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Comparison of Seismic Hazard Assessments Obtained with the Probabilistic and Probabilistic-Deterministic Approaches for the Territory of Uzbekistan 用概率和概率确定性方法对乌兹别克斯坦境内地震危险性评估的比较
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070040
R. S. Ibragimov, T. L. Ibragimova, M. A. Mirzaev, S. H. Ashurov

The study compares seismic hazard assessments of the territory of Uzbekistan, obtained with the same input parameters, but using different methodological approaches: the Riznichenko approach based on the theory of macroseismic and spectral-time shaking and the classical Cornell probabilistic approach based on the full probability theorem. As seismic source models, linearly extended sources (seismogenic zones) and area sources (quasi-uniform seismological provinces) were considered. The authors used a number of their own damping dependences, established from analysis of isoseismic earthquake patterns in Central Asia, when assessing the seismic hazard of the study area in terms of macroseismic intensity, along with the Shebalin dependence, obtained from global data (I = 1.5M – 3.5 log R + 3). To estimate seismic hazard in engineering seismic indicators, the dependences built into the R-CRISIS software package, developed over the past 10–12 years for shallow active crust and stable regions, were used as the ground motion equation. For a 50-year seismic impact nonexceedance probability P = 0.90, the maximum differences in seismic hazard assessments using the two considered approaches for the entire seismically active part of the study area are ∆I = 0.39; for P = 0.95, ∆I = 0.54; for P = 0.98, ∆I = 0.61; and for P = 0.99, ∆I = 0.76. A similar comparison of seismic hazard assessments in the values of maximum ground motion accelerations leads to the following figures: for P = 0.90, ∆amax = 75 cm/s2; for P = 0.95, ∆amax = 111 cm/s2; for P = 0.98, ∆amax = 167 cm/s2; for P = 0.99, ∆amax = 273 cm/s2.

该研究比较了乌兹别克斯坦境内的地震危险性评估,这些评估具有相同的输入参数,但使用不同的方法:基于宏观地震和频谱时间振动理论的Riznichenko方法和基于全概率定理的经典Cornell概率方法。作为震源模型,考虑了线性扩展震源(孕震区)和区域震源(准均匀地震省)。在评估研究区域的地震危险性时,作者使用了许多自己的阻尼依赖关系,这些依赖关系是通过对中亚等震地震模式的分析建立起来的,同时还使用了从全球数据中获得的Shebalin依赖关系(I = 1.5M - 3.5 log R + 3)。为了估计工程地震指标中的地震危险性,R- crisis软件包中内置的依赖关系。在过去10-12年发展的浅层活动地壳和稳定区域,被用作地面运动方程。对于50年地震影响不超过概率P = 0.90,使用两种考虑方法对研究区整个地震活跃部分的地震危险性评估的最大差异为∆I = 0.39;为P = 0.95,∆I = 0.54;为P = 0.98,∆I = 0.61;P = 0.99时,∆I = 0.76。对最大地震动加速度值进行地震危险性评估的类似比较得出如下图:对于P = 0.90,∆amax = 75 cm/s2;为P = 0.95,∆amax = 111 cm/s2;P = 0.98,∆amax = 167 cm/s2;P = 0.99,∆amax = 273 cm/s2。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Magnitude Mwa in the Russian Far East 俄罗斯远东地区震级为Mwa
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S074792392207009X
D. A. Safonov, E. P. Semenova

The Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk Seismological Regional Information Processing Center (RIPC) recently used the Richter magnitude Mwa to estimate the energy level of Far Eastern earthquakes. To date, this is the most common energy characteristic in the operational catalog of the RIPC. The basis is digital waveforms of regional seismic stations emulated to the characteristics of the Wood–Anderson seismograph. In the present paper, the results of determining the magnitude Mwa in Russian Far Eastern conditions are analyzed. The magnitude determination accuracy is estimated, and station corrections are obtained. The regression relation Mwa and Japanese Meteorological Agency magnitude Mj showed a high similarity between these scales. This made it possible to use Mj as the reference when studying the features of Mwa. The regional seismic network makes it possible to correctly estimate the magnitude Mwa at a regional distance (up to about 1000 km), including for deep-focus earthquakes (up to 600 km). Transfer relations between Mwa and other mass-determined regional energy characteristics of earthquakes are obtained. The Mwa scale can be used to estimate the energy level of any earthquakes in the Kuril–Okhotsk and Sakhalin regions in the magnitude range of weak and moderately strong events and is recommended for inclusion in regional earthquake catalogs for the Russian Far East.

南萨哈林斯克地震区域信息处理中心(RIPC)最近利用里氏Mwa震级估算了远东地区地震的能量水平。迄今为止,这是RIPC运行目录中最常见的能量特征。其依据是对区域地震台站的数字波形与伍德-安德森地震仪的特征进行模拟。本文分析了俄罗斯远东条件下Mwa震级的测定结果。估计了震级测定精度,得到了台站改正量。Mwa与日本气象厅震级Mj的回归关系显示出高度的相似性。这使得在研究Mwa的特征时可以使用Mj作为参考。区域地震台网使正确估计区域距离(最高约1000公里)的Mwa震级成为可能,包括深震源地震(最高600公里)。得到了Mwa与其他由质量决定的区域地震能量特征之间的传递关系。Mwa震级可用于估计千岛-鄂霍次克和库页岛地区任何地震在弱和中强震级范围内的能量水平,并建议将其列入俄罗斯远东地区的区域地震目录。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability of the H/V Method in the Seismic Microzoning Problem H/V法在地震微区划问题中的适用性
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070052
A. V. Kalinina, S. M. Ammosov, R. E. Tatevossian, V. V. Bykova

The paper discusses the applicability of the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio for ground motion (H/V method) to estimate the seismic intensity increment and trace the bedrock surface covered by soil layers. The first issue is the classic seismic microzoning problem; the second is related to structural mapping of the upper part of the geological profile. The authors assess the possibility of using a single station to estimate the intensity increment without synchronization of data at a given point at a site with records based on reference rocks. It is shown that such an approach is invalid, because the maximum variations in the H/V ratio during a day may reach 2.7 times; a degree of intensity of 0.8 will correspond to such variation. At the same time, it is shown that the resonance frequencies of soil layers are stable. If the mean velocities of seismic waves are known at some points of profile surface, the position of the underlying bedrock top can be traced with confidence.

本文讨论了地震动水平-垂直谱比(H/V法)在估计地震烈度增量和追踪被土层覆盖的基岩面方面的适用性。第一个问题是典型的地震微区划问题;二是地质剖面上部构造填图。作者评估了使用单个站点来估计强度增量的可能性,而无需在站点的给定点上与基于参考岩石的记录同步数据。结果表明,这种方法是无效的,因为一天内H/V比的最大变化可达2.7次;强度为0.8的度将与这种变化相对应。同时表明,各土层的共振频率是稳定的。如果在剖面表面的某些点上知道地震波的平均速度,就可以有把握地追踪下伏基岩顶部的位置。
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引用次数: 0
The 1970 Dagestan Earthquake a Half-Century Later 半个世纪后的1970年达吉斯坦地震
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070155
A. A. Lukk, A. Ya. Sidorin

In connection with the 50th anniversary of the destructive Dagestan earthquake on May 14, 1970, information on the parameters, manifestation features, and consequences of this seismic event was collected and summarized. The Dagestan earthquake became a very important event in the seismic history of the entire Caucasus. The reasons for this were determined by several of its features, the most important being that it was the strongest instrumentally recorded earthquake in the Caucasus at that time, and the nearest seismic station, Makhachkala, was at an epicentral distance of less than 30 km and recorded not only the main shock, but also a strong foreshock with its aftershock sequence. After the earthquake, a temporary seismic network was quickly deployed, which made it possible to trace in detail the development of the aftershock process of the main shock. Based on the literature data, the main parameters of the Dagestan earthquake and its most important consequences are discussed. The most realistic model of the source was constructed by S.S. Arefiev et al. (2004) based on data on the inversion of body waves from this earthquake. According to this model, Dagestan earthquake had a multiple source consisting of three subsources. The initial rupture (subsource), with a horizontal extent of 14 km, was located in the center of the focal zone at a depth of 9 km. The second rupture began about 2 s later, 10 km east of the first, at a depth of about 10 km and with a horizontal extent of 20 km. The third subsource was 10 km west of the first, at a depth of 12 km. The Dagestan earthquake made it possible to significantly refine the regional seismic hazard assessment. This was extremely important in regards to construction of the Chirkey hydroelectric power plant (HPP) with a high-altitude dam (232 m) in the 8-point shaking intensity zone for this seismic event. The creation of the reservoir itself during the construction of the high-pressure concrete dam of the HPP led to the impact of its filling and further seasonal fluctuations in the volume of the reservoir (about 3 billion m3) on the seismic activity in the upper part of the crust, with an area of at least 1000 km2. This was the reason for the occurrence of induced technogenic earthquakes in this area. The effect of induced seismicity can be dangerous if completion of the dam and creation of the reservoir coincide in time with the natural rhythm of ordinary seismogenesis. It also turned out that powerful shaking of the upper part of the crust during the Dagestan earthquake disrupted the oil production regime in Dagestan.

为纪念1970年5月14日达吉斯坦大地震50周年,收集和总结了这次地震的参数、表现特征和后果等方面的资料。达吉斯坦地震成为整个高加索地区地震史上非常重要的事件。造成这种情况的原因是由它的几个特征决定的,最重要的是它是当时高加索地区仪器记录的最强地震,最近的地震站Makhachkala的震中距离不到30公里,不仅记录了主震,而且还记录了强烈的前震及其余震序列。地震发生后,迅速部署了临时地震台网,使详细跟踪主震余震过程的发展成为可能。在文献资料的基础上,讨论了达吉斯坦地震的主要参数及其主要后果。S.S. Arefiev et al.(2004)基于本次地震体波反演数据建立了最真实的震源模型。根据这个模型,达吉斯坦地震有一个由三个子震源组成的多震源。最初的破裂(次震源)位于震源带的中心,深度为9公里,水平范围为14公里。第二次破裂大约在2秒后开始,在第一次破裂以东10公里处,深度约10公里,水平范围为20公里。第三次震源位于第一次震源以西10公里处,震源深度12公里。达吉斯坦地震使大大改进区域地震危险性评估成为可能。这对于Chirkey水电站(HPP)的建设来说是非常重要的,该水电站的高海拔水坝(232米)位于本次地震的8点震动强度区。在高压混凝土坝建设过程中,水库本身的形成导致水库的填充和水库体积的进一步季节性波动(约30亿立方米)对地壳上部地震活动的影响,面积至少为1000平方公里。这是该地区发生诱发技术地震的原因。如果大坝的建成和水库的建立与普通地震发生的自然节奏同时发生,诱发地震活动的影响可能是危险的。结果还表明,达吉斯坦地震期间地壳上部的强烈震动扰乱了达吉斯坦的石油生产制度。
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引用次数: 0
Earthquake of April 5, 2017, MW = 6.0, in Northeast Iran: Focal Parameters, Aftershock Series, and Macroseismic Manifestations 2017年4月5日伊朗东北部6.0级地震:震源参数、余震序列和宏观地震表现
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070088
N. V. Petrova, L. V. Bezmenova, A. D. Kurova

The article considers the earthquake of April 5, 2017 with MW GCMT = 6.0 near the Turkmen–Iranian border, northeast of the Iranian village of Sefid Sang. During the entire seismic history of the region, this was the strongest seismic event within a 45 km radius of the epicenter. The earthquake caused widespread destruction in four villages; two people died and 100 were injured. The shaking was felt in population centers in Iran, Turkmenistan, and other countries. According to the compiled isoseist map, the northwestern orientation of isolines of equal intensity, coinciding with the strike of the nearest faults, and strong damping of the shaking intensity across tectonic structures were established. The macroseismic field equation has been established, which is close to the Blake–Shebalin equation with average world coefficients. According to both equations, the shaking intensity at the epicenter is estimated as I0 = 8. The northwestern (southeastern) orientation of the aftershock cluster and their southeast migration were revealed, which made it possible to choose the nodal plane of the focal mechanism with a similar strike as the active one. The fault plane parameters, length L = 30 km and width W = 12 km, have been estimated for the area of the highest aftershock density. The law of the decrease in the number of aftershocks with time has been established, which indicates rapid decay of the aftershock process.

本文考虑了2017年4月5日发生在伊朗Sefid Sang村东北部,土库曼斯坦-伊朗边境附近的6.0级地震。在该地区的整个地震历史中,这是震中45公里半径内最强的地震事件。地震在四个村庄造成了广泛的破坏;2人死亡,100人受伤。伊朗、土库曼斯坦和其他国家的人口中心都有震感。根据编制的等震图,确定了等烈度等值线的西北走向,与最近的断层走向一致,并确定了跨构造震动强度的强阻尼。建立了近似于具有平均世界系数的Blake-Shebalin方程的大地震场方程。根据这两个方程,估计震中的震动强度为I0 = 8。揭示了余震群的西北(东南)走向及其东南迁移,为选择与活动机制走向相似的震源机制节点面提供了可能。在余震密度最高的区域,估计出了长L = 30 km,宽W = 12 km的断平面参数。建立了余震次数随时间减少的规律,表明了余震过程的快速衰减。
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引用次数: 0
Source of the 1902 Shamakhi Earthquake on the Background of Attenuation Field Inhomogeneities and Seismicity of the Western Caspian Region 西里海地区衰减场不均匀性和地震活动性背景下1902年沙马基地震震源
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070027
O. I. Aptikaeva

The article studies the characteristics of seismic coda wave attenuation in the vicinity of the source of the 1902 Shamakhi earthquake and in adjacent zones of the Western Caspian region. The relationship between the features of seismic processes and spatial inhomogeneities of the attenuation field is considered. The attenuation field is represented by zones (blocks) with a high Q-factor and close to isometric in plan view, and by the linear zones of strong attenuation (weakened zones, which coincide with faults). Sources of the strongest earthquakes are confined to the zones of maximum attenuation contrast. It was revealed that the structure of the attenuation field agrees with the structure of the S-wave velocity field: low-velocity anomalies correspond to low-Q zones. Unidimensionally extended volumes of intense localized seismicity, located in weakened zones, are considered. In one of these volumes, in the focal zone of the 1902 Shamakhi earthquake, manifestations of active deep degassing processes were observed: mud volcano eruptions and earthquake swarms with upward-moving sources during a series have been recorded. It is noted that the most remarkable seismic events, and, above all, the major 1902 Shamakhi earthquake, correlate with the minima of the Earth’s rotation speed.

本文研究了1902年沙马基地震震源附近和西里海地区邻近地区的地震尾波衰减特征。考虑了地震过程特征与衰减场的空间不均匀性之间的关系。衰减场由平面上接近等距的高q因子带(块)和强衰减的线性带(与断层重合的弱带)表示。最强地震的震源被限制在衰减对比最大的区域。结果表明,衰减场结构与横波速度场结构一致,低速异常对应低q区。考虑了位于弱震区的局部强烈地震活动的一维扩展体积。在其中一卷中,在1902年沙马基地震的震源区,观察到活跃的深层脱气过程的表现:在一系列向上移动的震源中记录了泥火山爆发和地震群。值得注意的是,最显著的地震事件,尤其是1902年的沙马基大地震,与地球自转速度的最小值有关。
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引用次数: 0
A New Integrated Downhole Tool for Primary Logging in the Open Hole of Wells in Infiltration-Type Uranium Deposits 一种用于渗透型铀矿床裸眼初次测井的新型综合井下工具
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070143
A. V. Legavko, D. A. Legavko

The article shows the relevance of integrating the main open hole logging methods for wells constructed during exploration and development of infiltration type uranium deposits. The article describes a new integrated downhole tool developed by the authors for simultaneous gamma, electrical, and directional logging. The downhole tool is based on a modular scheme; includes standard, modernized, and new functional logging units; and effectively combines analog, pulse, and digital output data formats. The modular architecture of the downhole tool allows open hole logging both individually, with separate methods and modules, and simultaneously in one common assembly. The results of field tests of the new tool at one of Russia’s infiltration deposits in the Trans-Ural uranium-ore district are presented, convincingly demonstrating the high accuracy of measurements and full compliance of the obtained logging data with regulatory instructions. Use of a new complex tool during geophysical surveys in the open holes of wells constructed during prospecting for, exploration, and development of uranium and ore deposits will increase the efficiency of logging operations, lower their cost, and reduce the forced downtime of drilling crews.

本文论述了在渗透型铀矿床勘探开发过程中,将主要裸眼测井方法整合起来的重要性。本文介绍了作者开发的一种新型集成井下工具,用于同时进行伽马、电气和定向测井。井下工具采用模块化方案;包括标准的、现代化的和新的功能测井单元;并有效地结合了模拟、脉冲和数字输出数据格式。井下工具的模块化结构允许使用单独的方法和模块单独进行裸眼测井,并同时在一个通用组合中进行测井。本文介绍了新工具在俄罗斯乌拉尔外铀矿区的一个渗透矿床的现场测试结果,令人信服地证明了测量的高精度和所获得的测井数据完全符合监管指令。在铀矿和矿床勘探、勘探和开发期间建造的裸眼井中,在地球物理测量中使用一种新的复杂工具,将提高测井作业的效率,降低成本,并减少钻井人员的强制停工时间。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Configuration of the Karelian Seismological Network 卡累利阿地震台网的优化配置
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070039
V. Yu. Burmin

The modern seismological network of Karelia consists of four seismic stations. The number of network stations is small, and they are unevenly distributed over the territory of Karelia. Therefore, this seismological network is not efficient enough, and seismic events (earthquakes and quarry blasts) with different minimum magnitudes and different accuracies are recorded at different points in the territory. In order for events occurring at different points of Karelia to be recorded with the same accuracy and the same minimum magnitude, it is necessary to arrange the system’s seismic stations more evenly throughout the territory; i.e., the observing system must have the optimal configuration. Calculation of the minimum magnitudes of recorded seismic events for the optimal seismological network from 65 new and 4 currently functioning seismic stations shows that with an amplification in recording channels of 50 000, the network will reliably record earthquakes with a magnitude of 1.0 or more throughout Karelia. At the same time, the position of the seismic stations of such a network in Karelia is determined up to a parallel shift and arbitrary rotation of the entire observation system. Errors in determining the epicentral coordinates in latitude and longitude within the network will not exceed 0.5 km. The errors in determining the depths of earthquake sources recorded by the system throughout Karelia do not exceed 1.0 km at the center of the network and can reach 2.0 km only on its periphery.

卡累利阿的现代地震台网由四个地震台站组成。网络电台的数量很少,而且它们在卡累利阿领土上分布不均匀。因此,这个地震台网的效率不够高,并且在领土的不同地点记录了不同最小震级和不同精度的地震事件(地震和采石场爆炸)。为了以相同的精度和相同的最小震级记录发生在卡累利阿不同地点的事件,有必要在整个领土内更均匀地安排系统的地震台站;也就是说,观测系统必须具有最优配置。对65个新地震台站和4个目前运行的地震台站的最佳地震台网记录的地震事件的最小震级进行计算表明,在记录通道扩大到5万个后,该台网将可靠地记录整个卡累利阿地区1.0级或以上的地震。同时,卡累利阿这样一个台网的地震台站的位置被确定为整个观测系统的平行移动和任意旋转。在网内确定震中经纬度坐标的误差不超过0.5公里。系统在整个卡累利阿记录的震源深度确定误差在网络中心不超过1.0公里,仅在其外围可达到2.0公里。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the Impact of Vibration Loads on Soil Masses and Structures 振动荷载对土体和结构影响的评价
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S074792392207012X
V. V. Kapustin, M. L. Vladov, E. A. Voznesensky, V. A. Volkov

The proposed article touches upon a number of issues related to the impact of natural or man-made vibrations on soil masses and geological processes. The impact of seismic waves on the soil mass is determined by both direct mechanical action and absorption and dispersion of seismic energy, which in turn is triggered by phenomena when elastic energy is transforms into thermal, electrical, and chemical energy. The design and construction of modern buildings requires consideration of the possible negative effects of vibration loads. The objective of this article is to draw the attention of prospectors, designers, and those who operate structures to the need to study the influence of man-made vibrations from various sources.

拟议的条款涉及与自然或人为振动对土质和地质过程的影响有关的若干问题。地震波对土体的影响既由直接的力学作用决定,也由地震能的吸收和弥散决定,而地震能的吸收和弥散又由弹性能转化为热能、电能和化学能的现象触发。现代建筑的设计和施工需要考虑振动荷载可能产生的负面影响。本文的目的是提请勘探者、设计师和结构操作人员注意研究各种来源的人为振动的影响的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Paleoseismological Investigations in the Chikoy Fault Zone (Southern Transbaikalia) 奇科伊断裂带(南外贝加尔)古地震学研究
IF 0.9 Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.3103/S0747923922070106
O. P. Smekalin, A. Yu. Eskin

Active faults in Southern Transbaikalia, some of which are elements of the Mongolian–Okhotsk lineament, are still poorly studied seismically. The Chikoy fault has been characterized by weak earthquakes over a 100-year period of instrumental observations, which yields no knowledge of the seismic potential of the fault. However, distinct manifestation of a fault scarp in the modern relief suggests high rates of tectonic movements along it. This is also confirmed by the seismotectonic deformations discovered during our field studies. Field works in the Chikoy fault zone revealed signs of a seismogenic feature of the fault in segments with a total length of at least 32 km. Analysis of the morphology of the scarps and sections indicates that the dislocations were formed as a result of at least two to three paleoearthquakes with magnitudes of 7.0–7.2. According to absolute (radiocarbon) and relative (based on the slope of the scarps) dating data, the age of paleoearthquakes range from 5–8 ka, 2373–2832 years ago, and later than 760 years ago. The high seismic potential of the fault revealed by seismogeological data is confirmed by historical evidence of an earthquake with M = 6.0 that occurred here in 1830.

外贝加尔湖南部的活动断层,其中一些是蒙古-鄂霍次克构造的组成部分,在地震上的研究仍然很少。在100年的仪器观测中,Chikoy断层的特点是发生弱地震,但对该断层的地震潜力一无所知。然而,在现代地形中,断层陡崖的明显表现表明,沿断层陡崖的构造运动速率很高。我们在野外研究中发现的地震构造变形也证实了这一点。在Chikoy断裂带的现场工作显示,该断裂带在总长度至少为32公里的区段中具有孕震特征的迹象。对断裂带和断裂带的形态分析表明,该断裂带是由至少2 ~ 3次7.0 ~ 7.2级的古地震形成的。根据绝对(放射性碳)和相对(基于陡坡坡度)测年资料,古地震年龄在5 ~ 8 ka之间,距今2373 ~ 2832年,晚于760年。地震地质资料揭示的断层的高地震潜力被1830年发生在这里的M = 6.0地震的历史证据所证实。
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引用次数: 0
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Seismic Instruments
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