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Evapotranspiration and Crop Coefficient of Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L.) at Melkassa Farmland, Semi-Arid Area of Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚半干旱区Melkassa农田高粱的蒸散量和作物系数
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231184206
Tatek Wondimu Negash, Gobena Dirirsa Bayisa, Abera Tesfaye Tefera, Ketema Tezera Bizuneh, Aynalem Gurms Dinku, Tigist Worku Awulachew, Gebeyehu Ashemi Bikela
Sorghum has an enormous role in the economy of sorghum-growing nations. Supplying a precise amount of water to a crop based on crop needs is the main agenda in implementing water-saving agriculture. Non-weighing type lysimeters were used to determine actual crop evapotranspiration and crop coefficient of sorghum at the experimental farm of Melkassa Agricultural Research Center situated in the semi-arid area of Ethiopia. Soil-water balance approaches were applied to obtain actual crop evapotranspiration, while the Penman-Monteith technique was used to determine reference evapotranspiration. Growth stages-wise crop coefficient was computed as a ratio of actual crop evapotranspiration to reference evapotranspiration. The total seasonal sorghum actual crop evapotranspiration during the 2017 and 2018 experimental years was 358.6 and 377.54 mm, respectively. The 2 years average sorghum actual crop evapotranspiration was 368.07 mm. The mean locally developed actual crop coefficient values of 0.55, 1.15, and 0.59 were observed for the initial, mid, and end-season, respectively. The FAO-adjusted crop coefficient values for mid and end-season were 1.01 and 0.52, respectively. The developed Kc values considerably differed from the FAO-adjusted Kc values. So, the determination of actual crop evapotranspiration and crop coefficient for crop growth at local climate conditions is vital for decision-making concerning water management in the area where irrigation is practiced.
高粱在种植高粱的国家的经济中起着巨大的作用。根据作物的需求为作物提供精确的水量是实施节水农业的主要议程。在埃塞俄比亚半干旱区Melkassa农业研究中心的实验农场,采用非称重式溶渗仪测定了高粱的实际作物蒸散量和作物系数。采用土壤-水分平衡法获取作物实际蒸散量,采用Penman-Monteith技术确定参考蒸散量。按生长阶段计算作物系数为实际作物蒸散量与参考蒸散量的比值。2017年和2018年试验年当季高粱实际作物蒸散总量分别为358.6和377.54 mm。2年平均高粱实际作物蒸散量为368.07 mm。当地开发的实际作物系数平均值分别为0.55、1.15和0.59。经粮农组织调整的季中和季末作物系数值分别为1.01和0.52。开发的Kc值与粮农组织调整的Kc值有很大差异。因此,确定当地气候条件下作物的实际蒸散量和作物生长系数对灌区的水管理决策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Landslide Modeling in a Tropical Mountain Basin Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Shapley Additive Explanations 使用机器学习算法和Shapley加法解释的热带山地盆地滑坡建模
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231195824
J. Vega, F. H. Sepúlveda-Murillo, M. Parra
Landslides are a geological hazard commonly induced by rainfall, earthquakes, deforestation, or human activity causing loss of human life every year specially on highlands or mountain slopes with serious impacts that threaten communities and its infrastructure. The incidence and recurrence of landslides are conditioned by several aspects related to soil properties, geological structure, climatic conditions, soil cover, and water flow. Precisely, Colombia is one of the most affected by this type of natural hazard, as well as by floods, since they are the natural phenomena that bring with them the most severe risks for communities. In this work, we articulated the statistical approach of the landslide conditioning factors, Machine Learning Algorithms (MLA), and Geographic Information System (GIS), evaluating a flexible and agile methodology to estimate the landslide susceptibility defining areas prone to the landslide occurrence. The MLA were validated in a case study in the “La Liboriana” River basin, located in the Municipality of Salgar in the Colombian mountains Andes where Landslide Susceptibility Maps (LSMs) were obtained. The obtained MLA results hold immense potential in the field of regional landslide mapping, facilitating the development of effective strategies aimed at minimizing the devastating impacts on human lives, infrastructure, and the natural environment. By leveraging these findings, proactive measures can be devised to safeguard vulnerable areas, mitigate risks, and ensure the safety and well-being of communities. Seven supervised MLA were employed, two regression algorithms (Logistic) and five decision tree algorithms (Recursive Partitioning and Regression Trees [RPART], Conditional Inference Trees [CTREE], Random Forest [RF], Ranger, and Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm [XGBoost]). The LSMs were produced for each MLA. Considering different performance metrics, the RF model yields the best classification accuracy with an area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 95% and 90% of accuracy, providing the most representative results. Finally, the contribution of each landslide conditioning factor on predictions with RF model is explained using the SHAP method.
滑坡是一种地质灾害,通常由降雨、地震、森林砍伐或人类活动引起,每年都会造成人员生命损失,尤其是在高地或山坡上,其严重影响威胁到社区及其基础设施。滑坡的发生和复发取决于与土壤性质、地质结构、气候条件、土壤覆盖和水流有关的几个方面。确切地说,哥伦比亚是受这类自然灾害和洪水影响最大的国家之一,因为洪水是给社区带来最严重风险的自然现象。在这项工作中,我们阐述了滑坡条件因素的统计方法、机器学习算法(MLA)和地理信息系统(GIS),评估了一种灵活敏捷的方法来估计滑坡易发性,确定了滑坡易发区域。MLA在“La Liboriana”河流域的一个案例研究中得到了验证,该流域位于哥伦比亚安第斯山脉的萨尔加市,在那里获得了滑坡易感性图(LSM)。所获得的MLA结果在区域滑坡测绘领域具有巨大潜力,有助于制定有效的战略,最大限度地减少对人类生活、基础设施和自然环境的破坏性影响。通过利用这些发现,可以制定积极主动的措施来保护脆弱地区,减轻风险,并确保社区的安全和福祉。采用了七种监督MLA、两种回归算法(Logistic)和五种决策树算法(递归划分和回归树[RPART]、条件推理树[CTREE]、随机森林[RF]、Ranger和极限梯度提升算法[XGBoost])。LSM是为每个MLA制作的。考虑到不同的性能指标,RF模型产生了最佳的分类精度,接收器工作特性下面积(ROC)曲线的精度分别为95%和90%,提供了最具代表性的结果。最后,利用SHAP方法解释了每个滑坡条件因子对RF模型预测的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Health Risks of Major Air Pollutants, their Drivers and Mitigation Strategies: A Review 主要大气污染物的健康风险、驱动因素和缓解策略:综述
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231154659
S. Maji, Sirajuddin Ahmed, Maninder Kaur-Sidhu, S. Mor, K. Ravindra
The impact of increasing air pollution on human health and the environment is a major concern worldwide. Exposure to air pollution is one of the leading risk factors and substantially contributes to morbidity and premature mortality. This review paper aims to examine the exposure of major air pollutants (i.e., particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, oxides of nitrogen, carbon monoxide) and its association with respiratory, cardiovascular, reproductive, and genotoxic adverse health outcomes that can cause DNA damage leading to genetic mutations. The study emphasized how a better understanding of source-receptor relationships and exposure assessment methodologies can support effective air quality management planning. Hence, there is a need to augment various exposure indicators (spatial modeling, personal/area monitoring, emphasizing central/rural site measurements, etc.) to generate reliable surrogates for informed decision-making. The critical drivers of anthropogenic interference for air pollution remain urbanization, growing vehicle use, and industrialization. This requires innovative approaches, such as energy-efficient and technologically sustainable solutions to gradually replace conventional fossil fuel from primary energy mix with renewable energy. It holds the key to meet future energy challenges and minimizing air pollution emissions. Further, there is an urgent need to frame effective public policy with graded mitigation actions to reduce the adverse impact of air pollution on human health and the environment.
日益严重的空气污染对人类健康和环境的影响是全世界关注的一个重大问题。接触空气污染是主要危险因素之一,在很大程度上导致发病率和过早死亡。这篇综述论文旨在研究主要空气污染物(即颗粒物、二氧化硫、氮氧化物、一氧化碳)的暴露及其与呼吸、心血管、生殖和基因毒性不良健康结果的关系,这些不良健康结果可能导致DNA损伤导致基因突变。该研究强调了如何更好地理解源-受体关系和暴露评估方法可以支持有效的空气质量管理规划。因此,有必要增加各种暴露指标(空间建模、个人/地区监测、强调中央/农村站点测量等),以产生可靠的替代品,以进行知情决策。人为干扰空气污染的关键驱动因素仍然是城市化、日益增长的车辆使用和工业化。这需要创新的方法,例如采用节能和技术上可持续的解决办法,逐步用可再生能源取代初级能源结构中的传统化石燃料。它是应对未来能源挑战和减少空气污染排放的关键。此外,迫切需要制定有效的公共政策,采取分级缓解行动,减少空气污染对人类健康和环境的不利影响。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling the Rainfall Exploitation of the Reservoirs in Malaga Province, Spain 西班牙马拉加省水库降雨开采模型
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231185104
Julián Molina, J. A. Sillero-Medina, J. D. Ruiz-Sinoga
In areas with scarce water resources, it is so important to analyze the connection between the different elements of a river basin and the water collected by the basin’s reservoir, to determine and predict the spatial and temporal variability of water on it. In this paper, we use the basic principles of hydrological modelling to develop a model for the exploitation of rainfall in reservoir basins in the province of Malaga, Spain. The monthly water input data of the seven reservoirs in the province of Malaga, provided by the Hidrosur Network of the Automatic Hydrological Information System (SAIH), as well as the precipitation and daily temperature of the stations of the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) associated with the basins of each of these reservoirs were used. We assume that the entrance to a reservoir in a given month must depend on the precipitation produced in its watershed (both the amount of rain and the intensity with which it fell), the precipitation collected from the previous months (and the way in which it was produced) and the evapotranspiration produced during that period. For each reservoir, we propose a model with nine parameters to simulate the arrival of rainfall to the reservoir, covering aspects from the amount and intensity of rain, past and present, to the level of evapotranspiration on a given area for a given date. These nine parameters are optimally adjusted through an artificial intelligence algorithm to maximize the correlation between real and simulated contributions. The results show how this model, adjusted for each reservoir, will let us predict how changes in the rainfall and temperature patterns, predicted, for example, by the IPCC models, will affect the future water levels at the studied reservoirs.
在水资源稀缺的地区,分析流域不同元素与流域水库收集的水之间的联系,以确定和预测其上的水的空间和时间变化是非常重要的,我们利用水文建模的基本原理,开发了西班牙马拉加省水库流域降雨开发模型。使用了由自动水文信息系统(SAIH)的Hidrosur网络提供的马拉加省七座水库的月水量数据,以及与每座水库流域相关的国家气象局(AEMET)台站的降水量和日温度。我们假设,给定月份水库的入口必须取决于流域内产生的降水量(降雨量和降雨强度)、前几个月收集的降水量和产生的方式以及这段时间内产生的蒸散量。对于每个水库,我们提出了一个具有九个参数的模型来模拟降雨到达水库的情况,涵盖了从过去和现在的降雨量和强度到给定地区给定日期的蒸散水平等各个方面。这九个参数通过人工智能算法进行优化调整,以最大限度地提高真实贡献和模拟贡献之间的相关性。结果显示,该模型在对每个水库进行调整后,将使我们能够预测IPCC模型预测的降雨量和温度模式的变化将如何影响所研究水库的未来水位。
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引用次数: 1
Identification of Suitable Rainwater Harvesting Sites Using Geospatial Techniques With AHP in Chacha Watershed, Jemma Sub-Basin Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia 基于层次分析法的上青尼罗Jemma子流域Chacha流域适宜集雨地点的地理空间识别
Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231195831
Abrha Ybeyn Gebremedhn, Yitea Seneshaw Getahun, Alebachew Shumye Moges, Fikrey Tesfay
Rainfed agriculture in Ethiopia has failed to produce enough food, to achieve the increasing demand for food. Pinpointing the appropriate site for rainwater harvesting (RWH) have a substantial contribution to increasing the available water and enhancing agricultural productivity. The current study related to the identification of the potential RWH sites was conducted at the Chacha watershed central highlands of Ethiopia which is endowed with rugged topography. The Geographic Information System with Analytical Hierarchy Process was used to generate the different maps for identifying appropriate sites for RWH. In this study, 11 factors that determine the RWH locations including slope, soil texture, runoff depth, land cover type, annual average rainfall, drainage density, lineament intensity, hydrologic soil group, antecedent moisture content, and distance to the roads were considered. The overall analyzed result shows that 10.50%, 71.10%, 17.90%, and 0.50% of the areas were found under highly, moderately, marginally suitable, and unsuitable areas for RWH, respectively. The RWH site selection was found highly dependent on a slope, soil texture, and runoff depth; moderately dependent on drainage density, annual average rainfall, and land use land cover; but less dependent on the other factors. The highly suitable areas for rainwater harvesting expansion are lands having a flat topography with a soil textural class of high-water holding capacity that can produce high runoff depth. The application of this study could be a baseline for planners and decision-makers and support any strategy adoption for appropriate RWH site selection.
埃塞俄比亚的雨养农业未能生产出足够的粮食来满足日益增长的粮食需求。确定合适的雨水收集地点对增加可用水量和提高农业生产力有重大贡献。目前的研究是在地形崎岖的埃塞俄比亚查查流域中部高地进行的,涉及确定潜在的生殖妇女遗址。采用层次分析法的地理信息系统生成不同的地图,以确定适当的RWH地点。在本研究中,考虑了坡度、土壤质地、径流深度、土地覆盖类型、年平均降雨量、排水密度、线状强度、水文土壤类群、前含水率和与道路的距离等11个决定水源地位置的因素。综合分析结果显示,10.50%、71.10%、17.90%和0.50%的地区属于高度适宜区、中等适宜区、边缘适宜区和不适宜区。RWH的选址高度依赖于坡度、土壤质地和径流深度;适度依赖于排水密度、年平均降雨量和土地利用土地覆盖;但对其他因素的依赖程度较低。高度适合雨水收集扩展的地区是具有平坦地形的土地,其土壤质地具有高持水能力,可以产生高径流深度。这项研究的应用可以作为规划者和决策者的基准,并支持采取适当的RWH选址策略。
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引用次数: 1
Management of Cover Crop Intercropping for Live Mulch on Plant Productivity and Growth Resources: A Review 活膜间作管理对植物生产力和生长资源的影响
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231180079
A. Dzvene, W. Tesfuhuney, S. Walker, G. Ceronio
Cover crops are a valuable tool for improving resources use, soil health, and productivity. However, the effects of intercropping cover crops as live mulches with cash crops can vary depending on the species, management practices, and environmental conditions. This study reviewed the literature on cover crop intercropping and identified key factors to consider for improved plant productivity and resources use when managing these cropping systems. Science Direct, Scopus, and Google Scholar were used to search for literature on managing cover crop intercropping as live mulches. Research has shown that annual cover crops are typically used in annual field crop systems, while perennial cover crops are typically used in orchards and vineyards. The effects of intercropping annual or perennial cover crops in vineyards, orchards, and field crop systems can vary from positive to negative, depending on the climate, soil, management, and production system. Therefore, there is no one-size-fits-all management strategy. However, there are some key factors that should be considered when managing cover crops, such as: compatibility, intercropping time, planting density, and termination time. The benefits of appropriate cover crop management include: extended growing season, increased soil fertility, resource use optimization, and increased biomass productivity. Cover crop intercropping can be a successful way to improve resource use, soil health and productivity, but it is important to carefully consider the specific crop and management practices to ensure success. Therefore, future research should optimize cover crop intercropping time and planting density in maize-based rainwater harvesting systems on productivity and resource use.
覆盖作物是改善资源利用、土壤健康和生产力的宝贵工具。然而,间作覆盖作物作为经济作物的活覆盖物的效果可能因物种、管理实践和环境条件而异。本研究回顾了覆盖作物间作的文献,并确定了在管理这些种植系统时提高植物生产力和资源利用的关键因素。Science Direct、Scopus和Google Scholar被用来搜索关于将覆盖作物间作作为活覆盖物管理的文献。研究表明,一年生覆盖作物通常用于一年生大田作物系统,而多年生覆盖作物则通常用于果园和葡萄园。葡萄园、果园和大田作物系统中的间作一年生或多年生覆盖作物的影响可能从积极到消极不等,这取决于气候、土壤、管理和生产系统。因此,不存在一刀切的管理策略。然而,在管理覆盖作物时,有一些关键因素需要考虑,如:兼容性、间作时间、种植密度和终止时间。适当的覆盖作物管理的好处包括:延长生长季节、提高土壤肥力、优化资源利用和提高生物量生产力。覆盖作物间作是提高资源利用、土壤健康和生产力的成功途径,但重要的是要仔细考虑具体的作物和管理实践,以确保成功。因此,未来的研究应该在生产力和资源利用方面优化玉米雨水收集系统中的覆盖作物间作时间和种植密度。
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引用次数: 2
Ground and Near-Rock Surface Air Thermal Regimes in the High Mountain of the Picos De Europa (Cantabrian Mountains, NW Spain) 欧洲皮科斯高山(西班牙西北部坎塔布里安山脉)的地面和近岩石表面空气热团
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231176676
J. Ruiz‐Fernández, C. García‐Hernández, Mirella Ochoa-Álvarez, Mariana Van den Bergh, David Gallinar Cañedo, Benjamín González-Díaz
Even when the influence of climate on the geomorphological dynamics of mountain areas is well known, the ground and near-rock surface air thermal regimes of the highest altitude Cantabrian massifs still being poorly understood. This study, based on the examination of the thermal data obtained through the use of air and soil temperature dataloggers, aims to characterize the thermal regime of one of the most representative high mountain massifs of the Cantabrian Mountains: the Western Massif of the Picos de Europa. Results show the severe climatic conditions that prevail in the highest areas, where the snow cover lasts for 8 months on average, exerting an important insulating role of the soil. Thus, except on the uncovered rocky walls, the number of freeze-thaw cycles per year is low (0–16), with these cycles having a short duration and a low thermal amplitude. Significantly differences on annual thermal regimes have been confirmed; with two main phases (continued thaw phase and isothermal phase) and two minor transition phases at the ground, and only two main phases in near-rock surfaces (continued thaw phase and phase with a high number of FTCs).
即使气候对山区地貌动态的影响是众所周知的,但最高海拔坎塔布连地块的地面和近岩石表面空气热状态仍然知之甚少。本研究基于使用空气和土壤温度数据记录仪获得的热数据,旨在表征坎塔布连山脉最具代表性的高山之一:欧罗巴丘陵的西部地块的热状态。结果表明,海拔最高的地区气候条件恶劣,积雪平均持续8个月,发挥了重要的土壤绝缘作用。因此,除了裸露的岩壁外,每年的冻融循环次数很少(0-16次),这些循环持续时间短,热振幅小。年热状态的显著差异已得到证实;在地面有两个主要阶段(持续融化阶段和等温阶段)和两个次要的过渡阶段,在近岩石表面只有两个主要阶段(持续融化阶段和大量FTCs阶段)。
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引用次数: 0
A Conceptual Framework on the Fate of Rhizodeposits in Forming Mineral-Associated Organic Matter or Encapsulating Into Microaggreagtes 根沉积物在形成矿物相关有机物或封装成微团聚体中的命运的概念框架
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231197416
Ruzhen Wang, Baitao Gu
Rhizodeposition, as transported from photosynthates and exudated in soils via fine roots, is the pivot linking above- and belowground carbon (C) cycling pathways. Meanwhile, rhizodeposit C serves as “currency” for plant nutrient acquisition because of its critical roles in priming soil microorganisms, maintaining plant-mycorrhizal symbionts, and elongating plant roots. Therefore, a conceptual framework integrating knowledge on the biogeochemical fate of rhizodeposit C can help understand plant nutrient economics and soil C sink function. However, it still remains a great challenge to efficiently delineate the dynamics of rhizodeposit C in soils. In the framework, we present the possible stabilization pathways of rhizodeposit C via formation of mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM) or encapsulation by microaggregates. We further propose that continuous and pulse 13CO2 labeling are powerful techniques to track the fate of rhizodeposit C and to quantify how much C could eventually be sequestrated in soils as the component of MAOM or microaggregates. This framework would provide future research possibilities to better optimize plant C allocation and productivity and preserve soil C stocks.
根系沉积是连接地上和地下碳(C)循环途径的枢纽,从光合作用中运输并通过细根在土壤中渗出。同时,根际沉积物C作为植物养分获取的“货币”,在引发土壤微生物、维持植物-菌根共生体和延长植物根系等方面发挥着关键作用。因此,整合根沉积物C的生物地球化学命运知识的概念框架有助于理解植物养分经济学和土壤C汇功能。然而,如何有效地描述土壤中根际沉积碳的动态变化仍然是一个巨大的挑战。在此框架下,我们提出了可能通过矿物相关有机质(MAOM)的形成或微团聚体的包封来稳定根沉积物C的途径。我们进一步提出,连续和脉冲13CO2标记是追踪根沉积物C的命运和量化多少C最终可以作为MAOM或微团聚体的组成部分在土壤中被隔离的有力技术。该框架将为更好地优化植物C分配和生产力以及保护土壤C储量提供未来的研究可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Climate and Land Use/Cover Changes on Streamflow in Yadot Watershed, Genale Dawa Basin, Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚Genale Dawa盆地Yadot流域气候和土地利用/覆被变化对河流流量的影响
Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221231200106
Abay Mustefa Abdule, Alemayehu Muluneh, Abraham Woldemichael
Climate and land use/cover (LULC) changes are essential factors that influence hydrological regimes by altering the groundwater recharge and river flow. This study investigated the separate and combined impact of climate and LULC changes on streamflow. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to simulate streamflow under near-term (2021–2050) and mid-term (2051–2080) period against 1985 to 2015 baseline period. The Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov chain model was used to predict the future LULC change. The three-ensemble average of regional climate models (CCLM4.8, RACMO22T, EC-EARTH) under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 emission scenarios were applied for future climate projection. The LULC predictions between 2035 and 2055 showed an increase in agricultural land, grassland, settlement areas and woodlands by 44.02%, 30.35%, 69.2%, and 55.05%, respectively, while forest and scrub/bush lands showed a decrease by decrease by 21.53% and 11.08%, respectively. The annual, wet, and dry seasons rainfall projections increased by 0.13%, 0.02%, and 0.85% respectively, during the near term period under RCP 4.5 scenarios. Overall, the annual, wet, and dry season rainfall projections showed slightly increasing tendency. The temperature projection consistently indicated a warmer future with the highest mean annual projected temperature being 2.0°C under high emission scenario during the midterm period. The projected streamflow under the combined impact of climate and LULC changes will increase by up to 8.72% in wet seasons and by up to 6.62% in dry seasons during the near-term period under RCP4.5 scenarios. Similarly, the projected mean annual streamflow will increase by up to 8.13%. The annual, wet and dry season’s streamflow projections showed a consistent increase during both near and midterm periods under both climate scenarios. Understanding the future response of streamflow under climate and LULC changes is crucial to plan adaptation options for water resources management under future warming condition.
气候和土地利用/覆盖(LULC)变化是通过改变地下水补给和河流流量来影响水文制度的重要因素。研究了气候和土地利用效率变化对河流流量的单独和联合影响。利用SWAT模拟了近期(2021-2050)和中期(2051-2080)与1985 - 2015年基线期的河流流量。采用元胞自动机(CA)-马尔可夫链模型预测未来的LULC变化。利用区域气候模式(CCLM4.8、RACMO22T、EC-EARTH)在RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5排放情景下的三整体平均值进行未来气候预估。2035 ~ 2055年,耕地、草地、居民点和林地的LULC分别增加了44.02%、30.35%、69.2%和55.05%,森林和灌丛土地的LULC分别减少了21.53%和11.08%。在RCP 4.5情景下,近期年、湿季和旱季降水预估分别增加了0.13%、0.02%和0.85%。总体而言,年、湿季和旱季降水预测呈轻微增加趋势。中期高排放情景下的最高年平均预估温度为2.0°C。在RCP4.5情景下,短期内气候和LULC变化综合影响下的流量预估在雨季增加8.72%,在旱季增加6.62%。同样,预计年平均流量将增加8.13%。在两种气候情景下,年度、湿季和旱季的流量预估显示,在近期和中期都持续增加。了解未来气候和LULC变化对河流流量的响应对于规划未来变暖条件下水资源管理的适应方案至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
A Comprehensive Review of Atmospheric Air Pollutants Assessment Around Landfill Sites 垃圾填埋场大气污染物评价综述
IF 3.8 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/11786221221145379
L. Salami, L. Popoola
Air pollutants generated as a result of operations of landfill sites pose a threat not only the environment but also to human life. This work focuses on comprehensive review of atmospheric air pollutants around landfill sites with a view of identifying areas where future studies can be conducted. Environmental and health effects of air pollutants within the vicinity of landfill sites and the ways of minimizing the level of the air pollutants were presented. Previous works carried out by scholars for the past two decades were critically examined. Mathematical models for prediction of gaseous pollutants for landfill sites and assessment of human health risk due of inhalation of poisonous gases from landfill sites were discussed. Amongst conclusions made were: (1) Further studies on health impacts of particulate matters (PMs) within the vicinity of landfill sites should focus on low-income countries (LIC) especially in Nigeria which has been perceived as the capital poverty of the world. (2) Developing countries have not been practicing Circular Municipal Solid Waste Management System (CMSW) due to some militating factors hence further works should look into how the militating factors can be surmounted and provide way forward for the implementation of CMSW in developing countries. (3) More works still need to be conducted especially in temperate region to mechanistically explain the positive correlation between PMs and Coronavirus disease. (4) Future works should dive into the cost and economic implications of assessing atmospheric air pollutants within the vicinity of landfill sites for policy making decisions.
由于垃圾填埋场的运行而产生的空气污染物不仅对环境构成威胁,而且对人类的生命构成威胁。这项工作的重点是对垃圾填埋场周围的大气污染物进行全面审查,以确定未来可以进行研究的领域。介绍了垃圾填埋场附近空气污染物对环境和健康的影响以及减少空气污染物水平的方法。过去二十年来学者们所做的工作都受到了严格的审查。讨论了垃圾填埋场气体污染物预测的数学模型和垃圾填埋场有毒气体吸入对人体健康的危害评估。得出的结论包括:(1)关于垃圾填埋场附近颗粒物对健康影响的进一步研究应侧重于低收入国家,特别是被视为世界最贫穷国家的尼日利亚。(2)由于一些不利因素,发展中国家尚未实施城市固体废物循环管理系统(CMSW),因此进一步的工作应该研究如何克服这些不利因素,并为发展中国家实施城市固体废物循环管理系统提供前进的道路。(3)对于pmms与冠状病毒病正相关的机制解释,特别是在温带地区,还需要做更多的工作。(4)未来的工作应深入研究评估堆填区附近大气污染物的成本和经济影响,以供决策。
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引用次数: 2
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Air Soil and Water Research
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