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Multidimensional Deprivation from Labor Market Opportunities in Armenia: Evidence from 2018 and 2020. 亚美尼亚劳动力市场机会的多维剥夺:来自 2018 年和 2020 年的证据。
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00206-w
Knar Khachatryan, Aleksandr Grigoryan

This paper explores the multidimensional deprivation from labor market opportunities in Armenia by constructing a Quality of Employment measure. Using Labor Force Survey datasets for the years 2018 and 2020, we conduct a comparative analysis for a group of job-separated individuals. The identified dimensions of deprivation from labor market opportunities prior to and after the onset of COVID-19 are reasons for separating from a job, reasons for not looking for a job, and main obstacles in finding a job. These dimensions enable to study employee-level (supply factors) and job-related characteristics (demand factors). Our study shows that demand factors are the primary drivers of amplified deprivation in times of the pandemic. Also, we observe that the gender gap in the labor market deprivation has been increased during the pandemic, further amplified for married women. Interestingly, gender gap in deprivation is invariant to the occupational composition.

本文通过构建 "就业质量 "衡量标准,探讨亚美尼亚劳动力市场机会的多维剥夺情况。利用 2018 年和 2020 年的劳动力调查数据集,我们对一组离职人员进行了比较分析。在 COVID-19 开始之前和之后,劳动力市场机会匮乏的确定维度是离职原因、不找工作的原因以及找工作的主要障碍。通过这些维度可以研究雇员层面(供给因素)和与工作相关的特征(需求因素)。我们的研究表明,需求因素是导致大流行病期间贫困加剧的主要驱动因素。此外,我们还观察到,在大流行病期间,劳动力市场贫困的性别差距有所扩大,已婚妇女的差距进一步扩大。有趣的是,性别差距与职业构成无关。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Insecurity, Institutional Trust and Populist Voting Across Europe 经济不安全、制度信任与欧洲各地的民粹主义投票
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00212-y
D. Ivanov
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引用次数: 3
Shock Therapy in Transition Countries: A Behavioral Macroeconomic Approach 转型国家的休克疗法:一种行为宏观经济方法
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00211-z
Yuemei Ji
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引用次数: 2
What did those who were “Present at the Transition” Miss? The Creation of Powerful Presidential Families in Central Asia 那些“出席过渡”的人错过了什么?中亚强大总统家族的形成
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-08 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00208-8
R. Pomfret
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引用次数: 1
Flaunt them If you’ve Got them? Informal Connections and Beliefs About Prospects of Upward Mobility in Transition Economies 如果你有,就把它们扔掉?关于转型经济体向上流动前景的非正式联系和信念
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-08 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00205-x
Alexandru Cojocaru
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引用次数: 1
How Does Financial Sector Development Improve Tax Revenue Mobilization for Developing Countries? 金融部门的发展如何改善发展中国家的税收动员?
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-04 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00207-9
Aguima Aime Bernard Lompo
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引用次数: 2
Democracy and Intra-Africa Trade. 民主与非洲内部贸易。
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00204-4
Whelsy Boungou, Francis Osei-Tutu, Amara Zongo

Despite numerous efforts by policymakers, trade among African countries remains abysmal. In this paper, we investigate whether democracy influences intra-Africa trade of goods. Using the gravity model on bilateral trade among 48 Sub-Sahara African countries over the period 2000 to 2018, we find that democracy fosters intra-Africa goods trade. This effect is more pronounced in the manufacturing sector. Reversals to autocracy, however, adversely impact intra-Africa trade flows. Our paper therefore highlights democratic development as an important channel for accelerating trade among African countries.

尽管政策制定者做出了许多努力,但非洲国家之间的贸易仍然惨淡。在本文中,我们研究了民主是否会影响非洲内部的货物贸易。利用 2000 年至 2018 年期间 48 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家双边贸易的引力模型,我们发现民主促进了非洲内部的货物贸易。这种效应在制造业更为明显。然而,专制的逆转会对非洲内部的贸易流动产生不利影响。因此,我们的论文强调民主发展是加速非洲国家间贸易的重要渠道。
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引用次数: 0
To Grow or Not to Grow: Belarus and Lithuania. 成长还是不成长:白俄罗斯和立陶宛。
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00188-1
Thorvaldur Gylfason, Eduard Hochreiter

We compare the economic growth performance of Belarus and Lithuania since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Our interest in this country pair is driven by the two countries' interwoven history as well as by the fact that Belarus remains autocratic and strongly tied to Russia, while Lithuania has reinvented herself as a democratic market economy fully integrated into the EU. Our aim is to understand better the extent to which the growth differential between the two countries can be traced to increased efficiency, i.e., total factor productivity, in the use of capital and other resources via, inter alia, better institutions (intensive growth) as opposed to sheer accumulation of capital (extensive growth), the hallmark of Soviet economic growth. To this end, we compare the development of some key determinants of growth in the two countries since the 1990s. Employing a simple growth accounting model we find that institutional reforms, open and transparent governance, and good education play a more important role for output and efficiency than crude capital accumulation. Hence Lithuania does better than Belarus, which remains marred by problems related to weak governance as well as autocratic rule. As in Estonia and Latvia we find that the EU perspective made a significant contribution to growth in Lithuania. The Russian connection has done less for Belarus. At last, we also touch upon the impact of the corona virus on the economies of the two countries.

我们比较了白俄罗斯和立陶宛自1991年苏联解体以来的经济增长表现。我们对这对国家的兴趣是由两国相互交织的历史以及白俄罗斯仍然专制并与俄罗斯紧密联系的事实所驱动的,而立陶宛则将自己重塑为一个完全融入欧盟的民主市场经济。我们的目标是更好地理解两国之间的增长差异在多大程度上可以追溯到效率的提高,即全要素生产率,在资本和其他资源的使用中,通过更好的制度(集约型增长)而不是纯粹的资本积累(粗放型增长),这是苏联经济增长的标志。为此,我们比较了自20世纪90年代以来两国经济增长的一些关键决定因素的发展。采用简单的增长核算模型,我们发现制度改革、公开透明的治理和良好的教育对产出和效率的作用比原始资本积累更重要。因此,立陶宛比白俄罗斯做得更好,白俄罗斯仍然受到与软弱治理和专制统治有关的问题的损害。与爱沙尼亚和拉脱维亚一样,我们发现欧盟的观点对立陶宛的增长作出了重大贡献。与俄罗斯的关系对白俄罗斯的帮助就少了。最后,我们还谈到了冠状病毒对两国经济的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term Economic Effects of Populist Legal Reforms: Evidence from Argentina. 民粹主义法律改革的长期经济影响:来自阿根廷的证据。
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00193-4
Maximiliano Marzetti, Rok Spruk

In this paper, we examine the consequences of populist government for long-term economic growth and development. To this end, we estimate the long-term growth impact of the Juan Péron's political rule in Argentina, which led to a comprehensive overhaul of the institutional framework laid by the Argentine founding fathers in the 1853 Constitution. Our hypothesis is that the progressive substitution of a growth-enhancing institutional framework by exclusionary growth-distorting frameworks explains Argentina's economic decline from one the world's richest countries on the eve of World War I to an underdeveloped nation in the present day. We emphasize the erosion of the rule of law and restraint of economic freedom during Perón's first government (1943-1955) as two fundamental coadjutant causes of Argentina's decline. The populist legal reforms of Perón had long-lasting adverse economic effects. By comparing Argentina's pre-Péron growth trajectory with a donor pool of 58 countries for the period 1860-2015, we estimate the counterfactual scenario without Péron's reforms. A variety of synthetic control estimates uncover substantial negative effects of the weakening of the rule of law and the populist reforms that began in 1940s on the trajectory of economic growth and development. The populist overhaul negated the economic growth advantages inherent in the 1853 Alberdian constitution. Without the short-sighted populist Peron episodes, Argentina would be a rich country down to the present day with per capita income comparable to southern European countries. We also perform a series of randomization inferences and a battery of placebo analyses, which confirm our results.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41294-022-00193-4.

在本文中,我们考察了民粹主义政府对长期经济增长和发展的影响。为此目的,我们估计了胡安·帕萨姆在阿根廷的政治统治对经济增长的长期影响,这导致了对阿根廷开国元勋在1853年宪法中奠定的体制框架的全面改革。我们的假设是,促进增长的体制框架逐渐被排他性的扭曲增长的体制框架所取代,这解释了阿根廷为何从第一次世界大战前夕的世界最富裕国家之一,沦落为今天的不发达国家。我们强调,在Perón的第一个政府(1943-1955)期间,法治的侵蚀和经济自由的限制是阿根廷衰落的两个基本辅助原因。Perón的民粹主义法律改革对经济产生了长期的不利影响。通过比较阿根廷在psamron改革之前的增长轨迹与1860年至2015年期间58个捐赠国的增长轨迹,我们估计了没有psamron改革的反事实情景。各种综合控制估计揭示了法治的削弱和20世纪40年代开始的民粹主义改革对经济增长和发展轨迹的重大负面影响。民粹主义改革否定了1853年阿尔伯达宪法所固有的经济增长优势。如果没有目光短浅的民粹主义人物庇隆(Peron),直到今天,阿根廷仍将是一个富裕国家,人均收入与南欧国家相当。我们还进行了一系列随机化推断和一系列安慰剂分析,以证实我们的结果。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,可在10.1057/s41294-022-00193-4获得。
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引用次数: 1
Legal Weakness, Investment Risks, and Distressed Acquisitions: Evidence from Russian Regions. 法律薄弱、投资风险和陷入困境的收购:来自俄罗斯地区的证据。
IF 0.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-022-00203-5
Ichiro Iwasaki, Yuko Adachi

This paper traces the survival status of 93,260 Russian business firms in the period of 2007-2019 and empirically examines the determinants of the acquisition of financially distressed companies (i.e., distressed acquisitions). We found that, of 93,260 firms, 50,743 failed in management, and among these distressed firms, 10,110 were rescued by acquisition during the observation period. Our empirical results indicate that, in Russian regions, the weakness of the legal system tends to increase the probability of distressed acquisitions, while other socioeconomic risks negatively affect it. These tendencies are common in most industries and regions. It is also revealed that, in the most-developed area, monotown enterprises are more likely than other firms to be bailed out by acquisition after management failure, but it is not always true for the whole federation.

本文追溯了 2007-2019 年间 93260 家俄罗斯商业公司的生存状况,并对财务困境公司收购(即困境收购)的决定因素进行了实证研究。我们发现,在 93260 家公司中,有 50743 家公司经营失败,在这些陷入困境的公司中,有 10110 家公司在观察期内通过收购获得了救助。我们的实证结果表明,在俄罗斯各地区,法律体系的薄弱往往会增加不良收购的概率,而其他社会经济风险则会对其产生负面影响。这些趋势在大多数行业和地区都很普遍。结果还显示,在最发达地区,单镇企业比其他企业更有可能在管理失败后通过收购获得救助,但在整个联邦并不总是如此。
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Comparative Economic Studies
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