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Analysis of reporting lag in daily data of COVID-19 in Japan. 日本新冠肺炎日常数据报告滞后分析
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00334-y
Taro Kanatani, Kuninori Nakagawa

The daily announcement of positive COVID-19 cases had a major socioeconomic impact. In Japan, it is well known that the characteristic of this number as time series data is the weekly periodicity. We assume that this periodicity is generated by changes in the timing of reporting on the weekend. We analyze a lag structure that shows how congestion that occurs over the weekend affects the number of new confirmed cases at the beginning of the following week. We refer to this reporting delay as the weekend effect. Our study aims to describe the geographical heterogeneity found in the time series of reported positive cases. We use data on the number of new positives reported by the prefectures. Our results suggest that delays generally occur in prefectures with a population of more than 2 million, including Japan's three largest metropolitan areas, Tokyo, Osaka, and Nagoya. The number of new positives was higher in the more populated prefectures. This will explain the weekend effect.

每天公布的新冠病毒阳性病例产生了重大的社会经济影响。在日本,众所周知,这个数字作为时间序列数据的特征是周周期性。我们假设这种周期性是由周末报告时间的变化产生的。我们分析了一个滞后结构,该结构显示了周末发生的拥堵如何影响下周初新确诊病例的数量。我们将这种报告延迟称为周末效应。我们的研究旨在描述在报告阳性病例的时间序列中发现的地理异质性。我们使用各县报告的新阳性病例数量的数据。我们的研究结果表明,延误通常发生在人口超过200万的县,包括日本的三个最大的大都市区,东京,大阪和名古屋。在人口较多的县,新阳性病例数量较高。这就解释了周末效应。
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引用次数: 0
Physical distancing as an integral component of pandemic response. 保持身体距离是大流行应对的一个组成部分。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00331-1
Alan T Murray, Susan Burtner

It is well established that a variety of physical distancing measures are invaluable as part of the overall response to pandemics. COVID-19 is the most recent such pandemic, a respiratory disease transmitted through interaction, necessitating steps to minimize or eliminate the potential for exposure. Of course, this is driven by a desire to keep the economy moving, allow for social activity, continue education, support the livelihoods of individuals, etc. Regional science and supporting analytics have an important role in managing activity through the development and application of methods that enable spatial interaction that mitigates transmission. This paper details methods to plan for physical distancing at micro-scales, enabling the return of social, economic, entertainment, etc. activities. Geographic information systems combined with spatial optimization offers important spatial coronametrics for the mitigation of risk in disease transmission. Applications detailing office space occupancy and travel along with room seating are highlighted.

众所周知,作为大流行病总体应对措施的一部分,各种物理距离措施是非常宝贵的。COVID-19是最近的此类大流行,是一种通过相互作用传播的呼吸道疾病,需要采取措施尽量减少或消除接触的可能性。当然,这是由保持经济发展、允许社会活动、继续教育、支持个人生计等愿望驱动的。区域科学和支持性分析在管理活动方面发挥着重要作用,方法的开发和应用使空间互动能够减轻传播。本文详细介绍了在微观尺度上规划身体距离的方法,使社会、经济、娱乐等活动得以回归。地理信息系统与空间优化相结合,为降低疾病传播风险提供了重要的空间计量方法。应用程序详细说明办公空间占用和旅行随着房间座位被强调。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of mineral saving and energy on the ecological footprint in an emerging market: evidence from novel Fourier based approaches. 矿物节约和能源对新兴市场生态足迹的影响:来自新颖傅立叶方法的证据。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00328-w
Emrah Sofuoğlu, Dervis Kirikkaleli

Environmental degradation has been one of the hot topics discussed since the 1980s. In the literature, CO2 emissions are generally used to represent environmental degradation. However, in this study, environmental degradation is examined in the context of ecological footprint. The study aims to investigate the effect of economic growth, energy consumption, and mineral saving on the ecological footprint in Turkey for the period of 1975-2017. For this purpose, the bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag model with a Fourier function (FARDL) method is utilized to test the long-term relationship between the variables. The findings indicate a long-term relationship between the variables. In addition, long-run estimation results based on the FARDL model show that economic growth and mineral saving increase the ecological footprint in Turkey. The conclusion discusses these findings and presents long-term policy recommendations for Turkey.

自20世纪80年代以来,环境退化一直是人们讨论的热门话题之一。在文献中,CO2排放通常被用来表示环境退化。然而,在本研究中,环境退化是在生态足迹的背景下进行研究的。该研究旨在调查1975-2017年土耳其经济增长、能源消耗和矿物节约对生态足迹的影响。为此,利用傅立叶函数(FARDL)方法的自举自回归分布滞后模型来检验变量之间的长期关系。研究结果表明,这些变量之间存在长期关系。此外,基于FARDL模型的长期估算结果表明,经济增长和矿产节约增加了土耳其的生态足迹。结论部分讨论了这些发现,并为土耳其提出了长期政策建议。
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引用次数: 3
Institutional quality and COVID-19 vaccination: does decentralization matter? 机构质量和COVID-19疫苗接种:权力下放重要吗?
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00326-y
Chiara F Del Bo

Vaccination campaigns are one of the factors that can help mitigate the adverse effects of viral pandemics. The aim of this paper is to understand the institutional factors that are associated with a higher success rate, measured by the percentage of vaccinated population against COVID-19 across countries. Along with supply side determinants, institutional factors, related, at the national level, to the organization of the healthcare sector, governance and organization of the State and social capital, and, at the subnational level related to the authority and autonomy of lower tiers of government, are important correlates of successful vaccination campaigns, suggesting potential areas of public policy interventions.

疫苗接种运动是有助于减轻病毒大流行的不利影响的因素之一。本文的目的是了解与更高成功率(以各国接种COVID-19疫苗的人口百分比衡量)相关的制度因素。除了供应方面的决定因素外,在国家一级与保健部门的组织、国家和社会资本的治理和组织有关的体制因素,以及在国家以下一级与较低级政府的权威和自治有关的体制因素,都是疫苗接种运动成功的重要相关因素,表明了公共政策干预的潜在领域。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of pandemics on labour organization: insights from an Italian company archive during the Spanish Flu. 大流行对劳工组织的影响:西班牙流感期间一家意大利公司档案的见解。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00335-x
Enrico Berbenni, Stefano Colombo

In this paper, we discuss the classical modelling approach of pandemics as a negative labour shock. We perform an archival analysis of one of the largest Italian banks (Credito Italiano) during the First World War - Spanish Flu period (1914-1920). In particular, we scrutinise the circulars that the central management of the bank sent out to the local branches, with the aim to assess whether the Spanish Flu has been perceived by contemporaries as an event seriously affecting personnel management. Though restricted to a single case-study, archival evidence does not support the existence of a remarkable negative labour supply shock affecting personnel management because of the Spanish Flu pandemic. Other war-related events probably increased the system's resilience.

在本文中,我们讨论了流行病作为负劳动力冲击的经典建模方法。我们对第一次世界大战-西班牙流感时期(1914-1920)意大利最大的银行之一(意大利信贷银行)进行了档案分析。特别是,我们仔细审查银行中央管理层向当地分行发出的通知,目的是评估西班牙流感是否已被同时代人视为严重影响人事管理的事件。虽然限于单一个案研究,但档案证据并不支持存在因西班牙流感大流行而影响人事管理的显著负面劳动力供应冲击。其他与战争有关的事件可能增加了系统的恢复能力。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of urban compactness on work and social life disruption during COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Jakarta, Indonesia. 研究新冠肺炎大流行期间城市紧凑性对工作和社会生活中断的影响:来自印度尼西亚雅加达的证据。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00347-7
Usep Nugraha, Budy P Resosudarmo, Rus'an Nasrudin

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit urban areas particularly hard, yet there is a lack of research on the hypothesis that living in more compact cities can provide better support for work and social conditions during the pandemic. This study addresses this gap by examining whether city compactness can mitigate the negative impact of the pandemic on the work and social life of urban residents in Jakarta, Indonesia. The study uses a household phone survey combined with publicly available urban form data. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, supplemented with a matching technique to address potential selection bias, is employed. The results suggest that living in more compact locations can reduce the disruption to work and social life associated with COVID-19 in urban communities. This positive effect is particularly experienced by males, non-migrants, and individuals from wealthy families.

新冠肺炎疫情对城市地区的打击尤其严重,但缺乏关于在疫情期间生活在更紧凑的城市可以为工作和社会条件提供更好支持的假设的研究。这项研究通过研究城市紧凑性是否可以减轻疫情对印尼雅加达城市居民工作和社会生活的负面影响来解决这一差距。这项研究使用了一项家庭电话调查,并结合了公开的城市形态数据。采用了普通最小二乘回归,并辅以匹配技术来解决潜在的选择偏差。研究结果表明,居住在更紧凑的地点可以减少新冠肺炎对城市社区工作和社会生活的干扰。这种积极影响在男性、非移民和富裕家庭的个人中尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Symmetric and asymmetric GARCH estimations of the impact of oil price uncertainty on output growth: evidence from the G7. 油价不确定性对产出增长影响的对称和非对称GARCH估计:来自七国集团的证据。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-023-00325-z
Rasheed O Alao, Abdulkareem Alhassan, Saheed Alao, Ifedolapo O Olanipekun, Godwin O Olasehinde-Williams, Ojonugwa Usman

Crude oil is an essential source of energy. Without access to energy, output growth is impossible. As a result of this link, volatility in oil prices has the ability to induce fluctuations in the output of both developed and developing economies. Moreover, factors such as business cycles and policy changes often introduce nonlinearity into the transmission mechanism of oil price shocks. This study therefore examines not only the interconnectedness of oil price volatility and output growth, but also the nonlinear, asymmetric impact of oil price volatility on output growth in the countries making up the Group of Seven. To this end, monthly data on West Texas Intermediate oil price and industrial production indices of the Group of Seven countries over the period 1990:01 to 2019:08 is used for empirical analysis. The study employs the DCC and cDCC-GARCH techniques for symmetric empirical analysis. The asymmetric empirical analysis is also conducted via GJR-GARCH, FIEGARCH, HYGARCH and cDCC-GARCH techniques. The findings reveal disparities in the magnitudes of the positive and negative (asymmetric) effects of oil price shocks on output growth. The results also reveal that past news and lagged volatility have a significant impact on the current conditional volatility of the output growth of the Group of Seven countries. The study concludes that the impact of oil price volatility on output growth in the selected economies is asymmetric, the volatility is highly persistent and clustered, and the asymmetric GARCH models outperform the symmetric GARCH models.

原油是一种重要的能源。没有能源,产出增长是不可能的。由于这种联系,石油价格的波动有可能引起发达经济体和发展中经济体产出的波动。此外,经济周期和政策变化等因素往往在油价冲击的传导机制中引入非线性。因此,本研究不仅考察了油价波动与产出增长之间的相互联系,还考察了油价波动对七国集团成员国产出增长的非线性、不对称影响。为此,使用1990:01 - 2019:08期间七国集团西德克萨斯中质原油价格和工业生产指数月度数据进行实证分析。本研究采用DCC和cDCC-GARCH技术进行对称实证分析。采用GJR-GARCH、FIEGARCH、HYGARCH和cdc - garch技术进行非对称实证分析。研究结果揭示了油价冲击对产出增长的正面和负面(不对称)影响程度的差异。结果还表明,过去新闻和滞后波动对七国集团产出增长的当前条件波动有显著影响。研究得出结论,油价波动对所选经济体产出增长的影响是不对称的,波动是高度持续和聚集的,非对称GARCH模型优于对称GARCH模型。
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引用次数: 3
Political ecology and hydrosocial relation: a study on drought and associated migration in a semi-arid district of West Bengal, India 政治生态学与水社会关系:印度西孟加拉邦半干旱地区的干旱及其相关移民研究
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-11-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-022-00321-9
Chhanda Ruj, A. Majumdar, S. Ghosal
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引用次数: 3
On the examination of the decoupling effect of air pollutants from economic growth: a convergence analysis for the US 论大气污染物与经济增长的脱钩效应:以美国为例的收敛分析
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-022-00320-w
M. Polemis, Panagiotis N. Fotis, Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, Nickolaos G. Tzeremes
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引用次数: 0
The causal trend of energy intensity and urbanization in emerging countries 新兴国家能源强度与城市化的因果趋势
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-022-00317-5
Kemal Eyyüboğlu, Saffet Akdağ, H. Yıldırım, A. Alola
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences
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