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The impact of compulsory primary education law on the educational attainment of children: Evidence from Vietnam 初等义务教育法对儿童受教育程度的影响:越南的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12321
Binh Thi Thanh Dang, Trung Xuan Hoang

This study examines the short-term impact of the compulsory primary education law (CPEL) on the educational attainment of children in Vietnam. This study uses the 1999 Vietnam Population and Housing Census and survival analysis to account for the right-censoring problem in the educational outcomes of children. The study found that CPEL reduces the dropout rate of children by 12%. However, the effect is minor, especially when compared with the impact of family income and parents' education. This finding is similar to those of other studies, suggesting that in addition to CPEL, other family income support and parent-oriented policies are crucial to improving children's educational attainment.

本研究探讨了《初等义务教育法》(CPEL)对越南儿童受教育程度的短期影响。本研究利用 1999 年越南人口和住房普查以及生存分析来解释儿童教育成果中的右侧删减问题。研究发现,CPEL 将儿童辍学率降低了 12%。然而,这种影响很小,尤其是与家庭收入和父母受教育程度的影响相比。这一研究结果与其他研究结果类似,表明除受惠儿童方案外,其他家庭收入支持和以家长为导向的政策对于提高儿童的教育成就也至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Does the proliferation of smartphones reduce consumer search costs? The case of the Korean gasoline market 智能手机的普及是否降低了消费者的搜索成本?韩国汽油市场案例
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12320
Bongseok Choi, Donghun Kim

This study treats the introduction of smartphones and access to the Korean gasoline market as a natural experiment, investigating how they affect consumer search costs. We estimate consumer search costs in different regional districts in Seoul and examine how smartphone proliferation affects search costs. Our findings indicate that the widespread use of smartphones reduced consumer search costs, and this reduction was more significant in districts with higher competition across firms. We can also infer that reduced search costs narrowed the market's dispersion of prices and markups.

本研究将智能手机的引入和韩国汽油市场的准入作为一个自然实验,研究它们如何影响消费者的搜索成本。我们估算了首尔不同地区的消费者搜索成本,并研究了智能手机的普及如何影响搜索成本。我们的研究结果表明,智能手机的广泛使用降低了消费者的搜索成本,而在企业间竞争较激烈的地区,这种降低更为显著。我们还可以推断,搜索成本的降低缩小了市场价格和标价的分散性。
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引用次数: 0
Family planning and fertility inequality: Evidence from the abolition of China's one-child policy 计划生育与生育率不平等:中国取消独生子女政策的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12319
Nana Chen, Hangtian Xu, Yang Xu

This study takes China's one-child policy (OCP)—a widely known policy intervention for family planning—as an example to illustrate that an income-based penalty scheme for above-quota births may cause fertility inequality. A couple can legally have only one child under the OCP, and those who exceed the quota are subject to fines. To ensure that this penalty scheme does not biasedly affect only low-income people who are relatively more sensitive to fines of a certain amount, it was designed to be income-based, which makes the perceived cost of the rich equal to that of the poor. However, we find that due to the limited liability nature of the financial penalty, it unintentionally created fertility inequality that favors the poor. Relying on city-year-level panel data, we find that this mechanism partly explains the lower birth rates in rich cities in the OCP era; the gap narrowed rapidly after the OCP abolition.

本研究以中国的独生子女政策(OCP)--一项广为人知的计划生育政策干预--为例,说明基于收入的超限额生育处罚计划可能会导致生育不平等。根据独生子女政策,一对夫妇只能合法生育一个孩子,超过配额者将被罚款。为了确保这一惩罚计划不会偏颇地只影响对一定数额罚款相对更敏感的低收入人群,该计划被设计为以收入为基础,这使得富人与穷人的感知成本相等。然而,我们发现,由于经济处罚的有限责任性质,它无意中造成了有利于穷人的生育不平等。根据城市年面板数据,我们发现这一机制在一定程度上解释了 OCP 时代富裕城市较低的出生率;OCP 取消后,这一差距迅速缩小。
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引用次数: 0
Did economic cooperation encourage trade in essential medical goods? Empirical evidence from the Asia–Pacific during COVID-19 经济合作是否鼓励了基本医疗用品的贸易?COVID-19 期间亚太地区的经验证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12317
Rahul Sen, Sanchita Basu Das

Our paper empirically investigates the role of economic cooperation involving trade in coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related essential medical goods—vaccines and their value chains, personal protective equipment, and diagnostic test kits—across 29 Asia and the Pacific economies. The paper incorporates vaccines and their global value chain products trade for the first time in the empirical literature. We further investigate whether trade facilitation, proxied by membership in regional trade agreements (RTAs), can help mitigate any adverse impact on trade in essential medical goods, applying a structural gravity framework. The results confirm that while trade is critical for Asian economies, its nature differs. Low-income economies are largely dependent on imports, whereas selected middle- and high-income economies are part of two-way trade and engaged in the low end of the vaccine value chain. We find that the onset of the pandemic has hurt exports of these goods. This adverse effect is found to be lowered for economies engaged in RTAs. This emphasizes the role of governments in committing to RTAs and implementing trade facilitation measures.

我们的论文以实证研究的方式探讨了亚太地区 29 个经济体在冠状病毒疾病(COVID-19)相关基本医疗产品(疫苗及其价值链、个人防护设备和诊断检测包)贸易方面开展经济合作的作用。本文首次将疫苗及其全球价值链产品贸易纳入实证文献。我们运用结构引力框架,进一步研究了以区域贸易协定(RTAs)成员资格为代表的贸易便利化是否有助于减轻对基本医疗产品贸易的不利影响。研究结果证实,虽然贸易对亚洲经济体至关重要,但其性质各不相同。低收入经济体主要依赖进口,而部分中高收入经济体则参与双向贸易,并从事疫苗价值链的低端业务。我们发现,大流行病的爆发损害了这些商品的出口。这种不利影响在参与区域贸易协定的经济体中有所降低。这强调了政府在加入区域贸易协定和实施贸易便利化措施方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Does economic self-interest determine public attitudes toward immigrants? An econometric case study in Japan 经济私利是否决定公众对移民的态度?日本计量经济学案例研究
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12318
Ana Maria Takahashi, Shingo Takahashi

We examine two economic self-interest hypotheses regarding the determinants of public attitudes toward immigrants: (1) the labor market hypothesis, which states that the employment and wage impacts of immigration determine the public attitudes, and (2) the welfare state hypothesis, which states that natives hold negative perceptions of immigrants due to concerns that they may strain the country's welfare budget. The first hypothesis predicts that natives' education will affect pro-immigrant attitudes more positively when immigrants come from lower income countries. The second hypothesis predicts that natives' income affects the pro-immigrant attitudes more negatively when immigrants come from lower income countries. We use the Japanese General Social Survey, which asks respondents' tolerance toward immigrants from different countries, allowing us to control for unobserved individual characteristics through a method akin to the fixed effect estimation. Our results indicate no difference in the effects of education and income on pro-immigrant attitudes regardless of whether immigrants come from high- or low-income countries. We conclude that economic self-interest does not explain Japanese public attitudes toward immigrants. We discuss the policy implications about how to improve public attitudes toward immigrants.

我们研究了有关公众对移民态度的两个经济自利假说:(1) 劳动力市场假说,即移民对就业和工资的影响决定了公众的态度;(2) 福利国家假说,即本地人由于担心移民会使国家福利预算紧张而对移民持有负面看法。第一个假设预测,当移民来自低收入国家时,本地人的教育程度会对支持移民的态度产生更积极的影响。第二个假设预测,当移民来自较低收入国家时,本地人的收入会对支持移民的态度产生更消极的影响。我们使用了日本综合社会调查(Japanese General Social Survey),该调查询问了受访者对来自不同国家的移民的容忍度,使我们能够通过类似于固定效应估计的方法来控制未观察到的个人特征。我们的结果表明,无论移民来自高收入国家还是低收入国家,教育程度和收入对支持移民态度的影响没有差异。我们的结论是,经济利己主义并不能解释日本公众对移民的态度。我们讨论了如何改善公众对移民态度的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
CALL FOR PAPERS AND PRELIMINARY INFORMATION 征稿和初步信息
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12311
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引用次数: 0
Income volatility in adolescence and university enrollment: The case of South Korea 青少年时期的收入波动与大学入学率:韩国案例
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12312
Bo‐hui Kwon, Gyeahyung Jeon
This study examines the relationship between parental income volatility and children's university enrollment. It measures parental income instability using the following indicators: (1) transitory income volatility, (2) standard deviation of the arc percent change, and (3) coefficient of variation. These metrics are derived from the total household income data collected from the child's first year of middle school through the third year of high school. Additionally, this study investigates the impact of income trends by analyzing the regression coefficient obtained by regressing total household income against the father's age. An investigation of individuals born between 1986 and 1998, who graduated from general high school, reveals an negative correlation between parental income instability/trends and the likelihood of children enrolling in a 4‐year university. However, this correlation is only statistically significant for low‐income households. These findings imply that despite similar average income levels, households with high income volatility in the lower‐income group are less likely to make adequate educational investments in their children.
本研究探讨了父母收入波动与子女大学入学率之间的关系。它使用以下指标来衡量父母收入的不稳定性:(1) 短暂收入波动,(2) 弧形百分比变化的标准差,以及 (3) 变异系数。这些指标来源于从孩子初中一年级到高中三年级收集的家庭总收入数据。此外,本研究还通过分析家庭总收入与父亲年龄的回归系数,调查了收入趋势的影响。对 1986 年至 1998 年间出生的普通高中毕业生的调查显示,父母收入的不稳定性/趋势与子女进入四年制大学的可能性之间存在负相关。不过,这种相关性只对低收入家庭有统计意义。这些发现意味着,尽管平均收入水平相似,但低收入群体中收入波动较大的家庭不太可能对子女进行充分的教育投资。
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引用次数: 0
Individual tourist expenditures in Japan during the inbound tourism boom period (2015–2017): Empirical evidence from micro survey data 入境旅游繁荣期(2015-2017 年)的日本个人游客支出:来自微观调查数据的经验证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12314
Yoichi Matsubayashi, Yoshihisa Inada
This study empirically examines the characteristics of demand generated by inbound tourism (inbound demand) in Japan in the 2010s using individual data from the Consumption Trend Survey for Foreigners Visiting Japan. This is the first study to investigate the detailed characteristics of inbound consumption during Japan's inbound boom period using individual micro survey data. One of the main findings is that household income and the exchange rate significantly affect inbound demand. This is especially true for inbound demand by visitors from Asian countries, whose main purpose for visiting Japan is shopping. Another main finding is that visa relaxation effectively increases the number of tourists from China. The third finding is that the payment environment in Japan, including the use of credit cards, has a significant impact on inbound demand. These findings provide an in‐depth insight into inbound demand as a potential engine for future economic growth in Japan.
本研究利用 "访日外国人消费动向调查 "的个人数据,对 2010 年代日本入境旅游(入境需求)所产生的需求特征进行了实证研究。这是首次利用个人微观调查数据研究日本入境旅游繁荣时期入境消费的详细特征。研究的主要发现之一是,家庭收入和汇率对入境需求有重大影响。这对于以购物为主要目的的亚洲国家游客的入境需求来说尤其如此。另一个主要发现是,签证放宽有效增加了来自中国的游客数量。第三个发现是,日本的支付环境,包括信用卡的使用,对入境需求有重大影响。这些发现深入揭示了作为日本未来经济增长潜在引擎的入境需求。
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引用次数: 0
Does outward foreign direct investment improve the performance of domestic firms? Case of Korea 对外直接投资能否改善国内企业的业绩?韩国案例
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12315
Soomin Han, Sunghyun Kim
In this article, we use firm-level data in Korea from 2010 to 2019 to analyze whether outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) affects the productivity of domestic firms, known as reverse knowledge spillovers. Using propensity score matching and difference-in-difference regressions, we verify that OFDI improves the productivity of parent companies. Considering the characteristics of OFDI and the parent company, these positive effects become greater when (1) parent company's absorptive capacity (technology level) is high, (2) OFDI is in the M&A form, and (3) OFDI is toward developed countries. In addition to these direct effects, we investigate whether OFDI improves the productivity of other domestic firms within and across industries, known as horizontal and vertical spillovers. The results demonstrate strong evidence of positive vertical spillovers but not horizontal spillovers. These evidence provide important policy implications about the specifics of outward direct investment that are beneficial to capital-exporting countries.
在本文中,我们利用韩国 2010 年至 2019 年的企业级数据,分析了对外直接投资(OFDI)是否会影响国内企业的生产率,即所谓的反向知识溢出。利用倾向得分匹配和差分回归,我们验证了对外直接投资提高了母公司的生产率。考虑到对外直接投资和母公司的特点,当(1)母公司的吸收能力(技术水平)较高,(2)对外直接投资为并购形式,(3)对外直接投资面向发达国家时,这些积极效应会更大。除了这些直接效应,我们还研究了对外直接投资是否提高了国内其他企业在行业内和行业间的生产率,即所谓的横向和纵向溢出效应。结果表明,有强有力的证据表明纵向溢出效应是积极的,但横向溢出效应并不积极。这些证据为对外直接投资的具体内容提供了重要的政策含义,有利于资本输出国。
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引用次数: 0
The synchronization between Korea's and Japan's business cycles 韩国和日本商业周期的同步性
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1111/asej.12313
Keun Yeong Lee
This article analyzes the evolution of the dynamic interactions between Korea's and Japan's business cycles. The logarithmic industrial production is first decomposed into trends and cycles using bounceback models. The estimation results of the two-state Markov switching model show that the synchronization coefficient of Korea–Japan is positive and time-varying. However, according to the estimation results of the heteroscedasticity-based VAR model, the Japanese business cycle shock has a positive effect on the contemporaneous Korean business cycle, but not vice versa. Based on these results, I estimate a TVP-VAR model assuming Cholesky decomposition and find that Japanese upward shocks do not have positive impacts on the Korean business cycle in the period before the global financial crisis or the period after the global financial crisis and before the COVID-19 outbreak. The response of Korea to the Japanese shock is smaller in the three-variable TVP-VAR compared to the two-variable TVP-VAR without the United States. The Korean business cycle upward shock also has a similar effect on the Japanese business cycle, albeit smaller, depending on the period. Overall, the size of the response seems to be closely related to global events as well as changes in trade, FDI, and political conditions between two countries.
本文分析了韩国和日本商业周期之间动态互动的演变。首先利用反弹模型将对数工业生产分解为趋势和周期。双态马尔可夫转换模型的估计结果表明,韩日同步系数为正且随时间变化。然而,根据基于异方差的 VAR 模型的估计结果,日本商业周期冲击对同期韩国商业周期有正向影响,但反之亦然。基于上述结果,笔者对假设 Cholesky 分解的 TVP-VAR 模型进行了估计,结果发现,在全球金融危机之前或全球金融危机之后、COVID-19 爆发之前,日本的上行冲击对韩国的商业周期没有正向影响。在三变量 TVP-VAR 中,韩国对日本冲击的反应小于不含美国的两变量 TVP-VAR。韩国商业周期上行冲击对日本商业周期也有类似的影响,尽管影响较小,但取决于不同时期。总体而言,反应的大小似乎与全球事件以及两国之间贸易、外国直接投资和政治条件的变化密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Economic Journal
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