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The Impact of Russian Intervention in Post-Soviet Secessionist Conflict in the South Caucasus on Russian Geo-energy Interests 俄罗斯干预后苏联南高加索分裂主义冲突对俄罗斯地缘能源利益的影响
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-07 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.464
José-Antonio Peña-Ramos
The dismemberment of the Soviet Union prompted a very unstable decade of decline for Russia, and generated numerous conflicts in the post-Soviet space. Russia regained influence at global and, chiefly, regional level from 2000, after Vladimir Putin became president and the price of hydrocarbons rose. Arguably, energy policy played an essential role. The South Caucasus, where three secessionist conflicts took place, leading to Russian political, diplomatic and military intervention, was crucial for the Russian geo-energy interests. This article examines and discusses the impact of intervention on Russian geo-energy interests, in particular since Putin came to power. The working hypothesis proposes that Russia’s involvement in the three secessionist conflicts in the South Caucasus has considerably benefited the many Russian geo-energy interests.
苏联解体后,俄罗斯经历了非常不稳定的十年衰落,并在后苏联时代产生了许多冲突。自2000年弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)就任俄罗斯总统、碳氢化合物价格上涨以来,俄罗斯在全球、主要是地区层面重新获得了影响力。可以说,能源政策发挥了至关重要的作用。南高加索地区发生了三次分裂主义冲突,导致俄罗斯进行了政治、外交和军事干预,对俄罗斯的地缘能源利益至关重要。本文考察并讨论了干预对俄罗斯地缘能源利益的影响,特别是自普京上台以来。工作假设提出,俄罗斯参与南高加索的三次分离主义冲突,大大有利于俄罗斯的许多地缘能源利益。
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引用次数: 6
Social Forces Sustaining the Israeli-Palestinian Tensions: A Dynamical Psychology Perspective 维持以巴紧张局势的社会力量:一个动态心理学视角
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-07 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.255
J. Michaels
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict remains one of the most deeply entrenched in the world. While there is great knowledge about numerous individual factors contributing to this conflict’s persistence, much of the information is fragmented and segregated into different disciplines. This article seeks to integrate an array of literature using a dynamic systems perspective to examine how social – as opposed to political – forces contribute to ongoing tensions. The first part describes the dynamical systems perspective, focusing on how intractable conflicts emerge as a result of interlinking factors that anchor the social system in patterns that resist change. The second part explores the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in terms of specific social forces contributing to the conflict’s persistence. These include leadership issues, economic inequalities poverty, youth disenfranchisement, and population distribution. Then the contribution maps how the discussed social factors interrelate to reinforce the ongoing tensions and addresses how small-scale approaches may circumvent the volatile, entrenched patterns of hostility.
以巴冲突仍然是世界上最根深蒂固的冲突之一。尽管人们对导致这场冲突持续存在的许多个人因素有着丰富的了解,但许多信息都是零散的,并被分为不同的学科。本文试图使用动态系统的视角来整合一系列文献,以研究社会力量(而非政治力量)如何导致持续的紧张局势。第一部分描述了动力系统的视角,重点关注棘手的冲突是如何因将社会系统锚定在抵制变化的模式中的相互关联的因素而出现的。第二部分探讨了以巴冲突持续存在的具体社会力量。这些问题包括领导权问题、经济不平等、贫困、青年被剥夺选举权和人口分配。然后,这篇文章描绘了所讨论的社会因素如何相互关联,以加剧持续的紧张局势,并阐述了小规模的方法如何绕过动荡、根深蒂固的敌对模式。
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引用次数: 9
Why Targets of Economic Sanctions React Differently: Reference Point Effects on North Korea and Libya 经济制裁对象为何反应不同:对朝鲜和利比亚的参考点效应
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-06-21 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/ijcv.569
Jiyoun Park
The international community has frequently introduced economic sanctions to curb the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, to which each target nation has reacted differently. This paper explores the reasons why each target of economic sanctions reacts differently by specif- ically building a model based on reference point effects, and by analyzing the cases of North Korea and Libya. According to the results, when the reference point level increases, as in the case of North Korea, the target resists more firmly; on the other hand, when the reference point decreases, like in the case of Libya, the target resists more subtly.
国际社会经常实行经济制裁,以遏制大规模毁灭性武器的扩散,每个目标国家对此作出不同的反应。本文通过具体建立一个基于参考点效应的模型,并通过分析朝鲜和利比亚的案例,探讨了经济制裁的每个目标反应不同的原因。结果显示,当参考点水平提高时,如朝鲜,目标的抵抗更加坚定;另一方面,当参照点减少时,就像利比亚的情况一样,目标的抵抗会更加微妙。
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引用次数: 1
Innovation and Tradition 创新与传统
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-06-21 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.617
G. Bohner, R. Crutchfield, S. Messner, A. Zick
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引用次数: 0
Understanding how and why young people enter radical or violent extremist groups 了解年轻人如何以及为什么加入激进或暴力极端主义团体
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-06-21 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.473
Nele Schils, A. Verhage
The process of (violent) radicalisation and subsequently joining of radical or violent extremist groups was studied using semi-structured interviews with (young) people who considered themselves as radicals or violent extremists in left-wing, right-wing or religious settings. The data was gathered in Belgium from March through November 2013. Though modest in number (12), the interviews tell us a lot about factors that play a role in (violent) radicalisation and the organisation of radical or violent extremist groups through online and offline recruitment and daily activities. The results of the interviews are linked to the existing theoretical frameworks on (violent) radicalisation, including factors underlying engagement and recruitment. They show that new social media are not as relevant as currently asserted, but that offline methods of recruitment are still uppermost. They also make clear that the content of the ideology is not the first impetus for searching, but that a general discontent with society comes first, a search for ways of dealing with this discontent, and an orientation associated with the search. This has implications for the way society should deal with young people and radical convictions and the alternatives that should be provided.
通过对在左翼、右翼或宗教环境中认为自己是激进分子或暴力极端分子的(年轻)人进行半结构化采访,研究了(暴力)激进化以及随后加入激进或暴力极端主义团体的过程。这些数据是2013年3月至11月在比利时收集的。尽管数量不多(12),但这些采访告诉了我们很多关于(暴力)激进化以及通过在线和线下招募和日常活动组织激进或暴力极端主义团体的因素。采访结果与现有的(暴力)激进化理论框架有关,包括参与和招募的潜在因素。他们表明,新的社交媒体并不像目前所宣称的那样具有相关性,但线下招聘方法仍然是最重要的。他们还明确表示,意识形态的内容并不是搜索的第一动力,而是对社会的普遍不满,寻找处理这种不满的方法,以及与搜索相关的方向。这对社会处理年轻人和激进信念的方式以及应该提供的替代方案产生了影响。
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引用次数: 57
Torture as Theatre in Papua 巴布亚的酷刑剧院
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-17 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.416
Budi J. Hernawan
Conceptualised as theatre, this article examines 431 codified cases of torture in Papua during 1963-2010 as well as 214 testimonies of torture survivors, state actors and third parties in order to explore the interplay and dynamics of four interrelated elements: rationalities that underpin the web of power relations, techniques of domination, actors with their multiple and fluid identities as well as their motivational postures. Theatricality proffers a new analytical lens to examine half a century of state-sponsored brutality surrounded by virtually complete impunity and denials which leaves a little space to escape the theatre. It discloses ‘the art of government,’ the way the Indonesia state exhibits its sovereign power to govern Papua.
作为戏剧的概念,本文考察了1963年至2010年期间巴布亚的431起编纂的酷刑案件,以及214名酷刑幸存者、国家行为者和第三方的证词,以探索四个相互关联因素的相互作用和动态:支撑权力关系网络的理性、统治技术、具有多重和流动身份的演员,以及他们的动机姿态。戏剧性提供了一个新的分析视角来审视半个世纪以来国家支持的暴行,而这些暴行几乎完全不受惩罚和否认,这给逃离剧院留下了一点空间。它揭示了“政府的艺术”,即印尼政府展示其统治巴布亚的主权权力的方式。
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引用次数: 25
Violent Mexico: The Mexican Case as an ‘Extremely Violent Society.’ 《暴力的墨西哥:墨西哥是一个“极端暴力的社会”》
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-17 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.395
Octavio Rodriguez
0 0 1 185 1059 USD 8 2 1242 14.0 Normal 0 false false false EN-US JA X-NONE /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} Violent conflicts have evolved significantly throughout time and have become more intricate and hard to define under traditional categories. Armed conflicts, genocide, and mass atrocities are no longer enough to classify new conflicts that emerge every day in different regions of the globe. Such is the case of Mexico, a country that after a series of conflicts over more than a hundred years, became relatively stable throughout the 20 th century; nonetheless, such apparent tranquillity became abruptly altered with a roughly 150% increase in intentional homicides starting in 2007, totalling more than 121,000 killings in the six-year period from 2007-2012, most of which were somehow linked to organised crime. The levels of violence, the nature of different groups involved, the advanced weaponry and the widespread of the conflict make the context difficult to be labelled through traditional concepts. As new approaches are considered for evolving developments, the situation in Mexico is described under an emerging classification, the “extremely violent societies.” This paper explores the country’s context to conclude its features meet indeed the characteristics of an extremely violent society as a tool for future policy shaping.
0 0 1 185 1059 USD 8 2 1242 14.0正常0假假假EN-US JA X-NONE /*样式定义*/表。mso-style-name:"Table Normal";mso-tstyle-rowband-size: 0;mso-tstyle-colband-size: 0;mso-style-noshow:是的;mso-style-priority: 99;mso-style-parent:“”;mso- font - family:宋体;mso-para-margin-top: 0;mso-para-margin-right: 0;mso-para-margin-bottom: 10.0分;mso-para-margin-left: 0;行高:115%;mso-pagination: widow-orphan;字体大小:11.0分;字体类型:Calibri;mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri;mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin;mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;随着时间的推移,暴力冲突发生了显著的变化,变得更加复杂,难以用传统的类别来定义。武装冲突、种族灭绝和大规模暴行已不足以对全球不同地区每天出现的新冲突进行分类。墨西哥就是这样一个国家,在经历了一百多年的一系列冲突之后,在整个20世纪变得相对稳定;然而,这种表面上的平静突然被改变了,从2007年开始,故意杀人案增加了大约150%,在2007年至2012年的六年间,总共有超过121,000起杀人事件,其中大多数与有组织犯罪有关。暴力的程度、涉及的不同群体的性质、先进的武器和冲突的广布性,使得很难用传统的概念来界定其背景。由于考虑采用新的方法来应对不断变化的事态发展,墨西哥的情况被描述为一种新兴的分类,即“极端暴力社会”。本文探讨了该国的背景,得出结论,其特征确实符合一个极端暴力社会的特征,可以作为未来政策制定的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Political and Ethnic Identity in Violent Conflict: The Case of Central African Republic 暴力冲突中的政治和种族认同:中非共和国的案例
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-17 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.407
W. Isaacs-Martin
The conflict in the CAR has been ignored largely by the international media until 2013. Media and global interest rose with the presidential coup by, and then presidential appointment of, the first Muslim leader of the CAR, Michel Djotodia. Subsequently violence in the country escalated and cited to be purely sectarian – between Muslim and Christian militia and civilians. The focus of the paper is confined to the CAR and the question posed is whether the Muslim versus Christian conflict differs from the other conflicts in the CAR? The method of structured and substantive content analysis used here is the narrative paradigm and the storytelling (data) extracted from the United Nations High Commission for Refugees brief notes and news series to reveal a relatively neutral account of events. This is used to create a linear timeframe to argue that the current hostilities are part of another cycle of violence that plagues the CAR. The study and findings are limited to the period 2001-2014 although the history of political leadership is referred to from the country’s ‘independence’ in 1960, using a narrative paradigm and coherence. The results confirm that apart from a linear path of conflict, reflected in the political leadership, there are accompanying cycles of violence, representative of identity that moves along the linear path. The readings reveal that the violence currently defined as sectarian religious conflict is the start of a new cycle in the linear path of political leadership.
中非共和国的冲突一直被国际媒体忽视,直到2013年。媒体和全球的兴趣随着总统政变而上升,随后总统任命了中非共和国第一位穆斯林领导人米歇尔·乔托迪亚。随后,该国的暴力升级,并被认为是纯粹的宗派冲突——发生在穆斯林和基督教民兵以及平民之间。本文的焦点仅限于中非共和国,提出的问题是穆斯林与基督徒的冲突是否与中非共和国的其他冲突不同?本文使用的结构化和实质性内容分析方法是叙述范式和从联合国难民事务高级专员公署的简报和新闻系列中提取的讲故事(数据),以揭示对事件的相对中立的描述。这被用来创建一个线性时间框架,以证明当前的敌对行动是困扰中非共和国的另一个暴力循环的一部分。研究和发现仅限于2001年至2014年期间,尽管政治领导的历史是从1960年国家“独立”开始的,使用了叙事范式和连贯性。调查结果证实,除了政治领导层所反映的冲突的线性路径外,还存在伴随的暴力循环,代表着沿着线性路径移动的身份。读数显示,目前被定义为宗派宗教冲突的暴力是政治领导层线性路径上新周期的开始。
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引用次数: 12
The Secret Islamization of Europe Exploring the Integrated Threat Theory: Predicting Islamophobic Conspiracy Stereotypes 欧洲的秘密伊斯兰化:探索综合威胁理论:预测伊斯兰恐惧症的阴谋刻板印象
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-17 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.499
F. Uenal
The revised integrated threat theory (Stephan and Renfro 2002) is tested as a framework for analyzing Islamophobic conspiracy stereotypes (Kofta and Sedek 2005) in Germany. Threats (symbolic and realistic) were analyzed as mediators between different antecedents (in-group identification, ambiguity intolerance, clash of civilizations) and the dependent variable, conspiracy stereotypes. Respondents from Berlin (N = 355) participated in an online survey (Summer 2014). First, the findings indicate that higher education and political orientation towards the left are negatively related to conspiracy stereotypes and threats. Furthermore, the findings of the structural equation model indicate partial mediation via symbolic threats for clash-of-civilizations intergroup conflict and education on conspiracy stereotypes. Full mediation is reported for in-group identification and ambiguity intolerance via symbolic threats. Despite any factual evidence for support, the idea of a secret "Islamization of Europe" is finding increasing support among different groups in Germany (Benz 2011; Shooman 2009; Shooman 2014). Anders Behring Breivik, who killed seventy-seven people on the 22 July 2011 massacre in Norway, was, beside other factors, motivated by the “belief in a Muslim conspiracy to take over Europe” (Fekete 2011).
修订后的综合威胁理论(Stephan and Renfro 2002)在德国作为分析伊斯兰恐惧症阴谋刻板印象(Kofta and Sedek 2005)的框架进行了测试。威胁(象征性的和现实的)作为不同前因(群体内认同、歧义不容忍、文明冲突)和因变量阴谋刻板印象之间的中介进行了分析。来自柏林的受访者(N = 355)参加了一项在线调查(2014年夏季)。首先,研究结果表明,高等教育和政治倾向左倾与阴谋刻板印象和威胁呈负相关。此外,结构方程模型的研究结果表明,符号威胁对文明冲突、群体间冲突和阴谋刻板印象教育起到了部分调解作用。据报道,通过象征性威胁对群体内识别和歧义不容忍进行了全面调解。尽管有任何事实证据支持,秘密“欧洲伊斯兰化”的想法在德国的不同群体中得到越来越多的支持(Benz 2011;Shooman 2009;Shooman 2014)。安德斯·贝林·布雷维克在2011年7月22日的挪威大屠杀中杀害了77人,除其他因素外,他的动机是“相信穆斯林阴谋接管欧洲”(Fekete 2011)。
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引用次数: 21
Violent Caracas. A Socio-economic and Political Approach to Understand Urban Violence in Contemporary Venezuela 暴力加拉加斯。从社会经济和政治角度理解当代委内瑞拉的城市暴力
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-10-17 DOI: 10.4119/UNIBI/IJCV.393
Stiven Tremaria Adan
The worrisome panorama of increasing homicide rates in Venezuela requires to review critically the different theoretical approaches that explain the roots of violent crime in Latin American urban conglomerates. Such paradigms, based on the relationship among violence and inequality, exclusion, and social marginalization, seem to be inaccurate to comprehend the scope and dimensions of the problem in contemporary Venezuela. An alternative approach suggests to review the socio-political causes of violence in polarized societies, such as it is observable in the selected case during the Hugo Chavez's government (1999-2013). The research focuses on the city of Caracas, as epicenter of the political life of the country, and where the highest levels of socio-economic segregation, urban poverty, and violent crime are observable. A historical, theoretical, and empirical analysis is presented to describe the process of transformation of Caracas in an extremely violent city; to further delve into the explanations of the origins and causes of urban violence in Venezuela, from a combined approach which links violent crime with inequality and social exclusion, and with political legitimacy and social polarization during the Bolivarian Revolution times.
委内瑞拉杀人率上升的令人担忧的全景要求我们批判性地回顾解释拉丁美洲城市集团暴力犯罪根源的不同理论方法。这种基于暴力与不平等、排斥和社会边缘化之间关系的范式,似乎无法准确理解当代委内瑞拉问题的范围和程度。另一种方法建议审查两极分化社会中暴力的社会政治原因,例如在乌戈·查韦斯政府(1999-2013)期间所选的案例中可以观察到的。这项研究的重点是加拉加斯市,它是委内瑞拉政治生活的中心,也是社会经济隔离、城市贫困和暴力犯罪最严重的地方。历史,理论和实证分析提出了描述加拉加斯在一个极端暴力的城市转型的过程;进一步深入探讨委内瑞拉城市暴力的起源和原因,从一种将暴力犯罪与不平等和社会排斥,以及玻利瓦尔革命时期的政治合法性和社会两极分化联系起来的综合方法。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
International Journal of Conflict and Violence
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