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In-utero determinants of adult depression: evidence from the 1918 flu pandemic. 成人抑郁症的子宫内决定因素:来自1918年流感大流行的证据。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1744424
Jason Schnittker

Social scientists have dealt only glancing with potential in-utero determinants of mental health. This study looks at the enduring consequences of gestational exposure to the 1918 flu pandemic for adult depression. It does so using data collected in the first wave of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1971-1975), corresponding to when those exposed in-utero were in their early to mid-50s. The results indicate very strong effects of in-utero exposure on depression. These effects are only found, however, among men. The effects are sufficiently large to eliminate sex differences in major depression within a cohort: among those born in 1919, the prevalence of major depression is about 1 in 5 for both men and women. Additional analyses further clarify the relationship, showing effects of in-utero exposure across the full spectrum and syndrome of depressive symptoms. In addition, the effects are stronger for symptoms related to depression than for symptoms related to schizophrenia. Additional analyses show that the effect of exposure is reduced somewhat when adjusting for later socioeconomic disadvantages. In addition, the effect is reduced when controlling for broader dimensions of physical health. Yet neither of these relationships explains the effects of exposure altogether.

社会科学家只是粗略地研究了子宫内心理健康的潜在决定因素。这项研究着眼于妊娠期暴露于1918年流感大流行对成年抑郁症的持久影响。该研究使用了1971-1975年第一波全国健康和营养检查调查(National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey)中收集的数据,这些数据对应于那些在子宫内受到辐射的人在50岁出头至55岁左右的年龄。结果表明,子宫内暴露对抑郁症的影响非常大。然而,这些影响只在男性中发现。其影响足以消除一个队列中重度抑郁症的性别差异:在1919年出生的人群中,男性和女性的重度抑郁症患病率约为五分之一。进一步的分析进一步阐明了这种关系,显示了子宫内暴露在全谱和抑郁症状综合症中的影响。此外,与精神分裂症相关的症状相比,与抑郁症相关的症状的效果更强。另外的分析表明,在调整了后来的社会经济劣势后,暴露的影响有所减少。此外,在控制身体健康的更广泛维度时,这种影响会降低。然而,这两种关系都不能完全解释暴露的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Correction. 修正。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-07-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-31 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2021.1985784
The News story ‘Mars contamination fear could divert Curiosity rover’ (Nature 537, 145–146; 2016) should have made it clear that the dark streaks near Curiosity are only ‘potential’ recurring slope lineae. And it should have said that the Murray formation — not the Murray Buttes — was formed from ancient lake sediments.
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引用次数: 0
Income dividends and subjective survival in a Cherokee Indian cohort: a quasi-experiment. 切罗基印第安人队列中的收入红利与主观生存:一项准实验。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1730155
Parvati Singh, Ryan Brown, William E Copeland, E Jane Costello, Tim A Bruckner

Persons with high temporal discounting tend to value immediate gratification over future gains. Low self-reported lifespan (SRL)-an individual's assessment of a relatively short future lifespan-concentrates in low-income populations and may reflect high temporal discounting. We use casino-based cash dividends among the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians (EBCI) as a quasi-experiment to test whether large income gains among EBCI members translate into increased SRL. We used SRL data for EBCI and White youth, aged 19 to 28, participating in two waves of the Life Time Trajectory of Youth (LTI-Y) survey from 2000 to 2010. We controlled for unobserved confounding across individuals, time, and region through a longitudinal design using a difference-in-difference analytic approach (N = 294). We conducted all analyses separately by gender and by quartile of socioeconomic status. Cash dividends correspond with a 15.23 year increase in SRL among EBCI men below the lowest socio-economic quartile at baseline relative to Whites (standard error = 5.39, p < .01). Results using other socio-economic cut-points support improved SRL among EBCI men (but not women). The large magnitude of this result among EBCI men indicates that a non-trivial cash dividend to a low-income population may confer long-term benefits on perceptions of future lifespan and, in turn, reduce temporal discounting.Abbreviations: EBCI: Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians; SES: Socioeconomic Status; LTI-Y: Life Trajectory Interview for Youth; GSMS: Great Smoky Mountains Study; SRL: Self-Reported Lifespan; SSS: Subjective Social Status.

时间折扣高的人倾向于重视眼前的满足,而不是未来的收益。低自我报告寿命(SRL)--个人对相对较短的未来寿命的评估--集中在低收入人群中,可能反映了高时间贴现。我们利用切罗基印第安人东部部落(EBCI)基于赌场的现金分红作为一个准实验,来检验切罗基印第安人东部部落成员的巨额收入收益是否会转化为 SRL 的增加。我们使用了 EBCI 和白人青年的 SRL 数据,这些青年的年龄在 19 至 28 岁之间,参加了 2000 年至 2010 年的两波 "青年生命轨迹"(LTI-Y)调查。我们通过纵向设计,采用差分分析方法(N = 294),控制了不同个体、时间和地区的非观察混杂因素。我们按性别和社会经济地位四分位数分别进行了所有分析。与白人相比,基线社会经济地位处于最低四分位数以下的 EBCI 男性的 SRL 增加了 15.23 年(标准误差 = 5.39,P 缩写:缩写:EBCI:切罗基印第安人东部部落;SES:社会经济地位;LTI-Y:LTI-Y;LTI-Y:LTI-Y:LTI-Y:青少年生活轨迹访谈;GSMS:大烟山研究;SRL:SSS:主观社会地位。
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引用次数: 0
Weight and economic development: current net nutrition in the late 19th- and early 20th-century United States. 体重和经济发展:19世纪末和20世纪初美国目前的净营养状况。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2019.1681258
Scott Alan Carson

When traditional measures for material and economic welfare are scarce or unreliable, height and the body mass index (BMI) are now widely accepted measures that represent cumulative and current net nutrition in development studies. However, as the ratio of weight to height, BMI does not fully isolate the effects of current net nutrition. After controlling for height as a measure for current net nutrition, this study uses the weight of a sample of international men in US prisons. Throughout the late 19th- and early-20th centuries, individuals with darker complexions had greater weights than individuals with fairer complexions. Mexican and Asian populations in the US had lower weights and reached shorter statures. Black and white weights stagnated throughout the late 19th- and early-20th centuries. Agricultural workers' had greater weights than workers in other occupations.

在物质和经济福利的传统衡量标准缺乏或不可靠的情况下,身高和身体质量指数(BMI)现在被广泛接受为发展研究中代表累积和当前净营养的衡量标准。然而,作为体重与身高的比值,BMI并不能完全隔离当前净营养的影响。在控制身高作为当前净营养的衡量标准后,这项研究使用了美国监狱中国际男性的体重样本。在整个19世纪末和20世纪初,肤色较深的人比肤色较白的人体重更重。在美国的墨西哥人和亚洲人体重较低,身高较矮。在整个19世纪末和20世纪初,黑人和白人的体重一直停滞不前。农业工人的体重高于其他职业的工人。
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引用次数: 0
Marriage dynamics in old Lower California: ecological constraints and reproductive value in an arid peninsular frontier. 旧下加利福尼亚的婚姻动态:干旱半岛边界的生态约束和生殖价值。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1728685
Shane J Macfarlan, Ryan Schacht, Caroline Foley, Sydney Cahoon, Grace Osusky, Kenneth B Vernon, Evan Tayler, Celeste Henrickson, Eric Schniter

It is commonly expected that natural selection will favor earlier reproduction, yet ecological constraints can force people to delay marriage. Furthermore, humans demonstrate sex-specific preferences in marriage partners - with grooms normally a few years older than their brides; however, the age at which individuals marry can influence the spousal age gap. We investigate factors influencing age at first marriage and age difference at marriage using nineteenth-century historical demographic data from Baja California Sur, Mexico. Analyses suggest ecological constraints affected male, but not female, age at first marriage. Males who migrated from their natal community and who married in communities whose primary economic activity was agriculture experienced delayed age at first marriage. The age at which females first married increased over time causing a reduction in the age gap between spouses. Furthermore, the spousal age gap showed sex-specific effects: women who married early in life were much younger than their husbands, while women who married late in life were older than their husbands, suggesting that variation in female reproductive value influenced mate choice. Males, on the other hand, who married late in life showed a preference for marrying much younger females, indicating preferences for females with high reproductive value.

人们普遍认为,自然选择将有利于早期繁殖,然而生态限制可能迫使人们推迟结婚。此外,人类对婚姻伴侣的性别偏好也有所不同——新郎通常比新娘大几岁;然而,个人结婚的年龄会影响配偶的年龄差距。我们利用墨西哥下加利福尼亚南部19世纪的历史人口统计数据调查了影响初婚年龄和结婚年龄差异的因素。分析表明,生态限制影响了男性的初婚年龄,而不是女性。从出生社区迁出并在以农业为主要经济活动的社区结婚的男性初婚年龄推迟。女性首次结婚的年龄随着时间的推移而增加,导致配偶之间的年龄差距缩小。此外,配偶年龄差距表现出性别差异的影响:早婚的妇女比丈夫年轻得多,而晚婚的妇女比丈夫年长,这表明女性生殖价值的差异影响了配偶选择。另一方面,晚婚的男性则更喜欢娶年轻得多的女性,这表明他们更喜欢生育价值高的女性。
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引用次数: 6
Role of proximate determinants in recent and past fertility stalls in Bangladesh. 孟加拉国最近和过去生育率停滞的直接决定因素的作用。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2019.1683713
Md Mahfuzur Rahman

The two fertility stalls that occurred in Bangladesh emerged as substantial barriers in controlling its burgeoning vast population. The first stall occurred during 1996-2000 in the mid-transition of fertility, while the second stall occurred during the recent period 2011-2014 in the late transition of fertility. This article explores the role of proximate determinants in those stalls by using the data of Bangladesh Demographic and Health Surveys. Data have been analyzed using proximate determinants model and a descriptive analysis technique. Findings show that contraceptive use and induced abortion are the main drivers of fertility transition in Bangladesh. Both stalls in Bangladesh are found to be associated with a stall in induced abortion. In addition, declining postpartum infecundability plays a vital role in setting first stall. At the end of this stall, composition of contraceptive use is also found less efficient. While, declining fertility-inhibiting effect of marriage and a marginal increase in contraceptive use are the additional factors that play key roles in setting second stall. The mixture of contraceptive use shows a shift to a more efficient composition in the recent years. Change in the timing of birth does not show any consistent link with any of the fertility stalls.

孟加拉国发生的两次生育停滞成为控制其迅速增长的庞大人口的重大障碍。第一次失速发生在1996-2000年生育率过渡中期,第二次失速发生在2011-2014年生育率过渡后期。本文利用孟加拉国人口和健康调查的数据,探讨了这些摊位的近似决定因素的作用。数据分析使用近似决定因素模型和描述性分析技术。调查结果表明,避孕药具的使用和人工流产是孟加拉国生育过渡的主要驱动因素。孟加拉国的两个摊位都被发现与人工流产摊位有关。此外,产后不孕率的下降对第一胎的设置起着至关重要的作用。在这一阶段结束时,避孕措施的使用组合也发现效率较低。同时,婚姻对生育抑制作用的下降和避孕药具使用的边际增加是设置第二失速的关键因素。近年来,避孕药具的混合使用显示出向更有效的组合的转变。出生时间的变化并没有显示出与生育停滞有任何一致的联系。
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引用次数: 2
The pandemic of 1918 and the heart disease epidemic in middle-aged men and women in the United States. 1918年的大流行和美国中年男性和女性的心脏病流行。
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2019.1689352
Stephen Blanchard, Benjamin Spencer Bradshaw, John R Herbold, David W Smith

Members of birth cohorts who were alive in 1918 and survived the influenza pandemic were likely to have been "primed" for heart disease in later life. We examine the hypothesis that the twentieth-century heart disease epidemic was a cohort effect reflecting the changing susceptibility composition of the population.We estimated heart disease death rates by single years of age for cohorts born in 1860-1949. We prepared age-specific rates for calendar years 1900-2016, as well as age-standardized cohort and calendar year rates.Males born in 1880-1919 contributed 90 per cent to 100 per cent of all heart disease deaths among males aged 40-64 from 1940 to 1959, when the heart disease epidemic was at its peak. There was no heart disease epidemic among females aged 40-64. Death from heart disease in females tends to occur at older ages.Cigarette smoking, unemployment, and other factors may have played a role in the heart disease epidemic in men and would have interacted with injury from influenza, but our results suggest that having been alive at the time of the 1918 influenza pandemic probably played an important role.

出生在1918年并在流感大流行中幸存下来的人很可能在以后的生活中“准备好”患上心脏病。我们检验了这样一个假设,即20世纪的心脏病流行是一种反映人群易感性组成变化的队列效应。我们对1860-1949年出生的人群按年龄划分的心脏病死亡率进行了估计。我们准备了1900-2016日历年的特定年龄比率,以及年龄标准化队列和日历年比率。在1940年至1959年心脏病流行高峰期间,1880-1919年出生的男性占40-64岁男性因心脏病死亡人数的90%至100%。40 ~ 64岁女性无心脏病流行。女性死于心脏病的年龄往往较大。吸烟、失业和其他因素可能在男性心脏病流行中发挥了作用,并可能与流感造成的伤害相互作用,但我们的研究结果表明,在1918年流感大流行期间活着可能起了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
INDEX 指数
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-01-07 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvkjb4n8.22
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引用次数: 0
Biodemography Shorts 生态统计学短裤
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-01-07 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvkjb4n8.16
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引用次数: 0
Applied Demography II: 应用人口学II:
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-01-07 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvkjb4n8.15
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Biodemography and Social Biology
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