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Population structure and excess mortality among young men in the United States. 美国年轻男性的人口结构和过高死亡率。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-01-11 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2021.2021847
Robert Bozick

In this study I examine local variation in the timing and magnitude of the excess mortality hump, which is the period in adolescence and in young adulthood when mortality rates spike in young men due to an increase in risk-taking behaviors believed to result from a surge of testosterone production and subsequent aggressive, impulsive behaviors. Using an ecological framework and data on all-cause mortality in the United States between 2000 and 2018, I test the hypothesis that dimensions of the local population structure will exacerbate testosterone production and intraspecific competition among young men, which in turn leads to behaviors that elevate the risk of death. This hypothesis is supported by the data. I find that the age at the peak of the excess mortality hump is younger in counties where the sex ratio skews toward males and where population density is high. Additionally, I find that the overall magnitude of the peak of the excess mortality hump is greater in counties where the sex ratio skews toward males.

在这项研究中,我考察了超额死亡率驼峰的时间和幅度的地方差异。超额死亡率驼峰是指青春期和青年期,年轻男性的死亡率飙升,原因是据信是睾丸激素分泌激增和随后的攻击性、冲动行为导致的冒险行为增加。利用生态框架和2000年至2018年美国全因死亡率的数据,我检验了这样一个假设,即当地人口结构的维度会加剧睾丸激素的产生和年轻男性之间的种内竞争,从而导致提高死亡风险的行为。这个假设得到了数据的支持。我发现,在性别比例向男性倾斜且人口密度高的县,超额死亡率驼峰的峰值年龄更年轻。此外,我发现,在性别比例向男性倾斜的县,超额死亡率驼峰的总体幅度更大。
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引用次数: 0
The human sex ratio at birth and late fetal mortality: the Italian case. 人类出生性别比与晚期胎儿死亡率:意大利案例。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2021.1879627
Rosella Rettaroli, Francesco Scalone

This study explores the short-term relationships between sex ratio at birth and late fetal mortality in Italy from 1910 to 2016. As the leading scholars' attention traditionally focused on long-term trends and variations in the sex ratios at birth among different populations, less interest regarded short-term fluctuations as they were mainly seen as an effect of random variability. We detrended the national series of males proportion among live births and stillbirths by their medium-term component to consider the annual deviations from a normal trend. After controlling for fertility tendencies and wars effects, regression models seem to show the effects of stillbirth on the proportion of male newborns. A sensitivity analysis was also carried out to assess the effects of the perinatal deaths on the proportion of males at birth, combining stillbirths and early neonatal losses to control the possible misspecification between stillborn infants and early neonatal deaths. The significance of late fetal mortality reflects the mortality excess among male fetuses during the intrauterine life, showing evidence for the in utero hypothesis selection.

本研究探讨了意大利1910年至2016年出生性别比与晚期胎儿死亡率之间的短期关系。由于主要学者的注意力传统上集中在不同人口中出生性别比的长期趋势和变化上,对短期波动的关注较少,因为它们主要被视为随机变异性的影响。我们对全国范围内活产和死产中男性比例的中期组成部分进行了趋势分析,以考虑与正常趋势的年度偏差。在控制了生育趋势和战争的影响后,回归模型似乎显示了死产对男婴比例的影响。还进行了敏感性分析,以评估围产期死亡对出生时男性比例的影响,并结合死产和早期新生儿死亡来控制死产婴儿和早期新生儿死亡之间可能存在的错误描述。晚期胎儿死亡率的显著性反映了男性胎儿在宫内生活期间的死亡率过高,为子宫内假说选择提供了证据。
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引用次数: 4
The Chilean socio-ethno-genomic cline. 智利社会-民族-基因组变异。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2021.1879626
E Barozet, C Y Valenzuela, L Cifuentes, R A Verdugo, L Herrera, M Acuña, E Llop, M Moraga, S Berríos, A Di Genova, D Digman, A Symon, S Asenjo, P López, M L Bustamante, P Pezo-Valderrama, J Suazo, F Caba, M Villalón, S Alvarado, D Cáceres, K Salgado, P Portales, N Loira, A Maas

Studies of the current Chilean population performed using classical genetic markers have established that the Chilean population originated primarily from the admixture of European people, particularly Spaniards, and Amerindians. A socioeconomic-ethno-genetic cline was established soon after the conquest. Spaniards born in Spain or Chile occupied the highest Socioeconomic Strata, while Amerindians belonged to the lowest. The intermediate strata consisted of people with different degrees of ethnic admixture; the larger the European admixture, the higher the Socioeconomic Level. The present study of molecular genomic markers sought to calculate the percentage of Amerindian admixture and revealed a finer distribution of this cline, as well as differences between two Amerindian groups: Aymara and Mapuche. The use of two socioeconomic classifications - Class and Socioeconomic Level - reveals important differences. Furthermore, Self-reported Ethnicity (self-assignment to an ethnic group) and Self-reported Ancestry (self-recognition of Amerindian ancestors) show variations and differing relationships between socioeconomic classifications and genomic Amerindian Admixture. These data constitute a valuable input for the formulation of public healthcare policy and show that the notions of Ethnicity, Socioeconomic Strata and Class should always be a consideration in policy development.

使用经典遗传标记对当前智利人口进行的研究已经确定,智利人口主要起源于欧洲人,特别是西班牙人和美洲印第安人的混合。在征服之后不久,一个社会、经济、民族和基因的组合就建立起来了。出生在西班牙或智利的西班牙人占据了最高的社会经济阶层,而美洲印第安人则属于最低的社会经济阶层。中间阶层由不同程度的民族混合组成;欧洲混血儿越多,社会经济水平越高。目前的分子基因组标记研究试图计算美洲印第安混血儿的百分比,并揭示了这一谱系的更精细分布,以及两个美洲印第安人群体:艾马拉人和马普切人之间的差异。使用两种社会经济分类——阶级和社会经济水平——揭示了重要的差异。此外,自我报告的种族(自我分配到一个种族群体)和自我报告的祖先(自我承认美洲印第安人祖先)在社会经济分类和基因组美洲印第安人混合之间表现出差异和不同的关系。这些数据为制定公共保健政策提供了宝贵的投入,并表明在制定政策时应始终考虑种族、社会经济阶层和阶级的概念。
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引用次数: 6
Under-5 mortality and morbidity outcomes of fertility postponement in Turkey: explanations by observed and unobserved characteristics. 土耳其 5 岁以下儿童推迟生育的死亡率和发病率结果:观察到的和未观察到的特征的解释。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1821596
Ayşe Abbasoğlu Özgören, Banu Ergöçmen

This paper investigates the association between advanced maternal age and under-5 mortality and morbidity in Turkey, and is the first such study in the country to use a sibling comparison model to analyze this phenomenon. The study is based on data obtained from the 2013 Turkey Demographic and Health Survey, and analyzes the association of advanced maternal age with: (1) under-five mortality, using Cox proportional hazard models and their stratified versions to compare sibling groups born to the same mother in the 1978-2013 period, and (2) under-five morbidity; specifically, being born with low birth weight, stunting, underweight, and wasting based on between- and within-sibling groups models for the 2008-2013 period. Overall, our findings suggest that the hazard of under-5 mortality increases as maternal age increases. We conclude that period effects have failed to reverse the impeding effects of advanced maternal age on child mortality. Between-sibling group models indicate a positive but close to null association between advanced maternal age and child morbidity in general, although these positive associations vanish once we apply within-sibling group models. This result can be partially attributed to our controlling for unobserved characteristics specific to sibling groups, in addition to other methodological differences.

本文调查了土耳其高龄产妇与5岁以下儿童死亡率和发病率之间的关系,这是该国首次使用同胞比较模型分析这一现象的此类研究。该研究基于2013年土耳其人口与健康调查获得的数据,分析了高龄产妇与以下方面的关联:(1) 5 岁以下儿童死亡率,使用 Cox 比例危险模型及其分层模型来比较 1978-2013 年间同一母亲所生的兄弟姐妹组,以及 (2) 5 岁以下儿童发病率;具体而言,根据 2008-2013 年间兄弟姐妹组间模型和兄弟姐妹组内模型,分析出生时体重过低、发育迟缓、体重不足和消瘦的情况。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,5 岁以下儿童的死亡风险随着孕产妇年龄的增加而增加。我们的结论是,时期效应未能扭转高龄产妇对儿童死亡率的阻碍作用。同胞组间模型表明,高龄产妇与儿童发病率之间总体上存在正相关,但接近于零,不过一旦我们应用同胞组内模型,这种正相关就会消失。造成这一结果的部分原因是我们控制了同胞群体特有的未观察到的特征,此外还有其他方法上的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Social inequalities in accelerated aging among southern U.S. women: an analysis of the biosocial and behavioral pathways linking social determinants to telomere length. 美国南部妇女加速衰老的社会不平等:端粒长度与社会决定因素之间的生物社会和行为途径的分析。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1869918
Spencer Moore, Rekha Patel, Jason Stewart, Alexander C McLain, Sue Heiney

Few studies have examined the biosocial pathways linking socioeconomic status (SES) to accelerated aging in a population-based sample of southern US women. Even fewer have examined the importance of chronic compared to perceived stress in linking SES to women's salivary telomere length (STL). Using data from a probability-based sample of 156 US women and structural equation modeling, we examined three pathways - chronic stress exposure, stress appraisal, and coping behavior - linking SES to STL. SES was positively associated with STL (βTE = 0.16, p < .05). Everyday discrimination was negatively associated with STL (βDE = -0.21, p < .05), but perceived stress was positively associated with STL (βDE = 0.20, p < .05). Current smoking decreased STL (βDE = -0.19, p < .01). Perceived stress acted to suppress the negative relationship of chronic stress exposure on STL. Given the dearth of STL studies that include measures of both perceived and chronic stress, our study supports the importance of disentangling stress measures and a biosocial approach to the study of accelerated aging.

很少有研究在以人口为基础的美国南部妇女样本中检验了将社会经济地位(SES)与加速衰老联系起来的生物社会途径。甚至很少有人研究慢性压力与感知压力在SES与女性唾液端粒长度(STL)之间的关系中的重要性。利用156名美国女性的基于概率的样本数据和结构方程模型,我们研究了三种途径——慢性压力暴露、压力评估和应对行为——将SES与STL联系起来。SES与STL呈正相关(βTE = 0.16, p DE = -0.21, p DE = 0.20, p DE = -0.19, p
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引用次数: 0
Achieved educational attainment, inherited genetic endowment for education, and obesity. 受教育程度,遗传的教育禀赋,肥胖。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1869919
Yi Li, Tianji Cai, Hongyu Wang, Guang Guo

This study investigates two sources of education effects on obesity - achieved educational attainment and inherited genetic endowment for education. In doing so, we accomplish two goals. First, we assess the role of genetic confounding in the association between education and health. Second, we consider the heterogeneity in the extent to which genetic potential for education is realized, and we examine its impact on obesity. Data come from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health. Using a polygenic score approach, we find that, net of genetic confounding, holding a college degree is associated with a lower likelihood of obesity. Moreover, among individuals who hold a college degree, those with a high education polygenic score (a greater genetic propensity to succeed in education) are less likely to be obese than those with a relatively low education polygenic score. However, when individuals with a high education polygenic score do not have a college degree, their risk of obesity is similar to that of non-college-educated individuals with a low education polygenic score, suggesting that the effect of genetic endowment for education on obesity is conditional on college education.

本研究探讨了教育对肥胖影响的两个来源——教育成就和遗传的教育禀赋。这样做,我们实现了两个目标。首先,我们评估了遗传混淆在教育和健康之间的关联中的作用。其次,我们考虑了教育遗传潜力实现程度的异质性,并研究了其对肥胖的影响。数据来自全国青少年到成人健康纵向研究。使用多基因评分方法,我们发现,除去遗传混杂因素,拥有大学学位与较低的肥胖可能性相关。此外,在拥有大学学位的人中,教育多基因得分高的人(在教育上取得成功的遗传倾向更大)比教育多基因得分相对较低的人更不容易肥胖。然而,当教育多基因得分高的个体没有大学学历时,他们的肥胖风险与教育多基因得分低的非大学学历个体相似,这表明教育基因禀赋对肥胖的影响取决于大学教育程度。
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引用次数: 9
NDVI predicts birth seasonality in historical Baja California Sur, Mexico: adaptive responses to arid ecosystems and the North American Monsoon. NDVI预测历史上墨西哥下加利福尼亚南部的出生季节性:对干旱生态系统和北美季风的适应性反应。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1870924
Shane J Macfarlan, Ryan Schacht, Izabella Bourland, Savannah Kapp, Trevor Glad, Lauren Lewis, Spencer Claflin, Nathan Darmiento, Tanner Clegg, Cole Thorpe, Taylor Peppelar, R Grace Hall, Brian Nguyen, Connor A Davis, Melissa Santiago, Celeste Henrickson

Birth seasonality is a phenomenon whereby populations can be characterized by a single month or season in which births peak. While non-human animal research suggests that seasonal birth-pulses are related to variation in climate and local energy availability, social scientists debate the mechanisms responsible for it in humans. Here we investigate the role of precipitation, temperature, and energy availability on seasonal conception and birth pulses using a historical dataset from the Baja California peninsula - a hot, arid desert that experiences seasonal climatic fluctuations associated with the North American Monsoon. Analyses suggest that 1) local energy availability had a negative relationship with conception pulses; and 2) birth pulses had a positive relationship with local energy availability and a negative relationship with temperature. Taken together, our analyses suggest that women timed conceptions when local energy availability was lowest (challenging expectations of conception rates as simply reflecting ecological influences on female fecundity), so that children were born during the seasonal "green-up" associated with the North American Monsoon. Given our results, we speculate that birth seasonality represents a form of traditional ecological knowledge to improve neonate health and wellbeing.

出生季节性是一种现象,即人口可以以出生高峰的单个月或季节为特征。虽然对非人类动物的研究表明,季节性的出生脉冲与气候变化和当地能源供应有关,但社会科学家对人类产生这种情况的机制存在争议。在这里,我们使用来自下加利福尼亚半岛的历史数据集研究降水、温度和能量可用性对季节性受孕和生育脉冲的作用。下加利福尼亚半岛是一个炎热、干旱的沙漠,经历了与北美季风相关的季节性气候波动。分析表明:1)局部能量可用性与受孕脉冲呈负相关;2)出生脉冲与局部能量可用性呈正相关,与温度呈负相关。综上所示,我们的分析表明,女性在当地能量可用性最低的时候受孕(挑战了受孕率仅仅反映生态对女性繁殖力影响的预期),因此孩子出生在与北美季风相关的季节性“绿化”期间。鉴于我们的结果,我们推测,出生季节性代表了一种传统的生态知识,以改善新生儿的健康和福祉。
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引用次数: 5
Chapter 11: Biodemography Shorts 第十一章:人口统计学短片
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.1515/9780691186054-015
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引用次数: 0
Chapter 5: Population I: Basic Models 第5章:人口1:基本模型
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.1515/9780691186054-009
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引用次数: 0
Frontmatter
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI: 10.1515/9780691186054-fm
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引用次数: 0
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Biodemography and Social Biology
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