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A Model United Nations Experiment on Climate Negotiations 模拟联合国气候谈判实验
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.5282/UBM/EPUB.75009
E. Hofmann, Lucas Kyriacou, Klaus M. Schmidt
Abstract Weitzman, M.L. (2014. Can negotiating a uniform carbon price help to internalize the global warming externality? J. Assoc. Environ. Resour. Econ. 1: 29–49) proposed that focusing international climate negotiations on a uniform common commitment (such as a uniform carbon price) is more effective than negotiations on individual commitments (as in the Paris agreement) in achieving ambitious climate action. We put this hypothesis to an experimental test by simulating international negotiations on climate change in collaboration with Model United Nations associations. This novel experimental format combines some of the advantages of lab and field experiments. Our results offer support for Weitzman’s hypothesis and indicate that negotiating a common commitment on a uniform carbon price may yield higher emission reductions in the long run and more participation than individual commitments à la Paris.
[摘要]Weitzman, M.L.(2014)。协商统一的碳价是否有助于将全球变暖的外部性内部化?j . Assoc。环绕。Resour。经济学,1:29-49)提出,在实现雄心勃勃的气候行动方面,将国际气候谈判的重点放在统一的共同承诺(如统一的碳价)上比就个别承诺(如巴黎协定)进行谈判更有效。我们通过与模拟联合国协会合作,模拟有关气候变化的国际谈判,对这一假设进行了实验检验。这种新颖的实验形式结合了实验室和现场实验的一些优点。我们的研究结果为Weitzman的假设提供了支持,并表明就统一碳价格进行共同承诺的谈判,从长远来看,可能比巴黎的个别承诺产生更高的减排和更多的参与。
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引用次数: 1
Corona Monitoring Nationwide (RKI-SOEP-2): Seroepidemiological Study on the Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Across Germany 全国冠状病毒监测(RKI-SOEP-2):德国SARS-CoV-2传播的血清流行病学研究
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-07 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0047
S. Bartig, Herbert Brücker, H. Butschalowsky, Christian Danne, A. Gößwald, Laura Goßner, M. Grabka, S. Haller, Doris Hess, Isabell Hey, J. Hoebel, S. Jordan, U. Kubisch, Wenke Niehues, C. Poethko-Mueller, Maximilian Priem, Nina Rother, L. Schaade, A. Schaffrath Rosario, M. Schlaud, Manuel Siegert, Silke Stahlberg, H. Steinhauer, K. Tanis, Sabrina Torregroza, Parvati Trübswetter, Jörg Wernitz, L. Wieler, H. Wilking, S. Zinn
Abstract SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus, spread across Germany within just a short period of time. Seroepidemiological studies are able to estimate the proportion of the population with antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 infection (seroprevalence) as well as the level of undetected infections, which are not captured in official figures. In the seroepidemiological study Corona Monitoring Nationwide (RKI-SOEP-2), biospecimens and interview data were collected in a nationwide population-based subsample of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). By using laboratory-analyzed blood samples to detect antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, we were able to identify a history of vaccination or infection in study participants. By combining these results with survey data, we were able to identify groups within the population that are at increased risk of infection. By linking the RKI-SOEP-2 survey data with data from other waves of the SOEP survey, we will be able to examine the medium- to long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, including effects of long COVID, in diverse areas of life. Furthermore, the data provide insight into the population’s willingness to be vaccinated as well as related attitudes and conditions. In sum, the RKI-SOEP-2 survey data offer a better understanding of the scope of the epidemic in Germany and can help in identifying target groups for infection control in the present and future pandemics.
冠状病毒SARS-CoV-2在很短的时间内传遍了德国。血清流行病学研究能够估计具有抗SARS-CoV-2感染抗体的人口比例(血清流行率)以及未被发现的感染水平,这在官方数据中未被捕获。在全国冠状病毒监测血清流行病学研究(RKI-SOEP-2)中,在社会经济小组(SOEP)的全国人口亚样本中收集了生物标本和访谈数据。通过使用实验室分析的血液样本来检测SARS-CoV-2病毒的抗体,我们能够确定研究参与者的疫苗接种史或感染史。通过将这些结果与调查数据相结合,我们能够确定人群中感染风险增加的群体。通过将RKI-SOEP-2调查数据与其他SOEP调查的数据联系起来,我们将能够检查COVID-19大流行的中长期影响,包括长期COVID对生活各个领域的影响。此外,这些数据提供了对人口接种疫苗的意愿以及相关态度和条件的深入了解。总而言之,RKI-SOEP-2调查数据有助于更好地了解德国流行病的范围,并有助于确定在当前和未来流行病中控制感染的目标群体。
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引用次数: 4
Micro Data on Robots from the IAB Establishment Panel 来自IAB成立小组关于机器人的微观数据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0045
Verena Plümpe, Jens Stegmaier
Abstract Micro-data on robots have been very sparse in Germany so far. Consequently, a dedicated section has been introduced in the IAB Establishment Panel 2019 that includes questions on the number and type of robots used. This article describes the background and development of the survey questions, provides information on the quality of the data, possible checks and steps of data preparation. The resulting data is aggregated on industry level and compared with the frequently used robot data by the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) which contains robot supplier information on aggregate robot stocks and deliveries.
迄今为止,德国关于机器人的微观数据非常少。因此,在2019年IAB编制小组中引入了一个专门的部分,其中包括有关所使用机器人的数量和类型的问题。本文描述了调查问题的背景和发展,提供了有关数据质量的信息,可能的检查和数据准备的步骤。所得数据在行业层面进行汇总,并与国际机器人联合会(IFR)经常使用的机器人数据进行比较,IFR包含机器人供应商关于机器人库存和交付总量的信息。
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引用次数: 2
The German Local Population Database (GPOP), 1871 to 2019 德国当地人口数据库(GPOP),1871年至2019年
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4175813
Felix Roesel
Abstract I present the first database of historical local population figures for all Germany. The German Local Population Database (GPOP) includes total population in 1871, 1910, 1939, 1946, 1961, 1987, 1996, 2011, and 2019 for the universe of all German municipalities, counties, and states at consistent contemporary boundaries (31 December 2019). The database was hand-collected and assembled from more than 50 sources. The data reflect 150 years of regional development and disparities in Germany. For example, East and West Germany are heavily diverging in population since 1945; and the divide was not reversed but even doubled after reunification.
我提出了第一个德国历史地方人口数据数据库。德国地方人口数据库(GPOP)包括1871年、1910年、1939年、1946年、1961年、1987年、1996年、2011年和2019年所有德国市、县和州在一致的当代边界上的总人口(2019年12月31日)。该数据库由50多个来源手工收集和汇编而成。这些数据反映了德国150年来的地区发展和差异。例如,自1945年以来,东德和西德的人口分化严重;两德统一后,这一鸿沟非但没有逆转,反而翻了一番。
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引用次数: 1
Allocation of Adaptation Aid: A Normative Theory 适应援助的分配:一个规范理论
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2021-0031
Vivek Mukherjee, D. Rübbelke, Theresa Stahlke, Anja Brumme
Abstract The paper derives an efficient allocation rule of adaptation aid from a donor to the recipient nations, which is different from the traditional development aid literature. The design of the allocation rule takes care of the optimum reaction of the nations on receipt of the aid. It suggests that the allocation rule must take care of (i) distributional weight of the recipients on the donor’s welfare, (ii) their vulnerability to climate change, (iii) their efficiency in using the aid and (iv) their mitigation response to the aid. It discusses the way these factors can be incorporated in an implementable rule by use of the available data. The score of a nation derived from the first three factors requires an upward/downward adjustment if the adaptation aid leads to an increase/decrease of the mitigation effort of the country. A nation receiving a higher score is rewarded with higher allocation of aid. The paper suggests as a rule of thumb that the aid in the form of technical assistance requires a downward adjustment and the aid in monetary form requires an upward adjustment in the score.
与传统的发展援助文献不同的是,本文推导出了捐助国对受援国适应援助的有效分配规则。分配规则的设计考虑到接受援助的国家的最佳反应。报告建议,分配规则必须考虑(i)受援国在捐助国福利中的分配权重,(ii)受援国对气候变化的脆弱性,(iii)受援国使用援助的效率,以及(iv)受援国对援助的缓解反应。它讨论了如何利用可用数据将这些因素纳入可实现的规则中。如果适应援助导致该国的缓解努力增加/减少,则由前三个因素得出的国家得分需要向上/向下调整。得分越高的国家获得的援助越多。本文认为,技术援助形式的援助需要向下调整,货币援助形式的援助需要向上调整分数。
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引用次数: 1
Cross-Corpora Comparisons of Topics and Topic Trends 跨语料库的话题比较和话题趋势
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0024
V. Bystrov, V. Naboka, A. Staszewska-Bystrova, P. Winker
Abstract Textual data gained relevance as a novel source of information for applied economic research. When considering longer periods or international comparisons, often different text corpora have to be used and combined for the analysis. A methods pipeline is presented for identifying topics in different corpora, matching these topics across corpora and comparing the resulting time series of topic importance. The relative importance of topics over time in a text corpus is used as an additional indicator in econometric models and for forecasting as well as for identifying changing foci of economic studies. The methods pipeline is illustrated using scientific publications from Poland and Germany in English and German for the period 1984–2020. As methodological contributions, a novel tool for data based model selection, sBIC, is impelemented, and approaches for mapping of topics of different corpora (including different languages) are presented.
摘要文本数据作为一种新的信息来源在应用经济学研究中得到了广泛的应用。当考虑较长时期或国际比较时,通常必须使用不同的文本语料库并将其结合起来进行分析。提出了一种方法管道,用于识别不同语料库中的主题,跨语料库匹配这些主题,并比较结果的主题重要性时间序列。主题在文本语料库中随时间变化的相对重要性被用作计量经济模型中的附加指标,并用于预测和确定经济研究的变化焦点。1984年至2020年期间,波兰和德国的英文和德文科学出版物说明了方法管道。作为方法学上的贡献,实现了一种基于数据的模型选择的新工具sBIC,并提出了不同语料库(包括不同语言)主题映射的方法。
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引用次数: 3
A Tripolar Model of Gas Price Formation in Germany. Does the Shale Revolution in the US Matter? 德国天然气价格形成的三极模型。美国页岩气革命重要吗?
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0002
Anna Moenke, A. Welfe
Abstract Presented analysis of gas price formation mechanism in Germany was prompted by changes brought about by technological advancements and the liberalization and harmonization of natural gas markets in the European Union after the year 2000. Because the data used in the study is generated by nonstationary stochastic processes, the cointegrated vector autoregressive model was applied as the most appropriate. The analysis pointed out that the price of natural gas, oil and the USD/EUR exchange rate influence each other in the long run and thus should be modelled together. Gas price in Germany is driven by both fundamental and financial factors, and so it rises with economic expansion, oil price increases, and the depreciation of the USD. It also reacts to changes in short-term interest rates and the volume of gas production in the US, which confirms that the shale revolution in this country has been consequential for gas prices in Europe, like any other supply shock would have been.
摘要:本文分析了2000年后技术进步和欧盟天然气市场自由化统一所带来的变化对德国天然气价格形成机制的影响。由于研究中使用的数据是由非平稳随机过程产生的,因此采用协整向量自回归模型是最合适的。分析指出,天然气价格、石油价格和美元/欧元汇率在长期内是相互影响的,因此应该一起建立模型。德国的天然气价格受到基本面和金融因素的双重驱动,因此它会随着经济扩张、油价上涨和美元贬值而上涨。它还会对短期利率和美国天然气产量的变化做出反应,这证实了美国的页岩革命已经对欧洲的天然气价格产生了重大影响,就像任何其他供应冲击一样。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Supervisory or Managerial Status in German Administrative Records 确定德国行政记录中的监督或管理地位
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0035
Matthias Collischon
Abstract Information on individuals holding managerial or supervisory positions within establishments is important for various aspects of labour market research. However, identifying managers or supervisors in German administrative records is not straightforward. This paper uses survey information from the Panel Study Labour Market and Social Security (PASS) to predict managerial or supervisory tasks in administrative records that can be used to enhance the identification of managers and supervisors in the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies (SIAB). Furthermore, I provide an applied example in which I calculate gender differences in the probability to hold a managerial position.
在企业中担任管理或监督职位的个人信息对于劳动力市场研究的各个方面都很重要。然而,在德国行政记录中确定经理或主管并不简单。本文使用来自小组研究劳动力市场和社会保障(PASS)的调查信息来预测行政记录中的管理或监督任务,这些任务可用于增强综合劳动力市场传记样本(SIAB)中的经理和主管的识别。此外,我还提供了一个应用示例,其中我计算了担任管理职位的概率中的性别差异。
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引用次数: 0
Wehrheim, Lino: Im Olymp der Ökonomen – Zur öffentlichen Resonanz wirtschaftspolitischer Experten von 1965 bis 2015 (Die Einheit der Gesellschaftswissenschaften im 21. Jahrhundert), Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen 2021 克利诺:在这篇《经济学家奥林帕斯》中,从1965年到2015年一直报道经济政策专家(21世纪社会科学联一)。"梅希尔贝克,图宾根2021年
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0029
U. Heilemann
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the Business Climate: Supplementary Questions in the ifo Business Survey 超越商业环境:ifo商业调查中的补充问题
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-16 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2022-0032
Katrin Demmelhuber, Stefan Sauer, K. Wohlrabe
Abstract In the monthly ifo Business Survey, around 9000 companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations, and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. Beyond the regular questions, ifo has also the possibility to include supplementary questions into the survey. These questions may be prompted by the intention to obtain an ad hoc picture of the effects of certain developments in economic policy on the companies and their reactions to them (e.g. the Covid-19 pandemic or the war in Ukraine). Another reason is the collection of data for research projects. This article gives an overview of all supplementary questions since 2009 through May 2022. It intends to show examples of the use of the obtained data and can be used as a guide for future research projects. Researchers can work with the firm-level microdata of supplementary and regular survey questions at the LMU-ifo Economics & Business Data Center.
在每月的ifo商业调查中,大约9000家公司回答了关于他们目前的业务状况、期望、近期计划以及其他业务变量的问题。除了常规问题,ifo也有可能在调查中加入补充问题。提出这些问题可能是为了获得经济政策的某些发展对公司的影响及其反应的临时情况(例如Covid-19大流行或乌克兰战争)。另一个原因是为研究项目收集数据。本文概述了自2009年至2022年5月的所有补充问题。它打算展示使用所获得数据的例子,并可作为今后研究项目的指南。研究人员可以在LMU-ifo经济与商业数据中心使用公司层面的补充和常规调查问题的微观数据。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Jahrbucher Fur Nationalokonomie Und Statistik
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