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Fertility differentials in Bangladesh and Pakistan: evidence from demographic and health surveys 孟加拉国和巴基斯坦的生育率差异:来自人口和健康调查的证据
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-07 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1986254
Siow-Li Lai
ABSTRACT Following the launch of family planning programs in the 1960s and 1970s, there has been a divergence in fertility transition across Muslim countries. Bangladesh and Pakistan provide an interesting contrast in the pace of fertility transition. Typical of the Muslim world, both countries had a high fertility level of around 6.6 children per woman in the middle of the twentieth century. While the fertility level in Bangladesh had declined to replacement level by 2016, Pakistan’s fertility rate remained well above that level, at 3.5 children per woman. Drawing on data from multiple waves of the Demographic and Health Surveys to run bivariate analyses and negative binomial regression, the paper examines the determinants of fertility differentials within and across the two countries. Pakistani women had more children than Bangladeshi women across all socio-economic variables. Differences in socio-economic conditions, cultural practices such as childbearing norms, and access to family planning between the two countries are plausible reasons for the fertility variations. The paper concludes with implications of fertility differentials in developing countries, and some recommendations on strategies to enhance planned parenthood in high fertility countries.
摘要自20世纪60年代和70年代启动计划生育计划以来,穆斯林国家在生育转变方面出现了分歧。孟加拉国和巴基斯坦在生育率转变的速度上形成了有趣的对比。作为穆斯林世界的典型代表,这两个国家在20世纪中期的生育率都很高,每名妇女生育6.6个孩子。尽管到2016年,孟加拉国的生育率已降至更替水平,但巴基斯坦的生育率仍远高于这一水平,每名妇女生育3.5个孩子。该论文利用多波人口与健康调查的数据进行双变量分析和负二项回归,研究了两国国内外生育率差异的决定因素。在所有社会经济变量中,巴基斯坦妇女生育的孩子都比孟加拉国妇女多。两国社会经济条件、生育规范等文化习俗以及计划生育机会的差异是生育率差异的合理原因。该文件最后提出了发展中国家生育率差异的影响,并就高生育率国家加强计划生育的战略提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 3
The impact of college education on women’s fertility: evidence from a natural experiment in South Korea 大学教育对女性生育能力的影响:来自韩国自然实验的证据
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-06 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1986253
Haeil Jung, Miyeun Jung
ABSTRACT This study estimates the impact of women’s college education on their fertility-related outcomes by taking advantage of a natural experiment known as the graduation quota program that massively expanded women’s opportunities to attend college in South Korea. After the 1979 military coup, the military regime in South Korea ordered all public and private colleges to expand their college admission levels by 30 per cent in 1981 and 50 per cent in 1982. This study implemented instrumental variable (IV) analysis using the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women and Families (KLoWF). Specifically, our IV analysis uses the birth cohorts that were differently exposed to this sudden and exogenous policy change as an instrumental variable to identify the longer-term effects of college education on women’s fertility-related outcomes. It is found that college education caused those women who were induced to attend college by the graduation quota program to have fewer children. Furthermore, this study finds that this impact can be partially explained by women being less likely to get married.
摘要:本研究通过利用一项被称为毕业配额计划的自然实验,估计了女性大学教育对其生育相关结果的影响,该计划大规模地扩大了韩国女性上大学的机会。1979年军事政变后,韩国军事政权下令所有公立和私立大学在1981年和1982年分别将大学招生规模扩大30%和50%。本研究采用韩国妇女与家庭纵向调查(KLoWF)进行工具变量(IV)分析。具体来说,我们的IV分析使用不同的出生队列暴露于这种突然的外源性政策变化作为工具变量,以确定大学教育对女性生育相关结果的长期影响。研究发现,大学教育导致那些被毕业配额计划诱导上大学的女性生的孩子更少。此外,这项研究发现,这种影响可以部分解释为女性不太可能结婚。
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引用次数: 3
(Un)married with children? Exploring marriage between parities in Hong Kong 结婚生子?香港的婚姻探索
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1984035
Stuart A. Gietel-Basten, G. Verropoulou
ABSTRACT Births outside of marriage are comparatively rare in East Asia, but numbers appear to be rising. Such fertility tends to be concentrated among lower educational and socioeconomic groups which can entrench pre-existing inequalities in systems where such ‘non-traditional' family forms are penalised. Most research in this area, however, has focused on the relationship between marriage and first birth. Using a large microdataset from Hong Kong, we explore the relationship between marriage and childbearing across the life-course. In particular, we examine the frequency of marriage between parities, and the various predictors of marrying (or not). Rather than ‘life-long’ cohabiters, we find roughly half of all couples who have a first birth outside of marriage do, in fact, marry before having their second child. The study concludes with some exploratory reasons for the apparently strong continuation of the relationship between marriage and childbearing in Hong Kong and in East Asia more generally.
在东亚,婚外生育相对罕见,但数量似乎正在上升。这种生育率往往集中在教育程度和社会经济水平较低的群体中,在这种“非传统”家庭形式受到惩罚的制度中,这可能会加剧先前存在的不平等。然而,这一领域的大多数研究都集中在婚姻和第一胎之间的关系上。我们利用香港的大型微数据集,探讨了婚姻与生育在整个生命历程中的关系。特别是,我们研究了不同党派之间结婚的频率,以及结婚(或不结婚)的各种预测因素。我们发现,在所有非婚生第一胎的夫妇中,实际上大约有一半在生第二胎之前就结婚了,而不是“终身”同居。研究总结了一些探索性的原因,说明婚姻和生育之间的关系在香港和东亚普遍存在。
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引用次数: 1
Why China needs an active social policy on ageing 为什么中国需要积极的老龄化社会政策
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1955444
Huoyun Zhu, A. Walker
ABSTRACT As the country with the largest population of older people, while still being a developing one, China is confronted with huge challenges in seeking an optimum response, which is high on the agenda of policy makers in Beijing. This paper makes the case for a radical new strategy on ageing which substitutes an ageing-oriented paradigm for the previous passive, instrumental and economistic ones. We first present an overview of the trend of Chinese population ageing, compared with already aged societies, followed by a summary of its impacts on the social welfare system associated with old age. Then we outline an alternative WHO influenced policy paradigm, active ageing, focusing on health, participation and security. In the light of this new approach, more active policies on ageing are called for, which are rooted in a comprehensive understanding of population trends, draw on international experience and conform to Chinese conditions and traditions.
作为世界上老年人口最多的国家,同时又是发展中国家,中国面临着巨大的挑战,如何寻求最优的应对方案,已成为北京政策制定者的重要议题。本文提出了一个关于老龄化的激进的新战略,它取代了以前被动的、工具的和经济的以老龄化为导向的范式。我们首先概述了中国人口老龄化的趋势,并与已经老龄化的社会进行了比较,然后总结了其对与老年相关的社会福利制度的影响。然后,我们概述了另一种受世卫组织影响的政策范式,即注重健康、参与和安全的积极老龄化。在这种新方法的指导下,需要更积极的老龄化政策,这些政策植根于对人口趋势的全面认识,借鉴国际经验,符合中国的国情和传统。
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引用次数: 8
The ageing of Asian migrant populations in Australia: projections and implications for aged care services 澳大利亚亚洲移民人口老龄化:对老年护理服务的预测和影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1953689
T. Wilson, Jeromey B. Temple, Bianca Brijnath, Ariane J. Utomo, P. McDonald
ABSTRACT Until the 1970s the Asia-born population of Australia remained small due to the racist White Australia Policy which denied entry to non-Europeans. Following its abolition in the early 1970s, Asian immigration progressively intensified, and in 2016 the Asia-born population of the country reached a total of 2.7 million, though the older population aged 65+ remained relatively small. This paper presents new projections of Australia's older Asia-born populations from 2016 to 2056 created with a new birthplace projection model. The results show substantial growth of the older Asia-born population can be expected over coming decades, along with changing composition by country of birth. The Asia-born proportion of Australia's older population overall is projected to rise from just 6 per cent in 2016 to 19 per cent in 2056. These coming demographic changes present challenges and opportunities - in particular relating to the provision of culturally appropriate residential and community aged care.
摘要直到20世纪70年代,由于种族主义的澳大利亚白人政策拒绝非欧洲人入境,澳大利亚在亚洲出生的人口仍然很少。在20世纪70年代初废除后,亚洲移民逐渐增加,2016年,该国在亚洲出生的人口总数达到270万,尽管65岁以上的老年人口仍然相对较少。本文采用新的出生地预测模型,对2016年至2056年澳大利亚在亚洲出生的老年人口进行了新的预测。研究结果表明,随着出生国组成的变化,预计未来几十年亚洲出生的老年人口将大幅增长。亚洲出生的澳大利亚老年人口比例预计将从2016年的6%上升到2056年的19%。这些即将到来的人口结构变化带来了挑战和机遇,特别是在提供文化上合适的住宿和社区老年护理方面。
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引用次数: 3
‘Not a bowl of rice, but tender loving care’: from aborting girls to preferring daughters in South Korea “不是一碗饭,而是温柔的关爱”:韩国从堕胎到重女
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1944408
H. Chun, M. Das Gupta
ABSTRACT South Korea is the first country to shift from strong son preference to preferring daughters. This paper examines the factors associated with daughter preference, using data from the 2012 Korea General Social Survey, a nationally-representative survey of 1,379 people. The outcome variable was derived from the survey question, 'If you were to have one child, which one would you like to have - son, daughter, or no preference?' Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the association between reported child gender preference and several social and cultural variables. 43 per cent of respondents preferred daughters, 36 per cent preferred sons, and 21 per cent were indifferent. The probability of preferring daughters over sons increased with exposure to Korea's social transformations (younger, more educated, and urban residents); and among those less vested in the traditional patriarchal norms (women, non-Buddhists, and less conservative views on gender roles). Other studies in South Korea find increasing intergenerational support between parents and daughters. This is no longer an agrarian society where aging parents depend financially on sons. Today people can save for retirement and have national health insurance. However, people live longer and need companionship and care which they feel daughters provide more than sons.
摘要:韩国是第一个从重男轻女转变为重女的国家。本文利用2012年韩国社会综合调查的数据,对1379人进行了具有全国代表性的调查,研究了与女儿偏好相关的因素。结果变量来源于调查问题,“如果你要一个孩子,你想生哪个——儿子、女儿,还是没有偏好?”多元逻辑回归用于检验报告的儿童性别偏好与几个社会和文化变量之间的关系。43%的受访者更喜欢女儿,36%的人更喜欢儿子,21%的人对此漠不关心。重男轻女的可能性随着韩国社会转型(更年轻、受教育程度更高和城市居民)的影响而增加;以及那些不太信奉传统父权制规范的人(女性、非佛教徒和对性别角色不那么保守的观点)。韩国的其他研究发现,父母和女儿之间的代际支持正在增加。这不再是一个年迈的父母在经济上依赖儿子的农业社会。如今,人们可以为退休储蓄并享受国家医疗保险。然而,人们活得更长,需要陪伴和照顾,他们觉得女儿比儿子更能提供陪伴和照顾。
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引用次数: 8
Ideal and actual intervals to first birth in Singapore 在新加坡生第一个孩子的理想和实际间隔
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1938382
Poh Lin Tan
ABSTRACT Postponement of first births is a key cause of declining fertility rates, especially in East Asia where recovery from delayed childbearing has been weak. This paper investigates achievement of ideal ages at marriage and first birth in Singapore using survey data on 657 married women aged 25–34. Almost 50 per cent marry within one year of their ideal age, but less than 30 per cent have their first child within six months of their ideal interval to first birth, with around 50 per cent waiting longer than ideal. The high proportion of women experiencing a longer-than-ideal first birth interval was observed across all age and educational groups. Regression results show that co-residence with a foreign domestic worker and paid leave entitlements are associated with higher probability of achieving their ideal first birth interval, whereas availability of parents/in-laws, husband’s help and unpaid leave do not reduce time to childbearing.
第一胎推迟是生育率下降的一个关键原因,尤其是在东亚,延迟生育的恢复一直很弱。本文利用对657名25-34岁已婚女性的调查数据,调查了新加坡在结婚和首次生育时理想年龄的实现情况。近50%的人在理想年龄的一年内结婚,但只有不到30%的人在第一胎理想间隔的六个月内生下第一个孩子,约50%的人等待的时间比理想的要长。在所有年龄和教育群体中,都观察到有很高比例的女性经历了超过理想的第一次生育间隔。回归结果表明,与外籍家庭佣工共同居住和享有带薪假期与实现理想第一次生育间隔的可能性更高有关,而父母/姻亲的可用性、丈夫的帮助和无薪假期并不会减少生育时间。
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引用次数: 0
Constellations of gender ideology, earnings arrangements, and marital satisfaction: a comparison across four East Asian societies 性别意识形态、收入安排和婚姻满意度的星座:四个东亚社会的比较
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1932067
W. Fan, Yue Qian
ABSTRACT Recent research conducted in Western countries highlights gender ideology as a multidimensional concept. Little, however, is known in East Asia about the patterns and consequences of constellations of gender ideology (i.e. clusters of attitudes towards gender relations in different domains). Using data from 3,541 married respondents in the 2006 East Asian Social Survey (China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan), we identify four constellations—egalitarian, moderate, traditional, and pro-work traditional—that differ in gender ideologies regarding the private and public spheres. We find little societal difference in the relationship between constellations of gender ideology and marital satisfaction among men. Among women, traditional Japanese women have particularly high, whereas egalitarian Taiwanese women have particularly low, marital satisfaction. Additionally, gender ideology intersects with couples’ earnings arrangements to shape marital satisfaction in Korea. Overall, our findings advance the understanding of how political and policy environments shape gender roles in work and family.
摘要最近在西方国家进行的研究强调,性别意识形态是一个多层面的概念。然而,东亚对性别意识形态的模式和后果知之甚少(即不同领域对性别关系的态度集群)。利用2006年东亚社会调查中3541名已婚受访者(中国、日本、韩国和台湾)的数据,我们确定了四个群体——平等主义、温和主义、传统主义和劳动传统——在私人和公共领域的性别意识不同。我们发现,男性的性别意识形态和婚姻满意度之间的关系几乎没有社会差异。在女性中,传统的日本女性的婚姻满意度特别高,而平均主义的台湾女性则特别低。此外,在韩国,性别意识形态与夫妻的收入安排交织在一起,形成了婚姻满意度。总的来说,我们的研究结果促进了对政治和政策环境如何塑造工作和家庭中的性别角色的理解。
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引用次数: 4
Labour market uncertainty and the economic foundations of marriage in South Korea 韩国劳动力市场的不确定性和婚姻的经济基础
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-05 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1932065
Soo-Yeon Yoon, Sojung Lim, Lanu Kim
ABSTRACT Using data from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study (1998–2014), this study examines how various indicators of socioeconomic status (SES) (i.e. education, employment status, occupation, and earnings) are associated with the transition to first marriage for South Korean men and women. Results from discrete-time event-history analysis show that all SES indicators are strongly associated with the timing of marriage for men and that there is a clear SES gradient for men's marriage entry. In addition, women with high SES (regular, white-collar jobs, and the highest earnings) are more likely to get married than those with lower SES. We also find that securing a regular job is a significant factor for marriage formation regardless of gender. These results indicate that among those with high SES in South Korea, the economic foundations of marriage appear to be characterised by the cooperation model.
摘要:本研究使用韩国劳动和收入小组研究(1998-2014)的数据,研究了社会经济地位(SES)的各种指标(即教育、就业状况、职业和收入)与韩国男性和女性向初婚的过渡之间的关系。离散时间事件历史分析的结果表明,所有社会经济地位指标都与男性的结婚时间密切相关,并且男性的婚姻进入存在明显的社会经济地位梯度。此外,社会经济地位高的女性(定期白领工作,收入最高)比社会经济地位低的女性更有可能结婚。我们还发现,无论性别如何,获得一份稳定的工作都是婚姻形成的重要因素。这些结果表明,在韩国社会经济地位高的人群中,婚姻的经济基础似乎以合作模式为特征。
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引用次数: 4
Social stratification and family change in Japan and Korea 日本和韩国的社会分层与家庭变迁
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2021.1930437
James M. Raymo, Hyunjoon Park
Dramatic changes in family formation and dissolution in East Asia are well documented (Chen & Li, 2014; Jones et al., 2009; Raymo et al., 2015; Yu & Xie, 2021). For example, in Japan and Korea mean...
东亚家庭形成和解体的巨大变化有充分的记录(Chen和Li,2014;Jones等人,2009年;Raymo等人,2015;余和谢,2021)。例如,在日本和韩国,意思是。。。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Population Studies
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