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Non-linear Impacts of Public Debt on Growth, Investment and Credit: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Approach 公共债务对增长、投资和信贷的非线性影响:一个动态面板阈值方法
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.825
Taner Turan, Pelin Varol Iyidogan
This paper examines the effects of public debt on the growth rate, investment and domestic credit provided to private sector using the dynamic panel threshold regression method for a large number of developing countries, namely 53 (48) economies for growth and investment (credit) regressions. Our results suggest that public debt does not have a significant impact on the economic growth rate. Despite a strong negative effect of public debt on the total investment, our results do not support the existence of a (strong) threshold effect of public debt on total (private) investment. On the other hand, we present evidence for a threshold effect of public debt on public investment and credit. More precisely, public debt leads to a reduction in public investment and credit when the public debt exceeds the estimated threshold levels. Since public debt matters for investment and credit, it is important to ensure fiscal discipline and prudence in the long term.
本文采用动态面板阈值回归方法对大量发展中国家,即53(48)个经济体进行了增长和投资(信贷)回归,考察了公共债务对增长率、投资和提供给私营部门的国内信贷的影响。我们的研究结果表明,公共债务对经济增长率没有显著影响。尽管公共债务对总投资有很强的负面影响,但我们的研究结果并不支持公共债务对总(私人)投资存在(很强的)阈值效应。另一方面,我们为公共债务对公共投资和信贷的阈值效应提供了证据。更准确地说,当公共债务超过估计的阈值水平时,公共债务会导致公共投资和信贷的减少。由于公共债务关系到投资和信贷,从长远来看,确保财政纪律和审慎是很重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Human Resources for Health and Health Outcomes: Panel Data Analysis 健康人力资源与健康结果:小组数据分析
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.830
Lucie Kureková, Pavlína Hejduková, L. Komárková
: 1 This study aims to evaluate the effects of selected key factors on health outcomes. Unfortunately, statistical reporting in this field is not harmonized, and in some countries it is completely absent. For this reason, valuable information for health determinant analysis may be lacking or overlooked. Using two different databases, we obtained data from 61 countries for the period 2000–2015. To analyse panel data with over 660 observations, a linear mixed model was applied. This paper contributes to the health economics debate by statistically testing the relationship between health outcomes and variables such as healthcare personnel, healthcare expenditure and infrastructure. The results confirm the importance of healthcare expenditure and healthcare infrastructure. However, the size and direction of the effect vary among countries with different income levels. In regard to human resources, the number of doctors proved to have a significant effect only in lower-income countries.
:1本研究旨在评估选定的关键因素对健康结果的影响。不幸的是,这一领域的统计报告没有统一,在一些国家完全没有统一。因此,可能缺乏或忽视了用于健康决定因素分析的有价值的信息。使用两个不同的数据库,我们获得了61个国家2000-2015年期间的数据。为了分析660多个观测的面板数据,采用了线性混合模型。本文通过统计测试健康结果与医疗人员、医疗支出和基础设施等变量之间的关系,为健康经济学辩论做出了贡献。研究结果证实了医疗支出和医疗基础设施的重要性。然而,不同收入水平的国家的影响大小和方向各不相同。在人力资源方面,事实证明,只有在低收入国家,医生的数量才会产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency of Digital Economy in the Context of Sustainable Development: DEA-Tobit Approach 可持续发展背景下的数字经济效率:DEA-Tobit方法
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.824
Viktorija Skvarciany, Indrė Lapinskait&#, Viktorija Stasytyt&#
. 1 The paper aims at measuring the efficiency of the digital economy in EU countries. For that purpose, data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used. Sub-dimensions of the Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI) are used as inputs and the Sustainable Development Goals Index (SDGI) as an output. The results revealed that Bulgaria, Italy and Romania are the most efficient digital economies in terms of human capital; Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Croatia, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Lithuania, Poland and Portugal in terms of connectivity; Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania in terms of integration of digital technology; and Romania in terms of digital public services. The result of tobit regression analysis showed that not all the indicators of the DESI dimensions positively influence the efficiency of the digital economy.
. 本文旨在衡量欧盟国家数字经济的效率。为此,使用了数据包络分析(DEA)。数字经济与社会指数(DESI)的子维度作为输入,可持续发展目标指数(SDGI)作为输出。结果显示,就人力资本而言,保加利亚、意大利和罗马尼亚是效率最高的数字经济体;比利时、保加利亚、塞浦路斯、克罗地亚、爱沙尼亚、芬兰、希腊、立陶宛、波兰和葡萄牙的连通性;保加利亚、匈牙利和罗马尼亚在数字技术整合方面;罗马尼亚的数字公共服务。tobit回归分析结果表明,并非所有DESI维度的指标都对数字经济效率有正向影响。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping of Capabilities and Export Opportunities of Czechia 捷克的能力和出口机会映射
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.829
Ondřej Sankot, Tereza De Castro, J. Vlčková, Cristina Procházková Ilinitchi
Czechia is one of the most export-oriented countries, reaching high levels of economic complexity. However, its innovative capabilities remain limited. Taking these factors into consideration , we determined the country’s optimal diversification path by identifying prospective export sectors which would enhance the country’s competitiveness. We combine the product space and proximity methodologies on predicted export data together with a company-level analysis. We identified machinery for specialized industries and parts thereof (SITC 7284), machine-tools for specialized industries parts or accessories (SITC 7281) and power hand tools, pneumatic or non-electric, and parts thereof (SITC 7541) as the most prospective categories in terms of high complexity, expected trade volume growth, proximity to Czechia’s existing production capabilities and manufacturing base operated by large, highly innovative Czech - owned firms
捷克是最以出口为导向的国家之一,经济复杂程度很高。然而,它的创新能力仍然有限。考虑到这些因素,我们确定了该国的最佳多样化路径,确定了有望提高该国竞争力的出口部门。我们将预测出口数据的产品空间和接近度方法与公司层面的分析结合起来。我们确定了专业行业机械及其零件(SITC 7284),专业行业机床零件或配件(SITC 7281)和电动手动工具,气动或非电动工具及其零件(SITC 7541)作为最具前景的类别,其高度复杂性,预期贸易量增长,接近捷克现有的生产能力和由大型,高度创新的捷克公司运营的制造基地
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引用次数: 0
Do Environmental Taxes Improve Environmental Quality? Evidence from OECD Countries 环境税能改善环境质量吗?来自经合组织国家的证据
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.821
M. Arltová, Julia Kot
Abstract
摘要
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引用次数: 0
Estimating Bohn's Fiscal Sustainability Model with Temporal Variation: Evidence from Turkey 用时间变化估计Bohn的财政可持续性模型:来自土耳其的证据
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.822
Cansın Kemal Can
Abstract
摘要
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Investors' Response to Earnings Management Before Initial Public Offering in Poland 波兰首次公开募股前机构投资者对盈余管理的反应
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.819
E. Bukalska, Tomasz Sosnowski, Anna Wawryszuk-Misztal
The aim of the paper is to analyse the association between the use of accrual-based and real earnings management practices before the company goes public and the decision of institutional investors on buying or refraining from buying shares offered in initial public offering (IPO). The sample consists of 258 Polish new stock companies over the period 2005-2020. We find that such companies refrain from massive earnings management in the pre-IPO period: both real and accrual-based. However, we find evidence that the presence of institutional investors in the IPO is related to earnings inflation (selling, general and administrative expenses). Our study contributes to the debate on the role of institutional ownership in the IPO process in Central and Eastern Europe.
本文的目的是分析公司上市前使用权责发生制和实际盈余管理实践与机构投资者购买或不购买首次公开募股股票的决定之间的关系。样本包括2005-2020年期间258家波兰新股公司。我们发现,这类公司在IPO前的时期没有进行大规模的盈余管理:既有基于实际的,也有基于权责发生制的。然而,我们发现有证据表明,机构投资者参与IPO与收益通胀(销售、一般和管理费用)有关。我们的研究有助于讨论机构所有权在中欧和东欧IPO过程中的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Financial Market Development, Financial Crises and Deposit Insurance on Bank Risk 金融市场发展、金融危机和存款保险对银行风险的影响
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.820
Yiming Chang, Xiangyuan Yu, Wei Shan, Fang Wang, Yinying Tao
1 This paper examines the impact of financial market development, financial crises and deposit insurance on bank risk based on macro data of 86 countries during the period 1998–2014. The results show that banking sector development and stock market development have
1本文基于1998-2004年期间86个国家的宏观数据,研究了金融市场发展、金融危机和存款保险对银行风险的影响。结果表明,银行业的发展和股票市场的发展
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引用次数: 0
Are the Effects of Opening New Mass Rapid Transit Segments in Taiwan on Nearby Housing Prices Positive? 台湾开放新的大众捷运路段对附近房价的影响是积极的吗?
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.823
Lee Ming-Te, Lee Ming-Long, Ya-Ting Cheng
This study evaluates the effects of opening new segments of mass rapid transit (MRT) lines on housing prices near the MRT stations in Tucheng District and Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City, Taiwan. The effect of proximity to each MRT station is estimated separately with difference-in-differences regressions integrated with spatial econometrics with heteroscedasticity-robust standard errors. The opening of the new segment of the Blue Line, also known as Bannan Line of the Taipei Metro, does not significantly influence housing prices within 600-metre road network distance of the MRT stations, compared to prices outside the distance range. In contrast, and also unlike the findings of prior studies, although the segment and the stations are underground structures, the opening of the new segment of the Orange Line, also known as the Zhonghe-Xinlu Line of the Taipei Metro, significantly decreases housing prices within 600-metre road network distance of the MRT stations, compared to prices outside the distance range, perhaps because the opening of the stations is delayed about one and a half years to be used as a temporary storage area for MRT trains. The findings have implications for homebuyers, investors, mortgage lending institutions and tax assessment authorities.
本研究旨在评估台湾新北市土城区及新庄区地铁站附近新设捷运路段对房价的影响。利用差分回归与具有异方差鲁棒标准误差的空间计量经济学相结合,分别估计了邻近每个地铁站的影响。蓝线新段,也被称为台北地铁板南线的开通,与距离外的房价相比,对距离地铁站600米以内的房价没有显著影响。相比之下,也与先前的研究结果不同,尽管该路段和车站都是地下结构,但台北地铁的橙线(也称为中和新路线)的新路段的开通,与距离范围外的房价相比,显著降低了地铁站600米路网距离内的房价,也许是因为这些车站的开放被推迟了大约一年半,用作地铁列车的临时存放区。调查结果对购房者、投资者、抵押贷款机构和税务评估机构都有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy in Developed Countries: Does Governance Hinder? 发达国家的反周期财政政策:治理是否有阻碍?
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.814
Nguyen Van Bon
Fiscal policy is an effective instrument in helping governments in developed countries overcome a recession with a high unemployment rate or a hot economy with a high inflation rate to keep the economy on a stable path. Does governance contribute significantly to keeping this goal in these countries? The study looks for an answer by empirically investigating the role of governance in the output gap – fiscal policy relationship for a group of 27 developed countries between 2002 and 2019. It employs the difference GMM Arellano-Bond estimators and the PMG estimator for estimation and robustness check. The results provide some interesting findings. Firstly, both public spending and government revenue are counter-cyclical, confirming the counter-cyclical fiscal policy in developed countries. Secondly, governance hinders the counter-cyclical fiscal policy. The findings imply some crucial policies for governments in developed countries in running the fiscal policy.
财政政策是帮助发达国家政府克服高失业率的衰退或高通胀率的火热经济以保持经济稳定的有效工具。治理是否有助于在这些国家实现这一目标?该研究通过实证调查2002年至2019年间27个发达国家的治理在产出差距-财政政策关系中的作用来寻找答案。它采用差分GMM-Arellano-Bond估计量和PMG估计量进行估计和稳健性检验。研究结果提供了一些有趣的发现。首先,公共支出和政府收入都是反周期的,这证实了发达国家的反周期财政政策。其次,治理阻碍了反周期财政政策。研究结果为发达国家政府在实施财政政策时提供了一些关键政策。
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Prague Economic Papers
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