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Improving Competitiveness Through Vocational and Higher Education: Indonesia’s Vision For Human Capital Development In 2019–2024 通过职业和高等教育提高竞争力:印度尼西亚2019-2024年人力资本发展愿景
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1909692
S. Indrawati, A. Kuncoro
This article explores Indonesia’s readiness to upgrade its human capital in response to changes in population and economic structure in order to harness the technological advances of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. The symptoms of premature deindustrialisation can be clearly observed in Indonesia, suggesting that it needs to improve its productivity to adapt to digital disruption and structural economic change. Supplyside advancement will require infrastructure and human resource development. On the production side, Indonesia will need to revitalise its manufacturing, service and resource-based sectors, treating them as value chains to be integrated into global networks. Indonesia’s education policy framework to upgrade human resources and improve the country’s competitiveness focuses on five areas: access to education; quality of education; synergies between government, industry and higher education; industry linkages; and incentives. Meanwhile, the disruption caused by the Covid-19 pandemic is forcing the Indonesian education system to instantly revolutionise its teaching methods to adapt to pandemic and post-pandemic conditions.
本文探讨了印度尼西亚为应对人口和经济结构的变化而提升人力资本的准备情况,以利用第四次工业革命的技术进步。印尼可以清楚地观察到过早去工业化的症状,这表明它需要提高生产力,以适应数字破坏和结构性经济变化。供应方的发展需要基础设施和人力资源的开发。在生产方面,印尼需要振兴其制造业、服务业和资源型行业,将其视为融入全球网络的价值链。印度尼西亚旨在提升人力资源和提高国家竞争力的教育政策框架侧重于五个领域:获得教育的机会;教育质量;政府、工业和高等教育之间的协同作用;产业联系;以及激励措施。与此同时,新冠肺炎疫情造成的混乱迫使印尼教育系统立即彻底改变教学方法,以适应疫情和疫情后的条件。
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引用次数: 22
A Diagnostic Study of the Civil Service in Indonesia 印度尼西亚公务员制度的诊断研究
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1956406
A. Booth
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引用次数: 8
The Status of Palm Oil Under the European Union’s Renewable Energy Directive: Sustainability or Protectionism? 棕榈油在欧盟可再生能源指令下的地位:可持续性还是保护主义?
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-12-10 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1862411
A. Tyson, Eugenia Meganingtyas
According to the European Union’s recast Renewable Energy Directive (RED II), the EU aims to phase out feedstock biofuels that involve high indirect land-use change (ILUC) by 2030, which includes crude palm oil only. Indonesia, the world’s leading producer of crude palm oil, contests this regulation, claiming that the classification of biofuels as being produced with high- or low-risk ILUC is discriminatory and inherently protectionist. This study examines the critical ambiguities of protectionism and sustainability, using a legal framework to empirically ascertain the nature of RED II and Indonesia’s institutional response. Southeast Asian palm oil and European vegetable oils (such as rapeseed and sunflower oils) are considered ‘like products’ under World Trade Organization criteria that emphasise product-related process and production methods. RED II has the potential to qualify for exemptions under GATT article XX. However, the extraterritoriality of RED II, which aims to reduce emissions, is contested, as is the unilateral nature of the ILUC risk measurements.
根据欧盟修订的可再生能源指令(RED II),欧盟的目标是到2030年逐步淘汰涉及高间接土地利用变化(ILUC)的原料生物燃料,其中只包括粗棕榈油。世界领先的棕榈油生产国印度尼西亚对这一规定提出异议,声称将生物燃料分为高风险或低风险的ILUC生产是歧视性的,本质上是保护主义的。本研究考察了保护主义和可持续性的关键歧义,使用法律框架来实证地确定RED II的性质和印度尼西亚的制度反应。东南亚棕榈油和欧洲植物油(如菜籽油和葵花籽油)被认为是世界贸易组织标准下的“类似产品”,该标准强调与产品相关的过程和生产方法。RED II有可能符合关贸总协定第20条规定的豁免资格。然而,旨在减少排放的RED II的治外法权受到质疑,ILUC风险测量的单方性质也受到质疑。
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引用次数: 9
A Survey of Papers Using Indonesian Firm-Level Data: Research Questions and Insights for Novel Policy-Relevant Research in Economics 使用印尼企业级数据的论文调查:经济学中新政策相关研究的研究问题和见解
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-12-10 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1862410
Laura Márquez-Ramos
I review the literature in international trade that uses Indonesian firm-level data, particularly the Annual Manufacturing Survey compiled by the Industrial Statistics division of Statistics Indonesia. I identify the issues addressed and the scope for new policy-relevant research questions. From a data-availability approach, I provide insights into general data concerns and constraints faced by researchers. From a policy-relevance approach, I find that a limited number of topics are analysed in the studies that use the data and are published in international refereed journals. I identify some overall trends, and then discuss new topics and methods for a continuing policy-relevant research agenda.
我回顾了使用印尼企业层面数据的国际贸易文献,特别是由印尼统计局工业统计部门编制的年度制造业调查。我确定了解决的问题和新的政策相关研究问题的范围。从数据可用性的角度,我提供了对研究人员所面临的一般数据问题和约束的见解。从政策相关性方法来看,我发现在使用数据的研究中分析了有限数量的主题,并发表在国际评审期刊上。我确定了一些总体趋势,然后讨论了与政策相关的持续研究议程的新主题和方法。
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引用次数: 4
Wagner’s Law and the Dynamics of Government Spending on Indonesia 瓦格纳定律和印尼政府开支的动态
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1811837
Julian Inchauspe, Moch Abdul Kobir, G. Macdonald
The empirical relationship between public expenditure and economic growth can be analysed from different viewpoints. This study focuses on the empirical testing of the validity of Wagner’s law for the Indonesian economy. The high economic growth in the sample period of 1980–2014 makes the law likely to be applicable to Indonesia. Causality and cointegration techniques are used. A key finding in our vector autoregression analysis is unidirectional causality running from GDP and price to government expenditure, supporting Wagner’s law. In the case of price and government expenditure, this study also finds evidence of a long-run cointegrating relationship, which appears stable and supports unidirectional causality. The vast majority of the deviations from the equilibrium relationship between government expenditure and price are found to be transitory shocks to government expenditure. Most deviations also appear significantly countercyclical to economic activity, suggesting that government expenditure does play a role in economic stabilisation.
公共支出与经济增长之间的实证关系可以从不同的角度进行分析。本研究的重点是实证检验瓦格纳定律对印尼经济的有效性。1980-2014年样本期间的经济高速增长使得该法律可能适用于印度尼西亚。使用因果关系和协整技术。我们的矢量自回归分析的一个关键发现是从GDP和价格到政府支出的单向因果关系,支持瓦格纳定律。在价格与政府支出的案例中,本研究也发现了长期协整关系的证据,这种协整关系表现稳定,支持单向因果关系。绝大多数偏离政府支出与价格均衡关系的是对政府支出的暂时性冲击。大多数偏差也明显与经济活动反周期,这表明政府支出确实在经济稳定中发挥了作用。
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引用次数: 8
Glossary 术语表
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1854644
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引用次数: 0
East Asian Integration: Goods, Services and Investment 东亚一体化:商品、服务和投资
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1854722
P. Athukorala
This multi-author volume aims to supply ‘meaningful analyses … of regional integration and cooperation in East Asia … that provide insights in designing better preferential trading agreements or ec...
这本多作者的书旨在提供“有意义的分析” … 东亚区域一体化与合作 … 为设计更好的优惠贸易协议或电子商务提供见解。。。
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引用次数: 1
Jokowi in the Covid-19 Era: Repressive Pluralism, Dynasticism and the Overbearing State 新冠肺炎时代的佐科威:压制性多元主义、王朝主义和霸道国家
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1846482
G. Fealy
The Covid-19 pandemic has thrown President Joko Widodo’s second-term plans into disarray. Jokowi’s aspiration for dramatically accelerated development between 2019 and 2024 to secure his legacy as a transformative president now appears unachievable. As he has grappled with managing the pandemic and salvaging key parts of his agenda, he has consistently prioritised the economy over public health, and has also abandoned commitments to uphold or strengthen an array of political and civil rights that are crucial to the quality of Indonesian democracy. He has allowed the military and intelligence services to greatly expand their role in public life, and his government has, in the name of defending Indonesian pluralism, initiated discriminatory measures against sections of the Islamist community, which the government sees as sectarian and intolerant. The president’s reformist credentials have also been dented by Jokowi’s decision to support the nominations of his son and son-in-law in mayoral elections in two major cities, bringing accusations of dynasticism and elitism.
新冠肺炎大流行使总统佐科·维多多的第二任期计划陷入混乱。佐科维希望在2019年至2024年间大幅加快发展,以确保他作为一位变革性总统的遗产,但现在看来,这一愿望似乎无法实现。在努力应对疫情和挽救其议程的关键部分时,他一贯将经济置于公共卫生之上,并放弃了维护或加强一系列对印尼民主质量至关重要的政治和公民权利的承诺。他允许军事和情报部门大幅扩大其在公共生活中的作用,他的政府以捍卫印尼多元化的名义,对伊斯兰社区的某些部分采取歧视性措施,政府认为这些部分是宗派主义和不容忍的。佐科维决定在两个主要城市的市长选举中支持儿子和女婿的提名,这也削弱了总统的改革派资格,引发了对王朝主义和精英主义的指责。
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引用次数: 45
Indonesia and the Asian Development Bank: Fifty Years of Partnership 印度尼西亚与亚洲开发银行:五十年伙伴关系
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1854736
S. Grenville
By coincidence, 1966 marked not only a watershed in Indonesia’s economic history after the Second World War but also the founding of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The narrative of the ADB in In...
巧合的是,1966年不仅是第二次世界大战后印度尼西亚经济史上的一个分水岭,也是亚洲开发银行(ADB)成立的一年。亚洲开发银行在…
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引用次数: 0
Indonesia Under the New Normal: Challenges and the Way Ahead 新常态下的印尼:挑战与未来之路
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2020.1854079
R. Sparrow, T. Dartanto, R. Hartwig
As the Covid-19 crisis deepened in 2020, President Joko Widodo announced that Indonesia should prepare for the ‘new normal’. But when social distancing restrictions were relaxed in June to encourage economic recovery, the virus was not yet contained in Indonesia. Since then, the rate of infection has been rising faster than in many neighbouring countries. The pandemic has hit the economy hard, with a 5.3% reduction in GDP in the second quarter, the worst economic slump since 1998. In this Survey, we look at how Indonesia is preparing for the new normal. We argue that the government is focused on short-term recovery and does not have a clear strategy to address the medium-and longer-term implications of Covid-19. The response to the virus relies on public compliance to public health measures. There is a clear lack of emphasis on reducing the rate of infection through effective testing and tracing and enforcing social distancing and mobility restrictions. The government has developed an economic recovery plan that concentrates on cushioning the short-term impact of the crisis and supporting the poor and near-poor, rather than reducing long-term poverty and preventing structural changes in unemployment. Finally, we find that the pandemic is undermining the long-term financial sustainability of Indonesia’s social health insurance system. The education sector is reasonably prepared for extended school closures and distance learning. Yet there is no strategy to address the accumulated learning losses resulting from this crisis.
随着新冠肺炎危机在2020年加深,印尼总统佐科·维多多宣布,印尼应该为“新常态”做好准备。但当6月份放松社交距离限制以鼓励经济复苏时,病毒尚未在印度尼西亚得到控制。自那以后,感染率的上升速度比许多邻国都快。疫情严重打击了经济,第二季度国内生产总值下降5.3%,这是自1998年以来最严重的经济衰退。在本次调查中,我们将了解印度尼西亚如何为新常态做准备。我们认为,政府专注于短期复苏,没有明确的战略来应对新冠肺炎的中长期影响。对病毒的反应取决于公众对公共卫生措施的遵守情况。显然没有强调通过有效的检测和追踪以及实施社交距离和行动限制来降低感染率。政府制定了一项经济复苏计划,重点是缓解危机的短期影响,支持穷人和准穷人,而不是减少长期贫困和防止失业的结构性变化。最后,我们发现,疫情正在破坏印尼社会医疗保险系统的长期财务可持续性。教育部门已为延长学校关闭时间和远程学习做好了合理准备。然而,目前还没有解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失的战略。
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引用次数: 117
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Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies
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