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Internal migration in Indonesia: new insights from longitudinal data 印度尼西亚境内移民:纵向数据的新见解
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-07-07 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1774139
E. Pardede, P. McCann, V. Venhorst
ABSTRACT This study examines the roles of individual and household characteristics in internal migration in Indonesia for the first time using the five waves of Indonesia Family Life Survey. Our analysis extends previous research by using a longer period to capture mobility behaviour, by comparing changing of residence across three spatial scales, by incorporating the interaction of relation to household head and gender, and by differentiating migration involving the interaction of Sumatra, Java, other regions and rural-urban areas. The multinomial logistic regression results are consistent with international observations relating to age, education, marital status, previous migration, dependents, family size, and income. Some unique features from this study are the results which show that the probability of migrating by gender varies according to one’s relation to the household head, which highlights the importance of gender and family structure in migration decision-making. Residents of Java have lower probabilities of migrating, compared to non-Java residents for smaller spatial scale migrations, but are relatively likely to engage in inter-provincial migration. Urban-originating moves are more likely than rural-originating moves for all spatial scales except for Sumatra where its rural residents have a higher probability of migrating inter-provincially than its urban residents.
摘要本研究首次利用印度尼西亚家庭生活调查的五波数据,考察了个人和家庭特征在印度尼西亚内部移民中的作用。我们的分析扩展了以前的研究,通过使用更长的时间来捕捉流动行为,通过比较三个空间尺度上的居住变化,通过纳入与户主和性别的关系的相互作用,以及通过区分涉及苏门答腊、爪哇、其他地区和城乡地区相互作用的迁移。多项逻辑回归结果与有关年龄、教育程度、婚姻状况、以前的移民、家属、家庭规模和收入的国际观察结果一致。本研究的一些独特之处在于,研究结果表明,性别迁移的可能性根据一个人与户主的关系而变化,这突出了性别和家庭结构在迁移决策中的重要性。与非爪哇居民相比,爪哇居民在较小的空间尺度上迁移的概率较低,但相对而言,他们更有可能从事省际迁移。在所有空间尺度上,城市迁移比农村迁移更有可能发生,但苏门答腊岛除外。苏门答腊岛的农村居民跨省迁移的可能性高于城市居民。
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引用次数: 12
Factors delaying marriage in Korea: an analysis of the Korean population census data for 1990–2010 韩国晚婚因素:1990-2010年韩国人口普查数据分析
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1781380
B. Lee, Jennifer L. Klein, M. Wohar, Sang-seog Kim
ABSTRACT The Korean total fertility rate is one of the lowest in the world. This study assesses a broad range of factors associated with delayed first marriages, an important determinant of low fertility, using the Korean Population Census 2 per cent sample from 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005 and 2010 and other data sources. Using a multivariate logistic regression, we examine the probability of ever being married for men and women aged 30–34 and 35–39 for different years. We find that women with higher education delay marriage compared to those with a high school degree. Highly educated men marry earlier than men with high school or less education, particularly those aged 35–39. The strongest gender effect occurs among those working in agriculture, a declining industry in Korea. Men working in agriculture are much less likely to marry by age 40, but women marry earlier. In 2005 and 2010, men working in stable, high-paying industries marry earlier, with similar effects for women aged 30–34. Finally, several regional characteristics are associated with delayed marriage including higher housing prices, higher income for women, lower unemployment rate for young women, and higher income inequality, lower income, and higher unemployment rate for men.
韩国是世界上总生育率最低的国家之一。本研究利用1990年、1995年、2000年、2005年和2010年韩国人口普查2%的样本和其他数据来源,评估了与初婚推迟相关的一系列因素,这是低生育率的一个重要决定因素。使用多元逻辑回归,我们检查了30-34岁和35-39岁的男性和女性在不同年份结婚的概率。我们发现,与高中学历的女性相比,受过高等教育的女性会推迟结婚。受过高等教育的男性比受过高中教育或教育程度更低的男性结婚更早,尤其是35-39岁的男性。性别影响最大的是农业,这是韩国正在衰退的产业。从事农业工作的男性在40岁之前结婚的可能性要小得多,但女性结婚得更早。2005年和2010年,在稳定、高收入行业工作的男性结婚更早,对30-34岁的女性也有类似的影响。最后,几个区域特征与晚婚有关,包括较高的房价、较高的女性收入、较低的年轻女性失业率,以及较高的收入不平等、较低的收入和较高的男性失业率。
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引用次数: 14
Getting the measurement right! quantifying time poverty and multitasking from childcare among mothers with children across different age groups in rural north India 正确测量!量化印度北部农村不同年龄段孩子的母亲在照顾孩子方面的时间贫困和多任务处理
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-17 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1778854
L. Irani, Vidya Vemireddy
ABSTRACT Existing research suggests that women spend a disproportionate amount of time on unpaid housework and childcare compared to men. However, there is a lack of empirical evidence on unequal time burdens due to childcare among women. This study analyses the quantum of time poverty and multitasking behaviours of 3623 rural women with children of varying ages across rural North India. Findings show that mothers with infants spend more time on childcare and less time on self-care and leisure, and employment-related activities as compared to mothers with older children; they also multitask with childcare more than mothers of older children across all their daily activities. Our findings suggest that interventions and policies need to be designed to raise awareness, identify/adopt novel approaches and technologies to reduce work burden of unpaid work on women’s time, provide accessible childcare and encourage a more equitable distribution of household responsibilities.
摘要现有研究表明,与男性相比,女性在无偿家务和育儿上花费的时间不成比例。然而,缺乏关于妇女因育儿而造成的不平等时间负担的经验证据。这项研究分析了北印度农村3623名有不同年龄孩子的农村妇女的时间贫困和多任务行为。研究结果表明,与有较大孩子的母亲相比,有婴儿的母亲在育儿上花费的时间更多,在自我照顾、休闲和就业相关活动上花费的精力更少;在所有的日常活动中,她们也比年长孩子的母亲更多地同时处理照顾孩子的任务。我们的研究结果表明,需要制定干预措施和政策,以提高人们的认识,确定/采用新的方法和技术来减轻妇女无偿工作的工作负担,提供无障碍的儿童保育服务,并鼓励更公平地分配家庭责任。
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引用次数: 9
The relationship between the ethnic composition of neighbourhood and fertility behaviours among immigrant wives in Taiwan 台湾移民妻子邻里族群构成与生育行为之关系
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1757849
Doo-Sub Kim, Yiyun He, Yeonjin Lee
ABSTRACT This study focused on the effects of the neighbourhood on the fertility outcomes among marriage immigrant wives in Taiwan. In particular, we investigated the effects of the proportion of marriage immigrants in the neighbourhood and ethnic composition of the neighbours on fertility behaviours of foreign wives. The study further explored whether and to what extent commercialised cross-border marriages moderate the relationships. Micro-data from the 2013 Living Demand of Foreign and Mainland Spouses and administrative data for 21 cities and counties were utilised in this study. We found that immigrant wives in an area with a higher proportion of marriage immigrants were likely to have higher fertility and shorter intervals between births. Immigrant wives who married through a broker were likely to have lower fertility if they were living in a neighbourhood with a higher proportion of marriage immigrants. The proportion of immigrants from Mainland China in the neighbourhood was negatively associated with fertility among immigrant wives from Mainland China.
摘要本研究主要探讨台湾外来婚姻妻子生育结果的邻里关系。特别地,我们调查了邻居中结婚移民的比例和邻居的种族构成对外国妻子生育行为的影响。该研究进一步探讨了商业化的跨国婚姻是否以及在多大程度上缓和了这种关系。本研究采用了2013年外籍和内地配偶居住需求的微观数据和21个市县的行政数据。我们发现,在婚姻移民比例较高的地区,移民妻子可能有更高的生育率和更短的生育间隔。如果居住在一个婚姻移民比例较高的社区,通过中介结婚的移民妻子的生育率可能较低。邻近地区的中国大陆移民比例与中国大陆移民妻子的生育率呈负相关。
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引用次数: 1
Government policy and global fertility change: a reappraisal 政府政策与全球生育率变化:重新评估
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1757850
Ke Shen, Feng Wang, Yong Cai
ABSTRACT The role of government policy in fertility change has been a central inquiry in understanding global demographic changes in the last half century. We return to this inquiry with longitudinal data for over 150 countries from 1976 to 2013 and use fixed-effects models to address common methodological concerns. Our results reveal that while government anti-natalist policies fail to show clear effects for all countries included, they are associated with significantly lower fertility in Asia and Latin America, two regions that have seen the most rapid fertility decline. For pro-natalist policies, which are becoming more popular in recent years, we detect only short-term positive effects, and effects limited to countries where fertility has not sunk below the ultra-low level of 1.4 children per woman. Combined, these results suggest that government policies are important in global fertility change, though the policy impacts vary by geographic location, timing, and fertility level.
摘要在过去的半个世纪里,政府政策在生育率变化中的作用一直是理解全球人口变化的核心问题。我们带着1976年至2013年150多个国家的纵向数据回到这项调查,并使用固定效应模型来解决共同的方法问题。我们的研究结果表明,虽然政府的反生育政策未能对包括在内的所有国家显示出明显的影响,但它们与亚洲和拉丁美洲的生育率显著下降有关,这两个地区的生育率下降最快。对于近年来越来越受欢迎的赞成生育政策,我们只发现了短期的积极影响,而且这种影响仅限于生育率尚未降至每名妇女1.4个孩子的超低水平的国家。综合来看,这些结果表明,政府政策在全球生育率变化中很重要,尽管政策影响因地理位置、时间和生育水平而异。
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引用次数: 1
Climate-related displacement, impoverishment and healthcare accessibility in mainland Bangladesh 孟加拉国大陆与气候有关的流离失所、贫困和医疗保健可及性
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1764187
Rabiul Haque, N. Parr, S. Muhidin
ABSTRACT This paper examines the experiences of people displaced internally by climate-related factors in mainland Bangladesh, one of the world's most climate-vulnerable countries. The data derives from a representative survey of 1,200 households drawn equally from displacement-susceptible areas and areas without climate-related displacement. Comparisons are drawn on the basis of four variables: the displaced versus the non-displaced; before displacement versus after displacement; people displaced suddenly versus those displaced gradually; and the frequency of past displacement. The displaced experience multiple disadvantages, including reduced land ownership and reduced access to electricity, sanitary toilets and healthcare services. The disadvantage is greater following sudden displacement and among those who have been displaced multiple times. The impact on the time and cost of accessing healthcare are greater after displacement. The disadvantage of the displaced, thus, is a function of interactions between exposure to natural disaster, impoverishment and lack of access to health services.
摘要本文考察了孟加拉国大陆因气候相关因素而在国内流离失所的人的经历,孟加拉国大陆是世界上气候最脆弱的国家之一。数据来源于对1200户家庭的代表性调查,这些家庭同样来自易受流离失所影响的地区和没有气候相关流离失所的地区。根据四个变量进行比较:流离失所者与非流离失所者;位移前与位移后;突然流离失所的人与逐渐流离失所的人;以及过去位移的频率。流离失所者面临着多重不利因素,包括土地所有权减少,电力、卫生厕所和医疗服务的使用减少。在突然流离失所之后,以及在那些多次流离失所的人中,劣势更大。流离失所后对获得医疗保健的时间和成本的影响更大。因此,流离失所者的不利处境是自然灾害、贫困和缺乏医疗服务之间相互作用的结果。
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引用次数: 17
Migration and non-integration in two non-western cities: Dubai and Singapore 两个非西方城市:迪拜和新加坡的移民与非融合
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1752031
Delphine Pagès-El Karoui, B. Yeoh
According to the World Migration Report 2015 (International Organisation for Migration, 2015, p. 39), among major cities with the largest proportion of foreign-born population, Dubai and Singapore are the only two non-western cities to rank among the top 19 metropolises, mainly European, North American or Australian. The intersection of migration and urban studies constitutes an expanding field of research in which western cities are overrepresented, and scholars seem reluctant to think outside western paradigms of multiculturalism and integration when exploring the ways migrants are incorporated into global cities. Yet the demographic reality of migrant numbers and proportions suggests that there is much to be gained by training the analytical spotlight elsewhere. Along with the globalised economies of Singapore and Hong Kong, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are now among polities with the lowest prospects for the integration and permanent settlement of large migrant populations, even where migrants have become the majority of the total population (Shah, 2017). Hosting about 30 million migrants and their descendants, Gulf countries, one of the most urbanised region in the world, have become the third largest migration-receiving region from the 2000s. The GCC-Asia corridor is the largest South-South corridor, with the majority of migrants coming from Asia, especially South Asia. In the United Arab Emirates (UAE), for example, Indian and Pakistani communities outnumber the 1.1 million Emirati citizens (Bel-Air, 2018). Dubai and Singapore, and more generally Gulf and Asian cities, are interesting case studies from a comparative perspective, as they help extend our thinking about patterns of incorporation of migrants in cities beyond the hegemonic western paradigm of integration (Pagès-El Karoui, 2020). Here, we note the double meaning of integration: the Durkheimian notion of the way individuals are included in the society to achieve social cohesion, and – the definition more frequently adopted for migrants – the provision of pathways to include migrants as part of the nation-state through processes of naturalisation. In both senses and at various levels, Dubai and Singapore are exemplars of non-integration, unveiling the contradictory logics of inclusion and exclusion. The comparison between Dubai (3.3 million inhabitants) and Singapore (5.7 million), two highly diverse cities, is instructive in demographic terms. At 92 per cent, the migrant share of the population in Dubai is a world record, while non-citizens account for 43 per cent of the population in Singapore (World Economic Forum, 2017). This comparison is all the more interesting in that Dubai was nicknamed ‘Singapore of the Middle
根据《2015年世界移民报告》(国际移民组织,2015年,第39页),在外国出生人口比例最大的主要城市中,迪拜和新加坡是仅有的两个跻身前19大大都市的非西方城市,主要是欧洲、北美或澳大利亚。移民和城市研究的交叉构成了一个不断扩大的研究领域,在这个领域中,西方城市的比例过高,学者们在探索移民融入全球城市的方式时,似乎不愿意跳出西方多元文化和融合的范式。然而,移民人数和比例的人口现实表明,通过在其他地方培训分析聚光灯,可以获得很多好处。与新加坡和香港的全球化经济体一样,海湾合作委员会(GCC)国家目前是大规模移民人口融合和永久定居前景最低的政体之一,即使移民已成为总人口的大多数(Shah,2017)。海湾国家是世界上城市化程度最高的地区之一,自2000年代以来,该地区已成为第三大移民接收地区,收容了约3000万移民及其后代。海湾合作委员会亚洲走廊是最大的南南走廊,大多数移民来自亚洲,尤其是南亚。例如,在阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE),印度和巴基斯坦社区的人数超过了110万阿联酋公民(Bel Air,2018)。迪拜和新加坡,以及更广泛的海湾和亚洲城市,从比较的角度来看,都是有趣的案例研究,因为它们有助于将我们对移民融入城市模式的思考扩展到西方霸权的一体化范式之外(Pagès-El Karoui,2020)。在这里,我们注意到融合的双重含义:涂尔干关于个人融入社会以实现社会凝聚力的概念,以及——移民更经常采用的定义——通过归化过程提供将移民纳入民族国家的途径。无论从何种意义上还是在不同层面上,迪拜和新加坡都是不一体化的典范,揭示了包容和排斥的矛盾逻辑。迪拜(330万居民)和新加坡(570万居民)这两个高度多样化的城市之间的比较在人口统计方面具有指导意义。迪拜移民占人口的92%创下了世界纪录,而非公民占新加坡人口的43%(世界经济论坛,2017)。这种比较更有趣的是,迪拜被戏称为“中东的新加坡”
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引用次数: 3
Growing rich without growing old: the impact of internal migration in China 变富而不变老:中国内部移民的影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-23 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1750187
Mengni Chen, C. Lloyd, P. Yip
ABSTRACT In China in 2017, the elderly dependency ratio (EDR) – which is the number of elderly per 100 working-age population – was 14.8. This represents a huge increase from 6.7 in 1970. The speed and magnitude of the ageing trend remains a serious threat to the sustainable development of China. However, the EDRs exhibit wide and unusual spatial variations within the nation. In this study, based on a decomposition analysis, the spatial pattern of the EDRs across 31 provinces in China in 2000 and 2010 are investigated. The analyses attributed the change in the EDRs to four factors: working-age migration, mortality of the population aged 5–54, population momentum, and growth of the elderly population. It is found that the impacts of internal migration offset or even reverse the regional differentials in fertility and mortality, leading to an unusual ageing pattern in China. More developed provinces attracted young workers, which reduced the EDRs despite persistent low fertility; whereas the less developed provinces saw young workers outflow, increasing the EDRs despite the relatively high fertility rate. To some extent, it could be said that some provinces are ‘growing old before growing rich’, while other provinces are growing rich without growing old.
2017年,中国的老年抚养比(EDR)为14.8,即每100个工作年龄人口中老年人口的数量。与1970年的6.7相比,这是一个巨大的增长。老龄化趋势的速度和规模仍然严重威胁着中国的可持续发展。然而,edr在国内表现出广泛而不寻常的空间差异。基于分解分析,研究了2000年和2010年中国31个省区经济发展的空间格局。分析将edr的变化归因于四个因素:工作年龄人口迁移、5-54岁人口死亡率、人口动量和老年人口增长。研究发现,国内移民的影响抵消甚至逆转了生育率和死亡率的区域差异,导致中国出现了一种不同寻常的老龄化模式。较发达的省份吸引了年轻工人,这降低了edr,尽管生育率持续较低;而欠发达省份则出现了年轻劳动力外流的现象,尽管生育率相对较高,但gdp仍在增加。从某种程度上说,有些省份是“未富先老”,而有些省份是“未老先富”。
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引用次数: 6
Family-supportive workplace policies and South Korean mothers’ perceived work-family conflict: accessibility matters 支持家庭的工作场所政策和韩国母亲感知到的工作与家庭冲突:可及性很重要
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2020.1721837
Eun Jung Kim, S. Parish
ABSTRACT The present study examined the association of family policies on married working mothers in South Korea’s work-family conflict. The goal of the study was to compare the differential effects of policy availability and accessibility on reducing mothers’ work-family conflict. Given Korea’s work culture, which emphasises long working hours and work-oriented ethics, some employees may be unable to use family polices even if they are available at work. Using the 2007–2012 Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women and Families (N = 941 employed mothers), the study examined six policies. Random effects modelling was used. Results revealed that availability of family polices was insignificant in reducing mothers’ work-family conflict in Korea, and mothers’ work-family conflict decreased significantly only when they were actually accessible. Mothers’ work-family conflict decreased significantly as they had access to more family policies. The present study underscores in order for family policies to have a real impact, family policies should be made more readily accessible.
摘要本研究考察了韩国工作家庭冲突中家庭政策对已婚职业母亲的影响。该研究的目的是比较政策可用性和可及性对减少母亲工作与家庭冲突的不同影响。鉴于韩国的工作文化强调长时间工作和以工作为导向的道德,一些员工可能无法使用家庭政策,即使他们可以在工作中使用。利用2007-2012年韩国妇女和家庭纵向调查(N = 941名在职母亲),该研究考察了六项政策。采用随机效应建模。结果显示,在韩国,家庭政策的可用性在减少母亲的工作-家庭冲突方面并不重要,只有当母亲真正可以获得家庭政策时,母亲的工作/家庭冲突才会显著减少。母亲的工作与家庭冲突显著减少,因为她们可以获得更多的家庭政策。本研究强调,为了使家庭政策产生真正的影响,家庭政策应该更容易获得。
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引用次数: 9
The influence of premarital coresidence with parents and family income on the transition to first marriage in South Korea 婚前父母关系和家庭收入对韩国向初婚过渡的影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2019.1651573
Joongbaeck Kim
ABSTRACT Premarital family context is influential for the transition to first marriage. This study examines the extent to which coresidence with parents and family income is associated with the transition to first marriage in South Korea. Drawing on extended coresidence perspective, the study examines the extent to which premarital coresidence with parents is associated with the transition to first marriage. Furthermore, the study examines the influence of family income and its moderating influence on the relationship between coresidence and transition to marriage. Utilising the representative data from the Youth Panel, this paper examines the effects of family income and coresidence with parents on marital formation over time using discrete-time hazard models. Results show that coresidence with parents is negatively associated with the transition to marriage. Yet, at the same time, family income has shown to be positively associated with transition to marriage. While findings of interactive effect suggest that the odds of marriage for those coresiding decreases, as family income increases.
婚前家庭环境对向初婚过渡有影响。这项研究考察了与父母和家庭收入的共同生活在多大程度上与韩国向初婚的过渡有关。本研究采用扩展的伴侣关系视角,考察了婚前与父母的伴侣关系在多大程度上与向初婚的过渡有关。此外,本研究还考察了家庭收入对同居和向婚姻过渡关系的影响及其调节作用。利用青年小组的代表性数据,本文使用离散时间风险模型研究了家庭收入和与父母的共同生活对婚姻形成的影响。结果表明,与父母的共同生活与向婚姻的过渡呈负相关。然而,与此同时,家庭收入已被证明与向婚姻过渡呈正相关。而交互效应的研究结果表明,随着家庭收入的增加,那些共同支持的人结婚的几率会降低。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Asian Population Studies
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