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Does foreign direct investment reduce poverty? The case of Latin America in the twenty-first century 外国直接投资能减少贫困吗?21世纪的拉丁美洲
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.35
Pablo Quiñonez, J. Saenz, J. Solorzano
Over the last decades, foreign direct investment flows to Latin America have grown dramatically. Yet, there is no consensus on whether the region has actually benefited from such trend or not. Specifically, regarding the expected positive effect of foreign direct investment on poverty reduction, empirical evidence is scant and ambiguous. In this context, this paper examines the effect of foreign direct investment on Latin America’s poverty incidence. For doing so, a panel data analysis was conducted, considering 13 economies from the region during the 2000-2014 period. We found that FDI is not significantly associated with the reduction of poverty in Latin America, in contrast with macroeconomic stability, infrastructure, human capital development and financial development which are significantly associated with the reduction of poverty in the region.
过去几十年来,流入拉丁美洲的外国直接投资急剧增长。然而,该地区是否真的从这种趋势中受益,并没有达成共识。具体而言,关于预期的外国直接投资对减贫的积极影响,经验证据不足且模棱两可。在此背景下,本文考察了外国直接投资对拉丁美洲贫困发生率的影响。为此,对2000-2014年期间该地区13个经济体进行了面板数据分析。我们发现,与拉美地区的减贫显著相关的宏观经济稳定、基础设施、人力资本开发和金融发展相比,外国直接投资与拉美地区的减贫并不显著相关。
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引用次数: 20
Determinants of employees provident fund in Malaysia: Potential factors to jeopardize the EPF sustainability 马来西亚雇员公积金的决定因素:危及公积金可持续性的潜在因素
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.3
Sallahuddin Hassan, Zalila Othman
The topic of EPF sustainability has gained considerable attentions among the governments worldwide. In the wake of growing elderly population, improving life expectancy and declining mortality rate particularly in Malaysia over the years, concerns arise on the EPF’s failure to fully commit the retirement incomes provision to the elderly population in the post-retirement periods. Specifically, this paper examines the short run and long run relationships between EPF balances and its determinants; investment earnings, nominal income, elderly population, life expectancy and mortality rate from 1960 to 2014. Of the findings, elderly population and mortality rate are unfolded to represent key deterrents of EPF balances, which acts as the proxy for the EPF sustainability, both in the short run and long run cycles. Thus, new improvements to the existing EPF scheme are recommended as means to alleviate the poverty problems among the elderly population besides addressing other economic and social fronts.
EPF的可持续性问题已引起世界各国政府的广泛关注。随着老年人口的增长、预期寿命的提高和死亡率的下降,特别是在马来西亚,多年来,人们对公积金未能在退休后时期向老年人口充分承诺提供退休收入感到关切。具体而言,本文考察了EPF余额及其决定因素之间的短期和长期关系;1960 - 2014年的投资收益、名义收入、老年人口、预期寿命和死亡率。在研究结果中,老年人口和死亡率是EPF平衡的主要阻碍因素,而EPF平衡在短期和长期周期中都是EPF可持续性的代表。因此,建议对现有的公积金计划作出新的改进,以纾缓长者的贫穷问题,同时处理其他经济及社会问题。
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引用次数: 3
Solving global problems: Waste to power while creating stakeholder shared value 解决全球问题:废物转化为能源,同时创造利益相关者共享价值
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.05
Thaspong Chailertpong, Thepparat Phimolsathien
In 2015, an estimated 1.2 billion people, or 16% of the global population, did not have access to electricity. At the same time, solid waste generation rates have risen fast, reaching 30 million tons in 1980, 200 million tons today, and projected to exceed over 11 million tons per day by 2100. The waste from cities alone is already enough to fill a line of trash trucks 5,000 kilometers long every day. Solutions therefore must be found, with Waste to Energy (WtE) conversion a strong contender, which presently represents a $29 billion industry globally. By use of cluster sampling, a sample of 361 individuals was surveyed by use of a 63-item, 7-level, Likert type agreement scale questionnaire on the study’s four constructs. A confirmatory factor analysis was run prior to the structural equation model, with analysis undertaken by use of LISREL 9.1. All causal factors in the model were shown to have a positive influence on the creation of shared value (CSV) of the waste management power plant and the local community, with 68% of the variance of the factor affecting CSV (R2). Ranked in importance, the three latent variables were government policy (GP), the waste management power plant (WMPP), and community participation (CP), with a total score of 0.83, 0.37 and 0.36, respectively.
2015年,估计有12亿人(占全球人口的16%)没有用上电。与此同时,固体废物产生率迅速上升,1980年达到每天3000万吨,今天达到2亿吨,预计到2100年将超过每天1100万吨。仅来自城市的垃圾就足以填满每天5000公里长的垃圾车。因此,必须找到解决方案,废物转化为能源(WtE)是一个强有力的竞争者,目前在全球范围内代表着290亿美元的产业。采用整群抽样的方法,对361名个体进行了调查,采用63项、7个层次的李克特式认同量表,对研究的四个构式进行了调查。在结构方程模型之前进行验证性因子分析,使用lisrel9.1进行分析。模型中的所有因果因素均对废物管理发电厂和当地社区的共享价值(CSV)的创造产生积极影响,影响CSV的因素方差为68% (R2)。三个潜在变量的重要性依次为政府政策(GP)、废物管理发电厂(WMPP)和社区参与(CP),总得分分别为0.83、0.37和0.36。
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引用次数: 1
Higher co-moments and asset pricing on emerging stock markets by quantile regression approach 分位数回归方法对新兴股市高共矩与资产定价的影响
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.11
Toan Huynh Luu Duc, S. Nguyen
This paper investigates the role of the third and fourth moments which impact on weekly stock return for the all twenty-five emerging stock markets (featured by MSCI - Morgan Stanley Capital International) during the period from April 2005 to November 2017. We employ the traditional CAPM combined with co-skewness and co-kurtosis representing nonlinear shape in risk measurement to estimate return generating under quantile regression in descending order by sorting equally weighted portfolios. The findings show that three of premium including market premium, co-skewness premium and co-kurtosis premium has influenced stock return in each country by 1%; 5%; 10% significance level with five-quantile regression approach. Then, our models with higher co-moments have better explanation for securities in emerging markets rather than traditional CAPM. Importantly, the investors should add more co-skewness securities and eliminate co-kurtosis (or less this factor) to generate more returns among 25 developing markets.
本文研究了2005年4月至2017年11月期间所有25个新兴股票市场(MSCI -摩根士丹利资本国际)的第三和第四个时刻对周股票收益的影响。在风险度量中,我们采用传统的CAPM方法,结合协偏度和协峰度表示非线性形状,通过对等权重的投资组合进行排序,按降序估计分位数回归下产生的收益。研究结果表明,市场溢价、共偏度溢价和共峰度溢价三种溢价对各国股票收益的影响分别为1%;5%;五分位数回归方法的显著性水平为10%。因此,与传统CAPM相比,我们的共矩较高的模型对新兴市场证券有更好的解释。重要的是,投资者应该增加更多的共偏性证券,消除共峰度(或减少这一因素),以在25个发展中市场中产生更多的回报。
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引用次数: 3
Foreign direct investment and growth causal-nexus in economic community of West African States: Evidence from spectral causality 西非国家经济共同体的外国直接投资与增长因果关系:来自谱因果关系的证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.2
A. Adam
The paper examines the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth (GDP) in thirteen ECOWAS countries using both time domain and frequency domain testing procedures using annual data from 1970 to 2015. The results showed that time domain is not adequate in detecting causality. The time domain detected causality in only four out of thirteen countries whilst the frequency domain detected causality at different frequencies and cycles in nine out of thirteen countries. The findings of this study indicate the importance of frequency domain causality, that it decomposes causality at different frequencies and subsequently detects causality at certain cycles lengths. The general observation that economic growth leads FDI calls for ECOWAS leaders to rethink about painful sacrifices they make to attract FDI into the region.
本文利用1970年至2015年的年度数据,采用时域和频域测试程序,检验了13个西非经共体国家的FDI与经济增长(GDP)之间的因果关系。结果表明,时间域不足以检测因果关系。在13个国家中,时域仅在4个国家中发现了因果关系,而在13个国家中,频域在9个国家中发现了不同频率和周期的因果关系。本研究的发现表明频域因果关系的重要性,它在不同的频率分解因果关系,随后在一定的周期长度检测因果关系。经济增长导致外国直接投资的普遍看法要求西非经共体领导人重新考虑他们为吸引外国直接投资进入该区域所作出的痛苦牺牲。
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引用次数: 1
Analysing the human capital capabilities in the enterprise risk management function of South Africa’s public institutions 南非公共机构企业风险管理职能中的人力资本能力分析
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.27
T. Moloi
The weak control environment in South Africa’s public sector has, in the past, resulted in high levels of irregular, fruitless and wasteful, and unauthorised expenditure. In order to make a contribution to the discourse of mechanisms that could be deployed to reduce high levels of irregular, fruitless and wasteful, and unauthorised expenditure, this study analysed the capabilities of the human capital deployed in South Africa’s public sector. Together with the National Treasury in the Office of the Accountant General, a questionnaire was designed and administered to the public institution’s Chief Risk Officers in the first quarter of 2017. The findings of the study are that inadequate risk management processes and ineffective practices that are partly responsible for the weak control environment in public institutions, could also be attributed to the capabilities of the human capital deployed in enterprise risk management functions. In this regard, the study found that some of the reasons for the inadequate risk management processes and ineffective practices stemmed from: the inadequate staffing of the enterprise risk management function; positions not being filled by candidates with adequate academic qualifications and experience; the time it takes to fill a vacant position; and inadequate budget allocations. When institutions address risk maturity, policies, processes, and practices, focus must simultaneously be directed to the human capabilities deployed within the risk management function.
过去,南非公共部门的控制环境薄弱,导致大量不正常、毫无结果、浪费和未经授权的支出。为了对可用于减少大量非正规、无果、浪费和未经授权的支出的机制的讨论作出贡献,本研究分析了南非公共部门部署的人力资本的能力。2017年第一季度,与国家财政部一起,设计并向公共机构的首席风险官发放了一份调查问卷。研究结果表明,公共机构控制环境薄弱的部分原因是风险管理程序不足和做法无效,这也可归因于企业风险管理职能中部署的人力资本的能力。在这方面,研究发现,风险管理程序不完善和做法无效的一些原因源于:企业风险管理职能人员配备不足;没有足够学历和经验的候选人填补的职位;填补空缺职位所需的时间;预算拨款不足。当机构处理风险成熟度、政策、过程和实践时,重点必须同时指向在风险管理功能中部署的人的能力。
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引用次数: 5
Determinants of Chinese demand for tourism in Malaysia 中国赴马来西亚旅游需求的决定因素
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.36
Chin-Hong Puah, Suk Hie Huan, F. Thien
Tourism sector in Malaysia has always been one of its focal service industries not only in the past, but in the future as well in which Malaysian government has been focusing on diverting its economic activities from a resource-based to a service-based economy in its new economic model. China, a strongly emerging economy has been ranked as the third main tourist generating country for Malaysia since 2012. Hence, this study empirically identifies the macroeconomic determinants affecting the tourism demand from China to Malaysia. These determinants include real income, travel cost, exchange rate and trade openness. Particularly, real income and trade openness are evident to positively affect Chinese tourism demand while travel cost and exchange rate are found to adversely influence Chinese tourists’ decision to travel to Malaysia. Key words: International tourism, Malaysia, ARDL
旅游业一直是马来西亚的重点服务产业之一,不仅在过去,而且在未来,马来西亚政府一直致力于将其经济活动从资源型经济转向服务型经济,在新的经济模式中。中国是一个强劲的新兴经济体,自2012年以来一直是马来西亚第三大旅游来源国。因此,本研究实证地确定了影响中国到马来西亚旅游需求的宏观经济决定因素。这些决定因素包括实际收入、旅行成本、汇率和贸易开放程度。特别是,实际收入和贸易开放程度明显对中国游客的旅游需求产生积极影响,而旅游成本和汇率对中国游客前往马来西亚的决定产生不利影响。关键词:国际旅游,马来西亚,ARDL
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引用次数: 12
Microfinance training and the number of loans received by SMEs. An empirical evidence from emerging economy 小额信贷培训和中小企业获得的贷款数量。来自新兴经济体的经验证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.24
Habibu A. Sani, Shazida Jan Mohd-Khan, Mohd Saifoul Zamzuri Noor
The objective of this study is to examine the impact of Microfinance training, Trust and Social ties on the Number of loans received by small and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs) in developing economies. The Poisson regression model is used as the method of analysis. 195 SMEs in North-Eastern Nigeria form the sample of the study based on two-stage sampling and simple random sampling technique. The results reveal that Social ties, Location, and Nature of operation have a significant positive relationship with the Number of loans receives by SMEs. Similarly, the Number of training and Trust have significant positive impact on the Number of loans received; however, they demonstrate the least impact as compared with the other variables based on the level of significance.
本研究的目的是审查小额信贷培训、信任和社会关系对发展中经济体中小企业获得贷款数量的影响。采用泊松回归模型作为分析方法。采用两阶段抽样和简单随机抽样技术,选取尼日利亚东北部195家中小企业作为研究样本。研究结果显示,社会关系、地理位置和经营性质与中小企业贷款数量呈显著正相关。同样,培训数量和信托对贷款数量也有显著的正向影响;然而,与基于显著性水平的其他变量相比,它们的影响最小。
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引用次数: 3
Application of discrete dynamic model for the assessment of stability of the world economy development 离散动态模型在世界经济发展稳定性评价中的应用
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.06
Anatoly Kilyachkov, L. Chaldaeva, Nikolay Kilyachkov
A discrete dynamic model (DDM) is used to describe the pace of the world GDP annual change rate. The Mandelbrot set of DDM was constructed for different time intervals to assess the ability of the world economic system to maintain a steady pace of development. The article shows that the world economic system is in a fundamentally non-equilibrium state. The Mandelbrot set was proposed to use as a generalized image ("pictogram") of the world economy's ability to maintain sustained development rates.
采用离散动态模型(DDM)来描述世界GDP年增长率的变化速度。构建了不同时间间隔的Mandelbrot DDM集,以评估世界经济体系保持稳定发展步伐的能力。文章指出,世界经济体系处于根本上的非均衡状态。Mandelbrot集合被提议用作世界经济维持持续发展速度的能力的广义图像(“象形图”)。
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引用次数: 2
Methodological approaches to assessment of the efficiency of business entities activity 评估商业实体活动效率的方法学方法
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.12
O. Pakhnenko, Olga Liuta, N. Pihul
The management of stable development of business entities requires the improvement of methodological approaches regarding their efficiency assessment. We think that the efficiency assessment should conduct a comparative analysis with other economic entities regarding the effectiveness of using existing amount of material, financial and labor resources. For a comparative assessment of the operational efficiency of Ukrainian enterprises authors suggested the method of frontier stochastic analysis. The essence of this approach is to build a standard enterprise with the highest efficiency indicators and calculation of the efficiency coefficients. According to the results of statistical hypotheses testing it is determined that the translog function with the truncated distribution of a random component best describes the investigated functional dependences. According to the results of modeling the efficiency coefficients for every enterprise and period of investigation were received and on the basis of them the ranking of enterprises efficiency was made.
企业实体稳定发展的管理需要改进其效率评价的方法方法。我们认为,效率评估应与其他经济实体就利用现有的物力、财力和人力资源的有效性进行比较分析。为了比较评价乌克兰企业的经营效率,作者提出了前沿随机分析的方法。这种方法的实质是建立一个具有最高效率指标和效率系数计算的标准企业。根据统计假设检验的结果,确定具有随机分量截断分布的超对数函数最能描述所研究的函数依赖。根据建模结果得到了各企业和调查期的效率系数,并在此基础上对各企业的效率进行了排序。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Business and Economic Horizons
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