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Threshold effect in the relationship between external debt and energy access in sub-Saharan African countries: A dynamic panel threshold specification 撒哈拉以南非洲国家外债与能源获取之间关系的阈值效应:动态面板阈值规范
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100024
Taha Zaghdoudi

This paper investigates the relationship between external debt and energy access in the Sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1999–2021. Results from the dynamic panel threshold method indicates that the link between external debt and energy access is nonlinear. Moreover, the findings reveal a statistically negative relationship between external debt and energy access above the threshold of 5.04 %, beyond which external debt reduces energy access in SSA countries. Besides, results indicate that economic growth and trade openness enhance access to electricity. However, renewable energy consumption decreases energy access. This paper upholds the view that external debt should be kept to a reasonable level in order to avert the opposite effect on energy access.

本文研究了 1999-2021 年间撒哈拉以南非洲国家的外债与能源获取之间的关系。动态面板阈值法的结果表明,外债与能源获取之间的关系是非线性的。此外,研究结果表明,在 5.04%的临界值以上,外债与能源获取之间在统计上呈负相关,超过这一临界值,外债会降低撒哈拉以南非洲国家的能源获取。此外,研究结果表明,经济增长和贸易开放度提高了电力供应。然而,可再生能源消费会降低能源获取率。本文认为,外债应保持在合理的水平,以避免对能源获取产生相反的影响。
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引用次数: 0
External debt crisis & socio-economic fallout: Evidence from the BRICS nations 外债危机与社会经济影响:金砖国家的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100029
Ajaz Ayoub , Tahir Ahmad Wani , Abid Sultan

This paper aims to investigate how external debt influences selected socio-economic variables in a sample of the five biggest emerging nations of the world, i.e., the BRICS block from 1996 to 2020. The data was found to have cross-sectional dependence, which was addressed by using second-generation unit root tests of CIPS and CADF. Cross-sectional dependence was further effectively addressed using the techniques of FMOLS. The study uses the ARDL models to achieve the desired objective. Dumitrescu Hurlin’s (DH) panel causality analysis was adopted to analyze the variables' causality. The study found that, in the long run, External Debt has a positive impact on Unemployment and Life Expectancy while it has a negative impact on Net National Income. The results are also consistent in the short run, except in the case of unemployment, which has been shown to reduce with an increase in the external debt component of the country.

本文旨在研究 1996 年至 2020 年期间,外债如何影响世界五大新兴国家(即金砖五国)的选定社会经济变量。通过使用 CIPS 和 CADF 的第二代单位根检验,发现数据具有横截面依赖性。使用 FMOLS 技术进一步有效地解决了横截面依赖性问题。本研究使用 ARDL 模型来实现预期目标。采用 Dumitrescu Hurlin(DH)面板因果关系分析法来分析变量的因果关系。研究发现,从长期来看,外债对失业率和预期寿命有积极影响,而对国民净收入有消极影响。这些结果在短期内也是一致的,但失业率除外,失业率随着国家外债的增加而降低。
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引用次数: 0
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100003
Muzamil Farooq
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引用次数: 0
Regional disparity in energy poverty: A spatial analysis of Odisha 能源贫困的地区差异:奥迪沙邦的空间分析
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100056
Deepak Panda , Rudra P. Pradhan

Energy poverty is one of the major deprivations that has direct effect on the well-being of a household at micro level. At macro level, it also has significant effect and hinders the sustainable development of a nation. The binary measurement, commonly used to identify the energy poor population, has major drawbacks as it only takes accessibility of the services into consideration, whereas, in the contemporary period more emphasis should be on the affordability, quality, reliability and legal implications of energy services. The present study, therefore, tries to estimate the energy poverty condition by following a multi-dimensional approach and also tries to identify the actual energy poor by analysing the spatial disparity prevalent in the state of Odisha. A multidimensional framework is used to capture different aspects of energy provisioning at household level and an energy poverty index is constructed by assigning equal weights for the parameters. Spatial disparity is measured by considering proxies for the social parameters and following Gini’s coefficient of disparity measurement. The results indicated persistence of disparity in energy poverty at regional, inter and intra-district levels.

在微观层面,能源贫困是直接影响家庭福祉的主要贫困之一。在宏观层面上,它也会产生重大影响,阻碍一个国家的可持续发展。通常用于确定能源贫困人口的二元衡量方法存在很大缺陷,因为它只考虑了服务的可获得性,而在当代,应更加重视能源服务的可负担性、质量、可靠性和法律影响。因此,本研究试图采用多维方法来估算能源贫困状况,并通过分析奥迪沙邦普遍存在的空间差异来确定实际的能源贫困人口。多维框架用于捕捉家庭层面能源供应的不同方面,并通过为参数分配相同权重来构建能源贫困指数。通过考虑社会参数的代用指标,并采用基尼系数来衡量空间差异。结果表明,在地区、地区间和地区内各级,能源贫困的差距持续存在。
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引用次数: 0
Transportation, employment and gender norms: Evidence from Indian cities 交通、就业和性别规范:印度城市的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100060
Arun Balachandran , Sonalde Desai

While India’s low female labor force participation in urban areas is often attributed to its demographic and labor market characteristics, education, and cultural aspects, attention is not paid to the labor market opportunity structure limiting women’s labor market participation. We examine the role of transport infrastructure in gender-gap in labor force participation and its variations by gender-norms across communities. Using India Human Development Survey and city-level data on transport infrastructure, the causal effects of differential employment status of women and men are related to size and quality of transport in twelve Indian cities. Interaction effects are explored to understand varying impacts of transport on employment by gender-context in communities. We find that an improvement in the size and quality of transportation infrastructure improves women’s labor market participation more than that of men. In gender egalitarian communities, stronger positive effect of transport on female labor and reduction of gender gap in employment. Along with generation of new job opportunities suitable for women, it is important to encourage a gender-friendly institutional and social fabric to allow women to connect to new jobs. Using a novel data, the paper highlights the importance of ostensibly gender-neutral development policies for shaping gender inequalities in outcomes.

印度城市地区女性劳动力参与率较低,这通常归因于其人口和劳动力市场特征、教育和文化方面,但限制女性参与劳动力市场的劳动力市场机会结构却未受到重视。我们研究了交通基础设施在劳动力参与的性别差距中的作用及其在不同社区的性别规范差异。利用印度人类发展调查和城市一级的交通基础设施数据,研究了印度 12 个城市的交通规模和质量对男女就业状况差异的因果影响。我们还探讨了交互效应,以了解不同社区的性别背景下交通对就业的不同影响。我们发现,交通基础设施规模和质量的改善对女性劳动力市场参与度的提高要大于男性。在性别平等的社区,交通对女性劳动力的积极影响更大,就业中的性别差距也有所缩小。在创造适合女性的新工作机会的同时,还必须鼓励建立性别友好的制度和社会结构,使女性能够获得新的工作机会。本文利用新颖的数据,强调了表面上不分性别的发展政策对于形成性别不平等结果的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding geographical variability of women's alcohol prevalence in India using spatial regression models: Evidence from national representative survey 利用空间回归模型了解印度妇女酗酒率的地域差异:来自全国代表性调查的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100040
Subham Roy , Suranjan Majumder , Arghadeep Bose , Indrajit Roy Chowdhury

Alcohol consumption among women in India is a complicated phenomenon driven by several determining variables and demonstrating clear regional patterns throughout the country. The study examines district-level disparities in women's alcohol prevalence (WAP) in India using recent NFHS-5 data from 2021. This study used exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) techniques like local Moran’s I statistics and bivariate local indicators of spatial association (BiLISA) to illustrate spatial patterns of the specified variables and pinpoint probable lagging regions. Besides, global models such as ordinary least squares (OLS), spatial lag models (SLM), and spatial error models (SEM) were used to grasp an overview of explanatory factors and alcohol prevalence at global levels. Further, geographically weighted regression (GWR) was employed locally to capture the determinants' spatial fluctuations. The results indicate significant clustering patterns among the predictors exhibiting the existence of spatial autocorrelation. The analysis also reveals that marginalized populations contribute to higher alcohol consumption among women, as evidenced by the clustering patterns. The study highlights the spatial disparities and factors influencing WAP in India, providing insights for targeted interventions and policy-making at the local level.

印度妇女的酒精消费是一个复杂的现象,受多个决定性变量的影响,并在全国范围内呈现出明显的地区模式。本研究利用 2021 年最新的 NFHS-5 数据,研究了印度地区一级妇女饮酒率(WAP)的差异。本研究使用了探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)技术,如本地莫兰 I 统计量和空间关联的二元本地指标(BiLISA),以说明特定变量的空间模式,并确定可能的滞后地区。此外,还使用了普通最小二乘法(OLS)、空间滞后模型(SLM)和空间误差模型(SEM)等全球模型,以掌握全球层面的解释因素和酒精流行率概况。此外,还在局部地区采用了地理加权回归(GWR)来捕捉决定因素的空间波动。结果表明,预测因素之间存在明显的聚类模式,表明存在空间自相关性。分析还显示,边缘化人口导致妇女饮酒量增加,聚类模式也证明了这一点。这项研究强调了印度的空间差异和影响 WAP 的因素,为地方一级有针对性的干预措施和政策制定提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Active Labor Market Policies and instability of their allocations: A changing relationship in the case of regions of Tunisia 积极的劳动力市场政策及其分配的不稳定性:突尼斯各地区不断变化的关系
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100026
Marwa Sahnoun , Chokri Abdennadher

Evaluation studies focus exclusively on the impact of Active Labor Market Policies (ALMP) on the functioning of the labor market. In particular, they measure the impact of specific programs on the income and future of target groups. Studies that aim to assess the impact of ALMPs as a whole on the overall performance of the labor market remain quite rare. Evaluation studies do not focus on the design and implementation of ALMPs. Little is known about the factors behind the failure or success of ALMPs. This paper addresses this problem by examining how a factor relating to the instability of ALMP and their associated budgetary allocations leads to ineffective ALMPs in a regional context. Based on dynamic panel regression models for a sample of 24 governorates in Tunisia grouped into 7 regions. over the period from 2005 to 2015, we found that ALMPs are effective in reducing the unemployment rate. In addition, by testing the moderating effect of the instability of ALMPs, we show that this instability is very harmful insofar as the link between ALMPs and the unemployment rate is attenuated.

评估研究只关注积极劳动力市场政策(ALMP)对劳动力市场运作的影响。特别是,它们衡量特定计划对目标群体的收入和未来的影响。旨在评估积极劳动力市场政策作为一个整体对劳动力市场整体表现的影响的研究仍然相当罕见。评估研究并不关注 ALMP 的设计和实施。人们对 ALMP 失败或成功背后的因素知之甚少。本文针对这一问题,研究了与 ALMP 及其相关预算分配的不稳定性有关的因素是如何导致 ALMP 在地区范围内失效的。基于 2005 年至 2015 年期间突尼斯 7 个大区 24 个省样本的动态面板回归模型,我们发现 ALMP 能有效降低失业率。此外,通过检验 ALMPs 不稳定性的调节作用,我们发现这种不稳定性非常有害,因为 ALMPs 与失业率之间的联系被削弱了。
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引用次数: 0
Coping with urban flooding: A community portrayal of Bardhhaman Town, West Bengal, India 应对城市洪水:印度西孟加拉邦 Bardhhaman 镇的社区写照
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100020
Soumita Banerjee , Gupinath Bhandari

The majority of flooding in cities occurs while raining because of the cities' uncontrolled growth of population and their pattern of settlements, haphazardly sprawling urbanization, their inadequate and faulty drainage, and also due to absence of scientific waste management. A proper example of these factors playing together might be in the town of Bardhhaman, the only Class-I town in the District of East Bardhhaman, living with both the River Banka in the North-Central section and the River Damodar in the Southern part. But the town gets often partially water stagnated not due to these rivers flooding, rather turning one of the rivers (Banka) in to a dump yard along with other drainage networks. And this scenario is being continuously worsened by the citizens who were supposed to things make better. The methodology chosen for the study includes semi-structured interviews, focused group discussions (FGD), and observational analyses during the field with respondents. The nine groups of citizens and two groups of Municipal workers from varied parts of the Municipality were selected based on certain demographic and socio-economic criteria but the incidents of water inundation of the citizens played an important role while sorting the groups. These outcomes of the interactions have been put for a thematic analysis using QDA Miner Lite 4.0 (14 day trial version) and plotted in PAST 4.03(shareware) and MS- Excel (2017) for graphical representations. This article seeks an improved comprehension of the flooding scenario from the perspective of individuals, and so argues for a shift in the Municipal Authority's and citizens' conceptions. During the survey, the discrepancy between the municipality's policy framework and the actual reality became clear--this is where a decentralized method of policies thought to appear as essential. So, this paper would portray the scenario of urban flooding keeping community in the center of discussion.

城市中的大部分洪涝灾害都是在下雨时发生的,原因是城市人口及其居住模式的无节制增长、杂乱无章的城市化扩张、排水系统的不足和缺陷,以及缺乏科学的废物管理。巴德哈曼镇就是这些因素共同作用的一个恰当例子,该镇是东巴德哈曼区唯一的一级镇,中北部与班卡河相邻,南部与达莫达尔河相邻。但该镇经常出现部分积水的情况,不是因为这些河流泛滥,而是其中一条河流(班卡河)与其他排水管网一起变成了垃圾场。本应使情况好转的居民却使这种情况不断恶化。本研究选择的方法包括半结构式访谈、焦点小组讨论(FGD)和实地观察分析。根据一定的人口和社会经济标准,从该市不同地区挑选了九组市民和两组市政工作人员,但市民的淹水事件在分组时也发挥了重要作用。我们使用 QDA Miner Lite 4.0(14 天试用版)对这些互动结果进行了专题分析,并在 PAST 4.03(共享软件)和 MS- Excel(2017)中绘制了图表。本文试图从个人的角度来更好地理解洪灾情况,因此主张市政当局和市民转变观念。在调查过程中,市政当局的政策框架与实际情况之间的差异变得非常明显--这正是分散政策方法显得至关重要的地方。因此,本文将以社区为讨论中心,描绘城市内涝的情景。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic inequalities and their impact on children's health and nutrition in Tunisia using generalized entropy measures 利用广义熵值衡量突尼斯社会经济不平等及其对儿童健康和营养的影响
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100034
Anis Ochi , Yosra Saidi

This paper aims to investigate the drivers of inequality of opportunity in health outcome among children below 5 years of age, using the Tunisian 2018 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. This study adopts the general entropy measures to examine the pattern of child health inequality. The results of the anthropometric measures show that 1.5% of children in Tunisia are underweight, 8.3% are stunting and 2.1% are wasting. The results of generalized entropy measures indicate that the general disparity in child health is low across demographic characteristics. Inequality of opportunity in Tunisia is particularly high in access to health services between regions. The results also show that geographical location, parental education and wealth are the main factors contributing to inequality of opportunity in child health outcome. On the basis of the results, this research suggests several policy recommendations.

本文旨在利用突尼斯 2018 年多指标类集调查,研究 5 岁以下儿童健康结果机会不平等的驱动因素。本研究采用一般熵计量法来考察儿童健康不平等的模式。人体测量结果显示,突尼斯有 1.5% 的儿童体重不足,8.3% 的儿童发育迟缓,2.1% 的儿童消瘦。广义熵测量结果表明,不同人口特征的儿童健康总体差距较小。突尼斯各地区在获得医疗服务方面的机会不平等尤为严重。结果还显示,地理位置、父母教育程度和财富是造成儿童健康结果机会不平等的主要因素。根据研究结果,本研究提出了若干政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Public debt, investment and economic growth dynamics: Do geographical proximity and spatial spillover effects matter? 公共债务、投资和经济增长动态:地理邻近性和空间溢出效应重要吗?
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100059
Bunde Aggrey Otieno

This study employed an innovative spatial econometrics approach to analyze the spillover effects of foreign public debt and foreign direct investment (FDI) on regional economic growth dynamics of Eastern Africa. Specifically, we utilize Spatial Durbin Fixed Effect (SDM-FE) Model, drawing on balanced panel data from the World Development Indicators (WDI) for the period 1992–2019. This study contributes by utilizing a spatial weight matrix and investigating its interactions with economic growth and various other macro-regional factors, thereby unveiling the presence of spatial spillover effects and the impact of geographical proximity of countries within the region. Our results indicate that foreign public debt, FDI, gross fixed capital formation, human capital development, inflation, and government expenditure, significantly have spatial spillover effects on regional economic growth. Additionally, the results underscore the presence of regional growth divergence and provide further evidence of substantial regional spatial dependence in economic growth. Based on these outcomes, it is evident that foreign public debt has a negative impact on economic growth, which is consistent with the debt overhang theory and the crowding-out hypothesis. Moreover, the foreign public debt and regional growth policies should be devised considering the geographical interconnectedness between countries in the region, as the research output has revealed the impacts of growth and debt spillovers among the countries studied. Policies that prioritize these objectives would promote long-term regional economic growth and prevent the effects of excessive foreign public debt by creating a favorable macroeconomic climate.

本研究采用创新的空间计量经济学方法,分析外国公共债务和外国直接投资(FDI)对东非地区经济增长动态的溢出效应。具体而言,我们利用空间杜宾固定效应模型(SDM-FE),借鉴了世界发展指标(WDI)1992-2019 年的平衡面板数据。本研究通过利用空间权重矩阵并调查其与经济增长和其他各种宏观区域因素的相互作用,从而揭示了空间溢出效应的存在以及区域内国家地理邻近性的影响。我们的研究结果表明,外债、外国直接投资、固定资本形成总额、人力资本发展、通货膨胀和政府支出对区域经济增长具有显著的空间溢出效应。此外,研究结果还强调了区域增长分化的存在,并进一步证明了经济增长的区域空间依赖性。根据这些结果可以看出,外国公共债务对经济增长有负面影响,这与债务悬置理论和挤出假说是一致的。此外,由于研究成果揭示了所研究国家之间增长和债务溢出效应的影响,因此在制定外国公共债务和区域增长政策时应考虑到区域内国家之间的地理关联性。优先考虑这些目标的政策将促进长期的区域经济增长,并通过创造有利的宏观经济环境来防止过度外债的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science Policy and Practice
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