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Legal Regulation of the Multimodal Carriage of Goods 多式联运货物的法律规制
Pub Date : 2013-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2284952
N. Butakova
This article considers the issues of legal regulation of multimodal transport. Author analyses the problems of multimodal transport in practical activity and opportunity of their development, looks at main points of the multimodal operator’s liability.
本文探讨了多式联运的法律规制问题。分析了多式联运在实践中存在的问题和多式联运发展的机遇,探讨了多式联运经营人责任的要点。
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引用次数: 0
Vehicle Lifetime Trends and Scrappage Behavior in the U.S. Used Car Market 美国二手车市场的车辆寿命趋势和报废行为
Pub Date : 2013-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2262593
A. Bento, Kevin D. Roth, Yiou Zuo
Using national data on vehicles in operation, we examine long-run changes in scrappage patterns in passenger cars and light trucks in the United States between 1969 and 2014. We find that the average lifetime for passenger cars has increased from 12.2 to 15.6 years between 1970s and the 2000s. Our central estimate of the elasticity of scrappage with respect to vehicle prices is -0.4, which is substantially different than values adopted in simulation models. These estimates imply that many policies aimed at reducing gasoline consumption, including Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards and gasoline taxes may produce changes in the used vehicle market that are different than prior studies suggest. We also note that consumer scrappage behavior seems to respond more strongly to changes in vehicle price than changes in gasoline price than standard theory would predict.
利用全国车辆运行数据,我们研究了1969年至2014年间美国乘用车和轻型卡车报废模式的长期变化。我们发现,从20世纪70年代到21世纪初,乘用车的平均寿命从12.2年增加到15.6年。我们对车辆价格的报废弹性的中心估计是-0.4,这与模拟模型中采用的值有很大不同。这些估计表明,许多旨在减少汽油消耗的政策,包括企业平均燃油经济性标准和汽油税,可能会对二手车市场产生与先前研究结果不同的变化。我们还注意到,消费者报废行为对汽车价格变化的反应似乎比汽油价格变化的反应更强烈,这比标准理论所预测的要多。
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引用次数: 48
Literature Review: Conditions of Sustainable Transport 文献综述:可持续交通的条件
Pub Date : 2013-05-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2263698
Rabia Achairi, Ezzeddine Ben Mohamed, A. Bouri
Sustainable transport is the integration of sustainable development in the transport sector. Transportation is the worst performers of the environment. It is true that respond to multiple logical, social, political, economic and technical, which is not conducive to their control. It is in this context that the subject of this article with which it is proposed to study the conditions of sustainable transport in Tunisia. These policies to decouple transport growth and economic development lead to cost savings by reducing environmental costs. This paper focuses on verifying the relationship between transport and economic growth in the first place and transport and environmental effects in second place in the context of a small developing economy, that of Tunisia. Indeed, the period covered is between 1980 and 2008.
可持续交通是可持续发展在交通运输领域的整合。交通运输是环境中表现最差的。诚然,对社会、政治、经济、技术等多重逻辑的回应,不利于其控制。正是在这一背景下,本文的主题是建议研究突尼斯可持续运输的条件。这些使交通增长和经济发展脱钩的政策通过降低环境成本来节省成本。本文的重点是在突尼斯这个小型发展中经济体的背景下,首先验证运输与经济增长之间的关系,其次验证运输与环境影响之间的关系。事实上,所涵盖的时间段是1980年至2008年。
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引用次数: 5
A Mean-Risk Model for the Traffic Assignment Problem with Stochastic Travel Times 随机出行时间下交通分配问题的平均风险模型
Pub Date : 2013-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2298389
E. Nikolova, N. Stier-Moses
Heavy and uncertain traffic conditions exacerbate the commuting experience of millions of people across the globe. When planning important trips, commuters typically add an extra buffer to the expected trip duration to ensure on-time arrival. Motivated by this, we propose a new traffic assignment model that takes into account the stochastic nature of travel times. Our model extends the traditional model of Wardrop competition when uncertainty is present in the network. The focus is on strategic risk-averse users who capture the trade-off between travel times and their variability in a mean-standard deviation objective, defined as the mean travel time plus a risk-aversion factor times the standard deviation of travel time along a path. We consider both infinitesimal users, leading to a nonatomic game, and atomic users, leading to a discrete finite game. We establish conditions that characterize an equilibrium traffic assignment and find when it exists. The main challenge is posed by the users' risk aversion, since the mean-standard deviation objective is nonconvex and nonseparable, meaning that a path cannot be split as a sum of edge costs. As a result, even an individual user's subproblem---a stochastic shortest path problem---is a nonconvex optimization problem for which no polynomial time algorithms are known. In turn, the mathematical structure of the traffic assignment model with stochastic travel times is fundamentally different from the deterministic counterpart. In particular, an equilibrium characterization requires exponentially many variables, one for each path in the network, since an edge flow has multiple possible path-flow decompositions that are not equivalent. Because of this, characterizing the equilibrium and the socially optimal assignment, which minimizes the total user cost, is more challenging than in the traditional deterministic setting. Nevertheless, we prove that both can be encoded by a representation with just polynomially many paths. Finally, under the assumption that the standard deviations of travel times are independent from edge loads, we show that the worst-case ratio between the social cost of an equilibrium and that of an optimal solution is not higher than the analogous ratio in the deterministic setting. In other words, uncertainty does not further degrade the system performance in addition to strategic user behavior alone.
繁忙和不确定的交通状况加剧了全球数百万人的通勤体验。当计划重要的行程时,通勤者通常会在预期的行程时间内增加额外的缓冲时间,以确保准时到达。基于此,本文提出了一种考虑出行时间随机性的交通分配模型。当网络中存在不确定性时,我们的模型扩展了传统的Wardrop竞争模型。重点是战略风险规避用户,他们在平均标准偏差目标中捕获旅行时间及其可变性之间的权衡,定义为平均旅行时间加上风险规避因素乘以沿路径旅行时间的标准偏差。我们同时考虑无穷小用户(导致非原子博弈)和原子用户(导致离散有限博弈)。我们建立了表征均衡交通分配的条件,并发现它何时存在。主要的挑战来自于用户的风险规避,因为平均标准差目标是非凸的和不可分离的,这意味着路径不能被分割为边缘成本的总和。因此,即使是单个用户的子问题——随机最短路径问题——也是一个没有已知多项式时间算法的非凸优化问题。反过来,具有随机行程时间的交通分配模型的数学结构与具有确定性的交通分配模型有着根本的不同。特别是,平衡表征需要指数级多的变量,网络中的每条路径都有一个变量,因为边缘流有多个可能的路径流分解,这些分解是不等价的。正因为如此,描述均衡和社会最优分配,使总用户成本最小化,比传统的确定性设置更具挑战性。然而,我们证明了两者都可以用多项式路径的表示来编码。最后,在假定旅行时间的标准差与边缘载荷无关的情况下,我们证明了均衡的社会成本与最优解的社会成本之间的最坏情况之比不高于确定性设置下的类似比率。换句话说,除了策略用户行为之外,不确定性不会进一步降低系统性能。
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引用次数: 77
Estimating Crowding Costs in Public Transport 估算公共交通拥挤成本
Pub Date : 2013-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2256332
L. Haywood, M. Koning
Preferences for transport activities are often considered only in terms of time and money. Whilst congestion in automobile traffic increases costs by raising trip durations, the same is less obvious in public transport (PT), especially rail-based. This has lead many economic analyses to conclude that there exists a free lunch by reducing the attractiveness of automobile transport at no (or little) cost for PT users. This article argues that congestion in PT - crowding - is also costly. Using survey data from the Paris metro we estimate the degree to which users value comfort in terms of less crowding. Using a contingent valuation method (CVM) we describe marginal willingness to pay over different parts of the distribution of in-vehicle crowding and consider moderating factors. We conclude that the total welfare cost for a trip rises from e2.42 for a seated passenger to e3.69 under the most congested conditions. We apply our results to the cost-benefit analysis of a recent investment in PT in Paris and consider broader implications for transport policy. In particular, we highlight that PT congestion is a first-order urban externality.
对交通活动的偏好通常只考虑时间和金钱。虽然汽车交通拥堵会增加出行时间,从而增加成本,但在公共交通(PT),尤其是铁路交通中,这种情况不太明显。这导致许多经济分析得出结论,通过降低汽车运输的吸引力,在没有(或很少)成本的情况下,对PT用户来说,存在免费午餐。本文认为,PT中的拥堵——拥挤——也是代价高昂的。利用巴黎地铁的调查数据,我们估计了用户在减少拥挤方面对舒适度的重视程度。利用条件评估方法(CVM)描述了不同区域的边际支付意愿,并考虑了调节因素。我们得出的结论是,在最拥挤的情况下,每次出行的总福利成本从每位乘客2.42欧元上升到3.69欧元。我们将结果应用于最近在巴黎投资PT的成本效益分析,并考虑对交通政策的更广泛影响。我们特别强调,交通拥堵是一级城市外部性。
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引用次数: 27
Service Provision on a Railway Network: A Laboratory Experiment 铁路网络上的服务提供:一个实验室实验
Pub Date : 2012-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2164383
Aurora García-Gallego, Nikolaos Georgantzís, Gerardo Sabater
Inspired by the ongoing debate regarding the liberalization of the Spanish railway network, we use real-world information on the features of passenger transportation demand and the existing network infrastructure to build a complex experimental setting. We test the efficiency of alternative service provision obligations imposed to railway companies. Our results show that imposing a minimum service for less profitable connections not only improves consumer and overall welfare but will not harm the companies, because it enhances connectivity and the overall demand on the network. In the absence of such service provision restrictions, the companies failing to recognize the profitability of creating a complete network leave some connections unserved, thus reducing overall demand for passenger services.
受正在进行的关于西班牙铁路网络自由化的辩论的启发,我们使用关于客运需求特征和现有网络基础设施的真实信息来建立一个复杂的实验环境。我们测试了强加给铁路公司的替代服务提供义务的效率。我们的研究结果表明,对利润较低的连接实施最低服务不仅提高了消费者和整体福利,而且不会损害公司,因为它增强了连接和对网络的总体需求。在没有这种服务提供限制的情况下,公司没有认识到建立一个完整的网络的盈利能力,导致一些连接得不到服务,从而降低了对客运服务的总体需求。
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引用次数: 0
Hours of Service Regulations in Road Freight Transport: An Optimization-based International Assessment 公路货物运输服务时间规则:基于优化的国际评估
Pub Date : 2012-05-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2057556
A. Goel, Thibaut Vidal
Driver fatigue is internationally recognized as a significant factor in approximately 15%--20% of commercial road transport crashes. In their efforts to increase road safety and improve working conditions of truck drivers, governments worldwide are enforcing stricter limits on the amount of working and driving time without rest. This paper describes an effective optimization algorithm for minimizing transportation costs for a fleet of vehicles considering business hours of customers and hours of service regulations. The algorithm combines the exploration capacities of population-based metaheuristics, the quick improvement abilities of local search, with forward labeling procedures for checking compliance with complex hours of service regulations. Several speed-up techniques are proposed to achieve an overall efficient approach. The proposed approach is used to assess the impact of different hours of service regulations from a carrier-centric point of view. Extensive computational experiments for various sets of regulations in the United States, Canada, the European Union, and Australia are conducted to provide an international assessment of the impact of different rules on transportation costs and accident risks. Our experiments demonstrate that European Union rules lead to the highest safety, whereas Canadian regulations are the most competitive in terms of economic efficiency. Australian regulations appear to have unnecessarily high risk rates with respect to operating costs. The recent rule change in the United States reduces accident risk rates with a moderate increase in operating costs.
国际上公认驾驶员疲劳是造成约15%- 20%商业道路交通事故的重要因素。为了提高道路安全和改善卡车司机的工作条件,世界各国政府正在对不休息的工作量和驾驶时间实施更严格的限制。本文描述了一种考虑客户营业时间和服务时间规定的车队运输成本最小化的有效优化算法。该算法结合了基于群体的元启发式的探索能力、局部搜索的快速改进能力,以及检查是否符合复杂的服务时间规则的前向标记程序。提出了几种加速技术,以实现全面有效的方法。所提出的方法用于从以运营商为中心的角度评估不同服务时间规定的影响。对美国、加拿大、欧盟和澳大利亚的各种法规进行了广泛的计算实验,以提供不同规则对运输成本和事故风险影响的国际评估。我们的实验表明,欧盟的规定带来了最高的安全性,而加拿大的规定在经济效率方面最具竞争力。就运营成本而言,澳大利亚的法规似乎有不必要的高风险。美国最近的规则变化降低了事故风险,同时适度增加了运营成本。
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引用次数: 77
A Preliminary Feasibility Study of Bus Rapid Transit System in the Context of Present Road Network in Dhaka 达喀市现有路网下快速公交系统的初步可行性研究
Pub Date : 2012-02-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2009988
S. M. S. Mahmud, M. Anwar
Like many other cities in developing countries Dhaka is struggling with the problem of how to upgrade and improve existing transit services at a low cost. The ever-increasing chaos and congestion, high rate of accidents and rapidly deteriorating transport operational, management and environmental condition calls for immediate considerations of an alternative transport option that could reduce the transport problem. In the way of searching a fruitful solution to the transport problem, various options are available. The experience of other developing countries (like Columbia, Jakarta) shows that implementation of a bus rapid transit option may come out successful. But, it is still questionable whether the modern space efficient mass transit system particularly introduce of BRT is feasible or not for the present road network system viz. quantity, quality, orientation, functionality as well as land use and transport network structure of this city. This study presents the prevailing transport and traveling scenario and the characteristics of existing mass transit system in Dhaka Metropolitan city. Particular emphasis has been made to assess the feasibility of BRT options as compared to the physical and infrastructural capacity of the road network of Dhaka city. Finally, a set of recommendations have been proposed to improve the physical, infrastructural and operational condition of the transportation system aims at introducing modern mass rapid transit system in Dhaka Metropolitan City to meet the future enormous demand.
与发展中国家的许多其他城市一样,达卡正在努力解决如何以低成本升级和改善现有交通服务的问题。日益增加的混乱和拥挤、高事故率以及运输业务、管理和环境状况的迅速恶化,要求立即考虑一种可以减少运输问题的替代运输选择。在寻找解决交通问题的有效办法的过程中,有各种各样的选择。其他发展中国家(如哥伦比亚、雅加达)的经验表明,实施快速公交方案可能会取得成功。但是,以BRT为代表的现代空间高效轨道交通系统,在数量、质量、定位、功能以及城市土地利用和交通网络结构等方面,对于目前城市的道路网络系统是否可行仍是一个疑问。本研究提出达卡大都市区现有轨道交通系统的主要交通和出行场景及特点。特别强调的是,与达喀市道路网络的实际和基础设施能力相比,评估快速公交选择的可行性。最后,提出了一套建议,以改善运输系统的物质、基础设施和运营条件,目的是在达卡大都市引进现代大众快速运输系统,以满足未来的巨大需求。
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引用次数: 7
Comparing the Maritime Potential of Southeast Asian Nations 比较东南亚国家的海洋潜力
Pub Date : 2011-10-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1941207
H. Evers, Azhari Karim
Countries may utilize a long coastline in relation to their landmass as a resource to develop their maritime economy. This paper argues that ASEAN countries differ in utilizing their maritime potential. As a basis for further comparative studies the Center for Policy Research and International Studies (CenPRIS) in Penang developed a set of indicators to measure the maritime potential of nations, the state of their maritime industries and the degree to which the maritime potential has actually been utilized. Using the CenPRIS Ocean Index (COI) shows that Brunei and the Philippines have underutilized their maritime potentials, whereas Singapore and Thailand have made full use of it. Malaysia still has the potential to further develop its maritime economy.
各国可以利用相对于其陆地的较长的海岸线作为发展其海洋经济的资源。本文认为,东盟国家在利用其海洋潜力方面存在差异。作为进一步比较研究的基础,槟城政策研究与国际研究中心(CenPRIS)制定了一套指标来衡量各国的海洋潜力、其海运业的状况以及海洋潜力实际得到利用的程度。使用CenPRIS海洋指数(COI)显示,文莱和菲律宾未充分利用其海洋潜力,而新加坡和泰国则充分利用了海洋潜力。马来西亚仍有进一步发展海洋经济的潜力。
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引用次数: 2
Cost and Performance Evaluation Impacts of Container Vessels on Seaport Container Terminals 集装箱船舶成本与性能评价对海港集装箱码头的影响
Pub Date : 2011-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1959372
Günther Pawellek, Schönknecht Axel
The subject of this paper is a method of evaluating cost and performance of container ships as means of transport in the main part of the intermodal transport chain for ISO containers. The reason for doing so is the continuous development in the size of container ships and the infrastructure development to cater for them, as well as the transport chain development in pre- and on-carriage that cannot be evaluated as riskless. The method described will make clear that the factors for success or lack of success for large container ships can be found almost exclusively in the ports and their hinterland infrastructure.
本文的主题是集装箱船作为ISO集装箱多式联运链中主要部分的运输工具的成本和性能评估方法。这样做的原因是集装箱船舶规模的不断扩大和配套基础设施的发展,以及运输链在运输前和运输途中的发展,这些都不能被认为是无风险的。所描述的方法将清楚地表明,大型集装箱船成功或不成功的因素几乎完全可以在港口及其腹地基础设施中找到。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Transportation Science eJournal
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