Montenegrin Journal of Economics最新文献

英文中文

Civilizational Cycles and Economic Development in the Context of Technological Transitions and Global Pandemics 技术转型和全球流行病背景下的文明周期和经济发展

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.16

S. Kozlovskyi

The study of theories of civilizational cycles under modern economic conditions is becoming increasingly important. Humanity can discern that long-term forecasts to a certain extent comply with theories of cyclical development. The issue of proving that the iteration of civilizational cycles in historical retrospect may correspond to their recurrence of the Fibonacci series remains open. The objective of the study is to do research into the wave theory in terms of economic development;to determine whether it is possible to apply the "principle of the golden ratio" based on the Fibonacci series;to explain how civilizational cycles are formed in the context of technological transitions;to identify patterns and characteristics of these fluctuations;to describe trends of further economic fluctuations. The object of study are economic relations in the context of civilization development, and their impact on of education, culture and personal freedom. Using the methodology of the Fibonacci numbers, namely, the rule of the golden ratio revealed the patterns of large economic fluctuations, explained the reasons for accelerating the pace of cyclicality and made a forecast of their further development. The results of the study allowed to claim that the current decade is decisive in terms of forming a new civilizational cycle of economic development. It is proved that the trend of the new cycle of civilization will be determined by the symbiosis of a human and artificial intelligence. © 2022, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research. All rights reserved.

研究现代经济条件下的文明循环理论正变得越来越重要。人类可以看出，长期预测在一定程度上符合周期性发展理论。在历史回顾中证明文明周期的迭代可能与斐波那契数列的重复相对应的问题仍然悬而未决。本研究的目的是从经济发展的角度对波动理论进行研究；以确定是否有可能应用基于斐波那契数列的“黄金比例原理”；解释文明周期是如何在技术转型的背景下形成的；识别这些波动的模式和特征；以描述经济进一步波动的趋势。研究对象是文明发展背景下的经济关系及其对教育、文化和人身自由的影响。运用斐波那契数的方法论，即黄金比率法则揭示了经济大波动的规律，解释了加快周期性步伐的原因，并对其进一步发展进行了预测。这项研究的结果表明，就形成新的经济发展文明周期而言，当前十年是决定性的。事实证明，人类与人工智能的共生关系将决定新一轮文明的走向。©2022，转型研究经济实验室。保留所有权利。

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引用次数: 7

Corporate Governance and Financial Distress in the Indonesia Banking Sector: An Empirical Study 公司治理与印尼银行业财务困境:实证研究

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.10

Bambang Sudiyatno

引用次数: 1

Does Institutional Quality Modify the Shadow Economy – Environmental Pollution Nexus? Evidence from an Emerging Market 制度质量是否改变了影子经济与环境污染的关系?来自新兴市场的证据

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.7

Toan Khanh Pham Tran

引用次数: 4

The Negative Social Capital and Supreme Audit Insitutions: Cognitive Orientation and Practical Tips 消极社会资本与最高审计理念：认知取向与实践启示

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.15

Zbysław Dobrowolski

引用次数: 0

Is Bahrain Banking Industry Efficient? 巴林银行业效率高吗?

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.14

Ammar Jreisat, Somar Al-Mohamad

引用次数: 0

Comparative assessment of renewable energy development in Baltic States 波罗的海国家可再生能源发展的比较评估

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.9

D. Štreimikienė, Asta Mikalauskiene

引用次数: 2

Modeling Citizens Satisfaction with Higher Education: A Case Study of Rijeka 公民对高等教育满意度的建模:以里耶卡为例

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.12

M. Delibasic, Marija Ivaniš, D. Pupavac, M. Shilina

引用次数: 2

Business Process Reengineering – Process Optimization of Boutique Production SME 业务流程再造——精品生产中小企业的流程优化

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.11

引用次数: 3

Applying the Theory of Fuzzy Logic in the Financial Management of Small Companies 模糊逻辑理论在小企业财务管理中的应用

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.5

N. Morozko, N. Morozko, V. Didenko

引用次数: 2

Do Political Connections and Bank Funding Diversity Increase Non-Performing Loans: New Evidence from the Bayesian Approach 政治联系和银行融资多样性是否会增加不良贷款：来自贝叶斯方法的新证据

IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS

Montenegrin Journal of Economics

Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-4.8

Khoa Dang Duong

Our study aims to fill the gap in estimating the impacts of political connections and bank funding diversity on the risk-taking behaviors of Vietnamese commercial banks. By employing the Bayesian methodology, our paper can overcome the small sample issues to reduce the bias in estimation results. We construct a data sample that includes 38 commercial banks in Vietnam from 2003 to 2020. Our results suggest several findings in the Vietnamese banking sector. Firstly, our findings suggest that politically connected banks have 0.4% non-performing loans higher than unconnected peers. Secondly, we find a positive relationship between funding diversity and non-performing loans of commercial banks in Vietnam. Interestingly, our findings report that the commercial banks, especially the politically connected banks, reduced non-performing loans by 0.2% and 0.4% for a year before the recent two National Congress of the Communist Party of Vietnam, respectively. It could be due to the notion that the bank managers secure their job and political promotions by reducing non-performing loans before the National Congress of the Communist Party of Vietnam. Finally, our study argues that the commercial bank had a lower level of non-performing loans during the Covid19 pandemic because the government offered stimulus supports to the local economy. Our study has substantial implications for bank managers and authorities in emerging markets. © 2022, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research. All rights reserved.

本研究旨在填补政治关系和银行融资多样性对越南商业银行风险承担行为影响评估的空白。本文采用贝叶斯方法克服了小样本问题，减少了估计结果的偏差。本文构建了一个包含越南38家商业银行2003 - 2020年的数据样本。我们的研究结果表明了越南银行业的几个发现。首先，我们的研究结果表明，有政治关系的银行的不良贷款率比没有政治关系的银行高0.4%。其次，我们发现越南商业银行的资金多样性与不良贷款之间存在正相关关系。有趣的是，我们的研究结果表明，商业银行，特别是有政治关系的银行，在最近两次越南共产党全国代表大会之前的一年里，不良贷款分别减少了0.2%和0.4%。这可能是因为，在越南共产党全国代表大会召开之前，银行经理们通过减少不良贷款来确保自己的职位和政治晋升。最后，我们的研究认为，在新冠疫情期间，商业银行的不良贷款水平较低，因为政府对当地经济提供了刺激支持。我们的研究对新兴市场的银行经理和当局具有重大意义。©2022，转型研究经济实验室。版权所有。

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引用次数: 6

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