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Decrypting the triad of climate policies, macroeconomic interdependencies and quantitative modelling: A literature review on quantifying climate risks 破解气候政策、宏观经济相互依存关系和定量建模的三重关系:量化气候风险的文献综述
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100229
Markus Vogl , Milena Kojić , Stephan Schlüter
This structured keyword-based meta-analysis reviews the estimation of climate risk factors and their economic impact in the recent literature between 2009 and 2025. Via examining existing research we are able to extract core statements, critical success and risk factors, considered data sets, implemented quantitative methods, and core empirical results. This allows us to identify current state-of-the-art topics and methodologies. Furthermore, we identify three major interrelated pillars, namely, policy-level considerations, macroeconomic effect chains paired with market-level dynamics, and quantitative modelling methodologies. According to the analysed research articles, a comprehensive understanding of at least two of these pillars is essential for effectively identifying, controlling, and modelling climate risk. This, in turn, helps to develop political strategies for mitigating climate change, which is displayed as a comprehensive triad model that can serve as a didactical basis for policy-decision making.
这一结构化的基于关键词的荟萃分析回顾了2009年至2025年间近期文献中对气候风险因素及其经济影响的估计。通过检查现有研究,我们能够提取核心陈述,关键成功和风险因素,考虑数据集,实施定量方法和核心实证结果。这使我们能够确定当前最先进的主题和方法。此外,我们确定了三个相互关联的主要支柱,即政策层面的考虑,与市场层面动态相匹配的宏观经济效应链,以及定量建模方法。根据分析的研究文章,全面了解这些支柱中的至少两个对于有效识别、控制和模拟气候风险至关重要。这反过来又有助于制定缓解气候变化的政治战略,这是一个全面的三重模型,可以作为政策决策的教学基础。
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引用次数: 0
Physical infrastructure development in cyclone preparedness strategy: An assessment in the cyclone prone blocks of West Bengal, India 飓风准备战略中的物质基础设施发展:对印度西孟加拉邦飓风易发地区的评估
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100231
Sripurna Kanjilal , Gupinath Bhandari
Cyclones cause loss of lives and damage to properties in India every year. West Bengal is among the most cyclone prone states in India. Multipurpose cyclone shelters (MPCS) are government funded community buildings built to protect the local inhabitants and their livestock during cyclones and form an important part of coastal resilient infrastructure. The study evaluates the preparedness to cyclones in respect to existing infrastructural facilities, mainly MPCS, high schools, healthcare centres, road infrastructure and administrative institutions in five coast adjacent blocks of Purba Medinipur district. 341 respondents belonging to 118 randomly selected households were surveyed. The distribution of the MPCS have been evaluated by using Nearest Neighbour Analysis. The locations of the existing cyclone shelters have been analysed based on their mean centre of population, indicating a non-equitable distribution of the MPCS. The Uniformity of distribution and Degree of Demand of selected existing infrastructure have also been calculated. The MPCS of community development block Ramnagar I are geometrically uniform; the ones at Khejuri II and Ramnagar II are clustered and dispersed respectively. Only 21 % of the vulnerable population have reasonable access to MPCS during the disaster periods; thus leaving 79 % more susceptible to the cyclone hazards. Quite satisfactorily, 83 % of the vulnerable population have access to healthcare facility during the difficult times. This study deciphers the shortcomings of the existing infrastructure in disaster risk reduction. Addressing these may lead to a more holistic disaster preparedness planning of the coastal community.
印度每年都有飓风造成人员伤亡和财产损失。西孟加拉邦是印度最容易受到飓风袭击的邦之一。多功能飓风避难所是政府资助的社区建筑,用于在飓风期间保护当地居民及其牲畜,是沿海抗灾基础设施的重要组成部分。该研究评估了Purba Medinipur县五个沿海相邻街区的现有基础设施(主要是MPCS、高中、保健中心、道路基础设施和行政机构)对飓风的防范情况。随机抽取118户341名回答者进行了调查。利用最近邻分析方法对MPCS的分布进行了评价。现有避风塘的位置已根据其平均人口中心进行分析,结果显示避风塘的分布并不公平。并对选定的现有基础设施的分布均匀性和需求程度进行了计算。社区发展街区Ramnagar I的MPCS在几何上是均匀的;Khejuri II和Ramnagar II分别为聚集和分散。只有21% %的弱势群体在灾害期间能够合理地获得MPCS;因此,79 %更容易受到飓风的危害。令人满意的是,83% %的弱势人口在困难时期能够获得医疗保健设施。本研究揭示了现有基础设施在减少灾害风险方面的不足。解决这些问题可能会导致沿海社区制定更全面的备灾规划。
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引用次数: 0
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100228
William Ridley
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引用次数: 0
Exploring cognitive differences in prospective entrepreneurs: An analysis using propensity score matching 探索潜在企业家的认知差异:使用倾向得分匹配的分析
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100230
Ljiljan Veselinovic , Mirza Kulenovic
Understanding the cognitive perspective is regarded as highly useful to the field of entrepreneurship. This study aims to understand the cognitive differences between individuals who wish to start their own business and those who do not, as well as those who started a business and those who have not engaged in entrepreneurship. Additionally, the analysis looks into whether these two groups have differences in business knowledge (BK) and active open-minded thinking (AOT). To ensure robust comparability between the two cohorts, we use propensity score matching (PSM) techniques, along with a range of covariates such as age, gender, education, income, the degree of optimism, the fear of failure, and the importance of belonging to the family. By analyzing data collected through surveys, we aim to uncover differences in cognitive dimensions that may influence entrepreneurial intention. The findings of this research study have implications for understanding the factors that contribute to entrepreneurial aspirations in order to provide valuable information for policy-informing. The paper can help develop tailored interventions aimed at fostering entrepreneurial ecosystems.
理解认知视角被认为对创业领域非常有用。本研究旨在了解希望创业和不希望创业的个体,以及已经创业和没有创业经历的个体之间的认知差异。此外,分析还考察了这两个群体在商业知识(BK)和积极开放思维(AOT)方面是否存在差异。为了确保两个队列之间的可比性,我们使用了倾向得分匹配(PSM)技术,以及一系列协变量,如年龄、性别、教育程度、收入、乐观程度、对失败的恐惧以及家庭归属感的重要性。通过分析调查收集的数据,我们旨在揭示可能影响创业意向的认知维度的差异。本研究的发现对理解企业家愿望的影响因素具有启示意义,从而为政策制定提供有价值的信息。这篇论文可以帮助制定针对性的干预措施,旨在培育创业生态系统。
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引用次数: 0
IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100224
Abdul Shaban
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引用次数: 0
IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100225
Muzamil Farooq
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing regional development through smart cities: A case study of Lucknow city, India 通过智慧城市优化区域发展:以印度勒克瑙市为例
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100226
Arun Pratap Mishra , Subhash Anand , Amit Kumar Batar
The integration of peri-urban areas into smart city initiatives is crucial for addressing regional inequalities and fostering inclusive urban development. In the context of India’s rapid urbanization, peri-urban regions often remain neglected despite their critical role in supporting urban growth and development. This study aims to delineate peri-urban areas in Lucknow City, assess their socio-economic development, and establish links between smart city components and peri-urban transformation. For this purpose, the study utilized Indian Census data, LANDSAT 8 satellite imagery, and primary survey responses. Methodologies included Land Use Land Cover (LULC) analysis, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and the Peri-Urban Development Index (PUDI). The findings reveal that most peri-urban settlements fall within low to medium development categories, highlighting significant socio-economic disparities. Promising trends, such as improving digital literacy and internet access, contrast with persistent gaps in governance, renewable energy infrastructure, and multimodal transport networks. The study underscores the need for smart cities to establish strong linkages with peri-urban regions to reduce intra-regional disparities. In the Indian context, where villages and small towns are integral to the nation’s socio-economic fabric, focusing on peri-urban areas is vital for development to reach the grassroots level. By addressing regional inequalities and socio-economic disparities, the findings provide actionable insights for policymakers to integrate peri-urban regions into smart urban planning strategies. This study offers a foundation for developing smart villages and regions, ensuring that the benefits of smart city initiatives extend beyond urban centers to create equitable and sustainable growth.
将城郊地区纳入智慧城市倡议对于解决区域不平等和促进包容性城市发展至关重要。在印度快速城市化的背景下,尽管城郊区域在支持城市增长和发展方面发挥着关键作用,但它们往往被忽视。本研究旨在描绘勒克瑙市的城郊地区,评估其社会经济发展,并建立智慧城市组成部分与城郊转型之间的联系。为此,该研究利用了印度人口普查数据、LANDSAT 8卫星图像和主要调查结果。方法包括土地利用、土地覆盖(LULC)分析、主成分分析(PCA)和城市周边发展指数(PUDI)。调查结果显示,大多数城郊住区属于低至中等发展类别,突出了显著的社会经济差异。改善数字素养和互联网接入等有希望的趋势与治理、可再生能源基础设施和多式联运网络方面的持续差距形成鲜明对比。该研究强调,智慧城市需要与城郊地区建立强有力的联系,以减少区域内的差距。在印度的情况下,村庄和小城镇是国家社会经济结构的组成部分,重点放在城郊地区对于发展到基层至关重要。通过解决区域不平等和社会经济差异,研究结果为政策制定者将城郊地区纳入智慧城市规划战略提供了可行的见解。本研究为发展智慧村和智慧地区奠定了基础,确保智慧城市倡议的好处延伸到城市中心以外,创造公平和可持续的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Gender gap and local economic diversity in microfinance: Evidence from the microcredit program in Brazil 小额信贷中的性别差距和地方经济多样性:来自巴西小额信贷项目的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100217
Diego N. Teixeira , Gervásio F. Santos , Tyago O. Carmo
The objective of the paper is to measure the gender gap in microcredit programs, considering the dynamics of the local economy and the labor market. We used data from the CrediBahia program in the State of Bahia, Brazil, to carry out the research. The literature indicates that the default rate for female borrowers is lower than that of male peers, even considering the difficulty for women to access the traditional credit market. In this context, the research contributes to the literature by including the effects of local and labor market characteristics on the ability to pay by women. We applied logistic models, Propensity score matching (PSM), and Instrumental variable estimation to test the existence of a gender gap among borrowers in the Brazilian microcredit program. The marginal effect shows that the probability of default for female borrowers was 21.5% lower than for males. Expected profits for female borrowers were 30.8% higher than the sample mean. The female borrowers were associated with an expected loss 18.6% lower than the sample mean and the repayment ratio was 1.7% higher than the sample mean. The default rate is also lower for older and married women. The marginal effect shows that the probability of default for married female borrowers was 7.6% lower than for a single female and 26.8% lower than for men. Each additional year for the woman, the probability of default of the female borrowers was 0.5% lower than for the men. In addition, the dynamics of the local economy contribute to women’s loan performance. Thus, the results suggest that lending to women is more profitable and less risky.
本文的目的是衡量小额信贷项目中的性别差距,考虑到当地经济和劳动力市场的动态。我们使用了巴西巴伊亚州巴伊亚信贷项目的数据来开展这项研究。文献表明,即使考虑到女性进入传统信贷市场的困难,女性借款人的违约率也低于男性同行。在此背景下,该研究通过纳入当地和劳动力市场特征对妇女支付能力的影响,为文献做出了贡献。我们应用逻辑模型、倾向得分匹配(PSM)和工具变量估计来检验巴西小额信贷项目中借款人之间是否存在性别差距。边际效应表明,女性借款人的违约概率比男性低21.5%。女性借款人的预期利润比样本平均值高出30.8%。女性借款人的预期损失比样本平均值低18.6%,还款率比样本平均值高1.7%。年龄较大和已婚女性的违约率也较低。边际效应表明,已婚女性借款人的违约概率比单身女性低7.6%,比男性低26.8%。女性每多一年,女性借款人的违约概率就比男性低0.5%。此外,当地经济的动态也有助于妇女的贷款业绩。因此,研究结果表明,向女性放贷利润更高,风险更小。
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引用次数: 0
Does high-speed railway speed up manufacturing agglomeration along the line? A case study of the Beijing–Guangzhou high-speed railway 高铁会加速沿线制造业集聚吗?以京广高铁为例
IF 2.1 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100223
Huasheng Zhu , Peixin Huang , Jiachen Yue
High-speed railway (HSR) impacts the economic growth and industrial spatial structure of the cities along the line. The extant literature discusses the influence of HSR on the agglomeration of the service industry but pays little attention to that of the manufacturing industry. This article takes the Beijing–Guangzhou HSR in China as an example, uses panel data from cities along the line from 2006 to 2018, constructs a staggered difference-in-differences model, and examines the impact of HSR on the agglomeration of the high-, medium- and low-technology manufacturing sectors. The findings are as follows. 1. HSR promotes the agglomeration of the manufacturing industry in the cities along the line, but the impact varies across different sectors. Specifically, the high-technology manufacturing sector tends to conglomerate in cities along the line, whereas the agglomeration of the medium-technology manufacturing sector is inhibited. 2. There is urban and locational heterogeneity in the impact of HSR on manufacturing agglomeration. The smaller the city size is, the greater and more significant the changes in the spatial agglomeration of each manufacturing sector. The agglomeration of the manufacturing industry (especially the high-technology manufacturing sector) is significantly affected by HSR in central cities and their surrounding cities, whereas this is not the case in peripheral cities. 3. HSR helps small cities along the line gain access to borrowed size, which further promotes the agglomeration of the high-technology manufacturing sector but suppresses the agglomeration effect of the low-technology manufacturing sector.
高速铁路对沿线城市的经济增长和产业空间结构产生影响。现有文献讨论了高铁对服务业集聚的影响,但对制造业集聚的影响关注较少。本文以京广高铁为例,利用2006 - 2018年高铁沿线城市的面板数据,构建交错差中差模型,考察高铁对高、中、低技术制造业集聚的影响。研究结果如下。1. 高铁促进了沿线城市制造业的集聚,但不同行业的影响有所不同。具体而言,高技术制造业倾向于在沿线城市聚集,而中等技术制造业的集聚受到抑制。2. 高铁对制造业集聚的影响存在城市异质性和区位异质性。城市规模越小,各制造业空间集聚变化越大、越显著。高铁对中心城市及其周边城市的制造业集聚(尤其是高技术制造业)有显著影响,而对外围城市则无明显影响。3. 高铁有助于沿线小城市获得借来的规模,这进一步促进了高技术制造业的集聚,但抑制了低技术制造业的集聚效应。
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引用次数: 0
Success factors for scaling urban circular businesses in the food sector 扩大食品行业城市循环企业规模的成功因素
IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100219
Angelica Siegel , Eveline van Leeuwen
This article investigates success factors for niche circular food businesses to scale up. We first translate Circular Economy thinking to a food systems context by creating a comprehensive overview of circular food activities and measurements. Using Toronto, Canada as a case study, we analyze eleven niche circular food solutions to find success and barrier factors to scale up. Data was collected via questionnaires and interviews, resulting in five categories of factors that either help or hinder circular food business growth. A statistical correlation analysis is performed. The most successful businesses were those that operated in more than one stage of the food chain, had at least 2–3 years to stabilize their performance, and had financial investors. We explore that circular businesses strongly prioritize social and environmental goals and the impact of this when seeking (or avoiding) grants and other traditional business supports. Government and industry partners have a larger role to play in supporting circular businesses but must expand definitions of growth beyond economic metrics to effectively support the transition to a circular food system.
本文探讨了利基循环食品企业扩大规模的成功因素。我们首先通过创建循环食品活动和测量的全面概述,将循环经济思想转化为食品系统背景。以加拿大多伦多为例,我们分析了11个利基循环食品解决方案,以找到成功和扩大规模的障碍因素。通过问卷调查和访谈收集数据,得出有助于或阻碍循环食品业务增长的五类因素。进行了统计相关分析。最成功的企业是那些在食物链的一个以上阶段经营,至少有2-3年的时间来稳定业绩,并有金融投资者的企业。我们探讨了循环企业在寻求(或避免)赠款和其他传统商业支持时强烈优先考虑社会和环境目标及其影响。政府和行业合作伙伴在支持循环企业方面可以发挥更大的作用,但必须将增长的定义扩展到经济指标之外,以有效地支持向循环食品系统的过渡。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science Policy and Practice
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