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To Grow or Not to Grow: Belarus and Lithuania. 成长还是不成长:白俄罗斯和立陶宛。
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00188-1
Thorvaldur Gylfason, Eduard Hochreiter

We compare the economic growth performance of Belarus and Lithuania since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Our interest in this country pair is driven by the two countries' interwoven history as well as by the fact that Belarus remains autocratic and strongly tied to Russia, while Lithuania has reinvented herself as a democratic market economy fully integrated into the EU. Our aim is to understand better the extent to which the growth differential between the two countries can be traced to increased efficiency, i.e., total factor productivity, in the use of capital and other resources via, inter alia, better institutions (intensive growth) as opposed to sheer accumulation of capital (extensive growth), the hallmark of Soviet economic growth. To this end, we compare the development of some key determinants of growth in the two countries since the 1990s. Employing a simple growth accounting model we find that institutional reforms, open and transparent governance, and good education play a more important role for output and efficiency than crude capital accumulation. Hence Lithuania does better than Belarus, which remains marred by problems related to weak governance as well as autocratic rule. As in Estonia and Latvia we find that the EU perspective made a significant contribution to growth in Lithuania. The Russian connection has done less for Belarus. At last, we also touch upon the impact of the corona virus on the economies of the two countries.

我们比较了白俄罗斯和立陶宛自1991年苏联解体以来的经济增长表现。我们对这对国家的兴趣是由两国相互交织的历史以及白俄罗斯仍然专制并与俄罗斯紧密联系的事实所驱动的,而立陶宛则将自己重塑为一个完全融入欧盟的民主市场经济。我们的目标是更好地理解两国之间的增长差异在多大程度上可以追溯到效率的提高,即全要素生产率,在资本和其他资源的使用中,通过更好的制度(集约型增长)而不是纯粹的资本积累(粗放型增长),这是苏联经济增长的标志。为此,我们比较了自20世纪90年代以来两国经济增长的一些关键决定因素的发展。采用简单的增长核算模型,我们发现制度改革、公开透明的治理和良好的教育对产出和效率的作用比原始资本积累更重要。因此,立陶宛比白俄罗斯做得更好,白俄罗斯仍然受到与软弱治理和专制统治有关的问题的损害。与爱沙尼亚和拉脱维亚一样,我们发现欧盟的观点对立陶宛的增长作出了重大贡献。与俄罗斯的关系对白俄罗斯的帮助就少了。最后,我们还谈到了冠状病毒对两国经济的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Legal Weakness, Investment Risks, and Distressed Acquisitions: Evidence from Russian Regions. 法律薄弱、投资风险和陷入困境的收购:来自俄罗斯地区的证据。
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00203-5
Ichiro Iwasaki, Yuko Adachi

This paper traces the survival status of 93,260 Russian business firms in the period of 2007-2019 and empirically examines the determinants of the acquisition of financially distressed companies (i.e., distressed acquisitions). We found that, of 93,260 firms, 50,743 failed in management, and among these distressed firms, 10,110 were rescued by acquisition during the observation period. Our empirical results indicate that, in Russian regions, the weakness of the legal system tends to increase the probability of distressed acquisitions, while other socioeconomic risks negatively affect it. These tendencies are common in most industries and regions. It is also revealed that, in the most-developed area, monotown enterprises are more likely than other firms to be bailed out by acquisition after management failure, but it is not always true for the whole federation.

本文追溯了 2007-2019 年间 93260 家俄罗斯商业公司的生存状况,并对财务困境公司收购(即困境收购)的决定因素进行了实证研究。我们发现,在 93260 家公司中,有 50743 家公司经营失败,在这些陷入困境的公司中,有 10110 家公司在观察期内通过收购获得了救助。我们的实证结果表明,在俄罗斯各地区,法律体系的薄弱往往会增加不良收购的概率,而其他社会经济风险则会对其产生负面影响。这些趋势在大多数行业和地区都很普遍。结果还显示,在最发达地区,单镇企业比其他企业更有可能在管理失败后通过收购获得救助,但在整个联邦并不总是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Promoting Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy: Fiscal Rules Versus Institutions. 促进反周期财政政策:财政规则与制度》。
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00197-0
Kady Keita, Camelia Turcu

We explore under different exchange rate regimes how fiscal rules and institutions can reduce the procyclical stance of fiscal policy (i.e. how government spending responds to GDP fluctuations). We construct a fiscal rules index which is a composite index measuring the overall strength of fiscal rules in a country at a given time. We use it in a dynamic model with a GMM estimator, for a panel of 153 countries over the period 1993-2015. We find that under fixed exchange rate regimes, while better institutions can reduce procyclicality, rules increase it or do not affect it. This result suggests that under fixed exchange rate regimes, a focus should be put on stronger institutional quality rather than on the adoption of fiscal rules. However, under flexible exchange rate regimes, we find that institutions and rules are complementary in reducing procyclicality. Rules help reduce procyclicality and are more effective, in particular, when institutions are stronger. Our results are robust to different specifications as well as to the use of alternative variables of institutional quality.

我们探讨了在不同的汇率制度下,财政规则和制度如何减少财政政策的顺周期性(即政府支出如何对国内生产总值的波动做出反应)。我们构建了一个财政规则指数,它是衡量一个国家在特定时期财政规则整体强度的综合指数。我们在一个动态模型中使用该指数,并对 1993-2015 年间的 153 个国家进行了 GMM 估计。我们发现,在固定汇率制度下,虽然更好的制度可以降低顺周期性,但规则会增加顺周期性或不影响顺周期性。这一结果表明,在固定汇率制度下,重点应放在提高制度质量上,而不是采用财政规则。然而,在灵活的汇率制度下,我们发现制度和规则在降低顺周期性方面是互补的。规则有助于减少顺周期性,尤其是在制度更加健全的情况下更为有效。我们的结果对不同的规格以及使用制度质量的替代变量都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Factor Endowments, Economic Integration, Sanctions, and Offshores: Evidence from Inward FDI in Russia 要素禀赋、经济一体化、制裁和离岸:来自俄罗斯境内外国直接投资的证据
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00202-6
A. Cieślik, Oleg Gurshev
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引用次数: 2
On the Origins and Persistent Effects of the World’s First Meritocratic Institution 论世界上第一个精英制度的产生及其持久影响
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00201-7
J. Kung
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引用次数: 1
Diverse Models of Capitalism and Synchronization of Business Cycles 资本主义模式的多样性与商业周期的同步性
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00199-y
J. Borowski, Adam Czerniak, Beáta Farkas
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引用次数: 0
Households’ Exposure to the Financial Sector as a Driver of Inequality: An Analysis of Advanced and Emerging Economies 家庭对金融部门的敞口是不平等的驱动因素:对发达和新兴经济体的分析
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-28 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00200-8
Sofia Vale, Francisco Camões
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and Gender Gaps in Employment, Wages, and Work Hours: Lower Inequalities and Higher Motherhood Penalty. COVID-19 与就业、工资和工时方面的性别差距:较低的不平等和较高的母亲惩罚。
IF 1.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00198-z
Maryna Tverdostup

This paper investigates the dynamics and drivers of gender gaps in employment rates, wages, and work hours during the COVID-19 pandemic, relying on Estonian Labor Force Survey data for 2009-2020. We document that the pandemic has, if anything, reduced gender inequality in all three domains. The evolution of inequalities revealed cyclical pattern mirroring infection rate, with upswings largely driven by parenthood and gender segregation into industries. The results suggest that labor market penalties for women with young children and women employed in affected sectors may last longer than the pandemic, threatening to widen gender inequality in a long run.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41294-022-00198-z.

本文根据 2009-2020 年爱沙尼亚劳动力调查数据,研究了 COVID-19 大流行期间就业率、工资和工时方面性别差距的动态和驱动因素。我们发现,如果说大流行减少了所有三个领域的性别不平等的话。不平等的演变揭示了与感染率相对应的周期性模式,上升主要是由生育和行业性别隔离驱动的。结果表明,劳动力市场对有年幼子女的妇女和受雇于受影响行业的妇女的惩罚可能比疫情持续的时间更长,有可能长期扩大性别不平等:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1057/s41294-022-00198-z。
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引用次数: 0
On the Geographical Dispersion of Euro Currency Trading: An Analysis of the First 20 Years and a Comparison to the RMB 论欧元货币交易的地域分散性:前20年的分析及与人民币的比较
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-07 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00196-1
F. Westermann
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引用次数: 1
Political Budget Cycles in the Context of a Transition Economy: The Case of Albania 转型经济背景下的政治预算周期:以阿尔巴尼亚为例
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00191-6
E. Lami
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引用次数: 1
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Comparative Economic Studies
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