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Circular Statistical Approach to Study the Occurrence of Seasonal Diseases 季节性疾病发生研究的循环统计方法
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/5422
K. Das, Sahana Bhattacharjee
In the present study, we have developed new circular descriptive statistics for Censored circular sample and attempted to analyse the occurrence of seasonal diseases, both month-wise and season-wise.  The Rayleigh Uniformity Test has also been proposed for the same, using which the presence of seasonal effect in both the cases. Finally, a regression model for predicting binary response from circular predictor has been proposed. The months being of unequal length, have been adjusted accordingly so as to make them of equal lengths. But since the seasons differ by a significant length and making them equal in length will mislead the analysis, we propose to group the cases in unequal intervals, the width of the intervals being proportional to the length of the seasons. That the season-wise analysis using circular statistical tools has not been attempted before is the main motivation behind our study. The data has been taken from the project entitled Statistical Modeling in Circular Statistics: An Application to Health Science, sponsored by the UGC, India, where diseases have been reported for the Kamrup (rural) district of Assam, India. It is revealed that the occurrence of seasonal diseases is highest in the months of March or equivalently, during the Pre-monsoon season. The distribution of occurrence of seasonal diseases both month-wise and season-wise is found to be marginally positively skewed and platykurtic.  The regression analysis suggests that seasonal diseases is least likely to occur in April as compared to December and in Winter in comparison to Post-monsoon.
在本研究中,我们开发了新的循环描述性统计截短循环样本,并试图分析季节性疾病的发生,包括月和季节。本文还提出了瑞利均匀性检验方法,利用该方法分析了两种情况下季节效应的存在。最后,提出了一种基于循环预测器预测二元响应的回归模型。两个月的长度不等,已作相应调整,使它们的长度相等。但是,由于季节的长度相差很大,使它们的长度相等会误导分析,因此我们建议将这些病例分组在不等的间隔中,间隔的宽度与季节的长度成正比。使用循环统计工具进行季节性分析之前从未尝试过,这是我们研究背后的主要动机。数据来自印度教资会赞助的题为“循环统计中的统计建模:卫生科学应用”的项目,该项目报告了印度阿萨姆邦Kamrup(农村)地区的疾病情况。结果显示,季节性疾病的发病率在3月份或类似的前季风季节最高。季节性疾病发生的分布按月和季节均呈轻微正偏和斜峰形。回归分析表明,与12月相比,4月发生季节性疾病的可能性最小,与季风后相比,冬季发生季节性疾病的可能性最小。
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引用次数: 0
The Cambanis family of bivariate distributions: Properties and applications 双变量分布的Cambanis族:性质和应用
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6159
N. Nair, Johny Scaria, Sithara Mohan.
The Cambanis family of bivariate distributions was introduced as a generalization of the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern system. The present work is an attempt to investigate the distributional characteristics and applications of the family. We derive various coecients of association, dependence concepts and time-dependent measures. Bivariate reliability functions such as hazard rates and mean residual life functions are analysed. The application of the family as a model for bivariate lifetime data is also demonstrated.
作为Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern系统的推广,引入了Cambanis族二元分布。本研究旨在探讨该家族的分布特征及其应用。我们推导了各种关联系数,依赖概念和时间相关度量。分析了危害率和平均剩余寿命函数等双变量可靠性函数。本文还论证了家庭作为二元寿命数据模型的应用。
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引用次数: 8
On Hybrid Censored Inverse Lomax Distribution: Application to the Survival Data 混合截尾逆lmax分布:在生存数据中的应用
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/5993
A. Yadav, S. Singh, U. Singh
In this paper, we proposed the estimation procedures to estimate the unknown parameters, reliability and hazard functions of Inverse Lomax distribution. The mathematical expressions for maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators are derived in presence of hybrid censoring scheme. In most of the cases, it has been seen that maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators of the parameters are not appear in explicit form. Hence, Newton-Raphson (N-R) method has been used to draw the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters. The Bayes estimators are obtained under Jeffrey's non-informative prior for both shape  and scale using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique. Further, we have also constructed the 95% asymptotic confidence interval based on maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and highest posterior density (HPD) credible intervals based on MCMC samples. Finally, two data sets have been used to demonstrate the proposed methodology.
本文提出了一种估计方法来估计逆Lomax分布的未知参数、可靠性和危险函数。导出了存在混合滤波方案时最大似然估计量和贝叶斯估计量的数学表达式。在大多数情况下,可以看到参数的极大似然估计量和贝叶斯估计量不是以显式形式出现的。因此,牛顿-拉夫森(N-R)方法被用于绘制参数的最大似然估计。利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)技术,在Jeffrey的非信息先验条件下得到了形状和规模的贝叶斯估计量。此外,我们还构建了基于最大似然估计(MLEs)的95%渐近置信区间和基于MCMC样本的最高后验密度(HPD)可信区间。最后,使用两个数据集来演示所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 25
ESTIMATION OF MULTI-WAY TABLES SUBJECT TO COHERENCE CONSTRAINTS 受相干约束的多路表估计
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-06-30 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6348
F. Greco
Nowadays, traditional population censuses based on total enumeration of the population are being accompanied by sample surveys. Sampling within censuses allows to reduce costs and workload of authorities involved in censuses operations, along with the statistical burden for the people involved in the enumeration. In this paper, we deal with estimation of multi-way contingency tables involving variables measured both via census and sampling. In this framework, two main issues need to be addressed: first of all, sample size for estimating some of the entries of the contingency tables may be too small, delivering estimates prone to huge sampling variability. On the other hand, since estimates of the joint distribution need to be coherent with the marginal distribution of the variable collected via a census, estimation methods need to be coherent with the constraint imposed by marginal distribution of variables measured via census. The problem is tackled via a model-based approach that allows to comply with all coherence constraints following a fairly simple procedure. The merit of the proposed methodology is illustrated by means of a simulation study.
在传统的人口普查中,以人口总数为基础的人口普查正在与抽样调查相结合。在人口普查中进行抽样可以减少参与人口普查工作的当局的成本和工作量,同时也可以减轻参与人口普查的人的统计负担。在本文中,我们讨论了包含通过普查和抽样测量的变量的多路列联表的估计。在这个框架中,需要解决两个主要问题:首先,用于估计列联表的某些条目的样本量可能太小,交付的估计容易产生巨大的抽样可变性。另一方面,由于联合分布的估计需要与通过普查收集的变量的边际分布一致,估计方法需要与通过普查测量的变量的边际分布所施加的约束一致。这个问题是通过一种基于模型的方法来解决的,这种方法允许遵循一个相当简单的过程来遵守所有的一致性约束。通过仿真研究说明了所提方法的优点。
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引用次数: 1
Reliability Estimation for poisson-exponential model under Progressive type-II censoring data with binomial removal data 带二项去除数据的渐进式ii型剔除数据下泊松指数模型的可靠性估计
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-03-31 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/5457
Manoj Kumar, S. Singh, U. Singh
In this paper, a poissoin-exponential distribution(PED) is considered as a lifetime model. Its statistical characteristics and important distributional properties are discussed by Louzada-Neto et al.[13]. The method of Maximum likelihood estimation and least square estimation of parameters involved along with reliability and failure rate functions is also studied here. In view of cost and time constraints, Progressive type-II censored data with binomial removals (PT-II CBRs) have been used. Finally, a real data example is given to show the practical applications of the paper.
本文将泊松指数分布(PED)视为寿命模型。Louzada-Neto等人讨论了其统计特征和重要的分布性质。本文还研究了可靠性和故障率函数所涉及的参数的极大似然估计和最小二乘估计方法。考虑到成本和时间的限制,采用了二项去除的渐进式ii型删节数据(PT-II CBRs)。最后,给出了一个实际的数据实例来说明本文的实际应用。
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引用次数: 2
On a Generalisation of Uniform Distribution and its Properties 关于均匀分布的推广及其性质
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-03-31 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6090
K. Jayakumar, K. K. Sankaran
Nadarajah et al.(2013) introduced a family life time models using truncated negative binomial distribution and derived some properties of the family of distributions. It is a generalization of Marshall-Olkin family of distributions. In this paper, we introduce Generalized Uniform Distribution (GUD) using the approach of Nadarajah et al.(2013). The shape properties of density function and hazard function are discussed. The expression for moments, order statistics, entropies are obtained. Estimation procedure is also discussed.The GDU introduced here is a generalization of the Marshall-Olkin extended uniform distribution studied in Jose and Krishna(2011).
Nadarajah et al.(2013)引入了使用截断负二项分布的家庭寿命时间模型,并推导了家庭分布的一些性质。它是Marshall-Olkin分布族的推广。在本文中,我们使用Nadarajah等人(2013)的方法引入广义均匀分布(GUD)。讨论了密度函数和危险函数的形状性质。得到了矩量、阶统计量、熵的表达式。并对估计过程进行了讨论。这里介绍的GDU是对Jose和Krishna(2011)研究的Marshall-Olkin扩展均匀分布的推广。
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引用次数: 10
On the specification of prior distributions for variance components in disease mapping models 疾病制图模型中方差成分的先验分布规范
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-03-31 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6319
E. Fabrizi, F. Greco, C. Trivisano
In this paper, we consider the problem of specifying priors for the variance components in the Bayesian analysis of the Besag-York-Mollie model, a model that is popular among epidemiologists for disease mapping. The model encompasses two sets of random effects: one spatially structured to model spatial autocorrelation and the other spatially unstructured to describe residual heterogeneity. In this model, prior specification for variance components is an important problem because these priors maintain their influence on the posterior distributions of relative risks when mapping rare diseases. We propose using generalised inverse Gaussian priors, a broad class of distributions that includes many distributions commonly used as priors in this context, such as inverse gammas. We discuss the prior parameter choice with the aim of balancing the prior weight of the two sets of random effects on total variation and controlling the amount of shrinkage. The suggested prior specification strategy is compared to popular alternatives using a simulation exercise and applications to real data sets.
在本文中,我们考虑了贝叶斯分析贝萨克-约克-莫利模型中方差成分的指定先验问题,贝萨克-约克-莫利模型是流行病学家用于疾病绘图的流行模型。该模型包含两组随机效应:一组空间结构化用于模拟空间自相关,另一组空间非结构化用于描述剩余异质性。在该模型中,方差成分的先验规范是一个重要的问题,因为这些先验在绘制罕见病时保持其对相对风险后验分布的影响。我们建议使用广义逆高斯先验,这是一类广泛的分布,包括在这种情况下通常用作先验的许多分布,例如逆伽马。我们讨论了先验参数的选择,目的是平衡两组随机效应对总变差的先验权重,并控制收缩量。通过模拟练习和实际数据集的应用,将建议的先验规范策略与流行的替代策略进行比较。
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引用次数: 2
A SEMI-PARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYSIS OF MIDDLE CENSORED LIFETIME DATA 中截尾寿命数据分析的半参数回归模型
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-03-31 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6281
S. Jammalamadaka, S. Prasad, P. G. Sankaran
Middle censoring introduced by Jammalamadaka and Mangalam (2003), refers to data arising in situations where the exact lifetime becomes unobservable if it falls within a random censoring interval, otherwise it is observable. In the present paper we propose a semi-parametric regression model for such lifetime data, arising from an unknown population and subject to middle censoring. We provide an algorithm to find the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for regression parameters and the survival function. The consistency of the estimators are established. We report simulation studies to assess the finite sample properties of the estimators. We then analyze a real life data on survival times for diabetic patients studied by Lee et al. (1988).
Jammalamadaka和Mangalam(2003)提出的中间审查是指,如果数据处于一个随机的审查区间内,那么它的确切寿命就变得不可观察,否则它是可观察的。在本文中,我们提出了这种寿命数据的半参数回归模型,这些数据来自未知的总体,并受到中间审查。我们提供了一种求回归参数和生存函数的非参数极大似然估计的算法。建立了估计量的相合性。我们报告模拟研究,以评估估计器的有限样本性质。然后,我们分析了Lee等人(1988)研究的糖尿病患者生存时间的真实生活数据。
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引用次数: 3
Extended New Generalized Lindley Distribution 扩展的新广义Lindley分布
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2016-03-31 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/6282
D. Shibu, M. Irshad
In this paper, we consider an extended version of new generalized Lindley distribution (NGLD). We refer to this new generalization as the extended new generalized Lindley distribution (ENGLD). A comprehensive account of the mathematical properties of the new distribution including estimation is presented. A real life data set is considered here to illustrate the relevance of the new model and compared it with other forms of Lindley models using method of moment estimation and method of maximum likelihood estimation.
本文考虑了新广义Lindley分布(NGLD)的一个扩展版本。我们把这种新的推广称为扩展的新广义林德利分布(ENGLD)。对新分布的数学性质,包括估计,作了全面的说明。为了说明新模型的相关性,本文考虑了一个真实的数据集,并使用矩估计方法和最大似然估计方法将其与其他形式的Lindley模型进行了比较。
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引用次数: 10
Some Properties of Gamma Generated Distributions 伽玛生成分布的一些性质
IF 1.9 Pub Date : 2015-12-30 DOI: 10.6092/ISSN.1973-2201/5607
M. Pal, M. Tiensuwan
Based on standard probability distributions, new families of univariate distributions have been introduced and their properties studied by many authors. The present paper investigates some general properties of a family of Gamma generated distributions proposed by Zografos and Balakrishnan (2009).
在标准概率分布的基础上,引入了新的单变量分布族,许多作者研究了它们的性质。本文研究了由Zografos和Balakrishnan(2009)提出的一类伽玛生成分布的一些一般性质。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Statistica
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