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Artificial intelligence in predicting the bankruptcy of non-financial corporations 人工智能在非金融企业破产预测中的应用
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.035
B. Gavurová, Sylvia Jenčová, R. Bačík, Marta Miskufova, Stanislav Letkovsky
Research background: In a modern economy, full of complexities, ensuring a business' financial stability, and increasing its financial performance and competitiveness, has become especially difficult. Then, monitoring the company's financial situation and predicting its future development becomes important. Assessing the financial health of business entities using various models is an important area in not only scientific research, but also business practice.Purpose of the article: This study aims to predict the bankruptcy of companies in the engineering and automotive industries of the Slovak Republic using a multilayer neural network and logistic regression. Importantly, we develop a novel an early warning model for the Slovak engineering and automotive industries, which can be applied in countries with undeveloped capital markets.Methods: Data on the financial ratios of 2,384 companies were used. We used a logistic regression to analyse the data for the year 2019 and designed a logistic model. Meanwhile, the data for the years 2018 and 2019 were analysed using the neural network. In the prediction model, we analysed the predictive performance of several combinations of factors based on the industry sector, use of the scaling technique, activation function, and ratio of the sample distribution to the test and training parts.Findings & value added: The financial indicators ROS, QR, NWC/A, and PC/S reduce the likelihood of bankruptcy. Regarding the value of this work, we constructed an optimal network for the automotive and engineering industries using nine financial indicators on the input layer in combination with one hidden layer. Moreover, we developed a novel prediction model for bankruptcy using six of these indicators. Almost all sampled industries are privatised, and most companies are foreign owned. Hence, international companies as well as researchers can apply our models to understand their financial health and sustainability. Moreover, they can conduct comparative analyses of their own model with ours to reveal areas of model improvements.
研究背景:在充满复杂性的现代经济中,确保企业的财务稳定,提高其财务绩效和竞争力变得尤为困难。那么,监测公司的财务状况并预测其未来的发展就变得很重要。利用各种模型评估企业实体的财务健康状况不仅是科学研究的一个重要领域,也是商业实践的一个重要领域。文章目的:本研究旨在利用多层神经网络和逻辑回归预测斯洛伐克共和国工程和汽车行业公司的破产。重要的是,我们为斯洛伐克的工程和汽车工业开发了一种新的早期预警模型,可以应用于资本市场不发达的国家。方法:采用2384家公司的财务比率数据。我们使用逻辑回归对2019年的数据进行分析,并设计了逻辑模型。同时,使用神经网络分析了2018年和2019年的数据。在预测模型中,我们分析了基于行业部门的几种因素组合的预测性能,使用缩放技术,激活函数以及样本分布与测试和训练部分的比率。发现及增值:财务指标ROS、QR、NWC/A和PC/S降低了破产的可能性。考虑到这项工作的价值,我们在输入层使用了九个财务指标,并结合一个隐藏层,构建了一个汽车和工程行业的最优网络。此外,我们利用其中的六个指标开发了一个新的破产预测模型。几乎所有的抽样行业都是私有化的,大多数公司都是外资所有。因此,国际公司和研究人员可以应用我们的模型来了解他们的财务健康和可持续性。此外,他们可以将自己的模型与我们的模型进行比较分析,以揭示模型改进的领域。
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引用次数: 5
The mediating role of students' ability to adapt to online activities on the relationship between perceived university culture and academic performance 大学生网络活动适应能力在大学文化感知与学业成绩关系中的中介作用
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.036
A. Dima, Mihail Bușu, V. Vargas
Research background: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected higher education globally and disrupted its usual activities, according to differing perspectives. The ability to adapt to online activities was an important factor for many researchers during the pandemic period.Purpose of the article: In this article, the authors are studying the ability of the students to adapt to online activities, and also the direct and indirect effect on their academic performances.Methods: The data was collected with a questionnaire and the respondents are students from Romanian Universities. The analysis was made with an econometric model by using the PLS-SEM methodology. The goal of the paper was to find and analyse the factors used to perform academic online activities during the pandemic period.Findings & value added: The results of the paper validate the research hypotheses formulated in the introductory part and confirm that the students? academic performances are a direct result of many factors, such as: system parameters, personal demand, personal commitment, and regulatory environment. The identification of the exogenous variables with significant impact on the students? performances through online activities could help the management of the universities to implement the positive aspects and to reward them for their efforts while preventing from resilience to change. The higher education system has to acknowledge that flexible online learning opportunities are needed by students to fit their coursework around their employment and family responsibilities.
研究背景:不同观点认为,新冠肺炎疫情对全球高等教育产生了影响,扰乱了高等教育的正常活动。在大流行期间,适应在线活动的能力对许多研究人员来说是一个重要因素。文章的目的:在这篇文章中,作者研究了学生适应网络活动的能力,以及对他们学习成绩的直接和间接影响。方法:采用问卷调查法收集资料,调查对象为罗马尼亚高校在校学生。采用PLS-SEM方法建立计量经济模型进行分析。该论文的目标是找到并分析在大流行期间用于开展学术在线活动的因素。发现与增值:本文的研究结果验证了引言部分提出的研究假设,并证实了学生?学业成绩是许多因素的直接结果,如:制度参数、个人需求、个人承诺和监管环境。对学生有显著影响的外生变量的识别?通过在线活动的表现可以帮助大学的管理层实施积极的方面,并奖励他们的努力,同时防止他们对变化的适应能力。高等教育系统必须承认,学生需要灵活的在线学习机会,以使他们的课程适应他们的就业和家庭责任。
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引用次数: 6
Impact of enterprise ambidexterity capability and experience learning on cross-border M&A performance: evidence from China 企业双元能力和经验学习对跨国并购绩效的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.034
Junshu Du, Yichen Peng, Yuansong Tong, Y. Bilan
Research background: Through cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A), enterprises in China can improve their technological innovation and organizational management capabilities to make up for the disadvantages of outsiders and enhance their international competitiveness. However, due to the lack of experience, the success rate of cross-border M&A of China enterprises is low, and the performance changes after M&A differ. How to maximize the advantages of cross-border M&A in obtaining technical resources and how to improve the performance of cross-border M&A are important issues that China?s cross-border M&A enterprises and academic circles need to solve.Purpose of the research: The aim of this study is to analyze the mechanism and boundary conditions of firms? capability to exploit resources (RTC) and capability to explore resources (REC) with regard to cross-border M&A performance from the perspective of experience learning based on organizational learning theory and resource-based theory.Methods: With 173 China A-share listed companies with cross-border M&A events from 2010 to 2020 as samples, this study uses hierarchical regression analysis to test the impact of REC and RTC on cross-border M&A performance and its mechanism. In the robustness test, this study adopts the measures of changing dependent and independent variables lagged for one year for analysis. In the mechanism test, this study uses intermediary and mediation effect models.Findings & value added: The results show that RTC and REC have positive effects on the performance of cross-border M&A. Prior experience learning (PE) and vicarious experience learning (VE) increase the probability of companies making cross-border M&A decisions and have positive effects on cross-border M&A performance. Moreover, PE and VE play a partial mediating role in the positive impact of REC and RTC on cross-border M&A performance, respectively. Formal and informal institutional distance weaken the positive effects of REC and RTC on the performance of cross-border M&A. Enterprises in emerging economies should adapt to the institutional environment of the host country to reduce the negative impact of institutional distance while taking advantage of experience learning when carrying out cross-border M&A. 
研究背景:中国企业通过跨国并购可以提高自身的技术创新能力和组织管理能力,弥补外来者的劣势,增强国际竞争力。然而,由于缺乏经验,中国企业跨境并购的成功率较低,并购后的绩效变化也不尽相同。如何最大限度地发挥跨国并购在获取技术资源方面的优势,如何提高跨国并购绩效,是中国面临的重要问题。跨国并购企业和学术界需要解决的问题。研究目的:本研究的目的是分析企业发展的机制和边界条件。基于组织学习理论和资源基础理论的经验学习视角下的资源开发能力(RTC)和资源探索能力(REC)对跨国并购绩效的影响。方法:以2010 - 2020年发生跨国并购事件的173家中国a股上市公司为样本,采用层次回归分析方法,检验REC和RTC对跨国并购绩效的影响及其作用机制。在稳健性检验中,本研究采用改变滞后一年的因变量和自变量的方法进行分析。在机制检验中,本研究采用中介效应模型和中介效应模型。研究结果与增加值:研究结果表明,RTC和REC对跨国并购绩效有正向影响。先验经验学习(PE)和替代经验学习(VE)增加了企业进行跨国并购决策的概率,并对跨国并购绩效产生正向影响。此外,PE和VE分别在REC和RTC对跨国并购绩效的正向影响中起部分中介作用。正式制度距离和非正式制度距离削弱了区域合作与区域合作对跨国并购绩效的正向影响。新兴经济体企业在进行跨国并购时应适应东道国的制度环境,减少制度距离的负面影响,同时利用经验学习的优势。
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引用次数: 1
Credit cycles and macroprudential policies in emerging market economies 新兴市场经济体的信贷周期与宏观审慎政策
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.019
J. Lazarević, Tanja Kuzman, M. Nedeljkovic
Research background: Excessive credit expansions have an important role in the generation and amplification of business cycles in emerging market (EM) economies. Macroprudential policies can be beneficial in restraining excessive credit growth and safeguarding financial stability. Despite recent theoretical advances in understanding of the benefits of macroprudential policies, empirical evidence on their effect on the credit cycle is still scarce.Purpose of the article: This paper studies the effectiveness of macroprudential measures in the sample of major EM economies focusing on the broad credit measure and using an empirical framework which aims to alleviate several concerns in the previous literature. We examine the effectiveness of four categories of measures which are granular enough to provide relevant policy perspectives, whilst mitigating data sparsity issues. By exploiting both time-series and cross-country variation in the tightness of macroprudential regulation in the construction of policy variables we also mitigate some of the common reverse causality concerns.Methods: We use panel data and employ several (fixed effect, bias corrected LSDV and dynamic interactive fixed effect) estimators to ensure that the results are not sensitive with respect to the estimation method while, together with our construction of the policy variables, alleviating other endogeneity concerns.Findings & value added: We uncover the heterogeneity in the effects of macroprudential measures on the credit cycle. While measures related to bank capital and credit activity are found to be effective in leaning-against the credit cycle, the measures targeting bank liquidity and FX exposures fail to have statistically significant effect. Our results provide the rationale for mixed evidence in the empirical literature studying the effectiveness of the broadly defined macroprudential measures. From the policy perspective, our findings provide evidence that the measures which address excessive credit expansion and strengthen the resilience of the financial system are effective in the EM economies.
研究背景:过度的信贷扩张在新兴市场经济体商业周期的产生和放大中发挥着重要作用。宏观审慎政策有利于抑制信贷过度增长和维护金融稳定。尽管最近在理解宏观审慎政策的好处方面取得了理论进展,但关于其对信贷周期影响的实证证据仍然很少。本文的目的:本文研究了主要新兴市场经济体样本中宏观审慎措施的有效性,重点是广义信贷措施,并使用了一个实证框架,旨在缓解先前文献中的一些担忧。我们研究了四类措施的有效性,这些措施足够精细,可以提供相关的政策视角,同时缓解数据稀疏性问题。通过在政策变量的构建中利用宏观审慎监管紧密性的时间序列和跨国变化,我们也减轻了一些常见的反向因果关系问题。方法:我们使用面板数据,并使用几种(固定效应、偏差校正的LSDV和动态交互固定效应)估计量,以确保结果对估计方法不敏感,同时结合我们对政策变量的构建,缓解其他内生性问题。研究结果和附加值:我们揭示了宏观审慎措施对信贷周期影响的异质性。虽然与银行资本和信贷活动相关的措施被发现在倾向于信贷周期方面是有效的,但针对银行流动性和外汇敞口的措施在统计上没有显著效果。我们的研究结果为研究广义宏观审慎措施有效性的实证文献中的混合证据提供了理论依据。从政策角度来看,我们的研究结果证明,解决过度信贷扩张和加强金融系统弹性的措施在新兴市场经济体是有效的。
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引用次数: 2
A review of inflation from 1906 to 2022: a comprehensive analysis of inflation studies from a global perspective 1906年至2022年通货膨胀研究回顾:全球视角下的通货膨胀研究综合分析
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.018
Xindi Wang, Zeshui Xu, Xinxin Wang, M. Škare
Research background: Inflation has always been the core issue of economic research and there are many academic research achievements in this field. In recent years, global inflation has intensified, and many scholars focus on research in this field again, providing certain reference value for countries around the world to formulate corresponding macro policies.Purpose of the article: The five-year impact factors are used as the evaluation criteria in this paper, and 1,637 high-quality documents on inflation from 1906 to 2022 are collected from the Web of Science Core Collection database. Using bibliometrics, a comprehensive review of influential literature in the field of inflation is conducted to reveal the evolution and trends of the field.Methods: First, we focus on these high-quality documents about the descriptive statistical characteristics, high cited documents and high impact factor journals. Then, based on the visualization tool, the cooperative network of countries/regions, authors and institutions is depicted and the cooperative relationship between them is determined. At the same time, the most influential countries/regions, authors and institutions are identified by analyzing the citation structure. In addition, through thematic and keyword analysis, the topic hotspots and future research trends of high-quality literature in the field of inflation are deduced.Findings & value added: On the whole, the research on inflation in the United States is relatively mature, and has produced a large number of influential academic cooperation results. Finally, we have a series of discussions on the history of inflation in the United States and policy suggestions. In the future, governments of various countries, especially the United States, will still face certain challenges in how to formulate policies and measures to mitigate the impact of inflation.
研究背景:通货膨胀一直是经济学研究的核心问题,在这一领域有许多学术研究成果。近年来,全球通货膨胀加剧,许多学者再次关注这一领域的研究,为世界各国制定相应的宏观政策提供了一定的参考价值。文章目的:本文以五年影响因素为评价标准,从Web of Science核心收藏数据库中收集了1637篇关于1906年至2022年通货膨胀的高质量文献。利用文献计量学,对通货膨胀领域有影响力的文献进行了全面综述,以揭示该领域的演变和趋势。方法:首先,我们重点研究这些高质量的文献,包括描述性统计特征、高引用文献和高影响因子期刊。然后,基于可视化工具,描述了国家/地区、作者和机构的合作网络,并确定了它们之间的合作关系。同时,通过分析引文结构,确定最具影响力的国家/地区、作者和机构。此外,通过主题和关键词分析,推断出通货膨胀领域高质量文学的主题热点和未来研究趋势。研究成果与附加值:总体而言,美国对通货膨胀的研究相对成熟,并产生了大量有影响力的学术合作成果。最后,我们对美国通货膨胀的历史和政策建议进行了一系列讨论。未来,各国政府,尤其是美国政府,在如何制定政策和措施以减轻通货膨胀的影响方面,仍将面临一定的挑战。
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引用次数: 6
Disentangling the impact of ICT adoption on SMEs performance: the mediating roles of corpo-rate social responsibility and innovation 信息通信技术应用对中小企业绩效的影响:企业社会责任和创新的中介作用
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.024
Ana León-Gómez, J. Santos‐Jaén, Daniel Ruiz-Palomo, Mercedes Palacios-Manzano
Research background: The literature on the effects of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) on performance is extensive and shows a significant positive effect. Likewise, the use of ICT to facilitate and report on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) practices implemented by Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) contributes to improve business performance. Moreover, through innovative activities, firms also obtain competitive advantages that impact positively on their performance, even more so when they are impacted by CSR. For this reason, it is expected that the adoption of ICTs in companies through a CSR-oriented strategy will increase their impact on business performance.   Purpose of the article: This article tries to examine how ICT affects SMEs? performance through CSR and innovation.Methods: We tested our hypotheses using a sample of 2,825 Spanish SMEs and by applying a Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (PLS-PM) with a double confirmatory and predictive purpose: to identify the causal relationships between latent variables, and to evaluate the ability of the model to make predictions for individual cases.Findings & value added: The results show that CSR-oriented ICT impacts innovation by changing strategies and business model in companies. Moreover, the implementation of CSR practices gave them competitive advantages to increase their performance. We highlight how innovation gives companies greater capacity to respond to changes in their environment and how innovation positively impacts the link between CSR and performance. Finally, our research makes two significant contributions to the literature by incorporating two sequential mediating effects into the model. On the one hand, the indirect effect of ICT on innovation through CSR. On the other hand, the indirect effect of CSR on SME performance through innovation.
研究背景:关于信息通信技术(ICT)对绩效影响的文献非常广泛,并显示出显著的正向影响。同样,利用信息和通信技术促进和报告中小企业实施企业社会责任(CSR)的做法,有助于提高企业绩效。此外,通过创新活动,企业还获得了对其绩效产生积极影响的竞争优势,当企业受到企业社会责任的影响时更是如此。因此,预计通过以企业社会责任为导向的战略在公司中采用信息通信技术将增加其对业务绩效的影响。本文目的:本文试图考察信息通信技术如何影响中小企业?通过企业社会责任和创新实现绩效。方法:我们以2825家西班牙中小企业为样本,运用偏最小二乘路径模型(PLS-PM)检验了我们的假设,该模型具有双重验证性和预测性目的:确定潜在变量之间的因果关系,并评估模型对个别情况进行预测的能力。研究结果与附加值:研究结果表明,以企业社会责任为导向的信息通信技术通过改变企业的战略和商业模式来影响创新。此外,企业社会责任实践的实施给他们带来了竞争优势,以提高他们的绩效。我们强调创新如何使公司更有能力应对环境变化,以及创新如何积极影响企业社会责任与绩效之间的联系。最后,我们的研究通过将两个顺序的中介效应纳入模型,对文献做出了两个重大贡献。一方面,信息通信技术对企业社会责任创新的间接影响。另一方面,企业社会责任通过创新对中小企业绩效的间接影响。
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引用次数: 18
Financial performance and bankruptcy concerns of SMEs in their export decision 中小企业出口决策中的财务绩效和破产问题
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.025
A. Ključnikov, M. Civelek, V. Krajčík, P. Novák, Michal Červinka
Research background: Due to having lack of financial power and low amount of revenues, most of SMEs? major concerns are bankruptcy and low financial performance. Those issues are risky situations for SMEs when making for their exporting activities. Therefore, depending on their performance and bankruptcy risk, they might more intensively perceive export barriers and this fact might determine their export decisions.Purpose of the article: This paper examines whether financial performance and bankruptcy concerns of SMEs affect their perceptions of export obstacles or not.Methods: This research performs random sampling method and directs an internet-mediated questionnaire to the selected respondents who are the executives of 408 Czech, Slovakian and Hungarian SMEs. To examine the influences of firm performance and bankruptcy on the perceptions of export impediments by SMEs, this paper employs Ordinal Logistic Regression Test.Findings & value added: The results show that SMEs having less healthy financial conditions less intensively perceive cultural-linguistic export barriers in comparison with SMEs having better financial performance. Moreover, firm performance is not a predictor variable in the perceptions of export costs, legislative and tax-related barriers by SMEs. On the other hand, while SMEs having more bankruptcy concerns more intensively perceive tax-related and cultural-linguistic barriers, bankruptcy concerns of SMEs do not influence their perceptions of export costs and legislative differences. Although many studies have investigated the impacts of financial conditions of SMEs on their internationalization and exporting decisions, they are isolated with only a market or only with a financial issue. The limited extents of those studies cause a partial investigation of export and financial issues of SMEs and make readers having a narrow perspective in this specific area. By focusing on various export obstacles and financial issues that SMEs face in different markets, this research offers a detailed understanding of SMEs? perceptions regarding their financial conditions and export barriers, from a comprehensive perspective. In this regard, this is the research gap that this paper aims to fill.
研究背景:中小企业由于财力不足,收入不高,大多是中小企业?主要的担忧是破产和财务表现不佳。这些问题对中小企业的出口活动来说是有风险的。因此,根据他们的业绩和破产风险,他们可能会更深入地了解出口壁垒,这一事实可能会决定他们的出口决定。文章的目的:本文考察了中小企业的财务表现和破产问题是否会影响他们对出口障碍的看法。方法:本研究采用随机抽样方法,采用互联网中介问卷对408家捷克、斯洛伐克和匈牙利中小企业的高管进行调查。为了检验企业绩效和破产对中小企业出口障碍感知的影响,本文采用有序Logistic回归检验。研究结果与附加值:与财务绩效较好的中小企业相比,财务状况较差的中小企业对文化语言出口障碍的感知不那么强烈。此外,在中小企业对出口成本、立法和税收相关壁垒的看法中,企业业绩并不是一个预测变量。另一方面,虽然有更多破产问题的中小企业更强烈地感知到与税收和文化语言障碍,但中小企业的破产问题不会影响他们对出口成本和立法差异的感知。尽管许多研究调查了中小企业的财务状况对其国际化和出口决策的影响,但它们只与一个市场或一个财务问题隔绝。这些研究的范围有限,导致对中小企业的出口和金融问题进行了部分调查,并使读者对这一特定领域的看法狭隘。通过关注中小企业在不同市场面临的各种出口障碍和财务问题,本研究对中小企业有了详细的了解?从全面的角度看待它们的金融状况和出口壁垒。在这方面,这是本文旨在填补的研究空白。
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引用次数: 13
Multifrequency-based non-linear approach to analyzing implied volatility transmission across global financial markets 基于多频率的非线性方法分析全球金融市场隐含波动率的传递
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.021
E. Boateng, Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei, J. Gatsi, Ș. C. Gherghina, L. Simionescu
Research background: The contagious impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has heightened financial market's volatility, nonlinearity, asymmetric and nonstationary dynamics. Hence, the existing relationship among financial assets may have been altered. Moreover, the level of investor risk aversion and market opportunities could also alter in the pandemic. Predictably, investors in the heat of the moment are concerned about minimizing losses. In order to determine the level of hedge risks between implied volatilities in the COVID-19 pandemic through information flow, it is required to take into account the increased vagueness of economic projections as well as the increased uncertainty in asset values as a result of the pandemic.Purpose of the article: The study aims to examine the transmission of information between the VIX-implied volatility index for S&P 500 and fifteen other implied volatility indices in the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods: We relied on daily changes in the VIX and fifteen other implied volatility indices from commodities, currencies, and stocks. The study employed the improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise which is in line with the heterogeneous expectations of market participants to denoise the data and extract intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Subsequently, we clustered the IMFs based on common features into high, low, and medium frequencies. The analysis was carried out using Rényi transfer entropy (RTE), which allowed for the evaluation of both linear and non-linear, as well as varied distributions of the market dynamics.Findings & value added: Findings from the RTE revealed a bi-directional flow of negative information amid the VIX and each of the volatility indices, particularly in the long term. We found this behavior of the markets to be consistent at varying levels of investors' risk aversion. The findings help investors with their portfolio strategies in the time of the pandemic, which has resulted in fluctuating levels of risk aversion. Our findings characterize global financial markets to be ?non-linear heterogeneous evolutionary systems?. The results also lend support to the emerging delayed volatility of market competitiveness and external shocks hypothesis.
研究背景:新冠肺炎疫情的传染性影响加剧了金融市场的波动性、非线性、非对称性和非平稳性。因此,金融资产之间现有的关系可能已经改变。此外,投资者的风险规避水平和市场机会也可能在疫情中发生变化。不出所料,处于最热时刻的投资者关心的是将损失降至最低。为了通过信息流确定新冠肺炎疫情隐含波动之间的对冲风险水平,需要考虑到经济预测的模糊性增加以及疫情导致的资产价值的不确定性增加。文章目的:本研究旨在研究新冠肺炎大流行中标准普尔500指数的波动率波动率指数与其他15个隐含波动率指数之间的信息传递。方法:我们依赖于商品、货币和股票的波动率指数和其他15个隐含波动率指数的每日变化。该研究采用了具有自适应噪声的改进的完全集成经验模式分解,符合市场参与者对数据去噪和提取固有模式函数的异质期望。随后,我们根据共同特征将IMF分为高频、低频和中频。该分析使用Rényi传递熵(RTE)进行,该熵允许评估线性和非线性以及市场动态的不同分布。调查结果和附加值:RTE的调查结果显示,波动率指数和每种波动率指数之间存在双向负面信息流动,尤其是在长期内。我们发现,在不同程度的投资者避险情绪下,市场的这种行为是一致的。这些发现有助于投资者在疫情期间制定投资组合策略,疫情导致风险规避水平波动。我们的研究结果表明,全球金融市场是什么样的?非线性异质进化系统?。研究结果也支持了新兴的市场竞争力延迟波动和外部冲击假说。
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引用次数: 5
Generating loyalty towards fast fashion stores: a cross-generational approach based on store attributes and socio-environmental responsibility 培养对快时尚商店的忠诚度:基于商店属性和社会环境责任的跨代方法
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.026
Dan-Cristian Dabija, Veronica Cȃmpian, Anna-Rebeka Pop, R. Băbuț
Research background: Faced with multiple media scandals concerning the pollution resulting from manufacturing activities, and encouraging the overconsumption of clothing, international fast fashion retailers have often had to resort to the elaboration and implementation of sustainable strategies aimed at environmental protection and reducing resource consumption. Generating customer satisfaction and loyalty depends increasingly on the extent to which retailers manage to employ socio-environmental responsibility besides the traditional retail store attributes.The purpose of this article: The objective of the paper is to evaluate the influence of consumer-oriented store attributes in generating satisfaction and loyalty towards the fast fashion store, highlighting the influence of socio-environmental responsibility on the two constructs.Methods: Based on the literature review, a conceptual model considering the effects of stores? attributes on store satisfaction and store loyalty and influenced by socio-environmental responsibility is proposed. Data were collected with the help of face-to-face administrated questionnaires before the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in an emerging market (Romania). The data were analyzed via structural equation modeling in SmartPLS, for the three considered consumer generations: Generation X, Millennials and Generation Z.Findings & value added: For all consumer generations, all store attributes contribute to the direct generation of fast fashion store satisfaction and store loyalty; nevertheless, the intensity varies in levels of significance. Socio-environmental responsibility does not significantly determine store satisfaction, but does have a strong influence on fast fashion store loyalty. The results detailed according to the generations indicate a similar situation: each store attribute influences the satisfaction of one or other generation, apart from socio-environmental responsibility. This work makes an essential contribution to the extension of the generational theory, highlighting the various individualities, perceptions, and behaviors. This cross-generational research broadens knowledge on how different consumer generations behave when shopping from fast fashion stores. The research also extends the S-O-R model, which is used to understand the relationship between store attributes (stimulus), consumer satisfaction (organism), and consumer loyalty (response) towards fast fashion stores.
研究背景:面对制造业活动造成的污染和鼓励服装过度消费的多起媒体丑闻,国际快时尚零售商往往不得不制定和实施旨在保护环境和减少资源消耗的可持续战略。产生客户满意度和忠诚度越来越取决于零售商在多大程度上除了传统的零售店属性外,还能够运用社会环境责任。本文的目的:本文的目的是评估以消费者为导向的商店属性对快速时尚商店产生满意度和忠诚度的影响,强调社会环境责任对这两个结构的影响。方法:在文献综述的基础上,建立一个考虑商店效应的概念模型?提出了受社会环境责任影响的商店满意度和商店忠诚度的属性。在一个新兴市场(罗马尼亚)爆发新冠肺炎大流行之前,通过面对面管理问卷收集了数据。数据通过SmartPLS中的结构方程模型进行分析,涉及三代消费者:X世代、千禧一代和Z世代。研究结果和附加值:对于所有消费者世代,所有商店属性都有助于直接产生快时尚商店满意度和商店忠诚度;然而,强度在显著性水平上有所不同。社会环境责任并不能显著决定商店的满意度,但对快时尚商店的忠诚度有很大影响。根据几代人的详细结果表明了类似的情况:除了社会环境责任之外,每个商店属性都会影响一代或另一代人的满意度。这部作品对世代理论的延伸做出了重要贡献,突出了各种个性、感知和行为。这项跨代研究拓宽了不同消费者世代在快时尚商店购物时的行为。该研究还扩展了S-O-R模型,该模型用于理解商店属性(刺激)、消费者满意度(有机体)和消费者对快时尚商店的忠诚度(反应)之间的关系。
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引用次数: 10
Enterprise digital transformation and debt financing cost in China?s A-share listed companies 中国企业数字化转型与债务融资成本?s A股上市公司
IF 8.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24136/oc.2022.023
C. Sun, Zixin Zhang, M. Vochozka, I. Vozňáková
Research background: The rapid development of digital economy has set off a new wave of enterprise reform. Developing the digital economy is not only an urgent requirement of the current situation, but also an important way to meet the people's better life.Purpose of the article: This paper attempts to reveal the important role of the development of digital technology on the debt financing cost of micro enterprises, and provide micro evidence for the integration of digital economy and real economy. At the same time, this paper wants to provide relevant guidance for formulating digital related policies and reducing the financing cost of the real economy.Methods: Taking China?s A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2020 as a sample, this paper empirically tests the impact of enterprise digital transformation on debt financing cost and its mechanism. In the robustness test, this paper uses the measures of changing independent variables and dependent variables, instrumental variable method and quantile regression method. In the mechanism test, this paper uses the intermediary effect model. In the further study, this paper uses the method of group regression.Findings & value added: The study finds that the digital transformation of enterprises significantly reduces the cost of debt financing. Mechanism tests show that the role of enterprise digital transformation in reducing debt financing costs is mainly realized by reducing information asymmetry and alleviating agency problems. Further tests show that the relationship between enterprise digital transformation and debt financing cost is affected by the degree of market competition, whether it is a high-tech enterprise and audit quality. When the degree of market competition is high, the enterprise is a high-tech one, or it is audited by the four major international accounting firms, the effect of enterprise digital transformation on the reduction of debt financing cost is more significant. The method used in this paper is also applicable to the study of other economic management problems. This paper proves a positive significance of digital transformation, which is conducive to promoting the digital transformation of enterprises. Especially for those enterprises in non-high-tech industries, they should speed up the pace. At the same time, this paper has a certain guiding role for the introduction and implementation of policies to encourage digital transformation.
研究背景:数字经济的快速发展掀起了企业改革的新浪潮。发展数字经济不仅是当前形势的迫切要求,也是满足人民美好生活的重要途径。本文旨在揭示数字技术的发展对微型企业债务融资成本的重要作用,为数字经济与实体经济的融合提供微观证据。同时,本文希望为制定数字相关政策、降低实体经济融资成本提供相关指导。方法:拿中国?以2007-2020年A股上市公司为样本,实证检验了企业数字化转型对债务融资成本的影响及其机制。在稳健性检验中,本文采用了变自变量和因变量的测度、工具变量法和分位数回归法。在机理测试中,本文采用了中介效应模型。在进一步的研究中,本文采用了群回归的方法。研究结果与附加值:研究发现,企业数字化转型显著降低了债务融资成本。机制测试表明,企业数字化转型降低债务融资成本的作用主要通过减少信息不对称和缓解代理问题来实现。进一步的测试表明,企业数字化转型与债务融资成本的关系受市场竞争程度、是否为高新技术企业以及审计质量的影响。当市场竞争程度较高,企业是高科技企业,或者经过四大国际会计师事务所审计时,企业数字化转型对降低债务融资成本的作用更为显著。本文所用的方法也适用于其他经济管理问题的研究。本文论证了数字化转型的积极意义,有利于推动企业数字化转型。特别是对于那些非高科技行业的企业,他们应该加快步伐。同时,本文对鼓励数字化转型政策的出台和实施具有一定的指导作用。
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引用次数: 21
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Oeconomia Copernicana
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