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Experiments on lotteries for shrouded and bundled goods: Investigating the economics of fukubukuro 包裹和捆绑商品的彩票实验:福袋经济学研究
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12194
Chaikal Nuryakin, Alistair Munro

Fukubukuro (or lucky bag) is a familiar institution in Japan and elsewhere in which the exact contents of a New Year sales item are hidden from the consumer before purchase. Motivated by the fukubukuro example and the lack of evidence on risk attitudes in lotteries involving goods, we conduct a laboratory experiment in which the outcomes are bundled or unbundled goods. The implied gains to a monopoly seller for marketing goods in lottery form rather than separately are only clearly positive for lotteries where there is a higher probability of obtaining the more highly valued good.

福袋(Fukubukuro)在日本和其他地方都是一种常见的制度,在这种制度下,新年促销商品的确切内容在消费者购买之前是隐藏的。受福库罗例子的启发,以及缺乏关于涉及商品的彩票风险态度的证据,我们进行了一个实验室实验,其中的结果是捆绑或非捆绑的商品。垄断销售者以彩票形式销售商品而不是单独销售商品的隐含收益,只有在获得价值更高的商品的可能性更高的彩票中才明显为正。
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引用次数: 3
Identification of Dynamic Models of Rewards Programme 奖励计划动态模型的识别
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-08 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12188
Andrew T. Ching, Masakazu Ishihara

“Frequent-buyer” rewards programmes are commonly used by companies as a marketing tool to compete for market share. They provide a unique environment for studying consumers’ forward-looking behaviour. The consumer's problem on accumulating reward points can be formulated as a stationary infinite horizon discrete choice dynamic programming model. We show that the parameters of this model, including the discount factor, are well-identified. In particular, it is possible to identify state-dependent discount factors (i.e. discount factors can vary with the number of reward points). We discuss how this identification result is related to the goal-gradient hypothesis studied in the consumer psychology literature.

“常客”奖励计划通常被公司用作争夺市场份额的营销工具。它们为研究消费者的前瞻性行为提供了一个独特的环境。消费者的奖励积分积累问题可以表述为一个平稳无限视界离散选择动态规划模型。我们表明,该模型的参数,包括折扣因子,是很好的识别。特别是,它可以识别与状态相关的折扣因素(即折扣因素可以随着奖励点数的数量而变化)。我们讨论了这种识别结果与消费心理学文献中研究的目标梯度假设的关系。
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引用次数: 7
Brand Loyalty and Generic Entry: Why do Brand-Name Drug Companies Launch Their Own Generics? 品牌忠诚度和仿制药准入:为什么名牌药公司推出自己的仿制药?
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-08 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12189
Yunyun Wan

Facing generic competition, brand-name drug companies sometimes launch their own generics called “authorised generics” (AGs) through a third-party entity. If that strategy works, an AG should be launched for every branded drug that comes off patent. This, however, contradicts the fact that only a small proportion of branded drugs have had AGs. To explain this puzzle, I develop a two-period model in which a brand-name drug company exploits its name brand before generic entry. The model predicts that the brand-name company launches an AG only when brand loyalty is sufficiently weak.

面对仿制药的竞争,品牌药公司有时会通过第三方实体推出自己的仿制药,称为“授权仿制药”(AGs)。如果这一策略奏效,那么每一种专利到期的品牌药物都应该成立一个AG。然而,这与只有一小部分品牌药物含有AGs的事实相矛盾。为了解释这个谜题,我开发了一个两期模型,在这个模型中,一家知名制药公司在仿制药进入市场之前利用自己的品牌。该模型预测,只有当品牌忠诚度足够弱时,品牌公司才会推出AG。
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引用次数: 1
Strategic Product Line Choice under Asymmetric Demand Structure 非对称需求结构下的战略产品线选择
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-04 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12186
Levent Kutlu, Alper Nakkas

We examine strategic product line choices of manufacturers in a stylised duopoly model where products have asymmetric and interdependent market conditions. We characterise the optimal product line decisions and show that manufacturers always prefer to have head-to-head competition (and never segment markets) when product line setup cost is small relative to profitability of the products. When setup costs are high, symmetric manufacturers may prefer to have asymmetric product lines or market segmentation. We show that high setup costs lead to the market segmentation outcome only if there is no significant market size difference and the level of product substitutability is moderate.

我们在一个程式化的双寡头垄断模型中考察制造商的战略产品线选择,其中产品具有不对称和相互依赖的市场条件。我们描述了最优产品线决策的特征,并表明当产品线设置成本相对于产品的盈利能力较小时,制造商总是倾向于进行正面竞争(而不是细分市场)。当设置成本较高时,对称制造商可能倾向于采用不对称的产品线或市场细分。我们发现,只有在市场规模差异不显著且产品可替代性水平适中的情况下,高设置成本才会导致市场细分结果。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Performance of a Long-Run Variance Ratio Test for a Unit Root 改进单位根长期方差比检验的性能
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12185
Hugo Ferrer-Pérez, María-Isabel Ayuda, Antonio Aznar

Cai and Shintani (2006, Econometric Theory, 22, 347–372) considered the impact of introducing an inconsistent long-run variance estimator when constructing a class of kernel-based ratio tests for testing non-stationarity in the series. They found that the quotient of two estimators with different rates of convergence under the null and the alternative hypotheses may lead to a test having an interesting size and power trade-off. This paper develops modified versions of this test, presents new asymptotic results and tabulates critical values. The finite sample performance is explored through Monte Carlo simulations. The results show that the modifications proposed lead to more powerful unit root tests.

Cai和Shintani (2006, Econometric Theory, 22, 347-372)在构建一类基于核的比率检验来检验序列的非平稳性时,考虑了引入不一致的长期方差估计量的影响。他们发现,在零假设和备选假设下具有不同收敛率的两个估计量的商可能导致测试具有有趣的大小和功率权衡。本文对该检验进行了改进,给出了新的渐近结果,并给出了临界值表。通过蒙特卡罗模拟探讨了有限样本的性能。结果表明,所提出的修正使单位根检验更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Analysis of Brands: A Survey 品牌实证分析:一项调查
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12187
Hitoshi Hayakawa, Susumu Imai, Kazuko Nakata

In this paper, we survey the empirical analysis of brands. The difficulty in this area of research is that even though a brand is easily identifiable, its economic roles are not directly observable. We first discuss methods where the effect of a brand is measured as the unobservable component of sales or price of a product, which researchers recover as a residual of the sales or price regression. We then describe the approaches to estimate the various roles of brands, such as providing information and increasing the utility of consumption. Finally, we provide examples of research that highlight the role of brands in exploiting the irrationality of consumers for profit.

在本文中,我们调查了品牌的实证分析。这一研究领域的难点在于,尽管一个品牌很容易识别,但它的经济作用却不能直接观察到。我们首先讨论的方法是,品牌的影响是衡量一个产品的销售或价格的不可观察的组成部分,研究人员恢复作为销售或价格回归的残余。然后,我们描述了估计品牌的各种作用的方法,如提供信息和增加消费的效用。最后,我们提供了一些研究的例子,这些研究突出了品牌在利用消费者的非理性行为来获取利润方面的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Male and Female Happiness in Japan During the 2000s: Trends During Era of Promotion of Active Participation by Women in Society 2000年代日本男性和女性幸福感:促进女性积极参与社会的时代趋势
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12183
Nahoko Mitsuyama, Satoshi Shimizutani

Female happiness has been paradoxically declining over recent decades in reverse proportion to expanding opportunities for women in developed countries, but this subject has not been explored in Japan. Using JGSS, we found that Japanese women have been slightly happier in both absolute and relative terms to men in the 2000s. While happiness of men aged 35–49 and 65 and over temporarily declined in the first half of the decade, women in age groups 20–34 and 65 and over gained happiness in the second half. Moreover, trends in life satisfaction in terms of economic aspects are similar for men and women, slightly advantageous to men in marriage, and largely advantageous to women in non-market and non-family aspects.

近几十年来,在发达国家,女性的幸福感一直在自相矛盾地下降,与女性机会的增加成反比,但这个问题在日本还没有得到探讨。使用JGSS,我们发现在2000年代,日本女性在绝对和相对方面都比男性更快乐。35-49岁和65岁及以上年龄段的男性的幸福感在这十年的前半段暂时下降,而20-34岁和65岁及以上年龄段的女性的幸福感在后半段上升。此外,男性和女性在经济方面的生活满意度趋势相似,在婚姻方面对男性略微有利,而在非市场和非家庭方面对女性很大程度上有利。
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引用次数: 2
Effects of Pregnancy and Birth on Smoking and Drinking Behaviours: A Comparative Study Between Men and Women 怀孕和出生对吸烟和饮酒行为的影响:一项男女比较研究
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12184
Eiji Yamamura, Yoshiro Tsutsui

Using panel data obtained from monthly surveys for 3 years, we examined how the effects of life events on smoking and drinking behaviours differ between men and women. The key findings were that: (i) consumption of alcohol and cigarettes by men and women were lower during pregnancy and after childbirth than before pregnancy; (ii) pregnancy and childbirth led women to stop drinking and led men to reduce their alcohol consumption but not to stop drinking; and (iii) marriage, pregnancy and childbirth led women to stop smoking and marriage and birth led men to stop smoking but the effects of pregnancy on men are unclear.

利用3年来每月调查获得的小组数据,我们研究了生活事件对男性和女性吸烟和饮酒行为的影响。主要发现是:(i)男性和女性在怀孕期间和分娩后的酒精和香烟消费量低于怀孕前;(二)怀孕和分娩导致妇女停止饮酒,导致男子减少饮酒量,但没有停止饮酒;(三)婚姻、怀孕和生育导致女性戒烟,婚姻和生育导致男性戒烟,但怀孕对男性的影响尚不清楚。
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引用次数: 6
In Memoriam 为纪念
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-02 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12181
Professor Michio Hatanaka
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引用次数: 0
A Mixed Duopoly With Switching Costs 具有转换成本的混合双寡头垄断
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/jere.12182
Jorge Fernández-Ruiz

We examine the effects of switching costs in a two-period Hotelling-type model where a profit-maximising private firm competes with a welfare-maximising public firm. We show that, in contrast with the case in which both firms are private, where switching costs raise prices in both periods, in the mixed duopoly they raise prices in the second period but reduce them in the first period. Moreover, the first-period price reduction is of such magnitude that switching costs reduce firms’ profits and raise consumer welfare. We also find that switching costs affect the consequences of privatisation in favour of firms and against consumers.

在利润最大化的私营企业与福利最大化的上市企业竞争的两期hotelling模型中,我们考察了转换成本的影响。我们表明,在两家公司都是私营企业的情况下,转换成本在两个时期都提高了价格,而在混合双寡头垄断的情况下,他们在第二个时期提高了价格,但在第一个时期降低了价格。此外,第一阶段的降价幅度如此之大,以至于转换成本降低了企业的利润,提高了消费者的福利。我们还发现,转换成本对私有化的影响有利于企业,不利于消费者。
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引用次数: 1
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Japanese Economic Review
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