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Rwanda-Uganda relations: elites’ attitudes and perceptions in interstate relations 卢旺达-乌干达关系:精英阶层对国家间关系的态度和看法
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2200598
G. Bareebe, Moses Khisa
ABSTRACT Rwanda and Uganda have had strained relations, oscillating between warm, lukewarm, hostile and outright war. Since the biggest falling out during the Second Congo War (1998–2003), both governments have variously accused each other of wrongdoing, including allegations of supporting rebel activities, covert counterintelligence operations and espionage. The most recent escalation in frosty relations saw the closure of Katuna border post. Because the respective ruling parties – the Rwandan Patriotic Front and the National Resistance Movement – at a minimum have shared ideological and historical origins, we would expect relations to be strong and constructive not hostile or tenuous. Yet, it is precisely the shared history and social ties among the politico-military and intelligence elites that shape the suspicion, mistrust and hostility that feed into official policies. This article analyses how shared ideological and historical origins, social relations and kindred ties inform individual attitudes and perceptions of key elites toward each other’s government.
卢旺达和乌干达的关系一直很紧张,时而温暖,时而冷淡,时而敌对,时而直接开战。自第二次刚果战争(1998-2003)期间最严重的争吵以来,两国政府都指责对方有不当行为,包括支持叛军活动、秘密反情报行动和间谍活动。两国关系冷淡的最近一次升级是关闭了卡图纳边境哨所。由于各自的执政党- -卢旺达爱国阵线和全国抵抗运动- -至少有共同的意识形态和历史渊源,我们希望双方的关系是牢固和建设性的,而不是敌对或脆弱的。然而,正是政治、军事和情报精英之间共同的历史和社会关系塑造了官方政策中的怀疑、不信任和敌意。本文分析了共同的意识形态和历史渊源、社会关系和血缘关系如何影响关键精英对彼此政府的个人态度和看法。
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引用次数: 0
Patchwork states: the historical roots of subnational conflict and competition in South Asia 拼凑的国家:南亚次国家冲突和竞争的历史根源
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2207818
E. McDonnell
Patchwork States argues that the subnational politics of conflict and competition in South Asian countries have roots in the history of uneven state formation under colonial rule. Colonial India contained a complex landscape of different governance arrangements and state-society relations. After independence, postcolonial governments revised colonial governance institutions, but only with partial success. The book argues that contemporary India and Pakistan can be usefully understood as patchwork states, with enduring differences in state capacity and statesociety relations within their national territories. The complex nature of territorial governance in these countries shapes patterns of political violence, including riots and rebellions, as well as variations in electoral competition and development across the political geography of the Indian subcontinent. By bridging past and present, this book can transform our understanding of both the legacies of colonial rule and the historical roots of violent politics, in South Asia and beyond.
《拼凑国家》一书认为,南亚国家的次国家政治冲突和竞争根源于殖民统治下国家形成不平衡的历史。殖民时期的印度有着不同的治理安排和国家-社会关系的复杂格局。独立后,后殖民政府修改了殖民统治机构,但只取得了部分成功。这本书认为,当代的印度和巴基斯坦可以被理解为拼凑而成的国家,在各自的国家领土内,国家能力和国家社会关系存在着持久的差异。这些国家领土治理的复杂性塑造了政治暴力的模式,包括骚乱和叛乱,以及印度次大陆政治地理上选举竞争和发展的变化。通过连接过去和现在,这本书可以改变我们对殖民统治的遗产和南亚及其他地区暴力政治的历史根源的理解。
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引用次数: 1
Decolonizing 1968: transnational student activism in Tunis, Paris, and Dakar 1968年非殖民化:突尼斯、巴黎和达喀尔的跨国学生运动
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2207810
Pedro Monaville
in small group interviews with subjects. The journey from having one’s racial ambiguity questioned to developing a political identity is extremely complicated and a discussion of the interviews’ content would have really offered unique personal insight to these processes. Lastly, the author could have used standard questions in South African voting studies that asks respondents how representative they think each party is, whether they think the ANC or DA represents all South Africans or only a narrow interest, and which of these parties they believe would govern the country best or be best able to solve the most important problems. I appreciate Harris’s concern for endogeneity and post-treatment biases in the analysis, but I was left wondering why subjects’ considerations of the parties’ representative capacities and evaluations of their performance in office (the ANC at the national level, the DA in the Western Cape) were not considered. The above should not be viewed as criticisms but rather as suggestions to advance the analytical and theoretical core developed in this book. The crux of this book impressively advances the study of race and ethnicity in African politics well beyond earlier more crude analyses that merely included demographic factors, which neglect to fully consider the construction of racial identity. This is a marvellous book on the role of race in politics, which can be extended to other cases globally, and should be on the reading list of anyone interested in these dynamic socio-political processes.
在与受试者的小组访谈中。从一个人的种族模糊性受到质疑到发展政治身份的过程是极其复杂的,对访谈内容的讨论确实会为这些过程提供独特的个人见解。最后,作者可以使用南非投票研究中的标准问题,询问受访者他们认为每个政党的代表性如何,他们是否认为非国大或民主联盟党代表所有南非人或只代表狭隘的利益,以及他们认为这些政党中哪一个能最好地治理国家或最能解决最重要的问题。我很欣赏哈里斯对分析中的内质性和处理后偏见的关注,但我想知道为什么受试者没有考虑到政党的代表能力和对其执政表现的评估(全国层面的非国大,西开普省的民主联盟党)。以上内容不应被视为批评,而应被视为推进本书分析和理论核心的建议。这本书的关键之处令人印象深刻地推动了对非洲政治中种族和民族的研究,远远超过了早期更粗糙的分析,这些分析只包括人口因素,而忽视了充分考虑种族身份的构建。这是一本关于种族在政治中的作用的好书,可以扩展到全球其他案例,任何对这些动态的社会政治过程感兴趣的人都应该阅读这本书。
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引用次数: 0
Elite rhetoric, media professionalism and popular support for media freedoms in Sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲的精英言论、媒体专业精神和大众对媒体自由的支持
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2204738
P. VonDoepp, D. J. Young
ABSTRACT This paper examines support for media freedoms in Anglophone African countries, focusing on the national and individual-level determinants of such support. Leveraging a unique dataset capturing anti-media rhetoric from political leadership across 15 African countries, we explore whether such rhetoric drives down support for media freedoms. Our findings offer only modest support for this, indicating that only certain types of rhetoric diminish support for media freedoms and, at that, only among executive supporters. By contrast, we find that anti-media rhetoric may actually drive up support. Moreover, we find that higher comparative levels of media professionalism significantly increase support for media freedoms. This suggests that media professionals may have substantial say in patterns of popular support for the media. More generally, our findings point to the need for more research on the impacts of both rhetoric and professionalism on support for the media.
本文考察了非洲英语国家对媒体自由的支持,重点关注这种支持的国家和个人层面的决定因素。我们利用收集15个非洲国家政治领导人反媒体言论的独特数据集,探讨这些言论是否会降低对媒体自由的支持。我们的研究结果只提供了适度的支持,表明只有某些类型的言论会减少对媒体自由的支持,而且只在行政支持者中。相比之下,我们发现反媒体言论实际上可能会提高支持率。此外,我们发现较高的媒体专业水平显著增加了对媒体自由的支持。这表明,媒体专业人士在大众对媒体的支持模式上可能有很大的发言权。更一般地说,我们的研究结果表明,需要对修辞和专业精神对媒体支持的影响进行更多的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Everyday identity and electoral politics: race, ethnicity, and bloc voting in South Africa and beyond 日常身份和选举政治:南非及其他地区的种族、民族和集团投票
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2207809
R. Nyenhuis
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引用次数: 2
Narendra Modi's ‘Gujarat Model’: re-moulding development in the service of religious nationalism 纳伦德拉·莫迪的“古吉拉特邦模式”:为宗教民族主义服务的重塑发展
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/14662043.2023.2203997
Sruthi Muraleedharan
ABSTRACT Narendra Modi’s national leadership since 2014 is a significant marker of revitalisation of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Indian politics. This article traces Modi’s association with the idea and rhetoric of development. He presented himself as vikaspurush (development man) and as a leader who would provide strong governance for India when he campaigned in the 2014 general elections. The Gujarat Model was showcased by him as the blueprint for development for the whole of India. However, a closer analysis of the developmental paradigm demonstrates that he has changed secular meanings and connotations of state-initiated development by associating state action with the rituals of pilgrimage used in the yatra (procession) politics of the Hindu nationalist movement. The article highlights the significance of the blurring of the lines between the administrative-bureaucratic process of planning and religio-spatial symbolism.
自2014年以来,纳伦德拉·莫迪(Narendra Modi)的国家领导是印度政治中印度人民党(BJP)复兴的重要标志。这篇文章追溯了莫迪与发展理念和修辞的联系。在2014年的大选中,他以“发展人”的形象出现,并作为一名领导人为印度提供强有力的治理。古吉拉特邦模式被他展示为整个印度的发展蓝图。然而,对发展范式的进一步分析表明,他通过将国家行动与印度教民族主义运动中使用的朝圣仪式联系起来,改变了国家发起的发展的世俗意义和内涵。文章强调了规划的行政-官僚过程与宗教-空间象征主义之间界限模糊的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Gauging Gerrymandering in Pennsylvania 宾夕法尼亚州的选区划分不公
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.15367/com.v22i1.640
J. Russell, Benjamin Lieberman
There is currently no widely accepted standard method to determine whether gerrymandering has occurred. To determine a cutoff for unreasonable gerrymandering, simulating collections of districting plans in the absence of partisan bias has been proposed. In simulation-based methods, real-world election outcomes are compared to results from simulated districting plans. Here, a simulation method that creates possible districts in continuous space is proposed. Existing methods use preliminary spatial discretization of the state to perform simulations. This spatial discretization can result in biased estimates, which could lead to inaccurate conclusions regarding gerrymandering. We use our continuous-space method to analyze the political districts in Pennsylvania. All of our simulated elections result in fewer than 13 Republican seats, indicating that the districting plan used in Pennsylvania prior to 2018 was likely gerrymandered. This finding agrees with and confirms the results of simulation-based discrete-space gerrymandering studies without the presence of discretization bias.
目前还没有被广泛接受的标准方法来确定是否发生了不公正的选区划分。为了确定不合理的选区划分的界限,有人提议在没有党派偏见的情况下模拟分区计划的收集。在基于模拟的方法中,将真实的选举结果与模拟分区计划的结果进行比较。本文提出了一种在连续空间中创建可能区域的仿真方法。现有的方法使用状态的初步空间离散化来进行模拟。这种空间离散化可能导致有偏见的估计,这可能导致关于不公正划分的不准确结论。我们使用连续空间方法来分析宾夕法尼亚州的政治选区。我们所有的模拟选举结果都不到13个共和党席位,这表明宾夕法尼亚州在2018年之前使用的分区计划可能是不公正的。这一发现与基于模拟的离散空间gerrymandering研究结果一致,并证实了不存在离散化偏差的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The 2018 Pennsylvania Midterm Election 2018年宾夕法尼亚州中期选举
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.15367/com.v22i1.639
Berwood A. Yost, Jackie Redman
This article uses pre-election survey, post-election survey, voter registration, and election data to interpret the outcomes of the 2018 midterm elections for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House of Representatives in Pennsylvania. This analysis shows that the results of the 2018 midterm races in Pennsylvania were nationalized. Feelings about the president’s performance drove voter interest and turnout, and also factored into the choices that voters made in the gubernatorial, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House races. Voter preferences in each race followed the same pattern: even after accounting for partisanship and ideology, those who were dissatisfied with President Trump’s performance were more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate. The results suggest that the 2018 midterm results were a repudiation of the Trump presidency, but not a return to the state’s pre-2016 politics.
本文使用选举前调查、选举后调查、选民登记和选举数据来解释2018年宾夕法尼亚州州长、美国参议院和美国众议院中期选举的结果。这一分析表明,2018年宾夕法尼亚州中期选举的结果被国有化了。对总统表现的感受推动了选民的兴趣和投票率,也影响了选民在州长、参议院和众议院选举中做出的选择。每次竞选中的选民偏好都遵循同样的模式:即使考虑到党派和意识形态,那些对特朗普总统表现不满的人也更有可能投票给民主党候选人。结果表明,2018年的中期选举结果是对特朗普总统任期的否定,而不是回归到2016年之前的政治。
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引用次数: 0
COMMONWEALTH Matters 英联邦事务
Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.15367/com.v22i1.637
J. Wesley Leckrone
Editor's Note
编者按
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引用次数: 0
The Evolution of Sentencing Policy in New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania 新泽西州、纽约州和宾夕法尼亚州量刑政策的演变
IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.15367/com.v22i1.638
Courtney E. Broscious, Kathy S. Javian
Criminal justice reform has become an important policy area in the American states and federal government due to the extremely high rates of incarceration in the United States. In addition, high and disproportionate rates of incarceration for black people is an important civil rights issue that needs attention at all levels of the criminal justice system, from policing to parole. This case study of the mid-Atlantic states generates hypotheses for a 50-state model on one aspect of this system: sentencing policy. The mid-Atlantic states of New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania are similar in terms of political culture and demographics and have key differences in incarceration rates that make them good choices for a comparative case study using the “most similar systems” or “comparable cases” design. Through our case study we identify policies that we believe contribute to rising incarceration levels as well as suggest reforms. Specifically, we argue that the combination of Pennsylvania’s structured sentencing guidelines and indeterminate sentencing have contributed to high levels of incarceration that have persisted even as the push for punitiveness in the criminal justice system has diminished. These factors in conjunction with political variables should be studied further in a quantitative model of the 50 states in order to provide areas for reform.
由于美国的监禁率极高,刑事司法改革已成为美国各州和联邦政府的一个重要政策领域。此外,黑人监禁率高且不成比例是一个重要的民权问题,需要从警务到假释等刑事司法系统的各个层面予以关注。这个对大西洋中部各州的案例研究为这个系统的一个方面——量刑政策——提出了一个50州模型的假设。大西洋中部的新泽西州、纽约州和宾夕法尼亚州在政治文化和人口结构方面相似,在监禁率方面存在关键差异,这使它们成为使用“最相似系统”或“可比较案例”设计进行比较案例研究的良好选择。通过案例研究,我们确定了我们认为导致监禁率上升的政策,并提出了改革建议。具体来说,我们认为,宾夕法尼亚州结构化的量刑指南和不确定的量刑相结合,导致了高水平的监禁,即使刑事司法系统中对惩罚的推动已经减弱,这种监禁仍然存在。这些因素与政治变量应该在50个州的定量模型中进一步研究,以便为改革提供领域。
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引用次数: 0
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COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS
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