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Post-Pandemic Inflation and Currency Board Arrangements in the Balkans 大流行病后的通货膨胀和巴尔干地区的货币发行局安排
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167165
Branka Topić Pavković, T. Šoja
ABSTRACT Maintaining monetary stability is the first and fundamental objective of the currency board regime, especially after political and economic crises such as the one in the Balkans in the 1990s. The very limited role of the central bank has disciplined financial institutions and governments, but at the same time is not conducive to long-term growth and employment. This policy ties the domestic currency to the ‘peg’ currency, leading to inflationary tendencies in the country whose currency is used as the ‘peg’. Currently, the high inflation rates are caused by the pandemic crisis, but also by the war in Ukraine. This paper analyses the causes of inflation in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Bulgaria as countries with currency boards. The results show that inflation in these two countries is ‘imported inflation’ from two points of view: the monetary policy of the European Central Bank and the inflation trend in the EMU, but mainly due to the Ukraine crisis and consequently the energy and food crisis.
维持货币稳定是货币发行局制度的首要和基本目标,特别是在经历了诸如20世纪90年代巴尔干半岛那样的政治和经济危机之后。央行非常有限的作用约束了金融机构和政府,但同时也不利于长期增长和就业。这一政策将本国货币与“挂钩”货币挂钩,导致其货币被用作“挂钩”货币的国家出现通货膨胀趋势。目前,高通货膨胀率是由流行病危机造成的,但也是由乌克兰战争造成的。本文分析了作为货币发行局国家的波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那和保加利亚通货膨胀的原因。结果表明,从两个角度来看,这两个国家的通货膨胀是“输入性通货膨胀”:欧洲央行的货币政策和欧洲货币联盟的通货膨胀趋势,但主要是由于乌克兰危机以及随之而来的能源和粮食危机。
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引用次数: 0
Polar Silk Road Challenge to Sino-Egyptian Economic Relations in the Belt and Road Era 极地丝绸之路对“一带一路”时代中埃经济关系的挑战
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167181
C. Yılmaz
ABSTRACT ‘Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)’, Egypt’s geostrategic location and policy preferences unite China and Egypt on various subjects, including trade, investment, and finance. Egypt is just one of many actors that have joined the BRI, but due to its possession of the Suez Canal, it is of special interest to China. This article investigates the dynamics of Sino-Egyptian economic relations following the launch of BRI. As an Initiative to establish ‘connectivity’, BRI seeks to develop the transportation infrastruct ure along the routes, with Egypt serving as a hub. Although Egypt benefits from Chinese investments and financing, bilateral economic relations face a solid challenge. That is the process of developing the Polar Silk Road (PSR), which will be enabled by rapid de-icing in the Arctic. The article questions how much the PSR threatens Egypt’s central role in the BRI. Based on relevant data, it concludes that the PSR may lower Egypt’s worth to China.
在“一带一路”倡议下,埃及的地缘战略位置和政策偏好将中国和埃及在贸易、投资和金融等诸多问题上联系在一起。埃及只是参与“一带一路”倡议的众多国家之一,但由于埃及拥有苏伊士运河,中国对埃及有着特殊的兴趣。本文探讨了“一带一路”倡议启动后中埃经济关系的动态变化。“一带一路”是“互联互通”倡议,以埃及为枢纽,发展沿线交通基础设施。尽管埃及受益于中国的投资和融资,但双边经济关系面临严峻挑战。这就是发展极地丝绸之路(PSR)的过程,这将通过北极的快速除冰而实现。这篇文章质疑PSR在多大程度上威胁了埃及在“一带一路”中的核心地位。根据相关数据,本文得出结论,PSR可能会降低埃及对中国的价值。
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引用次数: 1
Constitutions Octroyées And International State-Building: The Macedonian Case in Focus 《宪法》与国际国家建设:焦点马其顿案例
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167179
B. Vankovska
ABSTRACT This article critically examines international state-building efforts through (imposed constitutions) and constitutional revisions, a phenomenon that gains a reinvigorated significance in the modern world. The analysis differentiate the constitutions octroyées (imposed constitutions) and constitutional engineering. The empirical focus is on the peculiar Macedonian case study. The main hypothesis is that the recent constitutional history (1991–2021) involves both phenomena with a disastrous outcome of an unfinished state: what started as constitutional engineering has ended up with imposed constitutional changes, thus gradually diminishing and cancelling popular sovereignty. The process is ongoing, and the perspectives of the state are grim and paradoxical: more constitutional changes, fewer statehood elements.
摘要本文批判性地审视了通过(强制宪法)和宪法修订进行的国际国家建设努力,这一现象在现代世界中获得了新的意义。该分析区分了宪法(强加宪法)和宪法工程。实证研究的重点是马其顿特有的案例研究。主要假设是,最近的宪法史(1991-2021)涉及两种现象,这两种现象都是未完成状态的灾难性结果:最初的宪法工程最终导致了强制性的宪法改革,从而逐渐削弱和取消了人民主权。这一过程正在进行中,国家的前景是严峻而矛盾的:宪法改革越多,国家元素就越少。
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引用次数: 0
Bearing the Brunt of Legitimacy and Power Challenges: The Turkish Armed Forces’ Fall from Grace, 1997-2018 承受合法性和权力挑战的冲击:土耳其武装部队的失宠,1997-2018
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167177
Ç. Önder, Ş. Özen
ABSTRACT In this paper, we present an analytical narrative of the events that culminated in the Turkish Armed Forces’ (the TAF) fall from grace between 1997 and 2018. The narrative is guided by a conceptual framework that features organizational legitimacy and power as key to strategizing by societal constituencies. Based on this framework, we describe how the Turkish government consecutively raised legitimacy and power challenges to the TAF, underscoring adaptation of the Turkish government’s strategy to the emergent outcomes. We conclude the paper with a discussion of the usefulness of our framework for an enhanced understanding of civilian control over the military.
在本文中,我们对土耳其武装部队(TAF)在1997年至2018年期间的衰落事件进行了分析性叙述。叙事以一个概念框架为指导,该框架以组织合法性和权力为特征,作为社会选区制定战略的关键。基于这一框架,我们描述了土耳其政府如何连续向TAF提出合法性和权力挑战,强调了土耳其政府战略对紧急结果的适应。最后,我们讨论了我们的框架对增进对文职人员对军队的控制的理解的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
The New Challenges of the Western Balkan Banking Industry During Ongoing Global Crisis 西巴尔干银行业在持续的全球危机中的新挑战
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167166
Svetlana Sabljic, Tajana Serdar Rakovic, V. Vasic
ABSTRACT The current energy crisis, COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing crisis in Ukraine have been negatively affecting several channels, including energy, trade and the financial sector. As banks play the main role in all real sector business activities, it is of great importance to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine crisis on bank performances. Currently, banks are showing weaker profitability after the strong recovery in 2021, while the world is facing the impact of the war on energy prices, inflation and growth, which reinforces the existing vulnerabilities. This article assesses the impact of the current crisis on the financial performance of the banking sector in the Western Balkans. Our study shows that the energy and COVID-19 crisis have had a detrimental effect on the financial performance of banks in the Western Balkans. Furthermore, the Ukraine crisis will prolong and extend these negative effects on the financial stability and liquidity of the banking sector in Western Balkans.
摘要当前的能源危机、新冠肺炎疫情和乌克兰持续的危机对包括能源、贸易和金融部门在内的多个渠道产生了负面影响。由于银行在所有实体部门的商业活动中发挥着主要作用,研究新冠肺炎疫情和乌克兰危机对银行业绩的影响至关重要。目前,在2021年强劲复苏后,银行的盈利能力较弱,而世界正面临能源价格、通货膨胀和增长战争的影响,这加剧了现有的脆弱性。本文评估了当前危机对西巴尔干地区银行业财务业绩的影响。我们的研究表明,能源和新冠肺炎危机对西巴尔干地区银行的财务表现产生了不利影响。此外,乌克兰危机将延长并扩大这些对西巴尔干地区金融稳定和银行业流动性的负面影响。
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引用次数: 1
Sailing Through Totalitarian Regimes. The Profile of a Shipping Company at the Lower Danube: Maritime Intercontinental 在极权主义统治中航行。多瑙河下游航运公司简介:洲际海运
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167174
Cristian Constantin
ABSTRACT This study presents the context of the emergence and evolution of the Maritime Intercontinental shipping company in Brăila. The methodological approach rests on novel methods used entrepreneurship history researchers, who have developed patterns of analysis of entrepreneurs. In this article, the shipping company and its shareholders are superimposed on the template developed by the researcher Carlos Dávila. In writing this study, beyond the theoretical and statistical information known to specialists in the history of economics and entrepreneurship, we have managed to identify unpublished sources stored in the archive collections of Romanian ports. The archival materials analysed took us through the borderless universe of entrepreneurship around the Second World War. Based on the sources consulted, we sailed the Danube and the seas of the world to reach from Brăila to Naples, the port where ‘Il Comandante’ Achille Lauro thrived.
摘要本研究介绍了Brăila洲际海运公司的产生和发展背景。方法论方法基于创业史研究人员使用的新颖方法,他们开发了企业家分析模式。在这篇文章中,航运公司及其股东被叠加在研究人员Carlos Dávila开发的模板上。在撰写这项研究时,除了经济和创业史专家已知的理论和统计信息外,我们还设法确定了罗马尼亚港口档案馆中存储的未发表的来源。分析的档案材料带我们了解了第二次世界大战前后创业的无国界世界。根据咨询的消息来源,我们沿着多瑙河和世界海洋航行,从布拉到达那不勒斯,那里是“Il Comandante”Achille Lauro繁荣的港口。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Railways in the Ottoman Empire During the First World War 第一次世界大战期间铁路在奥斯曼帝国中的作用
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167180
Nevin Çoşar, Ecem Doygun, Sevtap Demirci
ABSTRACT Some of the most important factors influencing the course and outcome of the First World War were the strength of national economies, mobilization of the army, and the supply of basic products and military supplies. The railway networks played a strategic role in the war. The Ottoman Empire joined the Central Powers in the First World War in November 1914. Due to the war conditions in each country and the destruction of the railway network in Serbia, the expected level of imports could not be reached in the first 2 years. The capital city dwellers particularly experienced serious shortages of staple products during the war. The purpose of this article is to shed light on the role of railways in the Ottoman Empire during the First World War. The article examines the role of the Edirne-Istanbul railways in the battle of Gallipoli and also the provision of goods to Istanbul during the war.
影响第一次世界大战进程和结果的一些最重要因素是国民经济实力、军队动员以及基本产品和军用物资的供应。铁路网在战争中发挥了战略作用。1914年11月,奥斯曼帝国参加了第一次世界大战。由于每个国家的战争条件和塞尔维亚铁路网的破坏,前两年的进口无法达到预期水平。首都居民在战争期间尤其经历了主要产品的严重短缺。本文的目的是阐明第一次世界大战期间铁路在奥斯曼帝国中的作用。本文考察了埃迪尔内-伊斯坦布尔铁路在加里波利战役中的作用,以及战争期间向伊斯坦布尔提供货物的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Turkish–Israeli Relations in the 1960s: Trade, Trade Unions, and the Arab–Israeli War 20世纪60年代的土以关系:贸易、工会和阿以战争
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167343
Efrat Aviv
ABSTRACT Studies on the relationship between Israel and Turkey have mostly ignored earlier decades, concentrating especially on the 2000s. In particular, the 1960s have only superficially been referenced, mainly because of the Cold War. Therefore, using documents from the Israeli and Turkish State Archives, this study examines Turkish—Israeli relations during the 1960s from an economic perspective, showing how economic and trade relations caused a shift in Turkey’s foreign affairs. The study asserts that Turkey attempted to conceal its political and economic ties with Israel and, to some extent, preferred cooperating with Arab states.
关于以色列和土耳其关系的研究大多忽略了前几十年,尤其集中在2000年代。特别是,20世纪60年代只被肤浅地提及,主要是因为冷战。因此,本研究利用来自以色列和土耳其国家档案馆的文件,从经济角度考察了20世纪60年代土耳其与以色列的关系,展示了经济和贸易关系如何导致土耳其外交事务的转变。该研究断言,土耳其试图隐瞒其与以色列的政治和经济联系,并在某种程度上更愿意与阿拉伯国家合作。
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引用次数: 0
Review: Communism, Atheism, and the Orthodox Church of Albania: Cooperation, Survival and Repression 回顾:阿尔巴尼亚的共产主义、无神论和东正教:合作、生存和镇压
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2168074
J. Henry
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引用次数: 0
Hicret, Dîn ü Devlet: Osmanlı Göç Politikası(1856- 1908)[Hegira, the Religion and the State: The Ottoman Policy of Migration(1856- 1908)] Hicret,《第二国家:奥斯曼移民政策》(1856-1908)[Hegira,《宗教与国家:奥斯曼的移民政策》
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/19448953.2023.2167363
Erdal Çiftçi
methodology proceeds on a very rich and diversified level of analysis. For example, while Karakasis and Kaliber only analyse the security discourse of political leaders or opinion leaders, Adamides also analyzes the discourse and perceptions of subgroups, and analysis tools include many different tools such as surveys, focus group interviews, in-depth interviews and newspaper scanning. Consequently, Adamides opens up a fruitful area for discussion related to international relations, both in terms of its contribution to securitization theory by presenting new concepts and discussions, and in its handling of the Cyprus case involving a detailed research in which focus is on the social context. Furthermore, the book becomes even more valuable when the desecuritization efforts and the contributions of the new energy era to these efforts are taken into account. The main shortcoming of the study is that, unlike the other studies mentioned, it only includes the securitization practices in the Greek Cypriot community, instead of making a comparative analysis of the securitization practices on both sides of Cyprus. Considering the fact that the author is a Greek Cypriot and is best placed to analyse the Greek Cypriot community, this comprehensive and in-depth analysis could be taken much further through a comparative study. However, it should be noted that this study is a preliminary step for scholars dealing with the Turkish Cypriot community and opens the door for new research.
方法论是在一个非常丰富和多样化的分析层面上进行的。例如,虽然Karakasis和Kaliber只分析政治领导人或意见领袖的安全话语,但Adamides也分析亚群体的话语和看法,分析工具包括许多不同的工具,如调查、焦点小组访谈、深度访谈和报纸扫描。因此,阿达米季斯为国际关系的讨论开辟了一个富有成果的领域,无论是在其通过提出新概念和讨论对证券化理论的贡献方面,还是在其对塞浦路斯案件的处理方面,都涉及一项以社会背景为重点的详细研究。此外,当考虑到去安全化的努力以及新能源时代对这些努力的贡献时,这本书变得更有价值。该研究的主要缺点是,与上述其他研究不同,它只包括希族塞人社区的证券化实践,而没有对塞浦路斯双方的证券化做法进行比较分析。考虑到提交人是希族塞人,最适合分析希族塞人社区,可以通过比较研究进一步进行这种全面深入的分析。然而,应该注意的是,这项研究是与土族塞人社区打交道的学者的初步步骤,为新的研究打开了大门。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies
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