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From Scalpel to Spade: A Surgeon’s Road to Ithaka by Arthur van Langenberg (review) 从手术刀到铁锹:一位外科医生的伊萨卡之路Arthur van Langenberg著(书评)
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0027
K. Fan
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引用次数: 0
Transforming Inner Mongolia: Commerce, Migration, and Colonization on the Qing Frontier by Yi Wang (review) 转型的内蒙古:清代边疆的商业、移民与殖民
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0030
P. Perdue
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引用次数: 0
Can gold or silver be used as a hedge against policy uncertainty and COVID-19 in the Chinese market? 黄金或白银可以用来对冲中国市场的政策不确定性和新冠肺炎吗?
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1108/cfri-12-2021-0232
T. Chiang
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to present evidence as to whether the use of gold or silver can be justified as an asset to hedge against policy uncertainty and COVID-19 in the Chinese market.Design/methodology/approachBy using a GARCH model with a generalized error distribution (GED), this study specifies that the gold (or silver) return is a function of a set of economic and uncertainty variables, which include volatility from interest rate innovation, a change in economic policy uncertainty (EPU), a change in geopolitical risk (GPR) and volatility due to pandemic diseases, while controlling for stock market returns, inflation rates, economic growth and the Chinese currency value.FindingsThis study employs monthly data of gold and silver prices over the period from January 2002 to August 2021 to examine hedging behavior. Estimated results show that the gold return is positively correlated to the stock return and a rise in uncertainty from economic policy innovation, geopolitical risk, volatility due to US interest rate innovation as well as COVID-19 infection. This result suggests that gold cannot be used to hedge against a stock market decline, but can be used to hedge against uncertainty in general. However, the silver return only responds positively to a rise in uncertainty from the inflation rate and geopolitical risk. Evidence shows that silver returns are negatively correlated with stock returns, and display hedging characteristics. However, the evidence lacks statistically significance during the COVID-19 period, suggesting that the role of silver as a safe-haven asset against stock market turmoil is weak for this time period.Research limitations/implicationsMore general nonlinear specifications can be developed. The tests may include different measures of uncertainty that interact with each other or with the lagged error terms. An implication of the model is that gold can be used to hedge against a broad range of uncertainties for economic policy change, political risk and/or a pandemic. However, the use of gold as an asset to hedge against a stock downturn in Chinese market should be done with caution.Practical implicationsThis study has important policy implications as regards a choice in assets in formatting a portfolio to hedge against uncertainty. Specifically, this study presents empirical evidence on gold and silver return behavior and finds that gold returns respond positively to heightened uncertainty. Thus, gold is a good asset to hedge against uncertainty arising from policy innovations and infectious disease uncertainty.Social implicationsThis paper provides insightful information on the choice of assets toward hedging against risk in the uncertainty market conditions. It provides information to investors and policy makers to use gold price movements as a signal for detecting the arrival of uncertainty. This study also provides information for demanding a risk premium for infectious disease.Originality/valueThis study em
目的本研究的目的是提供证据,证明使用黄金或白银作为对冲中国市场政策不确定性和新冠肺炎的资产是否合理。设计/方法/方法通过使用具有广义误差分布(GED)的GARCH模型,本研究规定黄金(或白银)回报率是一组经济和不确定性变量的函数,这些变量包括利率创新的波动性、经济政策不确定性(EPU)的变化、地缘政治风险(GPR)的变化和流行病引起的波动,同时控制股市回报、通货膨胀率、经济增长和人民币币值。发现本研究采用2002年1月至2021年8月期间的黄金和白银价格月度数据来检验套期保值行为。估计结果显示,黄金回报率与股票回报率呈正相关,经济政策创新、地缘政治风险、美国利率创新导致的波动以及新冠肺炎感染导致的不确定性增加。这一结果表明,黄金不能用来对冲股市下跌,但通常可以用来对冲不确定性。然而,白银回报只是对通货膨胀率和地缘政治风险带来的不确定性上升做出了积极反应。有证据表明,白银收益率与股票收益率呈负相关,并表现出套期保值特征。然而,在新冠肺炎期间,证据缺乏统计意义,表明在这段时间内,白银作为抵御股市动荡的安全资产的作用较弱。研究局限性/含义可以制定更通用的非线性规范。测试可能包括相互作用或与滞后误差项相互作用的不同不确定性度量。该模型的一个含义是,黄金可以用来对冲经济政策变化、政治风险和/或疫情带来的广泛不确定性。然而,使用黄金作为对冲中国股市下跌的资产应该谨慎。实际含义本研究对资产选择在形成投资组合以对冲不确定性方面具有重要的政策含义。具体而言,本研究提供了关于黄金和白银回报行为的经验证据,并发现黄金回报对不确定性的增加做出了积极反应。因此,黄金是对冲政策创新和传染病不确定性带来的不确定性的好资产。社会含义本文提供了关于在不确定性市场条件下对冲风险的资产选择的深刻信息。它为投资者和政策制定者提供信息,利用金价走势作为检测不确定性到来的信号。这项研究还为要求传染病风险溢价提供了信息。原创性/价值本研究实证分析和验证了黄金作为避险资产在中国市场对冲不确定性的作用。本文提供了持有黄金的风险/不确定性溢价的证据,以应对各种不确定性来源,如美国利率创新和/或新冠肺炎导致的经济政策不确定性、地缘政治风险和股票市场波动。这项研究发现了支持使用非线性规范的证据,该规范证明了不确定性与传染病滞后变化的相互作用,并有助于解释金/银回报行为。此外,有证据表明,黄金回报率与股票回报率呈正相关。这一发现与美国市场的证据形成了鲜明对比。然而,白银回报率与股票回报率呈负相关,但在新冠肺炎期间,这种相关性变得微不足道。
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引用次数: 9
Shanghai between Modernity and Postmodernity 现代性与后现代之间的上海
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0022
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引用次数: 0
Christopher Rea. Chinese Film Classics, 1922–1949. New York: Columbia University Press, 2021. xvi, 381 pp. Hardcover $120.00, ISBN 9780231188128. Paperback $30.00, ISBN 9781231188135. 克里斯托弗意图。中国电影经典,1922-1949。纽约:哥伦比亚大学出版社,2021。十六,381页,精装本$120.00,ISBN 9780231188128。平装本$30.00,ISBN 9781231188135。
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0025
Ling Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Peter Lorge. Imperial China: A Beginner’s Guide. London: Oneworld Publications, 2021. xiv, 194 pp. Paperback $14.95, ISBN 978-1-78607-578-9. 彼得Lorge。中华帝国:初学者指南。伦敦:寰宇一家出版社,2021。xiv, 194页,平装本14.95美元,ISBN 978-1-78607-578-9。
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0026
Ya Zuo
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引用次数: 0
Ying-shih Yü. The Religious Ethic and Mercantile Spirit in Early Modern China. Translated by Yim-tze Kwong. Edited by Hoyt Cleveland Tillman. New York: Columbia University Press, 2021. 328 pp. Paperback $34.99, ISBN 978-023-155-360-5. Ying-shih。近代中国早期的宗教伦理与商业精神。翻译:邝润子。霍伊特·克利夫兰·蒂尔曼编辑。纽约:哥伦比亚大学出版社,2021。328页,平装本34.99美元,ISBN 978-023-155-360-5。
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0023
Gilbert Z. Chen
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引用次数: 0
Meng Zhang. Timber and Forestry in Qing China: Sustaining the Market. Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2021. 280 pp. Paperback $30.00, ISBN-10 0295748877, ISBN-13 978-0295748870. 孟。清代中国的木材和林业:维持市场。西雅图:华盛顿大学出版社,2021。280页,平装本30.00美元,ISBN-10 0295748877, ISBN-13 978-0295748870。
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1353/cri.2022.0024
Hong Jiang
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引用次数: 0
Fund style drift and stock price crash risk – analysis of the mediating effect based on corporate financial risk 基金风格漂移与股价崩盘风险——基于公司财务风险的中介效应分析
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1108/cfri-11-2021-0222
Yanlin Sun, Siyu Liu, Shoudong Chen
PurposeThis paper aims to identify the direct impact of fund style drift on the risk of stock price collapse and the intermediary mechanism of financial risk, so as to better protect the interests of minority investors.Design/methodology/approachThis paper takes all the non-financial companies on the Chinese Growth Enterprise Market from 2011 to 2020 as study object and selects securities investment funds of their top ten circulation stocks to study the relationship between fund style drift and stock price crash risk.FindingsFund style drift is likely to add stock price crash risk. Financial risk is positively correlated with stock price crash risk. Fund style drift affects stock price crash risk via the mediating effect of financial risk, and fund style drift and financial risk have a marked impact on the stock price crash risk of non-state enterprises, yet a non-significant impact on that of state-owned enterprises.Originality/valueThis paper links fund style drift with stock price crash risk in an exploratory manner and enriches the study perspectives of relationship between institutional investors’ behaviors and stock price crash risk, thus enjoying certain academic value. On the one hand, it furnishes a new approach to the academic frontier issue concerning financial risk and stock price crash risk, and proves that financial risk is positively correlated with stock price crash risk. On the other hand, it regards financial risk as a mediating variable of fund style drift for stock price crash risk and further explores different influencing mechanism of institutional investors’ behaviors.
本文旨在识别基金风格漂移对股价暴跌风险和金融风险中介机制的直接影响,从而更好地保护中小投资者的利益。设计/方法/途径本文以2011 - 2020年中国创业板上市的所有非金融类公司为研究对象,选取其十大流通股中的证券投资基金,研究基金风格漂移与股价崩盘风险的关系。研究发现,基金风格的漂移可能会增加股价崩盘的风险。财务风险与股价崩盘风险正相关。基金风格漂移通过金融风险的中介作用影响股价崩盘风险,基金风格漂移和金融风险对非国有企业股价崩盘风险的影响显著,对国有企业股价崩盘风险的影响不显著。独创性/价值本文探索性地将基金风格漂移与股价崩盘风险联系起来,丰富了机构投资者行为与股价崩盘风险关系的研究视角,具有一定的学术价值。一方面,为金融风险与股价崩盘风险的学术前沿问题提供了新的思路,证明了金融风险与股价崩盘风险呈正相关关系;另一方面,将金融风险作为基金风格漂移对股价暴跌风险的中介变量,进一步探讨了机构投资者行为的不同影响机制。
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引用次数: 8
Stock market reactions to COVID-19 shocks: do financial market interventions walk the talk? 股市对新冠肺炎冲击的反应:金融市场干预是否符合要求?
IF 8.2 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-05-23 DOI: 10.1108/cfri-01-2022-0011
M. Marobhe, Jonathan Mukiza Peter Kansheba
PurposeFollowing the COVID-19 outbreak, various economies imposed different financial interventions as part of initiatives to cushion their stock markets from deteriorating performance. Our article examines the effectiveness of these interventions in protecting stock markets during the pandemic.Design/methodology/approachThe authors employ Panel Vector Autoregression to model the magnitude and timing of shocks from COVID-19 to stock markets. The fixed effects regression is then utilized to assess the role of financial interventions in protecting stock markets during COVID-19. The study uses daily stock index returns as well COVID-19 containment measures stringency index data from 39 countries ranging from 2nd January 2020 to 30th September 2021.FindingsOur findings firstly reveal a significant positive stock market reaction to country-level containment measures stringency but only during the first wave of COVID-19. We secondly show that stock market functioning interventions that include short selling bans and circuit breakers amplify the positive effects of COVID-19 containment measures stringency on stock market performance.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors stress the need for policymakers and regulators to timely intervene in protecting economies and stock markets during crises such as COVID-19 in order to reduce panic among investors. Moreover, investors should adjust their portfolios by investing in stocks from countries that have proper financial market interventions in place.Originality/valueDespite growing body of literature on COVID-19 and stock market performance, there is limited evidence on the role of financial sector interventions to cushion stock markets during tumultuous conditions caused by the pandemic.
目的新冠肺炎疫情爆发后,各经济体实施了不同的金融干预措施,作为缓解股市表现恶化的举措的一部分。我们的文章考察了这些干预措施在疫情期间保护股市的有效性。设计/方法论/方法作者采用面板向量自回归对新冠肺炎对股市的冲击幅度和时间进行建模。然后利用固定效应回归来评估新冠肺炎期间金融干预在保护股市方面的作用。该研究使用了每日股票指数回报率以及2020年1月2日至2020年9月30日期间39个国家的新冠肺炎遏制措施严格程度指数数据。发现我们的研究结果首次揭示了股市对国家层面遏制措施严格度的显著积极反应,但仅在第一波新冠肺炎期间。其次,我们表明,包括卖空禁令和断路器在内的股市运作干预措施放大了新冠肺炎遏制措施对股市表现的积极影响。研究局限性/含义作者强调,政策制定者和监管机构需要在新冠肺炎等危机期间及时干预保护经济和股票市场,以减少投资者的恐慌。此外,投资者应通过投资于有适当金融市场干预措施的国家的股票来调整投资组合。原创/价值尽管关于新冠肺炎和股市表现的文献越来越多,但关于金融部门干预措施在疫情造成的动荡条件下缓冲股市的作用的证据有限。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
China Finance Review International
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