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Is China market socialist? Comparing Western theory to Eastern practice 中国是社会主义市场吗?西方理论与东方实践之比较
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-27 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.2006457
J. Yunker
ABSTRACT The question of whether the contemporary Chinese economy is more accurately characterized as market socialist or market capitalist depends to some extent on semantic issues pertaining to the meaning of terms such as capitalism, socialism, and the market. Adding to these complications is the fact that there are several market socialist plans, quite different in their specifics, extant in the systems literature produced by Western economists. The present contribution attempts to shed a more focused light on this question by comparing the contemporary Chinese economy to a specific plan of market socialism known as ‘pragmatic market socialism.’ While obviously not a perfect match, there appears to be sufficient overlap for the Chinese economy to be considered a reasonable approximation to pragmatic market socialism.
当代中国经济是市场社会主义经济还是市场资本主义经济,这个问题在某种程度上取决于与资本主义、社会主义和市场等术语含义相关的语义问题。更复杂的是,在西方经济学家的制度文献中,存在着几种市场社会主义计划,它们的具体内容截然不同。本文试图通过将当代中国经济与被称为“实用市场社会主义”的市场社会主义的具体计划进行比较,来更集中地阐明这个问题。虽然显然不是完美的匹配,但中国经济似乎有足够的重叠之处,可以被视为与务实的市场社会主义有合理的近似。
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引用次数: 1
The elderly’s health capacity to work in China 中国老年人的健康工作能力
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-11 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.2003534
Peng Zhan, Xinxin Ma, Takashi Oshio, Yibo Mao
ABSTRACT China’s rapidly aging population has diminished its labor force. This study examines the extent to which the elderly’s labor force participation could be enhanced given their health status. Using national aggregated data from the population census for 1990–2015 and survey data from the Chinese Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study for 2011–2015, we simulated the potential and additional work capacity of China’s elderly using methods employed in previous studies. We obtained four main findings. First, a substantial amount of unused work capacity exists in the 60–69 years age group in urban China, accounting for approximately 30% of the potential work capacity. Second, the additional work capacity is greater for urban residents and men than for rural residents and women. Third, the additional work capacity increases for urban men but decreases for rural men and women. Fourth, the change in sensitivity of work to health reduces potential work capacity.
摘要中国人口迅速老龄化,劳动力减少。这项研究考察了考虑到老年人的健康状况,他们的劳动力参与度可以在多大程度上得到提高。利用1990-2015年人口普查的全国汇总数据和2011-2015年中国健康与退休纵向研究的调查数据,我们使用先前研究中使用的方法模拟了中国老年人的潜在工作能力和额外工作能力。我们获得了四个主要发现。首先,中国城市60-69岁年龄段存在大量未使用的工作能力,约占潜在工作能力的30%。其次,城市居民和男性的额外工作能力大于农村居民和女性。第三,城市男性的额外工作能力增加,但农村男性和女性的额外工作容量减少。第四,工作对健康敏感度的变化降低了潜在的工作能力。
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引用次数: 2
One year after COVID: the challenges and outlook of Chinese micro-and-small enterprises 新冠疫情后一年:中国中小企业面临的挑战与展望
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-26 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1995246
T. Kong, Xiaohan Yang, Ranran Wang, Zijun Cheng, Changyu Ren, Shuo Liu, Zhenhua Li, Fang Wang, Xiaoyin Ma, Xiaobo Zhang
ABSTRACT Based on a large Online Survey of Micro-and-small Enterprises (OSOME) conducted in March 2021 on micro-and-small enterprises and self-employed businesses (MSEs) operating on the Alipay platform, this paper examines the operational status, challenges, responses, and confidence of MSEs after exposure to the COVID-19 pandemic for over a year in China. The operational status of micro-and-small enterprises has significantly improved despite cash flow constraints. Rising costs and weak demand were two key challenges. In response to the COVID-19 shock, a higher percentage of newly established businesses adopted online sales and electronic information systems than those established earlier. Tax reduction was the most inclusive type of policy support. The confidence indices on market demand, production, and revenues for the next quarter returned to positive territory, indicating an optimistic outlook. The employment index remained just below the normal level, suggesting subdued expectations of expanded employment in the near future.
摘要基于2021年3月对在支付宝平台上运营的中小企业和个体工商户进行的大型在线中小企业调查,本文考察了中小企业在新冠肺炎疫情中暴露一年多后的运营状况、挑战、应对和信心。尽管现金流受到限制,微型和小型企业的经营状况仍有显著改善。成本上升和需求疲软是两个关键挑战。为应对新冠肺炎冲击,新成立的企业采用在线销售和电子信息系统的比例高于早期成立的企业。减税是最具包容性的政策支持。下一季度市场需求、生产和收入的信心指数恢复到正区间,表明前景乐观。就业指数仍略低于正常水平,表明对近期扩大就业的预期减弱。
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引用次数: 10
A new algorithm for matching Chinese NBS firm-level with customs data 中国国家统计局企业层面与海关数据匹配的新算法
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1963046
P. Egger, Susie Xi Rao, S. Papini
ABSTRACT Combining accounting-type firm data and transactions-type customs data has become increasingly important for research in international and industrial economics. The statistical authorities in several countries such as the United States or France provide such linked data without details on sources, and researchers have to assume that the matching is correct and the firm identifiers are unique and flawless in the source data. For some other countries such as Switzerland or China, firm and customs data contain information which permits such linking ex post using string matching based on firm names and their meta-information like addresses. Due to spelling and typos, such matching is prone to some errors. Obtaining the largest-possible number of high-quality matches helps avoid potential biases while keeping crucial details. We report on a new algorithm which improves considerably the hitherto available linking efforts of the National Bureau of Statistics firm-level and the Customs trade data for China.
将会计类型的公司数据与交易类型的海关数据相结合,在国际经济和产业经济研究中变得越来越重要。美国或法国等几个国家的统计当局提供这样的关联数据,但没有详细说明来源,研究人员必须假设匹配是正确的,并且源数据中的公司标识符是唯一的和完美的。对于其他一些国家,如瑞士或中国,公司和海关数据包含的信息允许使用基于公司名称及其元信息(如地址)的字符串匹配进行事后链接。由于拼写和拼写错误,这种匹配容易出现一些错误。获得尽可能多的高质量匹配有助于避免潜在的偏差,同时保留关键细节。我们报告了一种新的算法,该算法大大改进了迄今为止国家统计局企业层面与中国海关贸易数据的联系工作。
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引用次数: 0
Wage payments and fixed capital investment in imperfect financial and labor markets: the case of China 不完善的金融和劳动力市场中的工资支付和固定资本投资——以中国为例
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1964772
Tao Gu
ABSTRACT This paper examines how wage payments and fixed asset investments are determined, and their interrelationship, under China’s imperfect financial and labor markets. We collect aggregate data on wages, the financial market, and fixed asset investments from several statistical yearbooks. The main results are as follows: (1) borrowing constraints hinder wage payments, but this phenomenon is not observed in the state-owned and foreign-funded units; (2) in the nonstate-owned sector, there is a strong reliance on internal reserves that is not observed in the state-owned units, suggesting that the nonstate-owned sector is treated differently in the financial market; and (3) in the state-owned units, wage growth has a positive correlation with fixed asset investments, whereas in the nonstate-owned sector, this relationship is not observed. This implies that in the nonstate-owned sector, the underpayment of wages may be used as a survival strategy to conduct business under financial constraints.
本文考察了在中国不完善的金融和劳动力市场下,工资支付和固定资产投资是如何决定的,以及它们之间的相互关系。我们从几个统计年鉴中收集工资、金融市场和固定资产投资的汇总数据。主要结果如下:(1)借款约束阻碍了工资支付,但这种现象在国有和外资单位没有出现;(2)非国有部门对内部储备的依赖程度较强,这表明非国有部门在金融市场上受到了区别对待;(3)在国有企业中,工资增长与固定资产投资呈正相关,而在非国有企业中,这种关系不存在。这意味着,在非国有部门,少付工资可能被用作在财务约束下开展业务的生存策略。
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引用次数: 2
Overcoming the middle-income trap: International experiences and China’s choice 克服中等收入陷阱:国际经验与中国选择
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-10 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1965788
Pingping Wang, Xun Wang, Zhuo Huang, Baoqun Fan
ABSTRACT Overcoming the middle-income trap is the main task of China’s next stage of economic development. International experiences show that continuous innovation and industrial upgrading in an open market environment are the keys to overcoming the middle-income trap. An open market is a prerequisite for a high-income economy. The expansion of trade, investment, and exchange activities helps emerging economies absorb technology transfer and knowledge spillover from advanced regions, which ultimately enhance innovation capacity and promote human capital accumulation and domestic industrial upgrading. Therefore, China will need to continue promoting domestic market-oriented reform, strengthen the construction of its domestic market, and open up to a greater extent to create a strong internal institutional environment and an external market environment for innovation. These will ensure the successful transformation of China from a middle-income to a high-income economy.
克服中等收入陷阱是中国下一阶段经济发展的主要任务。国际经验表明,在开放的市场环境中不断创新和产业升级是克服中等收入陷阱的关键。开放的市场是高收入经济的先决条件。贸易、投资和交流活动的扩大有助于新兴经济体吸收先进地区的技术转移和知识溢出,最终增强创新能力,促进人力资本积累和国内产业升级。因此,中国需要继续推进国内市场化改革,加强国内市场建设,更大程度地对外开放,为创新创造强大的内部制度环境和外部市场环境。这些将确保中国从中等收入经济体成功转型为高收入经济体。
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引用次数: 2
Introduction to the special issue 特刊简介
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1945255
Miaojie Yu
The global economic growth has slowed down due to both the pandemic effects and the de-globalization. The world trade organization (WTO), as the most important representative organization of global multilateral economic corporations, is under threat due to the ineffective enforcement of its dispute settlement committee. Many countries, especially advanced economics, are suffered from the negative shocks and results in a negative economic growth in 2020. However, China, as the current largest developing country and the second-largest economy in the world, still realized a modest economic growth of 2.3% in 2020, when the pandemic was the most severe. This observation indeed raises two issues. First, as a locomotive of the whole world’s economic growth, how can China find a way to maintain its sustainable economic growth in the coming years? Second, how can China further open up to address the challenge of de-globalization caused by the weakened global multilateral economic corporation? Given China accounted for around 18% of global GDP in 2020, China’s sustainable economic growth and deep integration into the global economy are important not only for China but also for the rest of the world. To answer the first question, in this special issue, Justin Lin provides an insightful analysis of the dual-circulation development strategy advocated by the Chinese government. Notably, Justin discusses the following three questions: First, why does China put a particular focus on domestic circulation? Second, why is it important to fully employ both domestic and international resources and markets? Third, how will China structure its new development pattern? Justin forcefully argues that it is crucial to tap development potential through structural reform for China’s dual circulation. In addition, it is necessary to deepen the reform and clear obstacles that constrain the development of domestic circulations and implement the measures for further opening up, and better leverage the international resources and markets. To further open up, China indeed puts a particular focus on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement. East Asian countries signed the RCEP in November 2020. As carefully analyzed by Peter Drysdale and Shiro Armstrong, the RCEP agreement consolidated the 10-member ASEAN’s free trade agreements and the three northeast Asian economic powers, China, Japan, and South Korea, along with Australia and New Zealand.
由于疫情影响和去全球化,全球经济增长放缓。世界贸易组织(WTO)作为全球多边经济公司最重要的代表组织,由于其争端解决委员会的执行不力而受到威胁。许多国家,特别是发达经济体,遭受了负面冲击,导致2020年经济负增长。然而,中国作为目前最大的发展中国家和世界第二大经济体,在疫情最严重的2020年仍然实现了2.3%的适度经济增长。这一观察确实提出了两个问题。首先,作为全世界经济增长的火车头,中国如何找到在未来几年保持可持续经济增长的方法?第二,中国如何进一步开放,以应对全球多边经济公司削弱所带来的去全球化挑战?鉴于2020年中国约占全球GDP的18%,中国的可持续经济增长和深度融入全球经济不仅对中国很重要,对世界其他地区也很重要。为了回答第一个问题,林在本期特刊中对中国政府倡导的双循环发展战略进行了深入分析。值得注意的是,Justin讨论了以下三个问题:第一,为什么中国特别关注国内流通?第二,为什么充分利用国内外资源和市场很重要?第三,中国将如何构建新的发展格局?贾斯汀有力地指出,通过结构性改革挖掘中国双循环的发展潜力至关重要。此外,要深化改革,扫清制约国内大循环发展的障碍,落实进一步开放的措施,更好地利用国际资源和市场。为了进一步开放,中国确实特别重视区域全面经济伙伴关系协定。东亚国家于2020年11月签署了RCEP。正如Peter Drysdale和Shiro Armstrong仔细分析的那样,RCEP协议巩固了东盟10个成员国的自由贸易协定以及中国、日本和韩国这三个东北亚经济大国以及澳大利亚和新西兰。
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引用次数: 0
RCEP: a strategic opportunity for multilateralism RCEP:多边主义的战略机遇
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1937092
P. Drysdale, S. Armstrong
ABSTRACT East Asia’s Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement was concluded in a time of heightened uncertainty in the global economy and in the middle of the largest economic downturn in almost a century from a pandemic-induced global recession. The agreement consolidated the 10 member ASEAN’s free trade agreements with Australia and New Zealand, and the three northeast Asian economic powers China, Japan and South Korea. RCEP's economic cooperation agenda incorporates ASEAN processes which go beyond helping countries to implement the agreement and has potential to expand cooperation to new areas. This economic cooperation process makes RCEP a living agreement that can serve the needs of members as they evolve. It can also be used to embrace non-RCEP members, especially India, around particular agendas. The agreement is an important opportunity for China to use the RCEP framework to trial reforms and demonstrate its commitment to broader international multilateral liberalisation and economic cooperation.
摘要东亚区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)是在全球经济不确定性加剧之际缔结的,也是在一场由大流行病引发的全球衰退引发的近一个世纪以来最大的经济衰退中。该协议巩固了东盟10个成员国与澳大利亚和新西兰以及东北亚三大经济大国中国、日本和韩国的自由贸易协定。RCEP的经济合作议程纳入了东盟进程,这些进程不仅有助于各国执行协议,而且有可能将合作扩大到新的领域。这一经济合作进程使RCEP成为一项活的协议,可以随着成员国的发展而满足其需求。它还可以用于围绕特定议程接纳非RCEP成员国,尤其是印度。该协议是中国利用RCEP框架试行改革并展示其对更广泛的国际多边自由化和经济合作的承诺的重要机会。
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引用次数: 17
Putting the China-EU comprehensive agreement on investment in context 把中欧投资全面协议放在背景下
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1933057
P. Egger
ABSTRACT This paper reviews the content of as well as the reception of the current state of the planned China-European union Comprehensive Agreement on Investment as per January 2021. Moreover, it forms some expectations regarding its economic effects. Key conclusions are that, in spite of a limited scope of new concessions beyond ones that are realized or planned anyway unilaterally, the agreement will likely boost not only investment but also trade, and it will likely establish a closer political cooperation between China and the European Union. One reason for the positive economic effects is the reduction in uncertainty about the mutually granted concessions for investment. However, further stimulating effects of the very agreement will be possible when accompanying it with concessions on trade in goods and services in the future.
摘要本文回顾了计划于2021年1月签署的《中欧投资全面协议》的内容以及接受情况。此外,它对其经济影响形成了一些预期。关键结论是,尽管新的让步范围有限,超出了单方面实现或计划的让步范围,但该协议可能不仅会促进投资,还会促进贸易,并可能在中国和欧盟之间建立更紧密的政治合作。产生积极经济影响的一个原因是减少了相互授予的投资特许权的不确定性。然而,如果该协议今后在货物和服务贸易方面作出让步,就有可能产生进一步的刺激作用。
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引用次数: 3
What does China’s ‘dual circulations’ development paradigm mean and how it can be achieved? 中国的“双循环”发展模式意味着什么?如何实现?
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2021.1933053
Justin Yifu Lin
ABSTRACT According to the law of economic development, the proportion of domestic circulation in a country’s economy increases with the growth of economic size and the enlargement of service industry, both caused by the rise of income. In the new development paradigm, the Chinese government puts forward the idea of “taking the domestic circulation as the mainstay”, which reflects this basic economic law. However, the policy of “making full use of the domestic and international markets and resources” is still equally important. Therefore, the new development pattern includes the idea of “the domestic circulation and international circulation reinforcing each other”. To implement the new development paradigm, the most important things are to tap the growth potential through structural reform, deepen reform to improve the efficiency of domestic circulation and deepen the opening up to make better use of international resources so as to promote development and raise income level.
摘要根据经济发展规律,国内大循环在一个国家经济中的比重随着经济规模的增长和服务业的扩大而增加,这两者都是由收入的增加引起的。在新的发展范式下,中国政府提出了“以国内大循环为主体”的思想,体现了这一基本经济规律。然而,“充分利用国内外市场和资源”的政策仍然同样重要。因此,新发展格局包含了“国内大循环与国际大循环相互促进”的理念。实施新发展模式,最重要的是通过结构性改革挖掘增长潜力,深化改革以提高国内循环效率,深化开放以更好地利用国际资源以促进发展和提高收入水平。
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引用次数: 1
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China Economic Journal
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