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Financial Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Institutions 撒哈拉以南非洲的金融发展和经济增长:制度的作用
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_72.291_5
W. Bandura, Canicio Dzingirai
The study aims to determine the relationship between financial development and economic growth with respect to the state of institutional quality on 27 Sub-Saharan Africa countries using a five-year averaged dataset over the period 1982-2016. The findings established evidence of a U-shaped relationship between financial development and growth which entails that more (less) finance drives (retards) growth in the region. The turning point beyond which financial development begins to contribute positively on economic growth ranges between 33% and 37%. Even though the connection is not strong, the selected institutional variables also showed both a direct and an indirect positive impact on economic growth. Financial development is positive and significant when embedded in selected well-developed institutions, which implies a complementary relationship of institutions and financial development on growth. It is therefore recommended that policy makers and responsible authorities take stringent measures to ensure the development of institutions and the financial sector for sustainable economic growth in the region. JEL codes: G20, O43
该研究旨在利用1982-2016年期间的五年平均数据集,确定27个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的金融发展与经济增长之间的关系。研究结果确立了金融发展与增长之间u型关系的证据,这意味着更多(更少)的金融推动(阻碍)该地区的增长。超过金融发展对经济增长的积极贡献的转折点在33%到37%之间。虽然联系不强,但所选制度变量对经济增长也表现出直接和间接的积极影响。在选定的发达机构中嵌入金融发展是积极和重要的,这意味着制度和金融发展对增长的互补关系。因此,建议决策者和主管当局采取严格措施,确保机构和金融部门的发展,以促进该区域的可持续经济增长。JEL代码:G20, O43
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引用次数: 16
Adding new “Perspectives” to our debate 为我们的辩论增添了新的视角
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_72.291_1
Carlo D’Ippoliti
The short note introduces the new issue of the Review. With this issue the journal is launching a new section, “Perspectives”, collecting contributions about topics and areas that receive insufficient attention on mainstream economics journals. These may concern replication analyses, or investigations that – although possibly of a less innovative and original character than other articles – focus on geographical regions often neglected in other journals. JEL codes: A11, A14, B50
简短的注释介绍了新一期的《评论》。本期《经济学人》将推出一个新版块——“观点”,收集主流经济学期刊关注不足的主题和领域的文章。这些可能涉及重复性分析,或者是研究——尽管可能没有其他文章那么具有创新性和原创性——关注的是其他期刊经常忽视的地理区域。JEL代码:A11, A14, B50
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引用次数: 0
Monetary policy velocity and its financial effects: an empirical analysis for an emerging economy 货币政策速度及其金融效应:一个新兴经济体的实证分析
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_72.291_3
R. Moreira
We contribute to the literature of monetary policy evaluation by proposing a concept and a measurement process of monetary policy velocity. Furthermore, we develop a theoretical model explaining how changes in such a velocity index are accompanied by effects in stock prices. Based on the case of Brazil’s economy from February 2003 to December 2016, our empirical findings indicate that the Brazilian Central Bank robustly affected the domestic stock market level by adjusting monetary policy velocity over time, although such effects were performed in asymmetric ways. JEL codes: E43, E52
我们通过提出货币政策速度的概念和测量过程,为货币政策评估的文献做出贡献。此外,我们开发了一个理论模型来解释这种速度指数的变化如何伴随着股票价格的影响。基于2003年2月至2016年12月的巴西经济案例,我们的实证研究结果表明,巴西央行通过调整货币政策速度对国内股市水平产生了显著影响,尽管这种影响是以不对称的方式进行的。JEL代码:E43, E52
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引用次数: 0
The evolution of inequality in Latin America in the 21st century: What are the patterns, drivers and causes? 21世纪拉丁美洲不平等的演变:模式、驱动因素和原因是什么?
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.286_2
F. Bogliacino, Daniel Rojas Lozano
The paper analyses the evolution of inequality for the largest economies of the Latin American region in the 21 st century, with separate consideration of income and wealth. The drivers of changes in inequality and possible underlying causes are examined, including the role of the new wave of leftist governments. The evidence reveals that income inequality decreased, though wealth inequality displayed a much less homogeneous pattern. Statistically, the decrease in inequality is associated with labour market changes, and especially with State redistribution through subsidies. Wealth inequality is mainly correlated with the change in the share of financial wealth. A possible causal interpretation is that the symbolic victories of the new left may have inflated social pressures, mostly in the presence of rents generated by the commodity boom.
本文分析了21世纪拉丁美洲地区最大经济体的不平等演变,并分别考虑了收入和财富。研究了不平等变化的驱动因素和可能的根本原因,包括新一波左翼政府的作用。证据表明,收入不平等现象有所减少,但财富不平等现象的同质化程度要低得多。从统计数据来看,不平等现象的减少与劳动力市场的变化有关,特别是与国家通过补贴进行的再分配有关。财富不平等主要与金融财富份额的变化有关。一种可能的因果解释是,新左派的象征性胜利可能夸大了社会压力,主要是在商品繁荣产生租金的情况下。
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引用次数: 1
Banks and finance after the crisis: Lessons and challenges 危机后的银行与金融:教训与挑战
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.286_1
I. Visco
The double-dip recession that hit the Italian economy between 2008 and 2013 has caused severe difficulties for the banking sector in the last few years, which have been aggravated by cases of malfeasance. This speech discusses the response of the Bank of Italy’s supervision and the measures adopted to solve the crises that have concerned some banks. It then examines the questions still open regarding the new European financial regulation framework, especially those concerning State aid and bank resolution, as well as its flaws, including the lack of crisis management rules designed to avoid a disorderly exit of banks from the market. Finally, it looks at the main challenges facing Italy’s banking sector, i.e. recovering profitability and adjusting to changes in the production system and in technology. JEL codes : G21, G33, G38 Keywords :Italy’s banking sector, banking crises, bank resolution
2008年至2013年期间,意大利经济遭遇了双底衰退,在过去几年里,这给银行业带来了严重困难,而渎职案件又加剧了这种困难。这次演讲讨论了意大利银行的监管反应和采取的措施来解决一些银行关注的危机。然后,它审查了关于新的欧洲金融监管框架仍未解决的问题,特别是那些涉及国家援助和银行处置的问题,以及它的缺陷,包括缺乏旨在避免银行无序退出市场的危机管理规则。最后,它着眼于意大利银行业面临的主要挑战,即恢复盈利能力,适应生产系统和技术的变化。关键词:意大利银行业,银行业危机,银行处置
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引用次数: 4
On the economics of development: A view from Latin America 发展经济学:来自拉丁美洲的观点
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.286_4
E. Bacha
This paper surveys my research on development economics, undertaken in the context of the historical experiences of Brazil and Latin America. The research consists of academic papers, essays, economic fables, and reflections on my experiences in policy making. It spans different fields, including income distribution, industrial policies, dollar constraints and debt crises, commodity booms and coffee valorization, high inflation and stabilization policies, and Brazil’s growth record. JEL codes : F34, J24, N16, O11, O41, O54 Keywords : Brazil, debt crises, development economics, high inflation, income distribution, Latin America
本文调查了我在巴西和拉丁美洲的历史经验背景下进行的发展经济学研究。这项研究包括学术论文、论文、经济寓言以及对我在政策制定过程中经历的反思。它涵盖了不同的领域,包括收入分配、产业政策、美元约束和债务危机、商品繁荣和咖啡价格化、高通胀和稳定政策,以及巴西的增长记录。JEL代码:F34,J24,N16,O11,O41,O54关键词:巴西,债务危机,发展经济学,高通胀,收入分配,拉丁美洲
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引用次数: 2
Neo-Kaleckian models with financial cycles: A center-periphery framework 金融周期的新Kaleckian模型:一个中心-外围框架
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.286_3
D. Coelho, Esteban Pérez Caldentey
The article develops a Neo-Kaleckian model that takes into account the impact of financial cycles on demand regimes. Both the financial instability hypothesis and the paradox of debt are considered, as well as both the upward and the downward phases of the economic cycle. The baseline model is insufficient to analyze financial variables in underdeveloped countries, as it does not take into consideration the non-neutrality of international financial markets. Following a center-periphery structure, we extend the model in order to discuss how financial movements in the periphery are mainly associated with external vulnerability. JEL codes : E11, E22, E44 Keywords : Minsky cycles, Neo-Kaleckian model, paradox of debt, center-periphery
本文发展了一个新卡莱基模型,该模型考虑了金融周期对需求机制的影响。既考虑了金融不稳定假说和债务悖论,也考虑了经济周期的上升和下降阶段。基线模型不足以分析欠发达国家的金融变量,因为它没有考虑到国际金融市场的非中立性。遵循中心-外围结构,我们扩展了模型,以讨论外围的金融流动如何主要与外部脆弱性相关。JEL代码:E11,E22,E44关键词:明斯基周期,新卡莱基模型,债务悖论,中心-外围
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引用次数: 5
Environment, Effective Demand, and Cyclical Growth in Surplus Labor Economies 环境、有效需求与剩余劳动力经济的周期性增长
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-10 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.285_5
G. Oliveira
The study presents a simple extension of a Harrodian model, that explores, the relationship between the environment and economic growth in a hypothetical dual low-income economy with relatively low levels of environmental quality. It is supposed that the rise in effective demand increases the flow of negative externalities on the environment, which, in turn, would affect output expansion negatively in the capitalist sector through the occurrence of environmental adjustment costs. From such conflictual dynamics, the model shows that perpetual vicious circles may characterize the pattern of fluctuations in economic activity in this economy. JEL codes : O11, O44, Q50
该研究提出了哈罗德模型的简单扩展,该模型探讨了假设的双重低收入经济体中环境与经济增长之间的关系,环境质量水平相对较低。假设有效需求的增加增加了环境负外部性的流动,这反过来又会通过环境调整成本的发生对资本主义部门的产出扩张产生负面影响。从这种冲突的动态来看,该模型表明,永久的恶性循环可能是该经济体经济活动波动模式的特征。JEL代码:O11, O44, Q50
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引用次数: 0
Wage dispersion and pension funds: Financialisation of non-financial corporations in the USA 工资分散与养老基金:美国非金融企业的融资
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-28 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_71.284_3
Ilhan Dögüs
The paper argues that wage dispersion between white-collar and blue-collar workers has caused the rise and expansion of pension funds in a direct and long-run structural manner in the USA. Using data from the Saez-Zucman and the St. Louis Fed’s FRED datasets, the argument is empirically analysed on yearly data for the period 1964-2012 in the USA. The results confirm the existence of a long-run relationship of causality from wage dispersion to the share of pension funds within US households’ financial wealth. Applying a vector error correction model to the data it emerges that the variance in pension funds due to wage dispersion starts to rise after the fifth period, and reaches 69% in the tenth period.  .
该论文认为,白领和蓝领工人之间的工资分散以直接和长期的结构性方式导致了美国养老基金的增加和扩张。使用Saez Zucman和圣路易斯联储FRED数据集的数据,对美国1964-2012年的年度数据进行了实证分析。研究结果证实了从工资分散到养老基金在美国家庭金融财富中的份额之间存在长期因果关系。将向量误差校正模型应用于数据,可以发现,由于工资分散,养老基金的方差在第五个时期后开始上升,在第十个时期达到69%。。
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引用次数: 4
Energy Poverty in Europe: A Multidimensional Approach 欧洲能源贫困:多维视角
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-12-04 DOI: 10.13133/2037-3643_70.283_4
C. Bollino, Fabrizio Botti
With the European Commission’s “Third Energy Package”, the challenges posed by energy poverty have been recently acknowledged by European legislation.  The paper develops a synthetic indicator of energy poverty for the purpose of assessing households’ well-being across different domains of inequality in access to energy services and to a healthy domestic environment. These dimensions are broadly defined in terms of energy affordability and thermal efficiency, two of the main manifestations of energy poverty. The analysis focuses on Europe and  expands on existing economic literature by employing a fuzzy analysis for the definition of a multidimensional energy poverty index, which is then used to investigate the role of individual and household characteristics in shaping energy poverty. We find that during the European crisis energy poverty has been more stable than monetary poverty, and that thermal efficiency plays a crucial role in shaping individual and countries’ average degrees of energy poverty. JEL codes: I32; Q41; D10; D63
随着欧盟委员会的“第三能源一揽子计划”,欧洲立法机构最近承认了能源匮乏带来的挑战。本文制定了一个能源贫困综合指标,目的是评估在获得能源服务和健康家庭环境方面存在不同不平等领域的家庭福祉。这些维度在能源负担能力和热效率方面被广泛定义,这是能源贫困的两个主要表现。该分析侧重于欧洲,并通过对多维能源贫困指数定义的模糊分析,扩展了现有的经济文献,然后用于调查个人和家庭特征在形成能源贫困中的作用。我们发现,在欧洲危机期间,能源贫困比货币贫困更为稳定,热效率在塑造个人和国家的平均能源贫困程度方面发挥着至关重要的作用。JEL代码:I32;Q41;D10;D63
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引用次数: 58
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PSL Quarterly Review
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