration based WtE units in Delhi. The Climate Impact estimates the Greenhouse Gas emissions of WtE Incinerators and compares them with the GHG emissions avoided via Electricity Generation and Landfilling. For Feasibility Analysis, the cost and revenue streams data were estimated to find out Net Present Values for the project lifecycle and Break-even Periods. The climate impact of all 3 WtE plants came out to be positive, with the Bawana WtE leading at 468,041 tonnes of CO2-eq release. The Net Present Value after 20 years for Ghazipur, Bawana and Okhla WtE was at INR 594 million, 7541 million and 8965 million and break-even period was 12, 6, and 3 years, respectively. We conclude the study with policy recommendations & technical improvements aimed at improving feasibility, increasing renewable energy outputs and reducing the GHG emissions of WtE plants.
管理印度各城市产生的日益增加的城市固体废物(MSW)日益成为污染控制委员会和市政当局面临的挑战。德里不断增长的人口导致垃圾填埋场泛滥,污染地下水,释放出大量温室气体。最近,废物转化为能源(WtE)工厂已成为德里废物处理的首选,但由于公众的反对、排放违规和低于标准的能源生产,它们的采用受到了损害。本研究量化了气候影响,并调查了德里基于焚烧的垃圾焚烧装置的财务可行性。《气候影响》估计了垃圾焚烧炉的温室气体排放量,并将其与通过发电和填埋避免的温室气体排放量进行了比较。对于可行性分析,成本和收入流数据进行了估计,以找出项目生命周期和盈亏平衡期的净现值。所有3个污水处理厂对气候的影响都是积极的,其中巴瓦纳污水处理厂以468,041吨的二氧化碳当量排放量领先。Ghazipur、Bawana和Okhla WtE在20年后的净现值分别为5.94亿、7.541亿和8.965亿印度卢比,盈亏平衡期分别为12年、6年和3年。最后,我们提出了政策建议和技术改进,旨在提高可行性,增加可再生能源产出,减少WtE工厂的温室气体排放。
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引用次数: 0
Local Knowledge of Coastal Population to Sea Level Rise and Climate Change – A Case Study in Fishermen Community, Kanyakumari District, Tamil Nadu, India 沿海人口对海平面上升和气候变化的当地认识——以印度泰米尔纳德邦Kanyakumari地区渔民社区为例
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220011
Yoganandan Veeran, R.S. John Bose, S. Kandasamy
This research synthesises two evaluations of a local level climate change adaptation and planning process in the southernmost coastal region, Kanyakumari, India which was supported through community-based appraisals. First, understanding the public perception of climate change factors is crucial in generating support for climate change response. Second, generating enough grass-root level support from the local population to assess the long-term climate change impacts on decision-making to design the adaptation strategies for sea-level rise. These two results highlight the level of understanding and awareness of climate change’s impact by the local population in the coastal region of Kanyakumari. A well-designed questionnaire with structured interviews, to collect data on local knowledge and local perception of climate change and sea-level rise from 100 respondents was distributed each in 44 coastal villages in the study area. The finding showed that 20.7% of the local population have knowledge of climate change and its impacts and 18.4% of the population agreed that the impact of sea-level rise is experienced in the coastal region. This study is to provide insight into the communities’ knowledge of the adaptive capacity of the local population to cope with climate change towards the treaty of sea-level rise.
本研究综合了对印度最南端沿海地区Kanyakumari的地方层面气候变化适应和规划过程的两项评估,该评估得到了社区评估的支持。首先,了解公众对气候变化因素的看法对于为应对气候变化提供支持至关重要。第二,在当地民众中获得足够的基层支持,以评估气候变化对决策的长期影响,从而设计适应海平面上升的战略。这两个结果突出了Kanyakumari沿海地区当地居民对气候变化影响的理解和认识水平。在研究区44个沿海村庄分发了一份精心设计的问卷,其中包括结构化访谈,以收集100名受访者对气候变化和海平面上升的当地知识和看法的数据。调查结果显示,20.7%的当地人口了解气候变化及其影响,18.4%的人口认为沿海地区经历了海平面上升的影响。这项研究是为了深入了解社区对当地人口应对气候变化的适应能力的认识,以应对海平面上升的条约。
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引用次数: 0
Spit Evolution and Shoreline Changes Along Manamelkudi Coast Using Geo-Spatial Techniques and Statistical Approach 基于地理空间技术和统计方法的Manamelkudi海岸吐槽演化和海岸线变化
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220014
M. Premkumar, T. Kongeswaran, K. Sivakumar, A. Muruganantham, R. Muthuramalingam, S. Chandramohan, M. Vasanthavigar
The historical shoreline changes from 1980 to 2020 along the Manamelkudi coast is studied using toposheet, satellite time-series Landsat data, and observed data. An attempt is made to recognise possible factors which are responsible for shoreline changes and spit growth at south Manamelkudi coast (Palk Strait), Eastern part of Pudukkottai district, Tamilnadu. During 1980–2020, the regions showed distinct spatio-temporal variability, which is discussed in relation to spit evolution and shoreline changes. The study also generated a long-term (1980-2020) shoreline change statistics (EPR, LRR, SCE and NSM, WLR) using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) at every 150 m interval for the Manamelkudi coast covering 42 km, identified the erosion and accretion and divide the shoreline into different classes of erosion and accretion. Identified lengths of shoreline with high erosion, low erosion, stable, low accretion and high accretion are, respectively, based on LRR. The results indicate that spit evolution is predominant along the Manamelkudi coast, with the highest percentage of erosion and accretion.
利用toposheet、卫星时间序列Landsat数据和观测数据研究了1980 - 2020年Manamelkudi海岸的历史海岸线变化。在泰米尔纳德邦Pudukkottai地区东部的Manamelkudi南部海岸(保克海峡),试图识别可能导致海岸线变化和吐槽增长的因素。1980—2020年,各区域表现出明显的时空变异性,并与吐槽演化和岸线变化有关。利用数字海岸线分析系统(DSAS)对Manamelkudi 42 km的海岸线进行了长期(1980-2020年)的海岸线变化统计(EPR、LRR、SCE和NSM、WLR),识别了侵蚀和增生,并将海岸线划分为不同的侵蚀和增生等级。根据LRR分别确定了高侵蚀、低侵蚀、稳定、低加积和高加积的海岸线长度。结果表明,马纳尔库迪海岸以吐槽演化为主,侵蚀和增生比例最高。
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引用次数: 1
Long Term Microscale Decadal Analysis of Coastal Rainfall Pattern: An Indication of Microclimatic Variation in South India 沿海降雨模式的长期微尺度年代际分析:南印度小气候变化的指示
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220010
G. Pereira, Gurugnanam Balasubramanian, C. Sabarathinam, S. Goswami, Bairavi Swaminathan
There are drastic variations in the intensity and the pattern of rainfall and temperature globally. The variations thus reflect the variation in the microclimatic signatures. The current study aims to assess the climatic changes in the coastal region of Ramanathapuram using the monthly rainfall and temperature average along the coastal region. The microscale rainfall and temperature trend have been analysed for three decades (30 years), representing 1990 to 2019. The study was divided into three different periods: first (1990-1999), second (2000-2009), and the third decade (2010-2020). The study infers that 467 km2 of the area receives an average of 676 mm of rain in decade-I. In decade-II, 39 km2 of the area is noted with 637.6 mm rainfall, 48 km2 of the study area is reported to have 821 mm rainfall, and only 29 km2 area receives normal rainfall of 992 mm, but 351 km2 receives “excess” rainfall of above 1000 mm. In decade-III, less than 750 mm rainfall is recorded at 202 km2, with 43 km2 recorded “deficit” rainfall, and 24 km2 area received an “excess” rainfall. The variation in the amount of rain during the recent period was observed. Similarly, the temperature was comparatively elevated during the Ist Decade (1990-1999). The intensity of rain events, number of rainy days and frequency of rainfall reflected variations. The land surface temperatures also indicated minor variations and increased inter-monsoonal periods. The variation in the rainfall amount, the shift in monsoonal periods and the change in temperature indicate the microclimatic variation in the region.
在全球范围内,降雨和温度的强度和模式存在着巨大的变化。这些变化反映了小气候特征的变化。目前的研究旨在利用沿海地区的月降雨量和平均温度来评估Ramanathapuram沿海地区的气候变化。对三十年(即1990年至2019年)的微尺度降雨和温度趋势进行了分析。研究分为三个不同时期:第一个十年(1990-1999年),第二个十年(2000-2009年)和第三个十年(2010-2020年)。该研究推断,该地区467平方公里的地区在10年内平均降雨量为676毫米。十年来,39平方公里的降雨量为637.6毫米,48平方公里的降雨量为821毫米,只有29平方公里的降雨量为992毫米,但351平方公里的降雨量超过1000毫米。在第三十年,202平方公里的降雨量少于750毫米,43平方公里的降雨量为“亏缺”,24平方公里的降雨量为“过剩”。观测了最近一段时间降雨量的变化。同样,第一个十年(1990-1999)期间气温相对升高。降雨事件的强度、降雨日数和降雨频率反映了变化。陆地表面温度也显示出较小的变化和增加的季间期。降雨量的变化、季风期的变化和气温的变化反映了该地区的小气候变化。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Climate Change on Biodiversity of Arctic Biome 气候变化对北极生物多样性的影响
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220012
Shaheen Manna, Dipanwita Das, Sayantika Mukherjee, Amrita Saha
Polar zones are identified as high species richness areas on our planet. In certain regions of the Arctic and Antarctic, air temperatures are observed to be increasing at rates over two times the global average; there are other direct human impacts on polar areas like contamination, over utilisation and advancement. Polar environments and the biodiversity they support are now reacting to this change and it is normal that much more significant effects will happen this century. Intensifying the threat to polar biodiversity is the certainty that numerous polar environments have restricted functional redundancy; in case of the disappearance of a solitary keystone species, they may possibly be exposed to descending impacts and complete biological system rebuilding. Fast environmental change influencing the polar areas will likewise have significant physical and biological outcomes for the remaining part of the planet since the ice-covered Arctic Ocean, the Antarctic landmass, and the globally notable Antarctic Circumpolar Current serves a critical job in controlling the Earth’s environment and sea frameworks. This study concentrates on the contributing variables of environmental change, the impacts of environmental change on the Arctic biome, alongside the impacts of environmental change on the species of the Arctic biome. The outcomes are evident that biodiversity is being affected extremely by environmental change through its degradation of natural surroundings and adverse consequences on species inside.
极地地区被认为是地球上物种丰富度高的地区。在北极和南极的某些地区,气温的上升速度是全球平均水平的两倍以上;人类对极地地区还有其他直接影响,如污染、过度利用和发展。极地环境及其支持的生物多样性正在对这种变化做出反应,本世纪将发生更重大的影响是正常的。加强对极地生物多样性的威胁是许多极地环境限制功能冗余的确定性;如果一个单独的关键物种消失,它们可能会受到下降的影响和完整的生物系统重建。影响极地地区的快速环境变化也将对地球其余部分产生重大的物理和生物后果,因为冰雪覆盖的北冰洋、南极大陆和全球著名的南极环极流在控制地球环境和海洋框架方面发挥着关键作用。本文主要研究了环境变化的贡献变量、环境变化对北极生物群系的影响以及环境变化对北极生物群系物种的影响。结果表明,生物多样性正受到环境变化的极大影响,其表现形式是自然环境的退化和对物种的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Blue Carbon Stock of Coringa Mangroves: Climate Change Perspective 气候变化视角下哥林加红树林蓝碳储量评估
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220013
Karuna Rao, A. Ramanathan, N. J. Raju
‘Blue carbon’ has recently seized the attention of the scientific communities as they are believed to provide the benefits of climate change mitigation given its high potential to store carbon under unfavourable conditions. Keeping in mind the importance of the carbon storage capacity of mangroves, the present study has been carried out to determine the sedimentary organic carbon stock in Coringa mangroves. The value of total organic carbon (TOC) ranges from 0.63 to 2.76% with a mean value of 1.30±4.3%. The value of total nitrogen (TN) varies from 0.04 to 0.19% with an average value of 0.08±0.03%. Dry Bulk Density (DBD) ranges from 0.63 to 2.58 gm cm-3 with a mean value of 1.33±0.19 gm cm-3. The mean value of sedimentary carbon stock (SCS) in Coringa mangrove is 158±32.60 Mg C ha-1. This amounts to the below-ground sedimentary carbon stock being 1.86 Tg C and represents the equivalent CO2 emission of 579.9 Mg CO2e ha-1. The TOC, TN, DBD, and SCS show significant spatial variation among the different sites. The maximum carbon stock is found in densely vegetated Coringa mangroves, followed by moderately vegetated Gaderu mangroves and the least is found in the degraded forest of Matlapalem mangroves. Grain size parameters signify that there is no definite relationship between the organic carbon content and the abundance of finer sediments fractions in the Coringa mangrove. The higher carbon stock in Coringa mangroves reveals their importance in storing carbon and hence could have relevance on a national scale too and play an important role in climate change mitigation
“蓝碳”最近引起了科学界的注意,因为它们被认为具有在不利条件下储存碳的巨大潜力,因此可以提供减缓气候变化的好处。考虑到红树林碳储存能力的重要性,本研究对科林加红树林的沉积有机碳储量进行了测定。总有机碳(TOC)值为0.63 ~ 2.76%,平均值为1.30±4.3%。总氮(TN)的变化范围为0.04 ~ 0.19%,平均值为0.08±0.03%。干容重(DBD)范围为0.63 ~ 2.58 gm cm-3,平均值为1.33±0.19 gm cm-3。科林加红树林沉积碳储量(SCS)平均值为158±32.60 Mg C ha-1。这相当于地下沉积碳储量为1.86 Tg C,相当于二氧化碳排放量为579.9 Mg CO2e ha-1。TOC、TN、DBD和SCS在不同站点间存在显著的空间差异。植被茂密的Coringa红树林的碳储量最大,其次是中等植被的Gaderu红树林,退化的Matlapalem红树林的碳储量最少。粒度参数表明,有机碳含量与科林加红树林沉积物中较细组分丰度之间没有明确的关系。Coringa红树林较高的碳储量揭示了它们在储存碳方面的重要性,因此在全国范围内也可能具有相关性,并在减缓气候变化方面发挥重要作用
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引用次数: 4
Quantitative Analysis of ABA and SA in Rice (Oryza sativa L.) Grown Under Drought Stress 水稻中ABA和SA含量的定量分析在干旱胁迫下生长
IF 0.6 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-04 DOI: 10.3233/jcc220009
Preeti Verma, C. Azad, Pramod Kumar Singh
Rice cultivation requires plenty of water for its proper growth, development, and productivity. The regular life cycle of rice plants is disrupted by moderate to severe drought. Both abscisic acid (ABA) and salicylic acid (SA) have involvement in rice physiology under drought. With the limited information, we aimed to study the relationship between ABA and SA concentration in leaves of rice plants under drought. The experiment was performed on a drought-sensitive variety of Swarna MTU 7029 rice. The HPLC method was used to analyse the endogenous ABA and SA content. This study provided data on ABA and SA content in 0.5 mM SA treated and untreated 56 days old rice plants at 7, 14 and 28 days of drought. The result showed that the concentration of ABA was enhanced by 74.6%, 82.8%, and 99.4% during 7, 14, and 28 days of drought, respectively, while it was increased by 64.6%, 74.3% and 78.5% in SA treated plants under 7, 14 and 28 days drought, respectively. The concentration of SA enhanced by 132.2%, 19.7%, and 3.0% during 7, 14, and 28 days of drought, while it was increased to 137.5%, 54.8%, and 23.2% in SA treated plants under 7, 14, and 28 days drought, respectively. This explains that on the 7th day of drought stress, SA may suppress the formation of ABA but not much on the 14th and 28th days of drought stress in treated rice plants. This outcome helps study the interaction of ABA and SA at the gene level under drought stress.
水稻种植需要充足的水分才能正常生长、发育和生产。中重度干旱破坏了水稻植株的正常生命周期。脱落酸(ABA)和水杨酸(SA)均参与水稻干旱生理。利用有限的信息,我们旨在研究干旱条件下水稻叶片中ABA和SA浓度的关系。该试验是在干旱敏感品种Swarna MTU 7029水稻上进行的。采用高效液相色谱法测定其内源ABA和SA含量。本研究提供了干旱7、14和28 d时0.5 mM SA处理和未处理56 d水稻植株ABA和SA含量的数据。结果表明,干旱7、14和28 d时,ABA含量分别提高了74.6%、82.8%和99.4%;干旱7、14和28 d时,ABA含量分别提高了64.6%、74.3%和78.5%。干旱7、14和28 d时,SA浓度分别提高了132.2%、19.7%和3.0%;干旱7、14和28 d时,SA处理植株的SA浓度分别提高了137.5%、54.8%和23.2%。这说明在干旱胁迫第7天,SA对ABA的形成有一定的抑制作用,但在干旱胁迫第14天和第28天的抑制作用不明显。这一结果有助于在基因水平上研究干旱胁迫下ABA和SA的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Climate Change
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