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2012 Third Brazilian Workshop on Social Simulation最新文献

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An Agent-Based Model Suitable for Discussion of Institutions, Welfare and Capitalism 一个适用于制度、福利和资本主义讨论的基于主体的模型
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.25
L. Mattar, B. Reis
Tiebout's model operationalizes assumptions about decentralized behavior of a population of autonomous individuals who seek greater utility through choices between jurisdictions with different political institutions designed to aggregate preferences. Based on an agent-based model inspired by Tiebout's model, we discuss the validity of these assumptions for the case of empirical situations present in capitalist societies.
蒂布特的模型对一群自治个体的分散行为进行了假设,这些个体通过在不同的政治制度下寻求更大的效用,这些制度旨在汇总偏好。基于一个受Tiebout模型启发的基于主体的模型,我们讨论了这些假设在资本主义社会中存在的经验情况下的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Competitiveness and Social Inclusion within National Programme for Production and Use of Biofuels: Negative Feedbacks on Profitability Awareness in Sharp Institutional Settlements in Brazil South Region Concerning Soybean Oil 国家生物燃料生产和使用计划中的竞争力和社会包容:巴西南部地区有关豆油的尖锐机构解决方案中盈利意识的负面反馈
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.30
A. L. M. S. Zopelari, A. da Silva César
This paper intends to make some inferences about the relation of competiveness and social inclusion, and interpret in an operational manner the success of South Region soybean familiar growers ascribed to the National Programme for Biofuels Production and Use. It inquires the hypothesis of sharp institutional arrangements acting as an interface in the social system through whose structure the interrelation between competitiveness and social inclusion might take place. The methodology include collected data, statistical treatment of series and modelling the system. The theoretical framework stemmed from Ulrich Beck's Risk Society, Garret Hardin's Tragedy of the Commons and Eli nor Ostrom's Governing the Commons to Cesar's three-dimension analyses of governance towards competitiveness. The assessments confirmed that Insitutional Settlements are suitable to preclude Risks, but it needs finer operationalization. The model helped to enlight that the most sensitive variable is profitability and if there are severe perturbations, then the negative feedbacks will trigger social vulnerability.
本文旨在对竞争力与社会包容的关系做出一些推论,并以一种可操作的方式解释南方地区大豆熟悉种植者归因于国家生物燃料生产和使用计划的成功。它探讨了尖锐的制度安排作为社会系统中的接口的假设,通过其结构,竞争力和社会包容之间的相互关系可能发生。方法包括收集数据、序列统计处理和系统建模。理论框架源于乌尔里希·贝克的《风险社会》、加勒特·哈丁的《公地悲剧》和伊莱·诺·奥斯特罗姆的《治理公地》,以及塞萨尔对竞争力治理的三维分析。评估证实,机构结算适合于排除风险,但需要更精细的操作。该模型有助于揭示最敏感的变量是盈利能力,如果存在严重的扰动,那么负反馈将引发社会脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
A Multiagent Based Road Pricing Approach for Urban Traffic Management 基于多智能体的城市交通管理道路收费方法
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.22
A. Tavares, A. Bazzan
Traffic is a social system composed by different interacting entities and its optimization is not a trivial task. When drivers and infrastructure co-adapt to deal with the varying demand and infrastructure changes, respectively, centralized traffic optimization approaches face many difficulties. This work presents a multiagent based approach that uses variable road pricing to improve traffic efficiency. While infrastructure updates roads prices to cope with the varying demand, drivers try to adapt themselves to the road network changes in order to minimize their costs. Drivers have different preferences, caring either about their travel time (being hasty) or credit expenditure (being economic). Results show that the proposed road pricing approach benefits the hasty drivers, while more sophisticated pricing update policies need to be developed in order to create better alternatives for economic drivers.
交通是一个由不同的相互作用的实体组成的社会系统,其优化不是一项简单的任务。当驾驶员和基础设施共同适应不同的需求和基础设施变化时,集中式交通优化方法面临许多困难。这项工作提出了一种基于多智能体的方法,该方法使用可变道路收费来提高交通效率。当基础设施更新道路价格以应对不断变化的需求时,司机们试图适应道路网络的变化,以尽量减少他们的成本。司机有不同的偏好,要么关心他们的旅行时间(匆忙),要么关心他们的信用支出(经济)。结果表明,本文提出的道路定价方法有利于匆忙驾驶的驾驶员,而需要制定更复杂的定价更新政策,以便为经济驾驶员创造更好的替代方案。
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引用次数: 6
Elementary Social Functions: Concept and Interrelation to Social Dependence Relations 基本社会功能:社会依赖关系的概念及其相互关系
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.21
A. C. da Rocha Costa, G. Dimuro
This paper introduces a general notion of elementary systemic functions and shows how elementary systemic functions can be instantiated as elementary social functions in agent societies, thus allowing for a functional view of agent interactions. The paper shows a way to interrelate elementary social functions and social dependence relations, for social dependence relations determined by maintenance goals. Also, the paper introduces the notions of elementary functional cycles and elementary functional networks, with functional cycles constituting the operational bases of functional networks, and shows how such structures interrelate to social dependence networks. An example social system is analysed from this elementary functional point of view. Starting from its social dependence network, an elementary functional network is determined for such system. The distinction between elementary social functions and maintenance goals is emphasized in the analysis of the example.
本文介绍了基本系统功能的一般概念,并展示了如何将基本系统功能实例化为智能体社会中的基本社会功能,从而允许智能体交互的功能视图。对于由维持目标决定的社会依赖关系,提出了一种将基本社会功能与社会依赖关系联系起来的方法。此外,本文还介绍了初级功能循环和初级功能网络的概念,功能循环构成了功能网络的运作基础,并说明了这些结构如何与社会依赖网络相互关联。从基本功能的角度分析了一个社会系统实例。从其社会依赖网络出发,确定了该系统的初等功能网络。在实例分析中强调了基本社会功能与维护目标的区别。
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引用次数: 3
Analyzing the Evolution of Social Exchange Strategies in Social Preference-Based MAS through an Evolutionary Spatial Approach of the Ultimatum Game 基于最后通牒博弈的空间演化方法分析基于社会偏好的MAS社会交换策略演化
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.26
L. F. K. Macedo, G. Dimuro, M. Aguiar, A. Costa, V. Mattos, H. Coelho
This paper presents a multiagent-based approach of an evolutionary and spatial version of the Ultimatum Game interpreted as Game of Social Exchange Processes, where the agents organized in a complex network evolve their exchange strategies considering their possibly different social preferences. We analyze the possibility of the emergence of the equilibrium/fairness behavior when the agents, trying to maximize their social preference-based utility functions, increase the number of successful interactions. We consider an incomplete information game, since the agents do not have information about the other agents' exchange strategies. For the strategy learning process, a genetic algorithm is used, where the agents aiming at the self-regulation of the exchanges allowed by the game, balance individual and collective goals expressed by their social preferences. We also analyze a second type of scenario, considering an influence politics, when the average of the offer and reserve values of all agents adopting the same social preference form becomes public in a single simulation step, and the agents of the same network, have been influenced by that, imitate those values. At the same time, the network topology is modified, representing some kind of mobility, in order to analyze if the results are dependent on the neighborhood. The model was implemented in Net Logo.
本文提出了一种基于多智能体的方法,将最后通牒博弈的进化和空间版本解释为社会交换过程的博弈,其中组织在复杂网络中的智能体考虑到他们可能不同的社会偏好而进化他们的交换策略。我们分析了当主体试图最大化其基于社会偏好的效用函数时,增加成功交互次数时,均衡/公平行为出现的可能性。我们考虑一个不完全信息博弈,因为代理不知道其他代理的交换策略。策略学习过程采用遗传算法,agent以博弈允许的交换自我调节为目标,平衡个体和集体的社会偏好所表达的目标。我们还分析了第二种类型的场景,考虑影响政治,当所有采用相同社会偏好形式的代理的报价和储备值的平均值在单个模拟步骤中变得公开,并且同一网络的代理受其影响,模仿这些值。同时,对网络拓扑进行修改,表示某种移动性,以便分析结果是否依赖于邻域。该模型在Net Logo中实现。
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引用次数: 12
A Study on Socio-spatial Segregation Models Based on Multi-agent Systems 基于多智能体系统的社会空间隔离模型研究
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.14
C. Quadros, Felipe N. da Silva, J. Silveira, L. M. Rodrigues, L. S. Antiqueira, S. L. Briao, Suvania A. Oliveira, T. Cabreira
This work studies the modeling Socio-Spatial Segregation. This phenomenon occurs, most often, unintentionally in some cities, especially in large population centers. Multiagent simulation is adopted using the Net Logo software. From an existing template available in the models library, we developed some examples with variations for the basic case of social classes' segregation.
本文研究了社会空间隔离的建模。这种现象在一些城市,尤其是在人口密集的城市,往往是无意中发生的。采用Net Logo软件进行多智能体仿真。从模型库中可用的现有模板中,我们为社会阶级隔离的基本情况开发了一些具有变化的示例。
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引用次数: 3
Replicating Hofstede's Cultured Negotiation: A First Update 复制Hofstede的文化谈判:第一次更新
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.29
João Graça, H. Coelho
Hofstede et al. cultured negotiating agents simulation produced realistic behavior by incorporating Hofstede's dimensional model of culture in the agent's negotiation protocol and overall behavior. Given such a promising model to generate actual human-like behavior in artificial agents, and the lack of sound and well accepted replication methodologies, we reviewed our original replication research: the parameters sensitivity test replication, a new real countries indices simulation replication, the roadblocks encountered during the process and the suggestions in order to avoid such obstacles. New results continue to show a relational equivalence.
Hofstede等人培养的谈判代理人模拟通过将Hofstede的文化维度模型纳入代理人的谈判协议和整体行为,产生了逼真的行为。鉴于这样一个有希望在人工智能体中产生实际类人行为的模型,以及缺乏健全和公认的复制方法,我们回顾了我们最初的复制研究:参数敏感性测试复制,新的真实国家指数模拟复制,在此过程中遇到的障碍和建议,以避免这些障碍。新的结果继续显示出一种关系等价。
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引用次数: 2
Individual and Collective Rationality in Complex Economic Systems 复杂经济系统中的个体与集体理性
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.24
A. Kirman
Macroeconomics has been preoccupied by the analysis of equilibrium states and their properties. It is assumed that there are mechanisms which will always drive the economy to equilibrium, from which it is perturbed only by exogenous shocks. What is needed however, are models which treat the economy as a complex evolving system which may undergo sudden and radical endogenous changes. The interaction between the individuals and firms in the economy produces aggregate phenomena which are intrinsically different from the behavior of the individuals. Collective results may be more or less ârationalâ than individual behavior. Simulating agent-based models allows us to model the evolution of the economy and the emergence of crises which are absent from standard macroeconomic models.
宏观经济学一直专注于对均衡状态及其性质的分析。人们假设存在一些机制,这些机制将永远推动经济走向平衡,只有外部冲击才会干扰经济。然而,我们需要的是将经济视为一个复杂的进化系统的模型,这个系统可能会经历突然而激进的内生变化。经济中个人和企业之间的相互作用产生了本质上不同于个人行为的总体现象。集体的结果可能比个人的行为更理性。模拟基于主体的模型使我们能够模拟经济的演变和危机的出现,这是标准宏观经济模型所没有的。
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引用次数: 1
A Proposal for Interoperability to Agent Communication Using Synonyms 一个使用同义词实现代理通信互操作性的建议
Pub Date : 2012-10-20 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.16
Fábio Aiub Sperotto, D. Adamatti
This paper describes the development of an model in area of communication between agents. This study involves the concepts of agents and communication issues in their interactions. Using the ontology as a technique of classification of knowledge, the model includes an approach to build an intermediate software component between agents and ontological knowledge base, using synonyms in treatment of inaccuracy information. The software component uses Jenaand SPARQL for manipulation of the ontology. To validation, the case study used is the model of the multi-agent system that represents the urban vegetable garden of Parque São JerÃ'nimo (Spain).
本文描述了agent间通信领域的一个模型的开发。本研究涉及代理人的概念及其相互作用中的沟通问题。该模型采用本体作为知识分类技术,在agent和本体知识库之间构建中间软件构件,对不准确信息使用同义词进行处理。软件组件使用Jenaand SPARQL对本体进行操作。为了验证,使用的案例研究是代表Parque São JerÃ'nimo(西班牙)城市菜园的多智能体系统模型。
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引用次数: 1
Stock Prices Assessment: Proposal of a New Index Based on Volume Weighted Historical Prices 股票价格评估:基于成交量加权历史价格的新指数的建议
Pub Date : 2012-06-22 DOI: 10.1109/BWSS.2012.23
Tiago Colliri, F. Ferreira
The importance of considering the volumes to analyze stock prices movements can be considered as a well-accepted practice in the financial area. However, when we look at the scientific production in this field, we still cannot find a unified model that includes volume and price variations for stock assessment purposes. In this paper we present a computer model that could fulfill this gap, proposing a new index to evaluate stock prices based on their historical prices and volumes traded. Besides the model can be considered mathematically very simple, it was able to improve significantly the performance of agents operating with real financial data. Based on the results obtained, and also on the very intuitive logic of our model, we believe that the index proposed here can be very useful to help investors on the activity of determining ideal price ranges for buying and selling stocks in the financial market.
考虑交易量来分析股票价格变动的重要性可以被认为是金融领域公认的做法。然而,当我们审视这一领域的科学生产时,我们仍然无法找到一个包括数量和价格变化的统一模型来评估库存。在本文中,我们提出了一个可以弥补这一差距的计算机模型,提出了一个基于历史价格和交易量来评估股票价格的新指数。除了该模型在数学上非常简单之外,它还能够显著提高使用真实金融数据操作的代理的性能。根据得到的结果,以及我们模型的非常直观的逻辑,我们认为这里提出的指数可以非常有用地帮助投资者在金融市场上确定买卖股票的理想价格范围。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2012 Third Brazilian Workshop on Social Simulation
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