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The impact of weather shocks on crop yields: Evidence from India 气候冲击对农作物产量的影响:来自印度的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-11-08 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.20
Pramod Manohar
Given that nearly half of the Indian labor force is employed in agriculture, extreme weather events may harm most of the country’s population. By exploiting annual variation within Indian districts, I test whether greater temperature fluctuations significantly decrease the output value of 13 major crops. I find that a 1°C deviation above the annual mean temperature leads to a 21.3 percentage point decline in output value for a given year, indicating substantial losses from large fluctuations in temperature. I also find evidence that proportion of crop area irrigated and fertilizer usage mitigates the negative impacts of temperature shocks.
鉴于印度近一半的劳动力从事农业,极端天气事件可能会损害该国大部分人口。通过利用印度各区的年变化,我测试了较大的温度波动是否会显著降低13种主要作物的产值。我发现,高于年平均温度1°C的偏差会导致给定年份的产值下降21.3个百分点,这表明温度的大幅波动造成了重大损失。我还发现有证据表明,作物灌溉面积的比例和肥料的使用减轻了温度冲击的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Are U.S. consumers willing to pay more by the lake? An analysis of preferences for Great Lakes region fish 美国消费者愿意在湖边支付更多费用吗?大湖区鱼类偏好分析
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-09-21 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.18
April Athnos, S. Valle de Souza, K. Quagrainie, C. Etumnu, W. Knudson, R. Kinnunen, P. Hitchens
U.S. per capita seafood consumption is historically high due to population and income growth and consumer preference shifts toward healthy protein options. Despite this expansion, U.S. fisheries, especially those in the Great Lakes region, no longer fulfill domestic demand due to pressure on fish stocks and regulatory constraints. Instead, aquaculture and imports fill the gap. Rainbow trout, yellow perch, and walleye—three species historically produced in the North Central Region (NCR)—exemplify such trends. To expand marketing opportunities for NCR aquaculture producers, this study estimates willingness to pay (WTP) for these species and several search and credence fish attributes. We designed and distributed a survey instrument to collect hypothetical choice experiment responses from U.S. seafood consumers. Using a random utility framework, we estimate mean total WTP for trout, yellow perch, and walleye of $19.99/lb., $15.89/lb., and $17.37/lb., respectively. Further, we identify average price premia of $1.64/lb., $1.97/lb., and $0.84/lb. for NCR-sourced, wild-caught, and fresh fillet attributes. Our analysis also captures regional preferences. Mean WTP estimates for yellow perch and walleye, which are native to the Great Lakes, are significantly higher inside the NCR. Further, trout commands a higher premium outside the NCR than within, suggesting potential market segmentation for the analyzed species.
由于人口和收入增长以及消费者偏好转向健康蛋白质选择,美国人均海鲜消费量创历史新高。尽管如此,由于鱼类资源的压力和监管限制,美国渔业,特别是五大湖地区的渔业,不再满足国内需求。相反,水产养殖和进口填补了这一空白。虹鳟、黄鲈鱼和大眼鱼——这三种历史上产于中北部地区——就是这种趋势的例证。为了扩大NCR水产养殖生产者的营销机会,本研究估计了这些物种的支付意愿(WTP)以及一些搜索和信任鱼类的属性。我们设计并分发了一个调查工具,以收集美国海鲜消费者的假设选择实验响应。使用随机效用框架,我们估计鳟鱼、黄鲈鱼和大眼鱼的平均总WTP分别为19.99美元/磅、15.89美元/磅和17.37美元/磅。此外,我们确定NCR来源、野生捕获和新鲜鱼片的平均溢价分别为1.64美元/磅、1.97美元/磅和0.84美元/英镑。我们的分析也捕捉到了地区偏好。原产于五大湖的黄鲈鱼和walleye的平均WTP估计值在NCR内要高得多。此外,鳟鱼在NCR之外的溢价高于在NCR内部的溢价,这表明所分析物种的潜在市场细分。
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引用次数: 1
Scalability and robustness of feed yard mortality prediction modeling to improve profitability 饲料场死亡率预测模型的可扩展性和鲁棒性,以提高盈利能力
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.19
R. Feuz, Kyle D. Feuz, Jeffrey Gradner, M. Theurer, M. Johnson
Cattle feed yards routinely track and collect data for individual calves throughout the feeding period. Using such operational data from nine U.S. feed yards for the years 2016–2019, we evaluated the scalability and economic viability of using machine learning classifier predicted mortality as a culling decision aid. The expected change in net return per head when using the classifier predictions as a culling aid as compared to the status quo culling protocol for calves having been pulled at least once for bovine respiratory disease was simulated. This simulated change in net return ranged from −$1.61 to $19.46/head. Average change in net return and standard deviation for the nine feed yards in this study was $6.31/head and $7.75/head, respectively.
牛饲料场在整个饲养期间定期跟踪和收集单个小牛的数据。使用2016-2019年美国9个饲料场的运营数据,我们评估了使用机器学习分类器预测死亡率作为剔除决策辅助的可扩展性和经济可行性。当使用分类器预测作为剔除辅助时,与因牛呼吸道疾病至少被拉过一次的小牛的现状剔除方案相比,人均净收益的预期变化进行了模拟。这个模拟的净收益变化范围从- 1.61美元到19.46美元/头。本研究中9个饲料场的净收益和标准差的平均变化分别为6.31美元/头和7.75美元/头。
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引用次数: 0
Teaching fisheries bycatch: Exploring economic and behavioral drivers of bycatch through a classroom game 渔业副渔获物教学:通过课堂游戏探索副渔获品的经济和行为驱动因素
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.15
M. Priestley, J. F. Williams, S. Dissanayake
This paper presents a pedagogical exercise to explore the economics of price-based fisheries bycatch. In the exercise students experience the economic incentives that lead to bycatch due to highgrading; the discarding of low-value fish. We first discuss existing fisheries economics pedagogical activities and how our exercise is distinct. We then identify over forty economics, environmental studies, geography, management, and philosophy courses where the exercise could be played. Next, we describe the game and share results and student feedback. Finally, we provide discussion prompts and extensions to illustrate how incentives and policies can change fishing behavior to lead to sustainable fisheries.
本文提出了一个教学练习,探讨基于价格的渔业副渔获物的经济学。在练习中,学生们体验了由于评分过高而导致副渔获的经济激励;丢弃低价值的鱼我们首先讨论现有的渔业经济学教学活动,以及我们的实践是如何与众不同的。然后,我们确定了40多个经济学、环境学、地理学、管理学和哲学课程,这些课程都可以进行这种练习。接下来,我们描述游戏,分享结果和学生反馈。最后,我们提供了讨论提示和扩展,以说明激励和政策如何改变捕捞行为,从而实现可持续渔业。
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引用次数: 0
Production technology, efficiency, and productivity of cereal farms: Prospects for enhancing farm performance in Ghana 谷物农场的生产技术、效率和生产力:加纳提高农场绩效的前景
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.16
Francis Tsiboe, Jacob Asravor, Victor Owusu, A. Mensah-Bonsu
Over the past three decades, the cereal subsector in Ghana has contributed immensely to food security in the country. However, limited evidence exists on the production performance of this subsector, particularly in terms of heterogeneities across agro-ecological zones. This paper analyzes the production technology and performance of the cereal subsector in Ghana using a nationally representative data set from 26,449 cereal farms and the meta-stochastic frontier approach. The empirical results suggest that the estimated factor inputs contribute substantially to cereal output, with land and seed exerting the highest impacts across all agro-ecological zones. The evidence further shows that the agro-ecology of cereal farms plays a crucial role in the performance of the subsector. The mean technical efficiency estimates strongly suggest that cereal farms in all agro-ecologies exhibit some degrees of production inefficiency. The findings further reveal total output from the meta-frontier to be much superior to those generated by cereal farms in all agro-ecologies of Ghana, indicating the existence of opportunities for cereal output gains in all agro-ecologies. We find heterogeneities in farm management practices and production technology across the various crops and agro-ecological zones to be relevant sources for cereal productivity growth in Ghana.
在过去三十年中,加纳的谷物分部门为该国的粮食安全作出了巨大贡献。然而,关于这一分部门的生产绩效的证据有限,特别是在跨农业生态区的异质性方面。本文利用来自26,449个谷物农场的具有全国代表性的数据集和元随机前沿方法,分析了加纳谷物分行业的生产技术和绩效。实证结果表明,估算的要素投入对谷物产量的贡献很大,其中土地和种子对所有农业生态区的影响最大。证据进一步表明,谷物农场的农业生态在分部门的绩效中起着至关重要的作用。平均技术效率估计强烈表明,所有农业生态中的谷物农场都表现出一定程度的生产效率低下。研究结果进一步表明,在加纳所有农业生态系统中,来自元前沿的总产出远远优于谷物农场产生的总产出,这表明在所有农业生态系统中都存在谷物产量增加的机会。我们发现,不同作物和农业生态区的农场管理实践和生产技术的异质性是加纳谷物生产力增长的相关来源。
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引用次数: 4
Measuring consumers’ demand for nutrition attributes: an application to ready-to-heat meals 衡量消费者对营养属性的需求:一种用于即食热餐的应用
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.14
Qi Zhang, R. Gallardo
This study analyzes consumers’ preferences for nutrition and convenience attributes in ready-to-heat meals, using grocery scanner data applied to a Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes model. Households’ preferences for convenience meals stem on saving time. Also, households prefer convenience meals with higher contents of sugar, fat, sodium, cholesterol, and fiber, and lower in calorie content. Results prove that consumption of convenience foods implies a high intake of ingredients with negative consequences on dietary quality and health. Findings showcase the importance of the advancement and adoption of alternative food processing technologies that would circumvent the production of convenient foods high in non-healthy ingredients.
本研究分析了消费者对即食热餐的营养和便利属性的偏好,使用了应用于Berry, Levinsohn和Pakes模型的杂货扫描仪数据。家庭对方便食品的偏好源于节省时间。此外,家庭更喜欢糖、脂肪、钠、胆固醇、纤维含量较高、卡路里含量较低的方便餐。研究结果证明,食用方便食品意味着摄入了大量的成分,对饮食质量和健康产生了负面影响。研究结果显示了发展和采用替代食品加工技术的重要性,这些技术可以避免生产含有大量非健康成分的方便食品。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of bison reintroduction on local economies 野牛重新引入对当地经济的影响
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.13
Liqing Li, Amy W. Ando
Bison is an important and iconic mammal in the U.S. that is being reintroduced in many places after being driven nearly to extinction. This paper provides a nationwide assessment of the local economic impacts of bison reintroduction so that rural communities can take economic well-being into account when considering decisions regarding future bison restorations. We estimate the causal impacts of bison herd establishment on county-level income, employment, and population growth using staggered difference-in-difference and the synthetic control approaches. The simple positive correlation between local per capita income and bison herds might lead planners to think that bison reintroduction is good for the local economy. However, none of the causal inference analyses find statistically significant effects of bison reintroduction.
在美国,野牛是一种重要的标志性哺乳动物,在濒临灭绝之后,许多地方正在重新引入野牛。本文对野牛重新引入对当地经济的影响进行了全国性的评估,以便农村社区在考虑有关未来野牛恢复的决策时能够考虑到经济福祉。本文采用交错差中差和综合控制方法估计了野牛群建立对县域收入、就业和人口增长的因果影响。当地人均收入和野牛群之间简单的正相关关系可能会让规划者认为,重新引入野牛对当地经济有好处。然而,没有任何因果推理分析发现野牛重新引入的统计显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
AGE volume 51 issue 2 Cover and Front matter AGE第51卷第2期封面和封面
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.17
{"title":"AGE volume 51 issue 2 Cover and Front matter","authors":"","doi":"10.1017/age.2022.17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/age.2022.17","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44443,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Resource Economics Review","volume":"51 1","pages":"f1 - f3"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41469738","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Housing wealth, food spending, and diet quality: Evidence from panel data 住房财富、食品支出和饮食质量:来自面板数据的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.12
Bo Zhang, Douglas H. Wrenn, Janak Joshi, E. Jaenicke
Diet is important in determining positive health outcomes. Income constraints are often provided as an explanation for poor dietary choices made by households. We test this hypothesis by exploiting shocks to household budgets driven by changes in house prices. Using a comprehensive panel of household food purchases matched to house price data, we find that house prices have a positive impact on food expenditure, but no impact on diet quality. We also find that the total quantity of food purchased increases as budget constraints are relaxed suggesting that changes in quantity are the primary driver of the expenditure change. Finally, we demonstrate that the impact of budget constraints is larger for lower income and younger age households.
饮食对确定积极的健康结果很重要。收入限制往往被用来解释家庭做出的不良饮食选择。我们通过利用房价变化对家庭预算的冲击来检验这一假设。使用与房价数据相匹配的家庭食品购买综合面板,我们发现房价对食品支出有积极影响,但对饮食质量没有影响。我们还发现,随着预算限制的放松,购买的食品总量也在增加,这表明数量的变化是支出变化的主要驱动因素。最后,我们证明了预算限制对低收入和年轻家庭的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of information about price anchoring: Evidence from a choice experiment 价格锚定信息的影响:来自选择实验的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1017/age.2022.10
Scott Lemos, John M. Halstead, Ju-Chin Huang
Abstract This study details the results of an experimental intervention designed to address the issue of price anchoring in the choice experiment framework. The intervention, which informs respondents of the tendency to anchor choices on potentially arbitrary pieces of information, is applied to a choice experiment used to examine consumers’ willingness to pay for local and/or organic tomatoes in Northern New England and develops three primary contributions. First, evidence from this study shows that anchoring effects are present. Second, providing information to consumers plays a mitigating role on these effects; price anchoring changes willing to pay estimates between 44% and 51% and exposure to anchoring-specific cheap talk is associated with a reduction in these anchoring effects between 60% and 80%. These results are explained through decreases in price sensitivity induced by increasing the mean price vector and subsequent increases in price sensitivity due to the information intervention. Finally, this study reveals that consumers are willing to pay a substantial price premium for locally grown tomatoes, from $0.96 to $1.12 per pound, offering some guidance for policy regarding growing practice and farm land use as regional coalitions support local agriculture expansion in the Northeast.
摘要本研究详细介绍了一项实验干预的结果,该干预旨在解决选择实验框架中的价格锚定问题。该干预措施告知受访者倾向于将选择锚定在潜在的任意信息上,并应用于一项选择实验,该实验用于检查新英格兰北部消费者购买当地和/或有机番茄的意愿,并得出了三个主要贡献。首先,这项研究的证据表明,锚定效应是存在的。其次,向消费者提供信息对这些影响起到了缓解作用;愿意支付的价格锚定变化估计在44%到51%之间,并且暴露于锚定特定的廉价谈话与这些锚定效应在60%到80%之间的减少相关。这些结果可以通过增加平均价格向量引起的价格敏感性下降以及随后由于信息干预导致的价格敏感性增加来解释。最后,这项研究表明,消费者愿意为当地种植的西红柿支付相当大的价格溢价,从每磅0.96美元到1.12美元不等,这为种植实践和农田使用方面的政策提供了一些指导,因为区域联盟支持东北部的当地农业扩张。
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引用次数: 1
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Agricultural and Resource Economics Review
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