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Averaged Chain Substitution Method 平均链取代法
Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.4.09
The article presents the essence and methodology of the universal and precise method of determinant factor analysis developed for the needs of financial and economic analysis. The averaged chain substitution method is a modification of the chain substitution method, which is the fundamental and most commonly used method of determinant factor analysis. The averaged method of chain substitutions eliminates the only significant disadvantage of the chain substitution method, namely the ambiguity (non-accuracy) of the results obtained thereby regarding the quantitative measurement of the individual influence which the participating factor variables exert on the variation of the result indicator while changing the order of the substitution of factor variables in the construction of the factor chains. The methodology of the developed average chain substitution method is presented. Mathematical expressions are derived for the quantitative determination of the individual factor influences over the variation of the result indicator with those dependences between result indicator and participating factor variables that are most commonly used in financial and economic analysis. The methodology of the offered method can also be applied to more complex mathematical dependencies that define the relationship between result indicator and participating factor variables. Similarly, it is applicable in the study of a wide range of economic and non-economic indicators.
本文介绍了为适应金融经济分析的需要而发展起来的通用而精确的决定因素分析方法的本质和方法论。平均链取代法是对链取代法的改进,是决定因素分析中最基本、最常用的方法。链置换的平均法消除了链置换法唯一显著的缺点,即在因子链构建过程中,在改变因子变量置换顺序的同时,在定量测量各参与因子变量对结果指标变化的个别影响时,所得结果存在歧义(不准确)。介绍了发展的平均链取代法的方法。通过金融和经济分析中最常用的结果指标与参与因素变量之间的依赖关系,导出了用于定量确定单个因素对结果指标变化的影响的数学表达式。所提供的方法也可以应用于定义结果指标和参与因素变量之间关系的更复杂的数学依赖关系。同样,它也适用于广泛的经济和非经济指标的研究。
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引用次数: 0
International Comparison of Changes in Population Consumption in European Countries 欧洲国家人口消费变化的国际比较
Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.4.12
The article presents some of the results of a study of differences and changes in per capita consumption for the 2000-2014 period for a group of European countries. The given study is part of a research project under contract № NID NI – 15/2017 to NID of UNWE, on the topic of “Analyzing the “consumer – investment products” ratio in the final production in Bulgarian economy – a tool for assessing the reproductive potential of the national economy”. The study of changes in per capita consumption in dynamics and comparability between countries covers the following group of 25 countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Great Britain, Germany, Greece, Denmark, Estonia, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Finland, France and the Czech Republic. The dynamics of per capita consumption for the 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2014 periods have been studied. Data for later years are missing. The research is based on the consumption per person in 56 product groups according to a single nomenclature and a single measure, in this case – the US dollar (at the average annual exchange rate to the national currency and at current prices). Unlike the study of consumption structures only, of structural differences and changes over time, this part of the study takes into account both structural differences and changes, as well as volume differences and changes. The article presents the results of the research, per the requirements in the № NID NI – 15/2017 to NID of UNWE contract, and its goal lies solely in the presentation of results.
这篇文章介绍了一项对2000-2014年期间一组欧洲国家人均消费差异和变化的研究的一些结果。该研究是与UNWE NID签订的NID NI - 15/2017合同下的研究项目的一部分,该项目的主题是“分析保加利亚经济最终生产中的“消费者-投资产品”比例-评估国民经济生殖潜力的工具”。对各国间人均消费动态和可比性变化的研究包括下列25个国家:奥地利、比利时、保加利亚、英国、德国、希腊、丹麦、爱沙尼亚、爱尔兰、西班牙、意大利、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、荷兰、挪威、波兰、葡萄牙、罗马尼亚、俄罗斯、斯洛伐克、斯洛文尼亚、匈牙利、芬兰、法国和捷克共和国。研究了2000年、2005年、2010年和2014年期间的人均消费动态。之后几年的数据缺失。这项研究是基于56种产品类别的人均消费,根据单一的命名法和单一的衡量标准,在这种情况下是美元(按对本国货币的年平均汇率和现行价格计算)。与只研究消费结构、结构差异和随时间变化的研究不同,这部分研究既考虑了结构差异和变化,也考虑了数量差异和变化。本文根据NID NI - 15/2017至UNWE合同NID的要求展示了研究结果,其目标仅在于展示结果。
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引用次数: 0
Convergence of the Technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the Systematic Consequences for the Economies and Societies (Part 1) 第四次工业革命技术的融合及其对经济和社会的系统性影响(上)
Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.4.10
The article applies a systematic and political approach in exploring the convergent nature of the technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the related exponential, synergistic and emergent changes that occur at all levels of the surrounding world. This approach is driven by the understanding that nothing today can be separated into separate logics, fields, theories, because everything around us is becoming more interconnected, and this is the driving mechanism of the synergistic and emergent changes in technologies and, through them, in economy and societies. The enormous volume of this type of research is the reason it has been divided into two parts in order to broadly cover the object of the research, which is related to the convergent nature of modern technologies, as well as its subject, related to the disclosure of the scale of the ongoing changes. In order to achieve these goals, the first part focuses on the various technological revolutions and the growth of interconnection, because interconnectivity itself is inseparable from technological development. It also analyzes the convergent nature of several types of technologies – digital, nano-, bio- and cogni-, which interact with each other and this leads to emergent and exponential characteristics of change.
本文采用系统和政治的方法来探索第四次工业革命技术的融合性质,以及在周围世界各个层面发生的相关指数、协同和紧急变化。这种方法是由这样一种理解驱动的,即今天没有什么可以被分离成单独的逻辑、领域和理论,因为我们周围的一切都变得更加相互联系,这是技术协同和新兴变化的驱动机制,并通过它们,在经济和社会中。这类研究的庞大数量是它被分为两部分的原因,以便广泛地涵盖研究对象,这与现代技术的趋同性质有关,以及它的主题,与正在发生的变化的披露规模有关。为了实现这些目标,第一部分重点介绍了各种技术革命和互联互通的成长,因为互联互通本身与技术发展是分不开的。它还分析了数字、纳米、生物和认知等几种技术的融合性质,这些技术相互作用,导致了新兴的和指数级的变化特征。
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引用次数: 0
Continuing Training for Persons with Higher Education – Challenges and Opportunities for Universities 高等教育人员的持续培训-大学的挑战与机遇
Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.4.04
The offered continuing education in higher schools in Bulgaria covers various activities, among which the non-formal training courses stand out, aimed mainly at persons with higher education. The ongoing changes in the socioeconomic environment are accompanied by the dynamics of the users of non-formal education and the formation of certain challenges for continuing education and training in higher education. The main goal of the article is to study the state and dynamics of participation in nonformal education of the population with higher education in Bulgaria, on the basis of which conclusions are formulated for future policies and approaches to improve the continuing education offered in higher education. The object of research are people with higher education in Bulgaria, and the subject of research is the participation in non-formal training. The main source of information is statistics from the last three editions (2007, 2011 and 2016) of the Adult Education Survey (Eurostat), which covers EU countries and provides opportunities for comparative analysis within the community. The 2007-2016 period coincides with the first decade of Bulgaria’s membership in the EU, including the beginning of the formation of the integrated European labor market in the conditions of free movement of people and workers.
保加利亚高等学校提供的继续教育包括各种活动,其中最突出的是非正式培训课程,主要针对受过高等教育的人。社会经济环境的持续变化伴随着非正规教育使用者的动态变化,对高等教育的继续教育和培训形成了一定的挑战。本文的主要目标是研究保加利亚受过高等教育的人口参加非正规教育的状况和动态,在此基础上制定结论,以制定未来的政策和方法,以改善高等教育中提供的继续教育。研究对象是保加利亚受过高等教育的人,研究对象是参加非正规培训的人。信息的主要来源是成人教育调查(Eurostat)的最后三个版本(2007年,2011年和2016年)的统计数据,该调查涵盖了欧盟国家,并为社区内的比较分析提供了机会。2007-2016年恰逢保加利亚加入欧盟的第一个十年,包括在人员和工人自由流动的条件下开始形成一体化的欧洲劳动力市场。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated Approach to Local Development Planning 统筹本地发展规划
Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.4.03
The article examines the normative and methodological framework of regional and spatial planning in Bulgaria after the 1990s. The problems and challenges facing complex planning in Bulgarian municipalities are outlined. Alternatives for integrated planning are proposed in order to achieve sustainable local development.
本文考察了1990年代以后保加利亚区域和空间规划的规范和方法框架。概述了保加利亚各市复杂规划所面临的问题和挑战。为了实现可持续的地方发展,提出了综合规划的备选方案。
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引用次数: 0
Aggregate Demand and Macroeconomic Dynamics in the EU: A Comparative Analysis of Old and New Member States 欧盟的总需求和宏观经济动态:新老成员国的比较分析
Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.3.05
The paper looks at the macroeconomic dynamics in old and new EU Member States interpreted in light of the changes in the ag­gregate demand. The focus is on examining changes in individual components of aggregate demand over time, their relative importance, and their contribution to real GDP growth rates. This reveals the distinct features of old and new EU Member States in terms of the cost dependence of GDP growth and the resulting macroeconomic consequences.
本文从总需求变化的角度分析了欧盟新老成员国的宏观经济动态。重点是考察总需求的各个组成部分随时间的变化、它们的相对重要性以及它们对实际GDP增长率的贡献。这揭示了欧盟新老成员国在国内生产总值增长的成本依赖性和由此产生的宏观经济后果方面的明显特点。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency in Marketing Communications – Overview and Distinctions 营销传播的效率-概述和区别
Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.3.11
The article presents an overview as well as a topical aspect in the field of research and understanding of efficiency in marketing communications – focusing on the benefits, including the financial results for the com­pany, and all related distinctions. A thesis is supported that a distinction between econom­ic and non-economic efficiency in marketing communications is a good basis for better understanding of immediate and potential re­sults and – based on this – for selection and development of the metrics. Both types could have an immediate or delayed contribution to the company’s financial results.
这篇文章提出了一个概述,以及一个专题方面的研究和理解效率在营销传播领域-重点是利益,包括公司的财务结果,以及所有相关的区别。本文认为,区分营销传播中的经济效率和非经济效率是一个很好的基础,可以更好地理解直接和潜在的结果,并在此基础上选择和发展指标。这两种类型都可能对公司的财务业绩产生直接或延迟的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Marketing Synergy on the New Product Results 营销协同对新产品效果的影响
Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.3.03
Studies reveal that marketing synergy is related to the market performance of new products, and thus is considered to be a fac­tor of their success. The goal of the article is to present results from an empirical study of the impact of marketing synergy on new prod­uct results in Bulgarian companies. The article outlines research on the resource theory as a base for the concept of marketing synergy, and presents different views of marketing synergy as a success factor in new product develop­ment. Marketing synergy is regarded as con­gruency between the existing marketing skills of the firm and the marketing skills needed to execute a new product initiative successfully. A methodological approach for research of the marketing synergy has been developed. Results of the empirical study reveal that there is a link between the level of marketing synergy and the indicators for measurement of new prod­uct results, but there isn’t a link between the level of marketing synergy and the level of new product success.
研究表明,营销协同与新产品的市场表现有关,因此被认为是新产品成功的一个因素。本文的目标是目前的结果,从营销协同对新产品的结果在保加利亚公司的影响的实证研究。本文概述了作为营销协同概念基础的资源理论研究,并提出了营销协同作为新产品开发成功因素的不同观点。营销协同被认为是企业现有营销技能与成功执行新产品倡议所需的营销技能之间的一致性。本文提出了一种研究营销协同效应的方法论方法。实证研究结果表明,营销协同水平与新产品效果衡量指标之间存在联系,但营销协同水平与新产品成功水平之间不存在联系。
{"title":"Impact of Marketing Synergy on the New Product Results","authors":"","doi":"10.37075/isa.2020.3.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37075/isa.2020.3.03","url":null,"abstract":"Studies reveal that marketing synergy is related to the market performance of new products, and thus is considered to be a fac­tor of their success. The goal of the article is to present results from an empirical study of the impact of marketing synergy on new prod­uct results in Bulgarian companies. The article outlines research on the resource theory as a base for the concept of marketing synergy, and presents different views of marketing synergy as a success factor in new product develop­ment. Marketing synergy is regarded as con­gruency between the existing marketing skills of the firm and the marketing skills needed to execute a new product initiative successfully. A methodological approach for research of the marketing synergy has been developed. Results of the empirical study reveal that there is a link between the level of marketing synergy and the indicators for measurement of new prod­uct results, but there isn’t a link between the level of marketing synergy and the level of new product success.","PeriodicalId":435790,"journal":{"name":"Economic and social alternatives","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125647600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the Role and Challenges for Continuing Training Development of Human Potential: From Knowledge to Competence 论人的潜能持续培训开发的作用与挑战:从知识到能力
Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.3.09
Continuing training plays a vital role in making people who participate in it more significant and more active in lifelong learning which will guarantee them higher employment, earnings, professional development, active participation in professional life, as well as the entire future life in general. It is the duty of Bulgaria’s current educational system to create and nurture the pursuit of more knowledge for continuous participation in the learning process and, subsequently, in continuing training, i.e. to create an enduring and systematic desire for learning. At present, the constant reforms in Bulgarian education have been unsuccessful in that endeavour. Other factors that play a key role include: the labour market, the management of human resources in organizations, the place and role which they assign and expect from education; they also reward and encourage it. The mindset and desire to learn, to improve one’s knowledge and skills, are crucial to continuing training and lifelong learning – they are largely predetermined at a young age by family and the environment, as well as the enrollment and nurturing of children in childcare facilities at a young age. What plays a significant role in that regard is early career guidance – a system which remains underdeveloped and underestimated when in fact it is supposed to precede every choice from early age to old age. In order for the continuous lifelong training policy to be implemented effectively, the role of education and educated people needs to be strengthened through the role of parents, the educational system itself, employers and society as a whole. For Bulgaria this involves the prioritization of education and knowledgeable people, and the accumulation of knowledge and skills should be the goal of society, organizations and every single individual; in other words, a significant change in values and policies is needed.
继续培训在使参加培训的人更有意义、更积极地终身学习方面发挥着至关重要的作用,这将保证他们有更高的就业、收入、专业发展、积极参与职业生活,以及整个未来的生活。保加利亚目前的教育制度有责任创造和培养对更多知识的追求,以便继续参加学习过程,并随后继续参加培训,即创造持久和系统的学习愿望。目前,保加利亚教育的不断改革在这方面的努力没有成功。其他发挥关键作用的因素包括:劳动力市场、组织中人力资源的管理、他们分配和期望从教育中获得的地位和作用;他们也奖励和鼓励它。学习的心态和愿望,提高自己的知识和技能,对于继续培训和终身学习至关重要——它们在很大程度上是由家庭和环境决定的,以及儿童在幼年时在托儿机构的入学和培养。在这方面发挥重要作用的是早期职业指导- -这一制度仍然不发达和被低估,而实际上它应该先于从幼年到老年的每一个选择。为了使持续的终身培训政策得到有效执行,需要通过家长、教育系统本身、雇主和整个社会的作用来加强教育和受过教育的人的作用。对保加利亚来说,这涉及优先考虑教育和有知识的人,知识和技能的积累应该是社会、组织和每一个人的目标;换句话说,价值观和政策需要发生重大变化。
{"title":"On the Role and Challenges for Continuing Training Development of Human Potential: From Knowledge to Competence","authors":"","doi":"10.37075/isa.2020.3.09","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37075/isa.2020.3.09","url":null,"abstract":"Continuing training plays a vital role in making people who participate in it more significant and more active in lifelong learning which will guarantee them higher employment, earnings, professional development, active participation in professional life, as well as the entire future life in general. It is the duty of Bulgaria’s current educational system to create and nurture the pursuit of more knowledge for continuous participation in the learning process and, subsequently, in continuing training, i.e. to create an enduring and systematic desire for learning. At present, the constant reforms in Bulgarian education have been unsuccessful in that endeavour. Other factors that play a key role include: the labour market, the management of human resources in organizations, the place and role which they assign and expect from education; they also reward and encourage it. The mindset and desire to learn, to improve one’s knowledge and skills, are crucial to continuing training and lifelong learning – they are largely predetermined at a young age by family and the environment, as well as the enrollment and nurturing of children in childcare facilities at a young age. What plays a significant role in that regard is early career guidance – a system which remains underdeveloped and underestimated when in fact it is supposed to precede every choice from early age to old age. In order for the continuous lifelong training policy to be implemented effectively, the role of education and educated people needs to be strengthened through the role of parents, the educational system itself, employers and society as a whole. For Bulgaria this involves the prioritization of education and knowledgeable people, and the accumulation of knowledge and skills should be the goal of society, organizations and every single individual; in other words, a significant change in values and policies is needed.","PeriodicalId":435790,"journal":{"name":"Economic and social alternatives","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126232989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
E-services and Local Authorities in Bulgaria 保加利亚的电子服务和地方当局
Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.37075/isa.2020.3.02
The present article aims to explore and pre­sent the development of e-services provided by Bulgarian municipalities. The main documents and regulations determining e-governance and e-services provided by the local governments in Bulgaria are presented. The websites of all 265 municipalities have been analyzed and the remote access services they provide have been evaluated. Attention is drawn to a group of func­tionalities that municipalities offer through their websites. These groups include: e-activities aimed at increasing governance transparency, remote communication capabilities and licens­ing opportunities. Municipalities which have their own e-services portals are reviewed. For local authorities with a separate portal an addi­tional study related to the relationship between the provision of e-services and the specific in­dicator and the relationship between the level of collection of vehicle tax and the introduction of a link between paid vehicle tax and technical inspection has been conducted.
本文旨在探讨和介绍保加利亚市政当局提供的电子服务的发展情况。介绍了保加利亚地方政府提供电子政务和电子服务的主要文件和法规。对所有265个市镇的网站进行了分析,并对其提供的远程访问服务进行了评价。将注意力吸引到市政当局通过其网站提供的一组功能上。这些团体包括:旨在提高治理透明度的电子活动、远程通信能力和许可机会。对拥有自己的电子服务门户的市政当局进行审查。对于拥有单独门户网站的地方当局,已经就提供电子服务与具体指标之间的关系以及车辆税征收水平与引入已缴车辆税与技术检查之间的联系之间的关系进行了额外的研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Economic and social alternatives
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