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The Importance of Sound Monetary Policy: Some Lessons for Today from Canada’s Experience with Floating Exchange Rates Since 1950 稳健货币政策的重要性:加拿大自 1950 年以来实行浮动汇率的一些经验对当今的启示
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-024-00232-2
Michael D. Bordo, Pierre L. Siklos

In this paper, we revisit the Canadian experience with floating exchange rates since 1950. Canada was a pioneer in successfully adopting a floating exchange rate during the Bretton Woods pegged exchange rate regime. Since then, most advanced countries have followed the Canadian example. A key finding of our paper based on historical narrative and econometric analysis is that economic performance under floating depended on its monetary policy performance as Milton Friedman originally argued in his seminal 1953 article making the case for floating exchange rates. Canadian monetary policy achieved low and stable inflation once it adopted inflation targeting as a nominal anchor. Also, Canada’s floating exchange rate provided it with a modicum of insulation from external shocks, especially commodity price shocks that influenced both the level and volatility of the real exchange rate over the past three decades. The Canadian experience with floating (along with that of other small open economies such as Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) combined with inflation targeting became a global model for sound monetary policy.

在本文中,我们将重新审视加拿大自 1950 年以来在浮动汇率方面的经验。在布雷顿森林体系的联系汇率制度下,加拿大是成功采用浮动汇率的先驱。此后,大多数先进国家都效仿了加拿大的做法。本文基于历史叙述和计量经济学分析得出的一个重要结论是,浮动汇率下的经济表现取决于货币政策的表现,正如米尔顿-弗里德曼(Milton Friedman)在其 1953 年的开创性文章中为浮动汇率提出的最初论点。加拿大的货币政策在采用通货膨胀目标制作为名义锚之后,实现了低而稳定的通货膨胀。此外,加拿大的浮动汇率也使其在一定程度上抵御了外部冲击,特别是商品价格的冲击,在过去三十年中,商品价格对实际汇率的水平和波动都产生了影响。加拿大的浮动汇率经验(以及澳大利亚、新西兰和瑞典等其他小型开放经济体的浮动汇率经验)与通货膨胀目标相结合,成为全球健全货币政策的典范。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Quantitative Easing on Economic Sentiment: Evidence from Three Large Economies 量化宽松政策对经济情绪的影响:来自三个大型经济体的证据
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-024-00233-1
Benjamin Baker, Murat Üngör

We analyze the impact of quantitative easing (QE) on economic sentiment variables (business and consumer confidence, uncertainty, and volatility) within three large and advanced economies (Europe, Japan, and the US), an area which has been left relatively unexamined. We observe a strong response of the economic sentiment variables in the US to a QE shock. Over a longer time-horizon, the forecast error variance decompositions show that the US is the only economy where the QE shock accounts for a large and persistent portion of the variance in the economic sentiment variables across the different specifications used. The shocks in Japan and Europe tend to account for a very small amount of the variance in the corresponding variables, even at longer time horizons.

我们分析了量化宽松政策(QE)对三大发达经济体(欧洲、日本和美国)经济景气变量(企业和消费者信心、不确定性和波动性)的影响,这一领域相对而言尚未得到研究。我们观察到美国的经济情绪变量对量化宽松冲击的强烈反应。在较长的时间跨度内,预测误差方差分解显示,在所使用的不同规格中,美国是唯一一个量化宽松冲击占经济景气变量方差较大且持续部分的经济体。日本和欧洲的冲击往往只占相应变量方差的很小一部分,即使在较长的时间跨度内也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous role of resource dependence on industrialization in developing countries 资源依赖对发展中国家工业化的不同作用
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00231-9
Paul Awoa Awoa, Henri Atangana Ondoa
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引用次数: 0
Intra-household Time Allocation: Evidence from the Post-socialist Countries 家庭内部的时间分配:后社会主义国家的证据
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00229-3
Vitaliia Yaremko
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment and Financial Development: Evidence for OECD Countries 失业与金融发展:经合组织国家的证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00227-5
António Afonso, M. Carmen Blanco-Arana
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引用次数: 1
Historical Representative Assembly Experiences and Constitutionalism Today 历史上的代议会议经验与今天的宪政
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00228-4
Jamie Bologna Pavlik, Andrew T. Young
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引用次数: 0
Political Connections, Business Groups and Innovation in Asia 亚洲的政治联系、商业团体与创新
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00226-6
S. Commander, S. Estrin, Thamashi De Silva
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引用次数: 0
Gender Inequality Under Laissez-Faire Covid-19: Case of Belarus 自由放任COVID-19下的性别不平等:白俄罗斯案例
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00225-7
Kateryna Bornukova, Lev Lvovskiy
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引用次数: 0
The Circular Relationship Between Productivity and Hours Worked: A Long-Term Analysis 生产率与工作时间的循环关系:一项长期分析
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00224-8
G. Cette, Simon Drapala, Jimmy Lopez
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引用次数: 0
Government Support Measures, Trust in Institutions and Effects on Satisfaction with Democracy During the COVID-19 Outbreak 新冠疫情期间政府支持措施、制度信任及其对民主满意度的影响
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-09 DOI: 10.1057/s41294-023-00223-9
E. Poma, B. Pistoresi
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引用次数: 0
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Comparative Economic Studies
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