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Impact of economic factors on life insurance development in Western Balkan Countries 经济因素对西巴尔干国家寿险发展的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-22 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2017.2.331
M. Buric, Julija Cerović Smolović, Milena Bozovic, A. Filipović
Life insurance market in Western Balkan countries is underdeveloped compared to other European countries, but in the recent decade it has been developing moderately under the influence of various factors, primarily economic, but also demographic, political and other. The aim of this manuscript is to analyze and indicate the most significant economic factors that have important influence on life insurance products purchase. In order to prove the hypothesis established in the manuscript, panel data analysis is used to examine the impact of GDP, unemployment rate, wages and interest rate on total life premium in Western Balkans in the period 2005 to 2015. The results of the analysis showed that the above-mentioned economic factors mainly affect total life premium in countries of the Western Balkans. GDP and wages have a significant and positive impact on demand for life insurance, while the impact of unemployment rate and interest rate is negative.
西巴尔干国家的人寿保险市场相对于其他欧洲国家来说是不发达的,但近十年来,在各种因素的影响下,主要是经济因素,还有人口、政治等因素的影响下,它一直在适度发展。本文的目的是分析和指出对寿险产品购买有重要影响的最显著的经济因素。为了证明在手稿中建立的假设,使用面板数据分析来检验2005年至2015年期间西巴尔干地区GDP,失业率,工资和利率对总寿险保费的影响。分析结果表明,上述经济因素主要影响西巴尔干国家的总寿险保费。GDP和工资对寿险需求有显著的正向影响,失业率和利率对寿险需求的影响为负。
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引用次数: 17
Regional competitiveness in the context of “New industrial policy” – the case of Croatia “新工业政策”背景下的区域竞争力-以克罗地亚为例
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-22 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2017.2.551
K. Bačić, Zoran Aralica
The purpose of this paper is to do research on regional conditions that are most conducive to maximising the positive effects of the implementation of “New industrial policy” (policy based on Smart specialisation strategy) to regional competitiveness in Croatia. Rather than using the standard but fragmented system of counties, this small post-transition economy is first mapped into five regions following the concept of regional innovation systems (RISs). Essentially, RIS concept rests on an idea that interactions among regional agents lead to the creation of optimal innovation output, while policy based on Smart specialisation strategy in Croatia is a national policy that promotes creation of innovative products and services in five promising domains and 13 sub- thematic areas. Analysis is carried out in two steps, firstly using a data-driven approach employed in a multidimensional framework for assessing regional accessibility, absorptive capacity and diffusion of knowledge in the context of Smart specialisation strategy (S3) implementation. In the second step, the assumption of post-transition reliance on the external knowledge and technology in producing innovation output is examined via regional presence of high-technology firms, GDP per capita and international trade and investment variables and patents per 100.000 inhabitants using cluster analysis (Ward method). The results show that highly internationalised regions with higher density of hightechnology firms already produce relatively more innovation output per capita. With already favourable conditions in place, these progressive regions are most likely to reinforce their competitive advantages through the transformation of their economic structures enabled by implementation of S3.
本文的目的是研究最有利于最大限度地发挥克罗地亚实施“新产业政策”(基于智能专业化战略的政策)对区域竞争力的积极影响的区域条件。与使用标准但分散的县系统不同,这个转型后的小经济体首先按照区域创新系统(RISs)的概念划分为五个区域。从本质上讲,RIS概念基于区域代理商之间的互动导致创造最佳创新产出的想法,而克罗地亚基于智能专业化战略的政策是一项国家政策,旨在促进在五个有前景的领域和13个分主题领域创造创新产品和服务。分析分两步进行,首先在多维框架中使用数据驱动方法,评估智能专业化战略(S3)实施背景下的区域可及性、吸收能力和知识扩散。第二步,利用聚类分析(Ward方法),通过高科技企业的区域存在、人均GDP、国际贸易和投资变量以及每10万居民的专利,检验了转型后生产创新产出依赖外部知识和技术的假设。结果表明,国际化程度高、高科技企业密度高的地区,其人均创新产出相对较高。由于已经具备了有利的条件,这些进步的地区最有可能通过实施S3实现经济结构的转变来加强其竞争优势。
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引用次数: 6
The adverse effect of real effective exchange rate change on trade balance in European transition countries 实际有效汇率变动对欧洲转轨国家贸易平衡的不利影响
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-12-22 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2017.2.277
Selena Begović, S. Kreso
Most European transition countries have fixed or highly managed flexible exchange rate regimes. This exchange rate rigidity is sometimes argued to worsen the trade balance by keeping the currency overvalued. However, there is no unambiguous evidence that currency depreciation/devaluation positively affects trade balance and leads towards the adjustment, even in the short-run. Therefore, we examine the effect of real effective exchange rate (hereafter REER) on trade balance in European transition economies over the period 2000-2015. By using fixed effect model for static and generalised method of moments for dynamic estimation, we find that there is an adverse effect of the REER on trade balance in European transition countries over the period 2000-2015. Namely, depreciation of REER deteriorates trade balance in European transition countries, which could be explained by high import dependence and low export capacity. This implies that policymakers in European transition countries should not use exchange rate policy to improve trade balance. This is important in the light of their accession towards European economic and monetary integration, implying that these countries should focus more on using fiscal, rather than monetary (and exchange rate), policy to adjust trade balance, which is one of the required real convergence towards the EU standards.
大多数欧洲转型国家都有固定的或高度管理的灵活汇率制度。这种汇率刚性有时被认为通过保持货币高估而恶化了贸易平衡。然而,没有明确的证据表明,即使在短期内,货币贬值也会对贸易平衡产生积极影响并导致调整。因此,我们研究了2000-2015年期间欧洲转型经济体实际有效汇率(以下简称REER)对贸易平衡的影响。采用静态固定效应模型和广义矩量法进行动态估计,我们发现2000-2015年期间,REER对欧洲转型国家的贸易平衡存在不利影响。也就是说,REER的贬值恶化了欧洲转型国家的贸易平衡,这可以用进口依赖程度高和出口能力低来解释。这意味着,欧洲转型国家的政策制定者不应利用汇率政策来改善贸易平衡。鉴于它们加入了欧洲经济和货币一体化,这一点很重要,这意味着这些国家应该更多地关注使用财政政策,而不是货币(和汇率)政策来调整贸易平衡,这是向欧盟标准靠拢所需的真正趋同之一。
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引用次数: 16
The impact of terrorism on the FDI of the EU and EEA Countries 恐怖主义对欧盟和欧洲经济区国家FDI的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-12-22 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2016.2.333
Heri Bezic, Tomislav Galović, P. Misevic
The key goal of this research is to empirically determine the effects of terrorism on FDI of the selected EU and EEA member countries. The methodology is based on a system-GMM estimator for dynamic panel data models on a sample covering up to 29 countries, and 13-year periods from 2000 to 2013. The main results confirm that terrorism incidents, economic and institutional variables are found to depress FDI of analysed EU and EEA countries. It can be concluded that terrorism and institutional stability are most influential on FDI inflows of the observed EU and EEA countries. The results indicate that terrorist activities reduce security and confidence of investors in countries exposed to terrorist activities, reducing the inflow of foreign direct investment. The recommendations and proposals are given based on the results of empirical analysis.
本研究的关键目标是实证确定恐怖主义对选定的欧盟和欧洲经济区成员国的外国直接投资的影响。该方法基于动态面板数据模型的系统- gmm估计器,样本覆盖了多达29个国家,从2000年到2013年的13年期间。主要结果证实,恐怖主义事件、经济和制度变量抑制了所分析的欧盟和欧洲经济区国家的外国直接投资。可以得出结论,恐怖主义和制度稳定性对所观察的欧盟和欧洲经济区国家的FDI流入影响最大。结果表明,恐怖活动降低了遭受恐怖活动国家投资者的安全和信心,减少了外国直接投资的流入。在实证分析的基础上,提出了建议和建议。
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引用次数: 25
Book review: Inequality – What can be done? 书评:不平等——我们能做些什么?
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-06-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2016.1.237
Zoran Ježić
Source / Izvornik: Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci : časopis za ekonomsku teoriju i praksu, 2016, 34, 237 239 Journal article, Published version Rad u časopisu, Objavljena verzija rada (izdavačev PDF) https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2016.1.237 Permanent link / Trajna poveznica: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:192:463626 Rights / Prava: Attribution 4.0 International Download date / Datum preuzimanja: 2020-12-27
来源/来源:罗马经济事务大学工人:经济理论与实践杂志,2016,34237239期刊文章,理事会在杂志上的出版版本,工作的出版版本(出版商PDF)https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2016.1.237永久链接/Trajna poveznica:https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:192:463626权利/权利:归因4.0国际下载日期/接收日期:2020-12-27
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引用次数: 0
Study on the green total factor productivity in main cities of China 中国主要城市绿色全要素生产率研究
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-06-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2016.1.215
Zhang Jian-sheng, Tan Wei
The aim of this research is to investigate China’s urban green total factor productivity (TFP) under the background of progressing urbanization and intensifying environmental pollution, and found out its main influencing factors. In this paper, green TFP of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2012 was estimated through Malmquist productivity index. Results showed that the annual growth of green TFP in main cities in China is 3.5% and the overall growth declines gradually. Viewed from decomposition of green TFP, technical progress is the main contributor of green TFP growth. Furthermore, the northern coastal region has achieved the highest annual growth of green TFP (4.5%) and the northwest region achieved the lowest growth of green TFP (1.24%), indicating the great regional differences of green TFP and economic growth quality in China. According to analysis on influencing factors of green TFP in main cities, it has been concluded that per-capita urban road area, number of Internet users, proportion of fiscal expenditures, environmental regulation level and technical input are significantly positively correlated with green TFP, while industrial structure and foreign direct investment (FDI) are significantly negatively correlated. Finally, policy suggestions to improve urban green TFP in China were proposed.
本研究旨在探讨城市化进程和环境污染加剧背景下的中国城市绿色全要素生产率(TFP),并找出其主要影响因素。本文利用Malmquist生产率指数对中国285个地级市2005 - 2012年的绿色全要素生产率进行了估算。结果表明:中国主要城市绿色全要素生产率年增长率为3.5%,总体增速呈递减趋势;从绿色全要素生产率的分解来看,技术进步是绿色全要素生产率增长的主要贡献者。其中,北部沿海地区绿色TFP年增长率最高(4.5%),西北地区最低(1.24%),说明中国绿色TFP和经济增长质量的区域差异较大。通过对主要城市绿色TFP影响因素的分析,得出城市人均道路面积、互联网用户数、财政支出比重、环境监管水平、技术投入与绿色TFP显著正相关,产业结构与外商直接投资(FDI)显著负相关的结论。最后,提出了提高中国城市绿色全要素生产率的政策建议。
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引用次数: 24
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Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci-Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics
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