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Motivations and locational factors of FDI in CIS countries: Empirical evidence from South Korean FDI in Kazakhstan, Russia, and Uzbekistan 独联体国家FDI的动因与区位因素:来自韩国对哈萨克斯坦、俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦FDI的实证证据
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-26 DOI: 10.15196/RS110404
Han-Sol Lee, S. U. Chernikov, S. Nagy
Considering the growing significance of Eurasian economic ties because of South Korea s New Northern Policy and Russia s New Eastern Policy, this study investigates the motivations and locational factors of South Korean foreign direct investment (FDI) in three countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS: Kazakhstan, Russia, and Uzbekistan) by employing panel analysis (pooled ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed effects, random effects) using data from 1993 to 2017. The results show the positive and significant coefficients of GDP, resource endowments, and inflation. Unlike conventional South Korean outward FDI, labour-seeking is not defined as a primary purpose. Exchange rates, political rights, and civil liberties are identified as insignificant. The authors conclude that South Korean FDI in Kazakhstan, Russia, and Uzbekistan is associated with market-seeking (particularly in Kazakhstan and Russia) and natural resource-seeking, especially the former. From a policy perspective, our empirical evidence suggests that these countries host governments could implement mechanisms to facilitate the movement of goods across regions and countries to increase the attractiveness of small local markets. The South Korean government could develop financial support and risk sharing programmes to enhance natural resource-seeking investments and mutual exchange programmes to overcome the red syndrome complex in South Korean society.
考虑到韩国的新北方政策和俄罗斯的新东方政策对欧亚经济关系的日益重要的影响,本研究采用面板分析(汇总普通最小二乘法、固定效应、随机效应),利用1993年至2017年的数据,调查了韩国在独立国家联合体三个国家(独联体:哈萨克斯坦、俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦)的外国直接投资动机和区位因素。结果显示,GDP、资源禀赋和通货膨胀的系数为正且显著。与韩国传统的对外直接投资不同,寻求劳动力并没有被定义为主要目的。汇率、政治权利和公民自由被认为是微不足道的。作者得出结论,韩国在哈萨克斯坦、俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦的外国直接投资与市场寻求(尤其是在哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯)和自然资源寻求有关,尤其是前者。从政策角度来看,我们的经验证据表明,这些国家的东道国政府可以实施机制,促进商品在区域和国家之间的流动,以提高当地小型市场的吸引力。韩国政府可以制定财政支持和风险分担方案,以加强寻求自然资源的投资和相互交流方案,克服韩国社会的红色综合症情结。
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引用次数: 2
The relationship between social innovation and digital economy and society 社会创新与数字经济社会的关系
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-26 DOI: 10.15196/RS120202
S. Nagy, M. V. Somosi
The information age is also an era of escalating social problems. The digital transformation of society and the economy is already underway in all countries, although the progress in this transformation can vary widely. There are more social innovation projects addressing global and local social problems in some countries than in others. This suggests that different levels of digital transformation might influence the social innovation potential. Using the International Digital Economy and Society Index (I-DESI) and the Social Innovation Index (SII), this study investigates how digital transformation of the economy and society affects the capacity for social innovation. A dataset of 29 countries was analysed using both simple and multiple linear regressions and Pearson's correlation. Based on the research findings, it can be concluded that the digital transformation of the economy and society has a significant positive impact on the capacity for social innovation. It was also found that the integration of digital technology plays a critical role in digital transformation. Therefore, a country's progress in digital transformation is beneficial to its social innovation capacity. In line with the research findings, this study outlines the implications and possible directions for policy.
信息时代也是一个社会问题不断升级的时代。社会和经济的数字化转型已经在所有国家进行,尽管这一转型的进展可能千差万别。一些国家解决全球和地方社会问题的社会创新项目比其他国家多。这表明,不同水平的数字化转型可能会影响社会创新潜力。本研究采用国际数字经济与社会指数(I-DESI)和社会创新指数(SII),研究了经济和社会的数字化转型如何影响社会创新能力。使用简单线性回归和多元线性回归以及皮尔逊相关性对29个国家的数据集进行了分析。基于研究结果,可以得出结论,经济社会的数字化转型对社会创新能力有显著的正向影响。研究还发现,数字技术的整合在数字化转型中发挥着关键作用。因此,一个国家在数字化转型方面的进步有利于其社会创新能力。根据研究结果,本研究概述了政策的含义和可能的方向。
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引用次数: 8
Statistical assessment of spatio-temporal impact of Covid-19 lockdown on air pollution using different modelling approaches in India, 2019-2020 2019-2020年印度新冠肺炎疫情封锁对空气污染时空影响的不同建模方法统计评估
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-03-12 DOI: 10.15196/RS120303
Debjoy Thakur, Dr. Ishapathik Das
One of the main contributors to air pollution is particulate matter (PMxy), which causes several Covid-19 related diseases such as respiratory problems and cardiovascular disorders. Therefore, the spatial and temporal trend analysis of particulate matter and the mass concentration of all aerosol particles <= 2.5 mu m in diameter (PM2.5) have become critical to control the risk factors of co-morbidity of a patient. Lockdown plays a significant role in reducing Covid-19 cases as well as air pollution, including particulate matter concentration. This study aims to analyse the effect of the lockdown on controlling air pollution in metropolitan cities in India through various statistical modelling approaches. Most research articles in the literature assume a linear relationship between responses and covariates and take independent and identically distributed error terms in the model, which may not be appropriate for analysing such air pollution data. In this study, a pattern analysis of PM2.5 daily emissions in different main activity zones during 2019 and 2020 was performed. The seasonal effect was also taken into account when measuring the lockdown effect. The PM2.5 values at the unobserved location were predicted using three popular spatial interpolation techniques: (i) inverse distance weight (IDW), (ii) ordinary kriging (OK), and (iii) random forest regression kriging (RFK), and their root mean square error (RMSE) was compared. Subsequently, the spatio-temporal intervention of lock down on air pollution was estimated using the difference-in-difference (DID) estimator. In winter, the transport zones, namely Anand Vihar and ITO airport, were the most affected regions. The northwestern part of Delhi is the most sensitive zone in terms of air pollution. Due to the lockdown, the weekly PM2.5 emission decreased by 62.15%, the mass concentration of all aerosol particles <= 10 mu m in diameter (PM10) decreased by 53.14%, and the air quality index (AQI) improved by 22.40%. A proposal is made to adopt corrective measures to maintain the air pollution index, taking into account the spatial and temporal variability in the responses.
空气污染的主要原因之一是颗粒物(PMxy),它会导致多种与新冠肺炎相关的疾病,如呼吸系统问题和心血管疾病。因此,颗粒物的空间和时间趋势分析以及直径<=2.5μm的所有气溶胶颗粒(PM2.5)的质量浓度对于控制患者合并发病的风险因素至关重要。封锁在减少新冠肺炎病例以及空气污染(包括颗粒物浓度)方面发挥着重要作用。本研究旨在通过各种统计建模方法分析封锁对印度大都市空气污染控制的影响。文献中的大多数研究文章假设响应和协变量之间存在线性关系,并在模型中采用独立且同分布的误差项,这可能不适合分析此类空气污染数据。在这项研究中,对2019年和2020年不同主要活动区的PM2.5日排放量进行了模式分析。在衡量封锁效应时,还考虑了季节性影响。使用三种流行的空间插值技术预测未观测位置的PM2.5值:(i)逆距离权重(IDW)、(ii)普通克里格(OK)和(iii)随机森林回归克里格(RFK),并比较它们的均方根误差(RMSE)。随后,使用差分(DID)估计器估计了封锁对空气污染的时空干预。冬季,交通区,即Anand Vihar和ITO机场,是受影响最严重的地区。德里西北部是空气污染最敏感的地区。由于封锁,每周PM2.5排放量下降了62.15%,所有直径<=10μm的气溶胶颗粒物(PM10)的质量浓度下降了53.14%,空气质量指数(AQI)改善了22.40%。考虑到响应的空间和时间变化,建议采取纠正措施来保持空气污染指数。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of selected economic factor impacts on CO2 emissions intensity: A case study from Jordan, 1990-2015 经济因素对二氧化碳排放强度的影响分析——以约旦为例(1990-2015年
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120101
Mohammad M. Jaber
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引用次数: 2
Halo effect of diversification and polarization, and the role of relative deprivation based on the 2018 Swedish parliamentary elections results 从2018年瑞典议会选举结果看多元化和两极化的光环效应和相对剥夺的作用
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120106
Dávid Sümeghy
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引用次数: 1
Has COVID-19 caused a change in the dynamics of the unemployment rate? The case of North America and continental Europe COVID-19是否导致了失业率动态的变化?北美和欧洲大陆的情况
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120107
Judit Kapás
This study raises the question of whether the COVID-19 pandemic will have a long-lasting impact on the dynamics of the unemployment rate. More specifically, this problem implies an analysis of whether any sign of a structural break is detectable in the time series of the unemployment rate. To obtain some "firsthand" estimates on whether it is likely that a structural break will occur in the labour market, this study performs several one-step-ahead forecasts based on the best ARIMA model on the time series of the unemployment rate, which takes advantage of the availability of the unemployment rate data for five quarters following the pandemic outbreak. Interestingly, the results document practically no difference in the impact of the pandemic on the labour market in countries with different labour market flexibility. Neither North America (United States of America and Canada) with a flexible labour market nor continental Europe (Germany and Austria) with a regulated labour market experienced any regime change in the unemployment rate time series.
这项研究提出了一个问题,即COVID-19大流行是否会对失业率的动态产生长期影响。更具体地说,这个问题意味着要分析在失业率的时间序列中是否存在结构性断裂的迹象。为了获得关于劳动力市场是否可能出现结构性断裂的一些"第一手"估计,本研究利用大流行爆发后五个季度的失业率数据,根据失业率时间序列的最佳ARIMA模型进行了几次提前一步的预测。有趣的是,调查结果显示,在劳动力市场灵活性不同的国家,疫情对劳动力市场的影响几乎没有差别。具有灵活劳动力市场的北美(美利坚合众国和加拿大)和具有管制劳动力市场的欧洲大陆(德国和奥地利)在失业率时间序列方面都没有发生任何制度变化。
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引用次数: 4
Measuring shadow banking in Central and Eastern European countries: A new dataset, 2004-2019 衡量中欧和东欧国家影子银行:2004-2019年新数据集
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120405
A. Bethlendi, Katalin Mérő
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引用次数: 0
Return equicorrelation and dynamic spillovers between Central and Eastern European, and World stock markets, 2010-2019 2010-2019年中欧、东欧和世界股市的收益等相关和动态溢出效应
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120108
N. Hung
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引用次数: 2
Employment data of participants in supported adult training for jobseekers and their territorial pattern in Hungary, 2010-2020 2010-2020年匈牙利成人就业支持培训参与者就业数据及其地域分布
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120205
Dávid Hajdú, G. Koncz
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引用次数: 3
Modelling the customer potential of retail food stores: A case study from the Turiec region in Slovakia, 2020 零售食品商店的客户潜力建模:2020年斯洛伐克图里切地区的案例研究
IF 2.3 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15196/rs120208
Pavol Ďurček, Gabriela Nováková, Ingrid Buceková
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Statistics
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