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Scrutinizing the Smart City Index: a multivariate statistical approach 审视智慧城市指数:一种多元统计方法
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.777
Olga Bogdanov, V. Jeremic, Sandra Jednak, Mladen Čudanov
The smart city represents a frequently elaborated concept which however comes short in delivering a consistent definition. Nevertheless, almost every description has always been oriented to its technological component, sustainable development policies, and enabling high capacities for learning and innovation. Moreover, the smart city aims at connecting people, information and other city elements using state-of-the-art technologies. As a result, it creates a sustainable, greener city, pushes forward competitive and innovative commerce, and increases overall life quality. The integrated view of a smart city underlines it does not operate in isolation, which is why every subsystem of a city needs to develop its smart component. A wide range of rankings is used to determine the smartness of cities by mapping out the pros and cons of each analysed city. As the way to integrate various indicators into one value which will represent the rank, a composite index approach is most frequently used. Still, composite indexes are usually formed using the equal weight approach, which is heavily criticised in current literature. In this paper, we try to provide added value to the Smart City Index by implementing the statistical post hoc I-distance approach. The procedure enables us to shed some additional light on the issue of sensitivity of cities’ rank. The application of post hoc I-distance defines indicators which are most significant for the ranking process. It consequently empowers city decision-makers to improve their performance, with a focus on those particular indicators.
智慧城市代表了一个经常被阐述的概念,但在提供一致的定义方面却很短。然而,几乎每一种描述都始终着眼于其技术组成部分、可持续发展政策以及使学习和创新的能力提高。此外,智慧城市旨在利用最先进的技术将人、信息和其他城市元素连接起来。因此,它创造了一个可持续的、更绿色的城市,推动了竞争和创新的商业,提高了整体生活质量。智慧城市的整体观点强调它不是孤立运行的,这就是为什么城市的每个子系统都需要发展其智能组件的原因。通过绘制出每个被分析城市的利弊,广泛的排名被用来确定城市的智慧程度。作为将各种指标综合成一个值来表示排名的方法,最常用的是综合指数法。尽管如此,复合指数通常是使用等权重方法形成的,这在当前文献中受到了严厉的批评。在本文中,我们试图通过实施统计事后i -距离方法来为智慧城市指数提供附加价值。这一程序使我们能够进一步了解城市排名的敏感性问题。post - hoc I-distance的应用定义了对排名过程最重要的指标。因此,它使城市决策者能够提高他们的绩效,重点关注这些特定指标。
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引用次数: 3
Investor sentiment and foreign financial flows: Evidence from South Africa 投资者情绪和外国资金流动:来自南非的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.473
Hilary Tinotenda Muguto, Lorraine Rupande, P. Muzindutsi
Foreign financial flows to emerging markets have increasingly become important following the opening of financial markets globally. These financial flows are a function of a country’s fundamentals related to future productivity. However, macroeconomic fundamentals cannot explain some of the patterns in these financial flows, especially in emerging markets. In this study, we tested whether investor sentiment can be used as an alternative explanation for the foreign financial flows in South Africa. We employed net foreign purchases of shares and bonds, and we constructed a composite investor sentiment measure using a set of proxies. We then estimated autoregressive distributed lag models – linear and non-linear – to determine the relationship between sentiment and foreign financial flows in both the long and short run. The results showed that investor sentiment does influence foreign financial flows into South Africa. Therefore, it can be concluded that besides economic performance and stability of a country, it is of crucial importance to improve the perceived outlook for the country as to attract foreign financial flows. This finding is relevant for South Africa as a country that depends significantly on foreign capital flows to fill its widening gap between the savings and the investment needed to support enough economic growth.
随着全球金融市场的开放,外资流向新兴市场的重要性日益凸显。这些资金流动是一个国家与未来生产力相关的基本面的函数。然而,宏观经济基本面无法解释这些资金流动的某些模式,尤其是在新兴市场。在这项研究中,我们测试了投资者情绪是否可以作为南非外国资金流动的另一种解释。我们采用了股票和债券的外国净购买量,并使用一组代理构建了一个综合投资者情绪指标。然后,我们估计了自回归分布滞后模型-线性和非线性-以确定情绪与外国资金流动在长期和短期之间的关系。结果表明,投资者情绪确实影响外国资金流入南非。因此,可以得出结论,除了一个国家的经济表现和稳定之外,改善该国的感知前景以吸引外国资金流动至关重要。这一发现与南非有关,因为南非严重依赖外国资本流动来填补其日益扩大的储蓄与投资之间的差距,以支持足够的经济增长。
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引用次数: 4
International financial inclusion: Multidimensional determinants of access to saving and credit 国际金融普惠:获得储蓄和信贷的多维决定因素
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.401
P. Cuéllar, Lilianne Isabel
This work assesses quantitatively the determinants of two of the main indicators of financial inclusion: savings account ownership and credit access. Through the use of a dynamic panel, this work verifies that on the supply side, formal saving requires an infrastructure to access these services, as well as palliatives to the asymmetric information in the financial sector, while on the demand side, the education and the stability of income sources of its potential users are crucial. In order to move to a more comprehensive financial inclusion by taking a formal loan, even though access to this infrastructure is still relevant, its effect is decreasing. Therefore the national educational level and Credit Information Societies acquire relevance, as well as the employment vulnerability, which affects eligibility and the commitment that indebtedness entails. The significance of certain cultural traits in the credit static panel warns that, although financial inclusion can be promoted through standards vetted internationally, its effectiveness cannot be separated from the social context where they are implemented.
这项工作定量评估了普惠金融的两个主要指标的决定因素:储蓄账户所有权和信贷获取。通过使用动态小组,这项工作证实,在供应方面,正式储蓄需要获得这些服务的基础设施,以及缓解金融部门信息不对称的手段,而在需求方面,潜在用户的教育和收入来源的稳定至关重要。为了通过获得正式贷款来实现更全面的金融包容性,尽管获得这一基础设施仍然重要,但其影响正在减弱。因此,国家教育水平和信用信息协会以及就业脆弱性都具有相关性,这影响到负债所带来的资格和承诺。信贷静态小组中某些文化特征的重要性警告称,尽管普惠金融可以通过国际审查的标准来促进,但其有效性离不开实施这些标准的社会背景。
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引用次数: 1
Challenges of integrated variance estimation in emerging stock markets 新兴股票市场综合方差估计的挑战
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.713
Josip Arnerić, M. Matković
Estimating integrated variance, using high frequency data, requires modelling experience and data crunching skills. Although intraday returns have attracted much attention in recent years, handling these data is challenging because of their unique characteristics. When dealing with ultra-high frequency or tick-by-tick observations the enormous amount of data needs to be processed prior to estimation of integrated variance for two reasons: eliminating microstructure noise and finding appropriate unbiased estimator. This paper contributes to the existing literature in a two ways. First, we propose how to handle quality issues of the high frequency data due to non-frequent trading and lower liquidity of emerging markets. Second, we find the optimal sampling frequency at slow time scale that should be used to obtain two-time scale estimator of integrated variance for each emerging market under consideration: Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Croatia. Empirical results indicate that intraday returns should be sampled every 7 to 10 minutes at slow time scale while the fast time scale should be fixed at the highest possible frequency. Realized variance estimator at the fast time scale mostly overestimates the integrated variance on all stock markets except Bulgaria; on average between 70% and 90% of the time. Moreover, the robustness of the results with respect to the price jumps has been verified for Romania and Hungary, unlike Croatia and Bulgaria, for which we recommend a robust version of two-time scale estimator of integrated variance within truncation technique. It is additionally found that intraday returns should be sampled more frequently in a highly volatile periods. These findings offer valuable information to market participants, as they are able to apply the most accurate ex-post volatility measure, as unbiased and consistent estimate of integrated variance.
估计综合方差,使用高频数据,需要建模经验和数据处理技能。尽管近年来日内收益备受关注,但由于其独特的特征,处理这些数据具有挑战性。在处理超高频率或逐点观测时,需要在估计综合方差之前处理大量数据,原因有两个:消除微观结构噪声和找到适当的无偏估计器。本文对现有文献的贡献有两个方面。首先,我们提出了如何处理由于新兴市场交易不频繁和流动性较低导致的高频数据质量问题。其次,我们找到了慢时间尺度下的最佳采样频率,该频率应用于获得所考虑的每个新兴市场的综合方差的双时间尺度估计量:罗马尼亚,匈牙利,保加利亚和克罗地亚。实证结果表明,在慢时间尺度下,每日收益应每7 ~ 10分钟采样一次,而在快时间尺度下,应尽可能固定在最高频率。在快速时间尺度上实现的方差估计器大多高估了除保加利亚以外的所有股票市场的综合方差;平均70%到90%的时间。此外,与克罗地亚和保加利亚不同,罗马尼亚和匈牙利的价格跳跃结果的稳健性已经得到验证,我们建议在截断技术中使用综合方差的双时间尺度估计器的稳健版本。此外还发现,在高度波动的时期,应该更频繁地采样日内收益。这些发现为市场参与者提供了有价值的信息,因为他们能够应用最准确的事后波动度量,作为综合方差的无偏和一致估计。
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引用次数: 3
Smart city label: past, present, and future 智慧城市标签:过去、现在和未来
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.801
Primož Pevcin
Smart city concept or label has become increasingly popular in scientific literature as well as in contemporary urban policy-making, where it has been popularized for the purpose of solving complex urban problems. This paper focuses on the review of the existing literature on this concept, following mainly manifest content analysis approach. The scrutinisation process reveals that this concept has been indeed popularized recently, overtaking (and substituting) some more older concepts, which could be partly contributed to its terminological neutrality and broader content that it tries to address. However, the main practical impetus for the growth of popularity can be attributed to the technology push. The increase in the volume of research partially also reflects the availability of research funds, thus indicating that smart city investigation is also policy-driven topic. Following a trajectory, a potential for the new city label emergence in the future should not be disregarded.
智慧城市的概念或标签在科学文献和当代城市政策制定中越来越受欢迎,其目的是为了解决复杂的城市问题。本文着重对现有的关于这一概念的文献进行综述,主要采用显性内容分析法。仔细审查过程表明,这个概念最近确实很流行,取代了一些更老的概念,这可能部分归功于它的术语中立性和它试图解决的更广泛的内容。然而,受欢迎程度增长的主要实际动力可归因于技术的推动。研究数量的增加也部分反映了研究资金的可用性,从而表明智慧城市研究也是政策驱动的主题。按照一定的轨迹,未来出现新城市标签的可能性不容忽视。
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引用次数: 1
Mjerenje kreditnog rizika na primjeru izloženosti riziku koncentracije poljskih banaka 信贷风险计量,例如,农业银行集中风险敞口
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-27 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.2.681
Natalia Nehrebecka
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引用次数: 3
Odrednice pojave pretjeranog optimizma među analitičarimaVaršavske burze 华沙市场分析师的分歧显示出过度乐观
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2019.1.259
R. Pastusiak, Jakub Keller
This paper deals with the phenomenon of excessive optimism in brokerage valuations, which is manifested by one-sided errors in the valuation of securities in reference to the real price achieved by the particular stock in the horizon of one year. The phenomenon of over-optimism is complex both from the perspective of the individual characteristics of stock market analysts as well as the psychological aspects of market functioning and the mechanisms that determine the volatility of stock prices. Due to the wide range of factors affecting the occurrence of the examined phenomenon, the authors focus only on the market aspects influencing the occurrence of excessive optimism in brokerage recommendations. The research examines over 10,000 recommendations for companies from the Warsaw Stock Exchange and from more than 40 financial institutions which evaluated companies in the period 2000-2014. For the purposes of analyzes, over-optimism in valuations is defined as an overestimation of the target price in the case of positive recommendations and as an underestimation of the price decline in the case of negative ones. The results confirmed the hypotheses of the heterogeneity of the phenomenon of excessive optimism both for different economic sectors and individual financial institutions. The authors see it as a good result considering the fact that regression uses only variables related to market characteristics of the recommendations issued, omitting other spheres influencing the occurrence of excessive optimism among analysts.
本文研究了证券经纪估值中的过度乐观现象,这种现象表现为证券估值相对于某只股票在一年内的实际价格出现片面误差。无论是从股票市场分析师的个人特征来看,还是从市场运作的心理方面和决定股票价格波动的机制来看,过度乐观现象都是复杂的。由于影响所研究现象发生的因素范围很广,作者只关注影响券商推荐中过度乐观现象发生的市场方面。该研究审查了华沙证券交易所和40多家金融机构在2000年至2014年期间对公司进行评估的10,000多条建议。为了分析的目的,估值中的过度乐观被定义为在正面建议的情况下对目标价格的高估,在负面建议的情况下对价格下跌的低估。研究结果证实了过度乐观现象在不同经济部门和个体金融机构中存在异质性的假设。考虑到回归只使用与发布的建议的市场特征相关的变量,忽略了影响分析师过度乐观发生的其他领域,作者认为这是一个很好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Brand i karakteristike potrošača kao pokretača ponašanja prema globalnim i lokalnim brandovima 作为全球和本地品牌运动的品牌和消费者特征
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-28 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2018.2.619
Srđan Šapić, Milan Kocic, J. Filipović
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引用次数: 3
Odabir lokacije za novu poslovnu jedinicu u ICT industriji 为新的信通技术业务部门选择地点
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-28 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2018.2.801
Sanja Marinković, Ilija Nikolić, Jovana Rakicevic
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引用次数: 10
Averzija prema sigurnom gubitku: pretvaranje ulagača u kockare 证券损失规避:博彩投资者转换
IF 1.2 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-28 DOI: 10.18045/ZBEFRI.2018.2.537
Miroslav Ferenčak, Dušan Dobromirov, Mladen Radišić, Aleksandar Takaci
{"title":"Averzija prema sigurnom gubitku: pretvaranje ulagača u kockare","authors":"Miroslav Ferenčak, Dušan Dobromirov, Mladen Radišić, Aleksandar Takaci","doi":"10.18045/ZBEFRI.2018.2.537","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18045/ZBEFRI.2018.2.537","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44594,"journal":{"name":"Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci-Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2018-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47358232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci-Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics
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