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Steric Oscillations of the Baltic Sea Level 波罗的海海平面的立体振荡
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.2205/2023es000846
Eugenii Zakharchuk, V. Sukhachev, Natal'ya Tihonova, E. Litina
The main purpose of the paper is to estimate the capabilities of NEMO 3.6 regional reanalysis data for a realistic description of the Baltic Sea steric level oscillations, the spatio-temporal structure research and causes of modern sea level changes, induced by fluctuations in water density, in the range of interannual and seasonal variability scales. Comparison of the steric level oscillations series calculated from contact measurements of temperature and salinity at oceanographic stations and from regional reanalysis data is carried out by evaluating various statistical accuracy criteria. The paper shows that the reanalysis data allow reproducing the Baltic Sea steric level oscillations quite accurately. Estimates of linear trends indicate that in the period 1993–2020 in the open Baltic and in the west of the Gulf of Finland, the steric sea level is mainly decreasing, while in the Gulf of Bothnia the steric level is increasing. Harmonic analysis of steric level oscillations showed that the annual harmonic a in the range of seasonal variability makes a predominant contribution to steric level oscillations, its amplitude significantly exceeds the amplitudes of the harmonics sa, ta and qa. The thermosteric component has the main influence on seasonal steric level oscillations, and only in the south-west of the sea there is a significant influence of the halosteric component. During the period under review, positive linear trends were observed in the amplitudes changes of the harmonics a, sa, ta and qa in most regions of the Baltic Sea, however, in the south-west of the open Baltic, a decrease in the amplitudes of all four harmonics of seasonal steric level oscillations was observed in the south-west part of the Open Baltic Sea. In conclusion, based on the obtained results, it is assumed that the identified modern regional changes in the Baltic Sea steric level oscillations are associated with an increase in air temperature, an increase in precipitation, a decrease in wind intensity, a desalination of the upper quasi-homogeneous layer and an increase in deep and near-bottom waters salinity caused by water exchange with salty waters of the North Sea.
本文的主要目的是估算 NEMO 3.6 区域再分析数据在年际和季节变化尺度范围内真实描述波罗的海立体水位振荡、时空结构研究和现代海平面变化原因的能力。通过评估各种统计精度标准,对根据海洋观测站的温度和盐度接触测量数据和区域再分析数据计算得出的立体海平面振荡序列进行了比较。论文表明,再分析数据能够相当准确地再现波罗的海立体水位振荡。对线性趋势的估计表明,1993-2020 年期间,在波罗的海开阔海域和芬兰湾西部,立体海平面主要在下降,而在波的尼亚湾,立体海平面在上升。对立体海平面振荡的谐波分析表明,季节变化范围内的年谐波 a 对立体海平面振荡起主要作用,其振幅明显超过谐波 sa、ta 和 qa 的振幅。热力分量对季节性立体水位振荡有主要影响,只有在西南海域才有显著的热力分量影响。在本报告所述期间,波罗的海大部分地区的谐波 a、sa、ta 和 qa 的振幅变化呈正线性趋势,但在波罗的海西南部开阔海域,季节性立体水位振荡的所有四个谐波的振幅都有所下降。总之,根据所获得的结果,可以推测波罗的海立体水位振荡的现代区域变化与气温升高、降水增加、风力减弱、上层准均质层脱盐以及与北海咸水交换造成的深层和近底层水域盐度增加有关。
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引用次数: 0
Temporal Variability of Soil Temperature in the North-West Arctic Zone of Russia. Part I: Interannual Linear Trends Based on Thermometer Measurements and Reanalysis Data 俄罗斯西北北极区土壤温度的时间变异性。第一部分:基于温度计测量和再分析数据的年际线性趋势
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si12
Sergey Lebedev, Andrey Kostianoy, Il'ya Tretiyak
In this article we investigate near-surface air temperature (NSAT) and soil temperature variability at four depths in the region of the White Sea, Murmansk and Arkhangelsk Regions, and Republic of Karelia. For the analysis we used NOAA-CIRES-DOE 20th Century Reanalysis (Version 3) reanalysis data for the 1980–2015 time period and data of bent-stem thermometers at 5, 10, 15, 20 cm depths and extraction thermometers at 20, 60, 80, 120, 240 and 320 cm depths for 1985-2021 time period. Average variability of NSAT is estimated using linear trend as +0.028 ◦C/year. For soil temperature a linear trend is of +0.0137 ◦C/year on surface (0 cm), +0.0136 ◦C/year at 10 cm depth, +0.0142 ◦C/year at 40 cm depth and +0.0133 ◦C/year at 100 cm depth.
本文研究了白海地区、摩尔曼斯克州、阿尔汉格尔斯克州和卡累利阿共和国四个深度的近地表空气温度(NSAT)和土壤温度变化。在分析中,我们使用了 NOAA-CIRES-DOE 20 世纪再分析(第 3 版)1980-2015 年期间的再分析数据,以及 1985-2021 年期间 5、10、15、20 厘米深度的弯杆温度计和 20、60、80、120、240 和 320 厘米深度的提取温度计数据。利用线性趋势估算出 NSAT 的平均变化率为 +0.028 ◦C/年。地表(0 厘米)土壤温度的线性趋势为 +0.0137 ◦C/年,10 厘米深度为 +0.0136 ◦C/年,40 厘米深度为 +0.0142 ◦C/年,100 厘米深度为 +0.0133 ◦C/年。
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引用次数: 0
Review of Models for Estimating and Predicting the Amount of Energy Produced by Solar Energy Systems 太阳能系统发电量估算和预测模型综述
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si01
V. Simankov, P. Buchatskiy, S. Onishchenko, S. Teploukhov
Energy production based on renewable sources is a fundamental aspect of society’s sustainable development. The involvement of renewable energy sources in the implementation of modern energy systems can significantly reduce the amount of harmful emissions into the atmosphere and provide greater flexibility of energy infrastructure. The first step in determining the feasibility of involving a particular energy source in the overall energy system of the region is a preliminary assessment of the energy potential to determine the possible percentage of substitution of traditional energy. To solve this problem, it is necessary to use the models of energy supply, which are currently presented in a wide variety. In this regard, this paper proposes to consider various models for estimating the solar energy potential, which can be divided into empirical models and models based on the application of modern intelligent data analysis technologies. Such models are based on many different climatic and geographical indicators, such as: longitude of sunshine, ambient temperature, serial number of the day of the current year, amount of precipitation, average and maximum values of wind speed and so on. The paper analyzed the existing models for estimating the amount of energy, which can be used in the system designed to determine the most optimal configuration of the energy system based on the use of various conversion technologies most relevant to the case under study, and also serve as the basis for creating digital twins designed to model and optimize the operation of the projected energy complex
基于可再生能源的能源生产是社会可持续发展的一个基本方面。让可再生能源参与现代能源系统的实施,可以大大减少大气中的有害排放物,并使能源基础设施具有更大的灵活性。要确定将某种能源纳入地区整体能源系统的可行性,首先要对能源潜力进行初步评估,以确定传统能源的可能替代比例。为了解决这个问题,有必要使用能源供应模型,目前这些模型种类繁多。为此,本文建议考虑各种估算太阳能潜力的模型,这些模型可分为经验模型和基于现代智能数据分析技术应用的模型。这些模型基于许多不同的气候和地理指标,如:日照经度、环境温度、当年日序号、降水量、风速的平均值和最大值等。本文分析了估算能源量的现有模型,这些模型可用于设计的系统中,根据与所研究案例最相关的各种转换技术的使用情况,确定能源系统的最佳配置,还可作为创建数字双胞胎的基础,用于模拟和优化预计能源综合体的运行。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Changes in the Scale and Direction of Thermal Pollution Flows in the Kalinin NPP Cooling Lakes From 1985 to 2020 对 1985 年至 2020 年加里宁核电站冷却湖热污染流规模和方向变化的评估
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si07
A. Bocharov, Sergey Lebedev, P. Kravchenko
The article evaluates the change in the scale and direction of thermal pollution flows of the cooling lakes of the Kalinin NPP from 1985 to 2020 based on the use of Earth remote sensing data. A retrospective analysis was carried out using satellite images obtained by the sensors of the Landsat series satellites. An analysis of the distribution of surface water temperature over the water area of NPP cooling lakes has been carried out. The change in the structure of thermal pollution after the increase in the capacity of the Kalinin NPP is determined. The temperature of the cooling lakes of the Kalinin NPP was estimated relative to the background indicators in the lakes-analogues, which were used as nearby Lake Navolok and Lake Kezadra. The study identified five stages of transformation of the water mass circulation system in the cooling lakes of the Kalinin NPP.
文章利用地球遥感数据对加里宁核电厂冷却湖热污染流的规模和方向在 1985 年至 2020 年期间的变化进行了评估。利用 Landsat 系列卫星传感器获得的卫星图像进行了回顾性分析。对国家核电厂冷却湖水域的地表水温度分布进行了分析。确定了加里宁核电厂产能增加后热污染结构的变化。对加里宁核电厂冷却湖的温度进行了估算,并将其与附近的纳沃洛克湖和克扎德拉湖等类似湖泊的背景指标进行了比较。研究确定了加里宁核电厂冷却湖水体循环系统的五个转变阶段。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring the Content of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons in Soils and Natural Herbal Vegetation of Technogeneously Polluted Territory 监测技术污染地区土壤和天然草本植物中的多环芳烃含量
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si09
A. Barbashev, S. Sushkova, T. Dudnikova, T. Minkina, V. Popov
Currently, one of the most important problems is the pollution of natural systems by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) as a result of human industrial activity. In this connection, it is necessary to carry out monitoring of territories subjected to the anthropogenic impact. As a result of the monitoring study of the impact zone of the fuel and energy complex enterprises, it was found that polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the soil of the impact zone accumulate mainly up to 2 km along the line of the prevailing wind rose from the enterprise. The group composition of PAHs is dominated by 4-ring compounds, exceeding the background values by 23 times. At the same time, plants growing on the territory of the impact zone mainly accumulate such compounds as fluoranthene, pyrene, benzo[a]anthracene and phenanthrene, which is 70–82% of the total content of polyarenes in various parts of plants.
目前,最重要的问题之一是人类工业活动造成的多环芳烃(PAHs)对自然系统的污染。因此,有必要对受到人为影响的地区进行监测。在对燃料和能源综合企业影响区进行监测研究后发现,影响区土壤中的多环芳烃(PAHs)主要积聚在距企业 2 公里处的盛行风上升沿线。多环芳烃的组组成以 4 环化合物为主,超出背景值 23 倍。同时,在影响区内生长的植物主要积累了荧蒽、芘、苯并[a]蒽和菲等化合物,占植物各部分多烯烃总含量的 70-82%。
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引用次数: 0
Variations of Organic and Inorganic Atmospheric Boundary Layer Gaseous Species by Observations in Moscow and Zvenigorod 通过在莫斯科和兹韦尼戈罗德观测大气边界层有机和无机气态物种的变化
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si06
V. Belousov, I. Belikov, K. Moiseenko, A. Skorokhod
Anthropogenic pollution of the atmosphere with organic and inorganic gaseous species has been studied using constant high-quality monitoring of the atmosphere composition both in megacity of Moscow and in its countryside. The article considers continuous measurements of the main climatically and chemically active atmospheric gaseous species concentrations, including volatile organic compounds. The main attention is paid to the comparative analysis, mainly between the megacity and its suburban area, by average species concentrations and some quality features of their seasonal and diurnal variations. The obtained results confirmed the previously studied features of the daily variations of inorganic gaseous species in Moscow and showed such features for organic compounds in the countryside.
通过对莫斯科特大城市及其郊区的大气成分进行持续、高质量的监测,研究了大气中有机和无机气态物种的人为污染。文章考虑了对大气中主要气候和化学活性气体物种(包括挥发性有机化合物)浓度的连续测量。主要关注的是大城市和郊区之间的比较分析,包括物种平均浓度及其季节和昼夜变化的一些质量特征。研究结果证实了之前研究的莫斯科无机气体物种日变化特征,并显示了郊区有机化合物的日变化特征。
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引用次数: 0
Transformation and Features of Plant Successions of the Taman Peninsula in Case of Technogenic Impact 技术影响下塔曼半岛植物演替的转变和特征
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si18
S. Litvinskaya
The impact of technogenic objects on the plant communities of the Taman Peninsula is considered. Technogenic transformations lead to destabilization of the balance in plant communities and landscapes of the Taman Peninsula. Anthropogenic successions are manifested differently in different types of ecosystems. The speed and nature of these processes usually determine the resistance of individual populations to the action of new environmental factors on them. When the vegetation cover is destroyed, the succession will focus on the formation of a ruderal community. When the sand-shell substrate was replaced with cement blocks in the littoral zone, the succession began to form linear synanthropic communities.
研究考虑了技术生成物对塔曼半岛植物群落的影响。技术变革导致塔曼半岛植物群落和景观的平衡失稳。人为演替在不同类型的生态系统中表现各异。这些过程的速度和性质通常决定了单个种群对新环境因素作用的抵抗力。当植被遭到破坏时,演替的重点是形成原生群落。当沿岸带的沙壳基质被水泥块取代时,演替开始形成线性同生群落。
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引用次数: 0
Linear perturbations of the Bloch type of space-periodic magnetohydrodynamic steady states. III. Asymptotics of branching 空间周期磁流体动力学稳态的布洛赫型线性扰动。III.分支渐近
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es000841
R. Chertovskih, V. Zheligovsky
The previous paper of this series presented the results of a numerical investigation of the dependence of the dominant growth rates of Bloch eigenmodes on the diffusivity parameters (the molecular viscosity ν and molecular magnetic diffusivity η) in three linear stability problems: the kinematic dynamo problem, and the hydrodynamic and MHD stability problems for steady spaceperiodic flows and MHD states. The dominant eigenmodes (i.e., the stability modes, whose growth rates are maximum over the wave vector q of the planar wave involved in the Bloch modes) comprise branches. In some branches, the dominant growth rates are attained for constant half-integer q. In all the three stability problems for parity-invariant steady states, offshoot branches, stemming from the branches of this type, were found, in which the dominant growth rates are attained for q depending on ν and/or η. We consider now such a branching of the dominant magnetic modes in the kinematic dynamo problem, where an offshoot stems from a branch of neutral eigenmodes for q = 0, and construct power series expansions for the offshoots and the associated eigenvalues of the magnetic induction operator near the point of bifurcation. We show that the branching occurs for the molecular magnetic diffusivities, for which the two eigenvalues of the eddy diffusivity operator become imaginary, and magnetic field generation by the mechanism of the negative eddy diffusivity ceases. The details of branching in the other linear stability problems under consideration are distinct.
本系列的上一篇论文介绍了在三个线性稳定问题中,布洛赫特征模态的主导增长率对扩散参数(分子粘度ν和分子磁扩散率η)的依赖性的数值研究结果:运动动力学问题,以及稳定空间周期流和多热流状态的流体动力学和多热流稳定问题。主导特征模态(即稳定模态,其增长率在布洛赫模态涉及的平面波的波矢q上最大)由分支组成。在所有三个奇偶不变稳态的稳定性问题中,我们都发现了从这类分支中衍生出来的分支,在这些分支中,q 的主要增长率取决于 ν 和/或 η。现在,我们考虑运动动力问题中主导磁模的这种分支,其中一个分支源自 q = 0 时的中性特征模分支,并在分岔点附近构建了分支的幂级数展开和磁感应算子的相关特征值。我们的研究表明,分叉发生在分子磁扩散度上,此时涡扩散算子的两个特征值变为虚值,负涡扩散机制产生的磁场将停止。在所考虑的其他线性稳定性问题中,分支的细节是不同的。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the Geomechanical Properties of Bashkirian Carbonate Rocks at the Tatarstan Republic for Optimization of Hydraulic Fracturing 评估鞑靼斯坦共和国巴什基尔碳酸盐岩的地质力学特性以优化水力压裂法
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es000886
E. Ziganshin, A. Kolchugin, A. Dautov, E. Nurieva
Every year, the percentage of development of complex and unconventional hydrocarbon reservoirs is increasing, which is associated with the depletion of traditional oil and gas reserves. Carbonate reservoirs are hard-to-recover reservoir rocks due to the high degree of heterogeneity. A more detailed study of the lithological features and physical properties of carbonate rocks is an important and integral part of the complex reservoirs development. In the present work has done a comprehensive analysis of the lithological and geomechanical properties of the Middle Carboniferous strata deposits of the Dachnoye oil field, located in the southeast of the Republic of Tatarstan. The main attention in the research was focused on the estimation of the britleness of rocks. Britleness index is necessary for correct prediction of hydraulic fracturing. The result of the research is the identification of carbonate facies and their geomechanical characteristics, as well as the estimation of the britleness of rocks by various methods.
随着传统油气储量的枯竭,复杂和非常规油气藏的开发比例逐年增加。碳酸盐岩储层因其高度的异质性而成为难以开采的储层岩石。对碳酸盐岩的岩性特征和物理性质进行更详细的研究,是复杂储层开发不可或缺的重要环节。本研究对位于鞑靼斯坦共和国东南部的达赫诺耶(Dachnoye)油田中石炭纪地层矿床的岩性和地质力学性质进行了全面分析。研究的主要重点是对岩石脆性的估算。岩石脆性指数是正确预测水力压裂的必要条件。研究成果包括确定碳酸盐岩层及其地质力学特征,以及通过各种方法估算岩石的脆性。
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引用次数: 0
Urban Dendroflora of Dry Subtropics of the Northwestern Part of The Greater Caucasus on the Example of the City of Gelendzhik 以格连吉克市为例介绍大高加索西北部亚热带干旱地区的城市树叶景观
IF 1.3 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.2205/2023es02si03
Yulia Postarnak, V. Zhavoronkov
The article presents the results of the analysis of the species composition of the dendroflora of the city of Gelendzhik. The research covered 20 hectares of tree plantations. The route method and the transect method were used. In total, 30 transects were laid with a width of 5-20 m and the total length was 22 km. The routes covered all biotopes of natural (natural forest plantations on the outskirts of the city) and anthropogenic habitats (boarding houses, house territories of private households, spontaneous vegetation of roadsides and wastelands). True census of all tree and shrub species was carried out on the transects. Special attention was paid to rare species for which renewal and undergrowth were taken into account. The arboreal flora of Gelendzhik is represented by 110 species, which belong to 75 genera and 35 families. The predominant part of the dendroflora is represented by angiosperms (82.7%) and gymnosperms (13.7%). The families of Rosaceae, Cupressaceae and Fabaceae are most widely represented in the dendroflora of the city's green spaces (44%). The analysis of the species composition on their share of participation showed that the native fraction of the dendroflora prevails over the cultural one, which indicates its species richness. The analysis of the geographical element of the wild-growing fraction showed the heterogeneity of the dendroflora, in the formation of which 15 geographical elements take part. The largest number of species in the studied dendroflora belongs to the ancient Mediterranean group of geoelements. The significant participation of the Mediterranean and Caucasian geoelements indicates a high degree of autochthonicity in the development of the dendroflora of the city of Gelendzhik. Phanerophytes predominate among the life forms, represented equally by mesophanerophytes, nanophanerophytes and microphanerophytes. It should also be emphasized the significant participation of adventitious tree species (15.4% of the aboriginal fraction). Most of the adventitious species are of North American origin. The leading place in the quantitative spectrum is occupied by rare Mediterranean species Pinus brutia var. pityusa (Stev) Silba) (21% of the total number of studied individuals), Prunus mahaleb (L.) Vassilcz.) (7%), Pistacia atlantica Desf. (2.1%), which reflects the specifics of the dendroflora of the city of Gelendzhik.
文章介绍了对格连吉克市树种组成的分析结果。研究覆盖了 20 公顷的植树造林地。采用了路线法和断面法。总共铺设了 30 条宽度为 5-20 米的横断面,总长度为 22 公里。路线覆盖了所有自然生物群落(市郊的天然植树造林)和人为生物群落(寄宿房屋、私人住户的房屋领地、路边和荒地的自发植被)。在横断面上对所有树木和灌木物种进行了真正的普查。对稀有物种给予了特别关注,因为它们的更新和灌木丛被考虑在内。格连吉克的乔木植物区系有 110 种,隶属于 75 属 35 科。被子植物(82.7%)和裸子植物(13.7%)占树种的绝大部分。在城市绿地的树叶植物中,蔷薇科、濯缨科和豆科所占比例最大(44%)。根据参与比例对物种组成进行的分析表明,树种中的本地部分比文化部分占优势,这表明其物种丰富。对野生生长部分的地理要素进行的分析表明,石斛群具有异质性,有 15 个地理要素参与其中。在所研究的树丛中,属于古地中海地理要素组的物种数量最多。地中海和高加索地理要素的大量参与表明,格连吉克市的树叶景观发展具有高度的自生性。扇叶植物在各种生命形式中占主导地位,中扇叶植物、纳米扇叶植物和微扇叶植物在其中具有同等的代表性。还应该强调的是,不定生树种(占原生部分的 15.4%)在其中占有重要地位。大多数不定生树种都起源于北美。稀有的地中海树种 Pinus brutia var. pityusa (Stev) Silba(占研究个体总数的 21%)、Prunus mahaleb (L.) Vassilcz.) (7%)、Pistacia atlantica Desf. (2.1%)在数量谱中占据主导地位,这反映了格连吉克市树种的特殊性。
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Journal of Earth Sciences
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