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Demographic and initial outbreak patterns of COVID-19 in Thailand. 泰国COVID-19的人口统计和初步暴发模式。
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09276-y
Pavitra Jindahra, Kua Wongboonsin, Patcharawalai Wongboonsin

This study investigated the demographic heterogeneity of COVID-19 infection to reveal the role of age structure and gender on COVID-19 diffusion patterns, demonstrating that the infection is distributed unevenly across ages, genders, and outbreak times. Based on cluster analysis, we analysed the 4-month COVID-19 outbreak data (N = 3017) in Thailand from January 12 to May 12, 2020, covering the early to late outbreak period of the initial wave. Results revealed that there are 7 pertinent clusters of COVID-19 outbreaks. Infection risk was classified by age, sex, and confirmed infection period. Results showed that elderly and young male clusters were at risk of becoming infected at the very beginning of the wave. Working-age male, young female, and elderly male clusters were key clusters controlling transmission when spreading became pervasive. Relevant clusters addressed at the end of the wave included general public and younger age clusters. Unlike other regions, the infection risk in Thailand is interestingly stronger among younger age clusters and male populations. Even though elderly individuals are at risk of becoming infected earlier than other clusters, the infection proportion was low. The findings provide new insights into the risk for COVID-19 infection.

本研究通过分析COVID-19感染的人口统计学异质性,揭示年龄结构和性别对COVID-19传播模式的影响,发现感染在年龄、性别和爆发时间上分布不均匀。基于聚类分析,我们分析了2020年1月12日至5月12日泰国4个月的COVID-19暴发数据(N = 3017),涵盖了初波暴发的早期和晚期。结果显示,共发生7起相关聚集性疫情。感染风险按年龄、性别和确诊感染期进行分类。结果表明,老年和年轻男性群体在疫情一开始就有感染的危险。当传播变得普遍时,工作年龄男性、年轻女性和老年男性聚集群是控制传播的关键聚集群。在这波浪潮结束时涉及的相关群组包括一般公众和较年轻的群组。有趣的是,与其他区域不同,泰国的感染风险在年轻年龄组和男性人群中更大。尽管老年人比其他聚集性人群更早有感染风险,但感染比例较低。这些发现为了解COVID-19感染的风险提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 5
Comparing COVID-19 fatality across countries: a synthetic demographic indicator. 比较各国COVID-19死亡率:一个综合人口指标。
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-022-09289-1
Simona Bignami-Van Assche, Daniela Ghio

Background: The case fatality rate (CFR) is one of the most important measures for monitoring disease progression and evaluating appropriate policy health measures over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. To remove biases arising from the age structure of COVID-19 cases in international comparisons of the CFR, existing studies have relied mainly on direct standardisation.

Objective: We propose and validate a synthetic indicator of COVID-19 fatality (SCFR) that improves its comparability across countries by adjusting for the age and sex structure of COVID-19 cases without relying on the arbitrary choice of a standard population.

Results: Contrary to what comparisons of the crude CFR suggest, differences in COVID-19 fatality across countries according to the proposed SCFR are not very stark. Importantly, once we adjust for the age structure of COVID-19 cases, the higher case fatality among men emerges as the main driver of international differences in COVID-19 CFR.

Conclusions: The SCFR is a simple indicator that is useful for monitoring the fatality of SARS-CoV-2 mutations and the efficacy of health policy measures for COVID-19, including vaccination.

Contributions: (1) A simple synthetic indicator of COVID-19 fatality that improves its comparability across countries by adjusting for the age and sex structure of COVID-19 cases; (2) Evidence that sex differences in COVID-19 fatality drive international differences in the overall CFR.

背景:病死率(CFR)是监测COVID-19大流行期间疾病进展和评估适当卫生政策措施的最重要指标之一。为了消除国际比较中COVID-19病例年龄结构产生的偏差,现有研究主要依赖于直接标准化。目的:我们提出并验证了一种COVID-19病死率(SCFR)的综合指标,该指标通过调整COVID-19病例的年龄和性别结构来提高其在各国之间的可比性,而不依赖于任意选择标准人群。结果:与粗CFR的比较结果相反,根据拟议的SCFR,各国COVID-19死亡率的差异并不十分明显。重要的是,一旦我们根据COVID-19病例的年龄结构进行调整,男性较高的病死率就会成为COVID-19 CFR国际差异的主要驱动因素。结论:SCFR是一项简单的指标,可用于监测SARS-CoV-2突变的致死率和COVID-19卫生政策措施(包括疫苗接种)的效果。贡献:(1)通过调整COVID-19病例的年龄和性别结构,建立了COVID-19病死率的简单综合指标,提高了其在各国之间的可比性;(2) COVID-19病死率的性别差异导致总体CFR的国际差异的证据。
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引用次数: 2
Policy reforms and changing intergenerational support of elderly in India 政策改革与印度老年人代际支持的变化
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09275-z
L. Ladusingh, Melody Thangjam
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引用次数: 1
Skewed child sex ratios in India: a revisit to geographical patterns and socio-economic correlates 印度儿童性别比例倾斜:重新审视地理格局和社会经济相关性
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09277-x
A. Kumari, Srinivas Goli
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引用次数: 3
Intergenerational inequality and the intergenerational state 代际不平等与代际状态
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09273-1
James M Rice, Jeromey B. Temple, P. McDonald
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引用次数: 1
Changing trends between education, childlessness and completed fertility: a cohort analysis of Australian women born in 1952–1971 教育、无子女和完全生育之间的变化趋势:对1952-1971年出生的澳大利亚妇女的队列分析
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09269-x
E. Lazzari
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引用次数: 6
Demographic trends in less and least developed countries: Convergence or divergence? 欠发达国家和最不发达国家的人口趋势:趋同还是分化?
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-06-12 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09264-2
Giuseppe Gabrielli, A. Paterno, S. Salvini, I. Corazziari
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引用次数: 1
Ethnicity and fertility desires in Ghana 加纳的种族和生育欲望
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-06-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09266-0
Nana Ohene Akonor, A. Biney
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引用次数: 3
Intergenerational persistence of family formation trajectories among teenage-mothers and -fathers in Sweden 瑞典青少年父母家庭形成轨迹的代际持续性
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09265-1
Sara Kalucza, Sergi Vidal, K. Nilsson
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引用次数: 0
Fixed not fluid: European identification in the Aotearoa New Zealand census 固定不变:新西兰人口普查中的欧洲人身份
IF 2 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-04-23 DOI: 10.1007/S12546-021-09262-4
Patrick Broman, T. Kukutai
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引用次数: 1
期刊
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH
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