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Financial Stability and Income Inequality in Developing Countries 发展中国家的金融稳定与收入不平等
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.815
Margaret Rutendo Magwedere, G. Marozva
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引用次数: 0
Modelling Household Mortgage Debt: the case of the Czech Republic 家庭抵押贷款债务建模:以捷克共和国为例
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.816
L. Fiala
2 This paper deals with Czech household mortgage debt and its determinants in the period 1Q2005–2Q2021. Our analysis focuses on the variables determining the level of mortgage debt from both short- and long-term perspectives. Our contribution is two-fold. Firstly, we examine the relationship between the selected variables within a cross-correlation analysis. The results confirm the positive dependency of household mortgage debt and real GDP, real gross average income and the level of house prices. By contrast, a negative relationship was identified for real interest rates, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate. Secondly, we explore the ARDL and EC models and identify one cointegration relationship. Our results confirm that house prices and real wages are determinants of household mortgage debt in the long-term perspective. However, a wider range of variables plays a role in the short run, including house prices, real gross average income, inflation and long-term interest rates. Moreover, our model indicates the insignificance of unemployment in both the short and long run.
2本文涉及捷克家庭抵押贷款债务及其决定因素在第一季度2005 - 2q2021期间。我们的分析侧重于从短期和长期角度决定抵押贷款债务水平的变量。我们的贡献是双重的。首先,我们在互相关分析中检查所选变量之间的关系。结果证实了家庭抵押贷款债务与实际GDP、实际总平均收入和房价水平呈正相关关系。相比之下,实际利率、失业率和通货膨胀率呈负相关。其次,我们探索了ARDL和EC模型,并确定了一个协整关系。我们的研究结果证实,从长远来看,房价和实际工资是家庭抵押贷款债务的决定因素。然而,更广泛的变量在短期内发挥作用,包括房价,实际总平均收入,通货膨胀和长期利率。此外,我们的模型表明失业在短期和长期都不重要。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship Between Output Volatility and Output in OECD Countries Revisited 经济合作与发展组织国家产出波动与产出的关系
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.812
Aykut Ekinci
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Fiscal Policy Uncertainty on Turkish Economy 财政政策不确定性对土耳其经济的影响
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.811
Süleyman Kasal, Şebnem Tosunoğlu
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引用次数: 2
Do R&D Subsidies Improve Operational Performance? New evidence from China 研发补贴能提高经营绩效吗?来自中国的新证据
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.809
Qingjie Zhou, Mingyue Du, Zhenling Chen, Tianshun Miao, Guoge Yang
1 2 3 The sustainable development of the digital economy has attracted wide attention. To ex-plore how to improve the operational performance of China’s digital firms, this paper conducts an influence mechanism model to test the nonlinear effect, heterogeneity effects, and mediation effects using a panel data of China’s digital firms from 2008 to 2017. The empirical results indicate that R&D subsidies have an inverted U-shaped effect on operational performance, and these results are still valid after a series of robustness tests. In addition, we find that R&D subsidies have a heterogeneous effect on operational performance in terms of region, company size, governance structure, and executive education background. Moreover, regarding the influence mechanism, R&D subsidies improve operational performance by improving innovation efficiency. This paper proposes some policy implications to improve the operational performance of China’s digital firms.
数字经济的可持续发展引起了广泛关注。为探讨如何提高中国数字化企业的经营绩效,本文采用2008 - 2017年中国数字化企业的面板数据,构建了影响机制模型,检验了其非线性效应、异质性效应和中介效应。实证结果表明,R&D补贴对企业经营绩效的影响呈倒u型,经过一系列稳健性检验,这一结果仍然有效。此外,研究发现研发补贴对企业经营绩效的影响在地域、公司规模、治理结构和高管学历等方面存在异质性。从影响机制上看,R&D补贴通过提高创新效率来提高企业经营绩效。本文提出了提高中国数字企业经营绩效的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
FISCAL COUNCILS IN EU MEMBER STATES: IMPACT ON FISCAL DISCIPLINE 欧盟成员国财政委员会对财政纪律的影响
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.810
Martin Gorčák, Stanislav Šaroch
12 This paper presents the impact of fiscal councils in the European Union on public finance. Using a fiscal reaction function, the impact of fiscal councils on the discretionary component of fiscal policy is examined. The impact of fiscal councils is a topical issue due to the fact that most EU countries have established fiscal councils in response to the EU legislation adopted after the last financial crisis. The empirical results imply that fiscal councils are complementary to numerical fiscal rules and instrumental for limiting deficit bias in the EU countries, most importantly through monitoring of compliance with fiscal rules and endorsement of macroeconomic and budgetary forecasts. Despite certain research limits, the empirical results point to similar conclusions as from recent papers. Out of the empirical findings, several recommendations can be made for fiscal policy-making.
本文介绍了欧盟财政委员会对公共财政的影响。利用财政反应函数,考察了财政委员会对财政政策自由裁量部分的影响。财政委员会的影响是一个热门话题,因为大多数欧盟国家都建立了财政委员会,以响应上次金融危机后通过的欧盟立法。实证结果表明,财政委员会是数字财政规则的补充,有助于限制欧盟国家的赤字偏见,最重要的是通过监督财政规则的遵守情况和认可宏观经济和预算预测。尽管研究有一定的局限性,但实证结果与最近的论文得出的结论相似。根据实证研究结果,可以对财政政策制定提出几点建议。
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引用次数: 0
Bitcoin Transaction Fees, Miners' Revenue, Concentration and Electricity Consumption: A Failing Ecosystem 比特币交易费、矿工收入、集中度和电力消耗:一个失败的生态系统
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.817
Frederik Rech, Chen Yan, Amon Bagonza, Lubomir Pinter, H. Musa
12 The research and investment community seems to ignore the long-term sustainability of Bitcoin, which is reflected in four flaws: transaction fees, miners’ revenue, concentration and electricity consumption. While most of the authors have aimed to examine one topic at a time, with a particular interest in electricity consumption and carbon footprint, the aim of this paper is to examine all these issues simultaneously to provide a more comprehensive view on long-term sustainability of Bitcoin. This paper looks at these flaws and reveals why Bitcoin is not sustainable in the long run, how decentralization is being lost, how the design is putting artificial and unrealistic pressure on the ecosystem, while all being powered by an unjustifiable amount of dirty electricity sources. Our main findings are as follows. Firstly, transaction fees are already high and set to increase in time, further discriminating small transactions against big ones. Secondly, miners’ revenue comes mostly from the block reward. The block reward is the main income source for miners, but is set to be cut on a regular basis, making miners’ revenue not sustainable in the long run. Thirdly, miner concentration is already an issue, with a possibility of deepening even more and diminishing the idea of decentralization. Fourthly, the high electricity demand and the associated carbon footprint thus cannot be justified by any means. We deem our results useful for overall policy and regulatory implications.
研究和投资界似乎忽视了比特币的长期可持续性,这体现在四个缺陷上:交易费用、矿工收入、集中度和电力消耗。虽然大多数作者的目标是一次研究一个主题,对电力消耗和碳足迹特别感兴趣,但本文的目的是同时研究所有这些问题,以便对比特币的长期可持续性提供更全面的看法。本文着眼于这些缺陷,并揭示了为什么比特币从长远来看是不可持续的,去中心化是如何丧失的,这种设计是如何给生态系统带来人为和不切实际的压力的,而所有这些都是由不合理的肮脏电力来源提供动力的。我们的主要发现如下。首先,交易费用已经很高,并将随着时间的推移而增加,进一步将小额交易与大额交易区分开来。其次,矿工的收入主要来自区块奖励。区块奖励是矿工的主要收入来源,但会定期被削减,这使得矿工的收入从长远来看是不可持续的。第三,矿工集中已经是一个问题,有可能进一步深化和削弱去中心化的想法。第四,高电力需求和相关的碳足迹因此无法以任何方式证明是合理的。我们认为我们的结果对整体政策和监管意义是有用的。
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引用次数: 0
An Assessment of The Effectiveness of Sterilization of Central Bank Interventions: Empirical Evidence from India 对中央银行干预措施无效性的评估:来自印度的经验证据
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.808
A. Rishad, S. Gupta, A. Sharma
123 The active participation of the central bank in exchange rate management has accelerated the growth of foreign exchange reserve in India. The massive reserve stockpiling has substantially contributed to apprehensions about excess liquidity in the domestic economy. The extent to which these concerns are justified depends on the degree to which the central bank is able to mitigate its effects on monetary aggregates. This study is an attempt to assess the magnitude of the sterilization coefficient by using quarterly data from 1996 to 2019. In order to estimate sterilization and offset coefficients, the study employed the two-stage least squares (2SLS) method under the theoretical framework of simultaneous equation modelling. The findings show that the reserve accumulation through central bank interventions puts pressure on money supply. However, the RBI sterilization policy was effective as the central bank was able to sterilize 93 percent of its interventions, while the offset coefficient was 72 percent during the period of study. The low value of the offset coefficient compared to the sterilization coefficient indicates a high degree of monetary policy independence in neutralizing the central bank’s purchase interventions. Based on the findings, it can be recommended that policymakers should consider the sustainability of interventions and sterilization operations as the dual policy objectives of independent exchange rate management and monetary policy cannot be achieved in the presence of a high interest rate in an inflation-targeting regime.
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetries in Exchange Rate Pass-through in Turkey: A Threshold VAR Analysis 土耳其汇率传递的不对称:一个阈值VAR分析
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.806
M. Türel, Ayhan Orhan
This paper analyses the asymmetric behaviour of exchange rate pass-through in Turkey using a threshold VAR model. The main purpose is to examine the asymmetries in the exchange rate pass-through based on size, direction and inflationary environment of an emerging market economy with a highly depreciated domestic currency and two-digit inflation rate. Monthly exchange rate movements and monthly inflation rates were used as threshold variables. Nonlinear impulse response functions were employed to compare upper and lower regimes. According to our findings, the transmission of exchange rate shocks to domestic inflation in the upper regime is stronger than that in the lower regime. The pass-through increases with the magnitude of shocks. Besides, positive shocks have more effect on domestic prices than negative shocks, especially in the upper regime. A positive relationship between inflation and exchange rate pass-through exists. During high inflation periods, pass-through to domestic prices increases.
本文利用阈值VAR模型分析了土耳其汇率传递的非对称行为。主要目的是根据本国货币高度贬值和两位数通货膨胀率的新兴市场经济体的规模、方向和通货膨胀环境,研究汇率传递的不对称性。每月汇率变动和每月通货膨胀率被用作阈值变量。采用非线性脉冲响应函数来比较上下状态。根据我们的研究结果,汇率冲击对国内通胀的传导在上层制度中比在下层制度中更强。穿透力随着冲击的大小而增加。此外,正面冲击对国内价格的影响大于负面冲击,尤其是在上层政权中。通货膨胀和汇率传递之间存在正相关关系。在高通胀时期,转嫁到国内的物价上涨。
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引用次数: 1
Investigating Spatial-Temporal Pattern and Inducing Factors to Green Technology Innovation and High-Quality Economic Development 绿色技术创新与经济高质量发展的时空格局及其诱因研究
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.807
Chengwei Zang, Xu Shaorul, Ali Farhan
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引用次数: 1
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Prague Economic Papers
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