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How Are Future Energy Technology Costs Estimated? Can We Do Better? 如何估计未来能源技术成本?我们能做得更好吗?
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000128
A. Gambhir, R. Green, M. Grubb, P. Heptonstall, C. Wilson, R. Gross
Making informed estimates of future energy technology costs is central to understanding the cost of the low-carbon transition. A number of methods have been used to make such estimates: extrapolating empirically-derived learning rates; use of expert elicitations; and engineering assessments which analyse future developments for technology components ’ cost and performance parameters. In addition, there is a rich literature on different energy technology innovation systems analysis frameworks, which identify and analyse the many processes that drive technologi es’ development, including those that make them increasingly cost-competitive and commercially ready. However, there is a surprising lack of linkage between the fields of technology cost projections and technology innovation systems analysis. There is a clear opportunity to better relate these two fields, such that the detailed processes included in technology innovation systems frameworks can be fully considered when estimating future energy technology costs. Here we demonstrate how this can be done. We identify that learning curve, expert elicitation and engineering assessment methods already either implicitly or explicitly incorporate some elements of technology innovation system frameworks, most commonly those relating to R&D and deployment-related drivers. Yet they could more explicitly encompass a broader range of innovation processes. For example, future cost developments could be considered in light of the extent to which there is a well-functioning energy technology innovation system (TIS), including support for the direction of technology research, industry experimentation and development, market formation including by demand-pull policies, and technology legitimation. We suggest that failure to fully encompass such processes may have contributed to over-estimates of nuclear cost reductions and under-estimates of offshore wind cost reductions in the last decade
对未来能源技术成本进行知情估计是了解低碳转型成本的核心。已经使用了许多方法来进行这种估计:根据经验推断学习率;利用专家启发;以及工程评估,分析技术组成部分的成本和性能参数的未来发展。此外,有大量关于不同能源技术创新系统分析框架的文献,这些框架确定并分析了推动技术发展的许多过程,包括那些使技术越来越具有成本竞争力和商业准备的过程。然而,令人惊讶的是,技术成本预测和技术创新系统分析领域之间缺乏联系。显然有机会更好地将这两个领域联系起来,以便在估计未来能源技术成本时能够充分考虑技术创新系统框架中包含的详细流程。在这里,我们展示了如何做到这一点。我们发现,学习曲线、专家启发和工程评估方法已经隐含或明确地纳入了技术创新系统框架的一些元素,最常见的是与研发和部署相关的驱动因素。然而,它们可以更明确地涵盖更广泛的创新过程。例如,可以根据运行良好的能源技术创新体系的程度来考虑未来的成本发展,包括对技术研究、行业试验和开发方向的支持、包括需求拉动政策在内的市场形成以及技术合法化。我们认为,未能完全涵盖这些过程可能导致过去十年中对核成本削减的估计过高,对海上风电成本削减的估算过低
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引用次数: 3
The Promotion of Innovation in Regulated Network Industries 监管网络产业创新的促进
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000139
Seyed Reza Mirnezami
The capital intensive network industries such as electricity and gas delivery infrastructures exhibit natural monopoly characteristics because of their high economy of scale relative to the size of the market. Due to the absence of direct competition in these regulated industries, infrastructure providers hardly undertake the appropriate level of innovation activities to optimise the operation and continuity of their services; a review is provided to show how different countries support innovation in the network industries. As innovation activities are costly and risky undertakings, a relevant query is how to incentivise innovation through economic regulations. This paper models three generic schemes of innovation promotion: individual incentive contracts, competitive innovation fund and cooperative innovation program. We show how each of these schemes affects the firms' incentives for innovation activities. The results confirm the effectiveness of all three schemes. However, implementing an individual incentive contract is information-intensive, while competitive or cooperative schemes do not require an informed regulator. A comparison is provided between the schemes.
电力和天然气输送基础设施等资本密集型网络行业由于其相对于市场规模的高规模经济性而表现出自然垄断特征。由于这些受监管行业缺乏直接竞争,基础设施提供商很难开展适当水平的创新活动,以优化其服务的运营和连续性;综述了不同国家如何支持网络产业的创新。由于创新活动成本高、风险大,一个相关的问题是如何通过经济法规激励创新。本文对创新促进的三种通用方案进行了建模:个人激励合同、竞争性创新基金和合作创新计划。我们展示了这些计划中的每一个如何影响企业对创新活动的激励。结果证实了三种方案的有效性。然而,实施个人激励合同是信息密集型的,而竞争或合作计划不需要知情的监管机构。对两种方案进行了比较。
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引用次数: 2
Green Bonds: The Evolution of a Sustainable Financial Instrument on the Cutting Edge 绿色债券:前沿可持续金融工具的演变
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000134
Antonio Malorgio, E. Teti, M. Dallocchio
This paper analyses the most recent literature available on the green bond, a financial instrument that raises funds for environmentally friendly projects. The aim of this research is to build a comprehensive review based on green bond roles, functions, features, typologies, general uses and effects. Ultimately, we try to address its potential contribution to the objectives of environmental policy. Our research reveals several roles that the instrument is taking. The regulation, the ecosystem and the best practices being developed around it may further boost the advance of sustainable activities in the market. Since 2013, when the issuances started to grow considerably, green bond market behaviour has been relatively similar to that of the conventional bond market. There have, however, been cases in which it attracted greater attention from investors and others in which it appeared to perform better than regular bond instruments. The green bond is also increasingly being considered as a strong potential support mechanism for the post-pandemic crisis recovery. Last, the paper highlights opportunities for future research on the subject.
本文分析了有关绿色债券的最新文献,绿色债券是一种为环保项目筹集资金的金融工具。本研究的目的是基于绿色债券的作用、功能、特征、类型、一般用途和效果进行全面综述。最终,我们努力解决其对环境政策目标的潜在贡献。我们的研究揭示了该仪器正在扮演的几个角色。监管、生态系统和围绕其制定的最佳实践可能会进一步推动市场上可持续活动的发展。自2013年发行量开始大幅增长以来,绿色债券市场的行为与传统债券市场相对相似。然而,在某些情况下,它吸引了投资者和其他人的更多关注,在这些情况下,其表现似乎优于常规债券工具。绿色债券也越来越多地被视为疫情后危机复苏的强大潜在支持机制。最后,本文强调了未来对该主题进行研究的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Teaching Environmental and Natural Resource Economics: A Review of the Economic Education Literature 环境与自然资源经济学教学:经济教育文献综述
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000143
Jimena Gonzalez-Ramirez, Jill L. Caviglia-Harris, J. Whitehead
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引用次数: 3
Cities and the Environment: The Case of Air Pollution 城市与环境:以空气污染为例
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000130
E. Kyriakopoulou
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引用次数: 2
What Should We Be Teaching Students about the Economics of Climate Change: Is There a Consensus? 关于气候变化的经济学,我们应该教学生什么:是否有共识?
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000142
Lynne Y. Lewis, Casey J. Wichman
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引用次数: 0
Contaminants of Emerging Concern: A Review of Biological and Economic Principles to Guide Water Management Policies 新出现的污染物:指导水管理政策的生物和经济原则综述
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000138
A. Xabadia, Encarna Esteban, Y. Martínez, Iban Ortuzar
Awareness regarding water contamination has increased recently due to the emergence of a multitude of pollutants that pose a high risk to ecosystems and human health. The huge number and heterogeneity of contaminants of emerging concerns (CECs), in terms of their occurrence, biochemical behavior, and environmental impacts complicate their monitoring and control. This paper reviews empirical literature on the current situation of CECs to analyze how the identification and control of these emissions have been addressed. The results highlight the need for the risks and impacts of these emerging contaminants to be assessed from an integrated perspective, and for accurate estimates of the cost-efficiency of abatement technologies, taking into account potential side effects, to be provided. Thus, there ISSN 1932-1465; DOI 10.1561/101.00000138 © 2021 A. Xabadia et al.
由于出现了大量对生态系统和人类健康构成高风险的污染物,最近人们对水污染的认识有所提高。新兴问题污染物(CECs)的数量和异质性,在其发生,生化行为和环境影响方面使其监测和控制复杂化。本文回顾了有关cec现状的实证文献,分析了如何识别和控制这些排放。结果突出表明,需要从综合角度评估这些新出现的污染物的风险和影响,并在考虑到潜在副作用的情况下,准确估计减排技术的成本效益。因此,有ISSN 1932-1465;Doi 10.1561/101.00000138©2021 a。Xabadia等人。
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引用次数: 4
Emphasizing Distributional Impacts in Teaching Solutions to Market Failures 强调市场失灵解决方案教学中的分配影响
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000141
Sarah Stafford
This paper argues for incorporating distributional impacts into research and classroom discussions that focus on potential solutions to market failures. Many economists were taught to focus on the efficiency associated with such solutions and to assume that other means would be used to achieve the appropriate distribution of wealth within an economy. The paper briefly enumerates both theoretical and practical reasons why emphasizing distributional impacts is important. The paper offers a number of methods that can be used to identify distributional impacts in applied research such as Kaldor–Hick Tableaus, Lorenz Curves, Gini Coefficients, and weighted benefit–cost analysis and provides sample assignments that can be used in a wide range of classes.
本文主张将分配影响纳入研究和课堂讨论,重点关注市场失灵的潜在解决方案。许多经济学家被教导要把重点放在与这些解决方案相关的效率上,并假设可以使用其他手段来实现经济中财富的适当分配。本文简要列举了强调分配影响的重要性的理论和实践原因。本文提供了许多方法,可用于识别应用研究中的分布影响,如卡尔多 -希克表,洛伦兹曲线,基尼系数和加权效益 -成本分析,并提供了可用于广泛类别的样本分配。
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引用次数: 1
Defining Build-Back-Better after Disasters with an Example: Sri Lanka's Recovery after the 2004 Tsunami 以灾后重建为例:斯里兰卡在2004年海啸后的重建
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000122
Ilan Noy, D. D. Alwis, Benno Ferrarini, Donghyun Park
Defining Build-Back-Better after Disasters with an Example: Sri Lanka's Recovery after the 2004 Tsunami
定义灾后重建更好——以斯里兰卡2004年海啸后的复苏为例
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引用次数: 2
The Causal Relationship between Primary Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Israel: A Multivariate Approach 以色列一次能源消费与经济增长的因果关系:多元分析
IF 1.8 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000121
Cosimo Magazzino, N. Schneider
The Causal Relationship between Primary Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Israel: A Multivariate Approach
以色列一次能源消费与经济增长的因果关系:多元分析
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引用次数: 21
期刊
International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics
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